KavkaZ Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Untill the russian foot kick-off in March 2012, I will give a go with this project. Well I dont know if might call it system. I will place on the major leagues: England with all divisions, France, Italy, Spain, Germany so far in my mind.. and european cups, international games. Its about statistical bets, all with the bookie Bet365. Kept stats for the past two years: Spain and Italy, corners, referee's stats, yellow card early, corners total first half, late goal, early goal - I shall focus on this type of bets with the mentioned bookie. ;) Will keep stats: Starting bank Current bank Total staked Number of bets Winning bets Losing bets Strike rate Yield Profit (or Loss) Starting bank shall be 100 units ... with at least 50 picks per month. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 12, 2011 Author Share Posted December 12, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" # 1 Doubles @ Bet365 1. 21:15 Germany Bundesliga 2 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Furth: Alternative Corners Over 8.5 (Over 8.0 - Exactly 8.0 - Under 8.0 - Selected the Over 8.0) 1.53 2. 21:45 Italy Serie A - Roma v Juventus: Team Corners Roma Over 5.5 1.80 Staked: 2 @ 2.75 1. Frankfurt at home: 03.12.11 Frankfurt - Karlsruher 7:2 20.11.11 Frankfurt - Aachen 3:4 23.10.11 Frankfurt - Duisburg 8:1 30.09.11 Frankfurt - Union Berlin 6:0 16.09.11 Frankfurt - Rostock 6:1 28.08.11 Frankfurt - Paderborn 11:3 15.08.11 Frankfurt - Dusseldorf 6:6 25.07.11 Frankfurt - St. Pauli 6:4 Furth away: 28.11.11 Dusseldorf - Furth 2:5 05.11.11 St. Pauli - Furth 2:7 31.10.11 Cottbus - Furth 9:5 02.10.11 Karlsruher - Furth 6:0 18.09.11 Aachen - Furth 11:4 26.08.11 Bochum - Furth 8:5 13.08.11 Paderborn - Furth 3:8 23.07.11 Union Berlin - Furth 5:6 2. In the Juventus team must be a bit of fatigue after 120 min of play in the Cup. H2H past 4 encounter Roma got: 6-6-7-6 corners on theyr side (home and away, included a cup match from January this year). This season so far Roma at home, corners: 7-13-7-6-6-5. Away, Juve gived to the opponent more than 5 corners only in Milano, with Inter (6). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnnydepp Posted December 12, 2011 Share Posted December 12, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" :okgood luck Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" # 1 Doubles @ Bet365 1. 21:15 Germany Bundesliga 2 - Eintracht Frankfurt v Furth: Alternative Corners Over 8.5 (Over 8.0 - Exactly 8.0 - Under 8.0 - Selected the Over 8.0) 1.53 2. 21:45 Italy Serie A - Roma v Juventus: Team Corners Roma Over 5.5 1.80 Staked: 2 @ 2.75 # 1 1. 9-6 2. 4-10 Profit/Loss: - 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 13, 2011 Author Share Posted December 13, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 13.12.2011 22:00 Spain - Copa del Rey / Bet365 # 2 Mallorca v Sporting Gijon: Total Corners Asian Over 10.5 @ 1.95 .. Stake: 4/5 # 3 Mallorca v Sporting Gijon: Alternative Corners Over 12.5 (Over 12.0 - Exactly 12.0 - Under 12.0 - Selected the Over 12.0) @ 3.00 .. Stake: 1/5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 14, 2011 Author Share Posted December 14, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 13.12.2011 22:00 Spain - Copa del Rey / Bet365 # 2 Mallorca v Sporting Gijon: Total Corners Asian Over 10.5 @ 1.95 .. Stake: 4/5 # 3 Mallorca v Sporting Gijon: Alternative Corners Over 12.5 (Over 12.0 - Exactly 12.0 - Under 12.0 - Selected the Over 12.0) @ 3.00 .. Stake: 1/5 # 2 # 3 6-2 Profit/Loss: - 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 14, 2011 Author Share Posted December 14, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 14.12.2011 22:05 Europa League / Bet365 # 4 Maccabi Haifa v Shalke 04: Alternative Corners Over 12.5 (Over 12.0 - Exactly 12.0 - Under 12.0 - Selected the Over 12.0) @ 2.50 .. Stake: 3/5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 15, 2011 Author Share Posted December 15, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 14.12.2011 22:05 Europa League / Bet365 # 4 Maccabi Haifa v Shalke 04: Alternative Corners Over 12.5 (Over 12.0 - Exactly 12.0 - Under 12.0 - Selected the Over 12.0) @ 2.50 .. Stake: 3/5 # 4 4-4 Profit/Loss: - 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 15, 2011 Author Share Posted December 15, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 15.12.2011 20:00 Europa League / Bet365 # 5 Hapoel Tel Aviv v Legia: Anytime Goalscorer Toto Tamuz (Hapoel) @ 2.75 .. Stake: 3/5 # 6 Hapoel Tel Aviv v Legia: Anytime Goalscorer Omer Damari (Hapoel) @ 2.25 .. Stake: 2.4/5 Hapoel hasnt scored at home in two attempts in this group. this time both strikers play. Tamuz ( 23, years - 14/10 goals in the Israeli League, Damari (21 years, 15/10 goals). Europa League, Tamuz 5 goals, Damari one in this group stage. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 15.12.2011 20:00 Europa League / Bet365 # 5 Hapoel Tel Aviv v Legia: Anytime Goalscorer Toto Tamuz (Hapoel) @ 2.75 .. Stake: 3/5 # 6 Hapoel Tel Aviv v Legia: Anytime Goalscorer Omer Damari (Hapoel) @ 2.25 .. Stake: 2.4/5 Hapoel hasnt scored at home in two attempts in this group. this time both strikers play. Tamuz ( 23, years - 14/10 goals in the Israeli League, Damari (21 years, 15/10 goals). Europa League, Tamuz 5 goals, Damari one in this group stage. # 5 ; # 6 Profit/Loss: - 5.4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 16, 2011 Author Share Posted December 16, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 16.12.2011 France Ligue 2 Chateauroux vs Bastia # 7 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Florent Batta 2011/2012: 8 Games ; 35 Yellow Cards ; 4 Red Cards # 8 Chateauroux Goal: Before 62:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 # 9 Late Goal? Yes: After 69:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 2/5 Le Mans vs Angers # 10 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Frank Schneider 2011/12: 8 Games ; 34 Yellow Cards ; 7 Red Cards Metz vs Lens # 11 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Didier Falcone 2011/12: 8 Games ; 36 Yellow Cards ; 7 Red Cards Istres vs Amiens # 12 Amiens Goal: Before 79:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Troyes vs Reims # 13 Late Goal? Yes: After 68:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 2/5 # 14 Reims Goal: Before 74:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Sedan vs Arles # 15 Sedan Goal: Before 36:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Nantes vs Laval # 16 Late Goal? Yes: After 70:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 17, 2011 Author Share Posted December 17, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 17.12.2011 France Ligue 1 / Bet365 Dijon - St. Etienne # 17 Total Asian Corners: Over 10.5 @ 1.90 7 units Montpelier - Toulouse # 18 Penalty taken? Yes @ 3.85 Betfair 3 units # 19 Sendding Off? Yes @ 4.25 3 units Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 17, 2011 Author Share Posted December 17, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 16.12.2011 France Ligue 2 Chateauroux vs Bastia # 7 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Florent Batta 2011/2012: 8 Games ; 35 Yellow Cards ; 4 Red Cards # 8 Chateauroux Goal: Before 62:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 # 9 Late Goal? Yes: After 69:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 2/5 Le Mans vs Angers # 10 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Frank Schneider 2011/12: 8 Games ; 34 Yellow Cards ; 7 Red Cards Metz vs Lens # 11 Sending Off? Yes @ 4.10 Betfair 2/5 Referee: Didier Falcone 2011/12: 8 Games ; 36 Yellow Cards ; 7 Red Cards Istres vs Amiens # 12 Amiens Goal: Before 79:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Troyes vs Reims # 13 Late Goal? Yes: After 68:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 2/5 # 14 Reims Goal: Before 74:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Sedan vs Arles # 15 Sedan Goal: Before 36:00 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 Nantes vs Laval # 16 Late Goal? Yes: After 70:59 @ 1.83 Bet365 1/5 # 7 : - 2 # 8 : - 1 # 9: min 74 + 1.66 # 10: - 2 # 11: - 2 # 12: min 14 + 0.83 # 13: min 82 + 1.66 # 14: - 1 # 15 : - 1 # 16: min 73 + 0.83 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 17, 2011 Author Share Posted December 17, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 17.12.2011 Spain Primera / Bet365 Seville - Real Madrid # 20 Total Yellow Cards Asian: Over 7.5 [Direct Red = 2YC] @ 2.025 5/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sanyok Posted December 17, 2011 Share Posted December 17, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" Where do you look for the statistics? How do you pick your tips? What is your current balance? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 18, 2011 Author Share Posted December 18, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 17.12.2011 France Ligue 1 / Bet365 Dijon - St. Etienne # 17 Total Asian Corners: Over 10.5 @ 1.90 7 units Montpelier - Toulouse # 18 Penalty taken? Yes @ 3.85 Betfair 3 units # 19 Sendding Off? Yes @ 4.25 3 units # 17: 9-2 + 6.30 # 18: - 3 # 19: min 85 Red card Toulouse + 9.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 18, 2011 Author Share Posted December 18, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 17.12.2011 Spain Primera / Bet365 Seville - Real Madrid # 20 Total Yellow Cards Asian: Over 7.5 [Direct Red = 2YC] @ 2.025 5/10 # 20: 5-7 + 5.125 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 18, 2011 Author Share Posted December 18, 2011 Where do you look for the statistics? How do you pick your tips? What is your current balance? Keep stats, track them on a spreadheet for the main leagues around Europe. For Late Goal, track team stats from Titanbet. Corners can be found on soccerway. I pick only statistical bets: according to referees (early card, total cards, red card or penalty), according to teams (early goal, late goal, goalscorer anytime, corners) - as you can notice I dont bet Total Goals, Team Total Goals .. only statistical after checking trends (hot). My balance? Lose few units after first 20 bets, I will write in a while just to check the spreadsheet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 18, 2011 Author Share Posted December 18, 2011 Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 98.76 Total staked: 48.4 Number of bets: 20 Winning bets: 7 Losing bets: 13 Avg. odds: 2.62 Avg. stake: 2.42 Strike rate: 35% Yield: - 97.44% Profit (or Loss): - 1.24 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 18, 2011 Author Share Posted December 18, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 18.12.2011 Itay Serie A / Bet365 # 21 Napoli - Roma: Late Goal: After 72:59 minutes @ 1.83 5/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grex Posted December 18, 2011 Share Posted December 18, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" Starting bank: 100 Current bank: 98.76 Total staked: 48.4 Number of bets: 20 Winning bets: 7 Losing bets: 13 Avg. odds: 2.62 Avg. stake: 2.42 Strike rate: 35% Yield: - 97.44% Profit (or Loss): - 1.24 I think you should express your yield as (profit/loss)/(total staked)%.... i.e. (-1.24)/(48.4)% = -2.56%.... doesn't look as bad as -97.44% ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 18.12.2011 Italy Serie A / Bet365 # 21 Napoli - Roma: Late Goal: After 72:59 minutes @ 1.83 5/10 # 21 min 82 Hamsik + 4.15 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" I think you should express your yield as (profit/loss)/(total staked)%.... i.e. (-1.24)/(48.4)% = -2.56%.... doesn't look as bad as -97.44% ;) Yield = Profit (or Loss) / Total staked ( written as a percentage ) ROI and Yield arent the same thing? On my spreadsheet I have ROI: 97.44% Antal spel: 20 Insats: 48.4 Vinstprocent: 35% Vinster: 7 Vunnet: +26.16 Medelodds: 2.62 Förluster: 13 Förlorat: -27.4 Medelinsats: 2.42 Push: 0 Netto: -1.24 Medelvinst: -0.06 Levande spel: 0 ROI: 97.44% Levande risk: 0 Startkassa: 100 Levande vinst: 0 Kassa + netto: 98.76 Kassa - risk: 98.76 Kassa + levande: 98.76 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 19, 2011 Author Share Posted December 19, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 19.12.2011 Germany Bundesiga 2 / Bet365 # 22 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt: Late Goal: After 74:59 minutes @ 1.83 3/10 A late goal, after the minute 74 and 59 seconds to be scored. Number one and two meet tonight according to the stats: goals scored and received in the interval mentioned. St Pauli Goals For 11 - Goals Against 7 ; Eintracht GF 15 - GA 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 19.12.2011 Germany Bundesiga 2 / Bet365 # 22 St. Pauli - Eintracht Frankfurt: Late Goal: After 74:59 minutes @ 1.83 3/10 # 22 : - 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 20, 2011 Author Share Posted December 20, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 20.12.2011 France Ligue 2 - Round 18 / Bet365 # 23 Boulogne - Troyes: Late Goal - After 69 minute:59 seconds @ 1.83 4/10 # 24 Laval - Le Mans: Early Goal - Before 37:00 minutes @ 1.83 4/10 # 25 Laval - Le Mans: Late Goal - After 66 minute:59 seconds @ 1.83 4/10 Ohh, mister Rudy Buquet referee mainly on the Ligue 1 will be on the match Reims - Le Havre tonight in Ligue 2, France Football. You can remember my past two bets on the France Ligue 1 with this judge were both winners (odds 3.90). This guy is on my "favorite" list, I always play: penalty and red card (singles) for the first divisions games in France. Ligue 1: 9 games, 42 yellow cards, 7 red cards Ligue 2: 1 game, 6 yellow cards, 0 red cards # 26 Reims - Le Havre: Team Markets: Sending Off? Yes @ 3.40 3/10 Betfair # 27 Reims - Le Havre: Penalty Awarded? Yes @ 3.40 3/10 Paddy Power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 20.12.2011 France Ligue 2 - Round 18 / Bet365 # 23 Boulogne - Troyes: Late Goal - After 69 minute:59 seconds @ 1.83 4/10 # 24 Laval - Le Mans: Early Goal - Before 37:00 minutes @ 1.83 4/10 # 25 Laval - Le Mans: Late Goal - After 66 minute:59 seconds @ 1.83 4/10 # 26 Reims - Le Havre: Team Markets: Sending Off? Yes @ 3.40 3/10 Betfair # 27 Reims - Le Havre: Penalty Awarded? Yes @ 3.40 3/10 Paddy Power # 23: - 4 # 24: - 4 # 25: min 72 + 3.32 # 26: - 3 # 27: - 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 21.12.2011 France Ligue 1 / Bet365 # 28 Evian Thonon Gaillard - Montpellier: Late Goal - After min 71 and 59 seconds @ 1.83 3/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 21, 2011 Author Share Posted December 21, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 21.12.2011 Spain Cup/ Bet365 # 29 Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander: Asian Total Corners - Over 10.5 @ 1.875 10/10 21.12.2011 Italy Serie A / Expekt # 30 Novara - Palermo: Anytime Goalscorer Miccoli (Palermo) - Player listed must start @ 3.60 2/10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KavkaZ Posted December 22, 2011 Author Share Posted December 22, 2011 Re: Kavkaz "keep an eye on the stats" 21.12.2011 France Ligue 1 / Bet365 # 28 Evian Thonon Gaillard - Montpellier: Late Goal - After min 71 and 59 seconds @ 1.83 3/10 # 28: min 75 + 2.49 21.12.2011 Spain Cup/ Bet365 # 29 Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander: Asian Total Corners - Over 10.5 @ 1.875 10/10 21.12.2011 Italy Serie A / Expekt # 30 Novara - Palermo: Anytime Goalscorer Miccoli (Palermo) - Player listed must start @ 3.60 2/10 # 29: 11-0 + 8.75 # 30: Void, player did not start Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.