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Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December


Aidymac

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December Hereford 2:30 A nice little handicap hurdle at Hereford tomorrow with a few promising horses. Kateal was so so impressive last time out and could be hard to beat if in the same vein of form, but a rise in class and a rise of 15 pounds in the weights should make life tougher tomorrow. The Jonjo O Neill trainer Cross The Flags also has to enter the reckoning after a 6 length victory at Towcester last time out, but has a stiff enough opening handicap mark of 114, and of Kateal and Cross The Flags, i would fancy Kateal of the two.. However there is a horse in there that i think has each-way value, Annimation. Annimation ran a superb race at Aintree in April 2010 when 5th of 19 to Big Time Billy in a Listed Class 1 event, and bear in mind tomorrows race is a Class 4 handicap hurdle with far lesser opposition. It followed that with a success at Exeter on heavy going and then went on to finish 3rd to Sparky May, although was well beat. It has run in handicaps its last three runs, and got an opening mark of 110 on its handicap debut when unseating at Exeter, then went on to Newbury and again ran with credit when 10th of 18 behind Line Freedom of the Henderson yard, which was another Listed race. Had a break and had its first run of the season last month when 2nd of 11 to the impressive Emmaslegend of the Suzy Smith stable over 2m 6f in Class 3 off 105, tomorrows shorter trip will suit and this a drop in grade, Daryl Jacob keeps the ride and runs of the same mark, 105. With Cross The Flags and Kateal all bearing big weights, this should have a good chance. Je Ne Sais Plus, Love Of Tara, Kahsabelle, Lucky Breeze, Munlochy Bay, Big Knickers and Inkberrow Rose are all easy to swerve, its hard to know what Miss Tenacious is capable of now after two victories and Victoria Rose can run a good race but finds it hard to get its head up, so im happy with my e/w bet on Annimation. Annimation e/w @ 8/1 Boylesports BOG :hope

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December 2:05 Punch Rubi Light 2pt win - 5/2 (WH) Tranquil Sea 1pt win - 7/2 (Ladbrokes) Rubi Light/Tranquil Sea 0.5pt RFC Rubi Light is worthy of a bet at the price, one of the only chasers in the race you can consider fairly progressive. His third to Albertas Run at the festival is the best form on offer here, and he appeared full of himself when totally in command on reappearance before tipping up at the last. Joncol can be trusted to run a sound race every time, but usually finds a couple better, the Irish Somersby. I think his win lto looks better than it is, because Cooldine suddenly blew up and Joncol just galloped to the line. Tranquil Sea has dismissed Joncol in the past and over 2m4f on this ground, I think he can stay in front of him again. He won on reappearance, briefly looking in trouble but soon coming back onto the bridle to win. He's usually left with something to work on fto, so it wouldn't be a surprise to see him come on a lot for his first run. Kempes looks to have completely lost his way since winning the Irish Hennessy and Cooldine has been a constant disappointment since his RSA win. Would take a miracle for Trafford Lad to bounce back, and although looking a fair price at 16s, Roi Du Mee may've been slightly flattered on his last two outtings and will have to improve a lot to mix it in with the front three in the betting.

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December 12-35 punchestown - wandering aengus -win i remember this horse beating the champion bumper winner cheltenian last october on its only start at punchestown last october,and i took note of what his trainer said which is as follows [ p.s i have also put the same comments on racecaller site my name on there is bitchy ] Wandering Aengus is to be aimed at the Weatherbys Champion Bumper with trainer Patrick Prendergast ruling out hurdles for his bright prospect this season.The five-year-old is quoted by some bookmakers for the Supreme Novices' Hurdle, but Prendergast is in no rush to send the Tobougg gelding over jumps.Wandering Aengus defeated Cheltenian on his only start so far at Punchestown last October and it was that horse's victory in the prestigious bumper at Cheltenham in the spring that has influenced the County Kildare handler's decision."He's doing very well. He had the summer off and he's back cantering at the moment," said Prendergast."He'll have one run in a winners' bumper and then he'll go to Cheltenham. He will only go to Cheltenham if there is cut in the ground, but we are hoping he will go to the Festival."One of the reasons he hasn't run is that he beat Cheltenian and he gave him 5lb and when we saw Cheltenian won the Bumper this year, we thought we'd have a go at it next year."I don't know why some bookies have him priced up for the Supreme Novices' because no-one has ever asked me. At the moment our plan is to run in the Cheltenham Bumper.The idea is to give him one run before the Festival, probably in January. If it was fast ground at Cheltenham in March we won't be going as he loves cut in the ground."He was quite weak when he won last year. He was four years of age but he was only a shell and he's stronger now."He's cantering away but he's enjoying life at the moment, nothing stressful. He's half-fit already, he's an easy horse to train but what is intresting is that trainer is running him over hurdles now when he said he will be sticking to the bumper route must be showing something at home so i will take the chance with him here and make him my bbotd

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December Punchestown 2.05 Rubi Light 2pt win - 5/2 Lads Very interesting race here with plenty coming in good form, but I can't fault Rubi Light. Not just would've beaten Sizing Europe, he would've trashed him if he hadn't fallen. Same in the Ryanair, where he looked the winner until 3 out. Young and will improve this year. Worthy favourite and I hope he wins this and go onto better things as the season progresses.

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December 2:05 Punchestown: Kempes 1pt win 7/1 Bet365 Kempes lines up here after a pipe opener at Cork over hurdles. With Willie Mullins in fine form Kempes looks a little over priced particularly as he handles this going and is effective at this trip. Kempes looked good when he won the Hennessy and if he recaptures that form today he looks likely to go close.

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December Hereford 1.45 Ascendent looks to have this race ij the bag, my only concern is Nicholls rarely runs horses in sellers but this one is from the wylie partnership recently formed. Won a class 3 race on last start but been off the track a while. The only one that wrries me is Sahrati which is a decent price so will cover on that one. Sahrati won off 128 before so possibly can get in the frame here or even trouble the fav if there are any chinks in its armour. The ground could be a slight concern as prefers it faster. 2.45 Rarely do i get McCoy right but Cross the flags has a decet chance on building on its recent win. Only a 4yo so has a bit of scope also left and although has to run off a 10lb higher mark has the champ in the plate. Bets Ascendent Evs/Cross the flags 3/1 0.5pts win double Sahrati 16/1 0.1pt ew

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December Hereford 2.15 Dancing Mist 0.5pt EW - 15/2 BetFred Off the track for 600+ days, but ran a cracker off 8lb higher mark and I don't think this race is that difficult. Only a small bet however, because yard could be in better form, but he's well handicapped and warrants a small interest regardless. Punchestown 12.35 Not For Converting 2pt win - 5/2 Boyle Wandering Aengus 0.5pt - 4/1 Boyle Lads Not For Converting needed the run lto. Hit the front and looked the winner, but got passed by a good winner. The latter has franked the form since and I expect the Willie Mullins gelding to make amends today. Saving on the hurdling debutant, who beat the Cheltenham Bumper winner on his sole career start and could be a decent horse over hurdles. 2.35 Lios A Choill 2pt win - 9/4 Bet365 PP Always been a fan of this horse and I think he'll come good over fences. Big scopy sort, who will be a staying chaser, but the ground is quite heavy today, so 2m4f at this track should be decent enough test for his stamina.

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December 2.15 Hereford - 2pts e/w Sea Saffron @ 9/1 (VC) - 1/4 odds This one interests me a lot having run a respectable race on his seasonal return over hurdles. He plugged on into 3rd behind two nice horses rated in the 120s and 130s and proved he was clearly in good heart. He's better over fences, and loves soft ground, so conditions today look ripe for him. He's only really put in one poor effort for his current yard (not much came from off the pace that day) and comfortably won a similar race to this at Wincanton in February. A good pace will suit him and he should get that in this field. The concern is his handicap mark, but he's unexposed in staying chase events, so there's hope in that regard. Plum Pudding rates as the main danger for me.

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Re: Jumps Racing Sunday 11th of December 3.15 Hereford - 5pts win Sawpit Supreme @ 4/1 (Hills) I am very confident on the chances of Venetia Williams' horse today. Posted this about her before her last run:

3.05 Uttoxeter - 2pts e/w Sawpit Supreme @ 7/1 (VC) Venetia Williams' horses are just starting to show signs of life - moreso when this horse returned to the track - and I can forgive him his lacklustre showing at Exeter. Sawpit Supreme has never gone well fresh, so his disappointing effort at a big price on his return wasn't much to get worried about. This represents a drop in grade for this horse, also, who had some decent form last season. He got his act together at Warwick in January, scoring by 3l off a 4lb lower mark than today. They were similar conditions today, and the horse in 2nd is 11lbs higher in the ratings now. He then chased home Prophete De Guye at Towcester - won his last two and is now 22lbs higher than when beating my selection. Sawpit Supreme wasn't quite as close at Newton Abbot, but it may have just been a couple of furlongs too far against some nice types. The winner is a nice, progressive type rated 127, the 2nd horse 118 and in form in hunter chases. The 3rd horse won his next three and is now 29lbs higher in the handicap off 120 so the race was quite hot that my selection contested. So long as there's nothing more deep-rooted than the fact he just needed his return, everything is set for a big run now. Conditions are ideal, and he takes a considerable drop in grade down to a 0-100 race. Looks to have a real sound chance.
Proved she was in form this day when finishing 2nd to a horse who was on a going day, as expected by the market. Sawpit Supreme travelled and jumped really well, and maybe would have been a few lengths closer if wasn't squeezed out on the home turn. She drifted out to 11/1 whilst the favourite was hammered in, so it wasn't a bad effort given the market signals. Still, my selection put distance between her and the third, and has conditions to suit again today. This looks the weakest race she's contested in a long time. The second favourite has been hiked up the weights for beating very little and I expect the gradually improving stable to have a winner here.
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