Why more draws at France, England etc than Holland etc

[luckis11]

Poisson hints for the reason that the goal average is higher in Holland than in France, thus etc thus that e.g. for a match between two average strength opponents is let's say: A' FRANCE-------------- A' HOLLAND p(0) p(1) p(2) p(3) -----p(0) p(1) p(2) p(3) 20% 30% 25% 15% ----10% 15% 20% 30% where p(1)=probability that each of the two teams will score 1 goal Thus that lower the probability for a draw in Holland. But Poisson assumes that the number of attacks per game is the same everywhere (it tends this number to infinity), and this already misses basic reasons. Premier League has high goal per match and high draw percentage. Why?

[froment]

Re: Why more draws at France, England etc than Holland etc Hm, haven't you already answered your question? :unsure

for the reason that the goal average is higher in Holland than in France

Poisson has no clue about attacks, injuries, motivation, etc; it recognizes only numbers, so, if your only input is average number of goals per match, probability of draw is lower in Netherlands, since matches there see more goals than in England and France. According to BetVirus, this season so far: