leony Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Hartberg lost 0-2 so that gives another winner to the system. There has been an addition to the list after the midweek games in Turkey: Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 After this weekend I'll post a summary of how the 2 systems are performing. I've decided that I'll evaluate after 100 games has been played. I'm off to play some of the matches on the list for the 26th. Write you later :-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please These are the games I have played for tomorrow. The Sendai game is on early Saturday morning. I really hope the odd for Kaposvar is worth playing tomorrow so I can end that chase (lay odd at the moment is 950). Maybe the Saarbrücken game is a qualifier tomorrow but odds right now is rubbish and I have to go to work tomorrow so I don't if I can make it home before the game starts at 14:00. CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 31a Italy Juve Stabia Grosseto - Juve Stabia 26.11.2011 3,25 1,05 2,36 30a Italy Torino Torino - Livorno 26.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 29a Belgium Waregem Waregem - Anderlecht 26.11.2011 4,20 1,05 3,36 28a Japan Sendai G-Osaka - Sendai 26.11.2011 4,90 1,05 4,10 27a France Lille Lille - Brest 26.11.2011 4,40 1,05 3,57 26a Italy Albinoleffe Brescia - Albinoleffe 26.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 25a England Exeter City Exeter City - Tranmere 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 24a England AFC Wimbledon Burton - AFC Wimbledon 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 31 Italy Juve Stabia Grosseto - Juve Stabia 26.11.2011 3,25 1,05 2,36 30 Italy Torino Torino - Livorno 26.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 29 Belgium Waregem Waregem - Anderlecht 26.11.2011 4,20 1,05 3,36 28 Japan Sendai G-Osaka - Sendai 26.11.2011 4,90 1,05 4,10 27 France Lille Lille - Brest 26.11.2011 4,40 1,05 3,57 26 Italy Albinoleffe Brescia - Albinoleffe 26.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 25 England Exeter City Exeter City - Tranmere 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 24 England AFC Wimbledon Burton - AFC Wimbledon 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Layed the draw in the Saarbrücken game at 3,5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please I've just found out that I never checked the last 5 games on the list. I was so satisfied with myself for coming home just in time to play the Saarbrücken game that I forgot that I had an open chase on Kaposvar (they won 1-0 so it would have been a winner). :@ I've decided that I will continue that chase with the next game Kaposvar plays. I think that it is fair approach considering one alternative would be deleting tha game. I'll be more careful in the future. I'll print out the list so I have it in front of me. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please There is game that starts at 12:30 tomorrow. I'm posting it now. The Melbourne game for tomorrow is a no go for me (no money in my Aussie account on Betfair). The 2 other for tomorrow will be done tomorrow odds now aren't playable at all. FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 33 Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 33a Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 27, 2011 Author Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please An amazing run of 9 out of 9 yesterday. I think that calls for :beerand a :nana. Have played the last 2 games on the list today (Carese and Aris). Here is how it looks: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 35 Cyprus Aris Aris - Apollon 27.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 34 Italy Carrarese Carrarese - Sudtirol Bolzano 27.11.2011 3,45 1,05 2,57 33 Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 32 Gerrmany Saarbrücken Saarbrücken - Offenbach 26.11.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 yes 1,00 219,97 31 Italy Juve Stabia Grosseto - Juve Stabia 26.11.2011 3,25 1,05 2,36 yes 1,00 218,97 30 Italy Torino Torino - Livorno 26.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 yes 1,00 217,97 29 Belgium Waregem Waregem - Anderlecht 26.11.2011 4,20 1,05 3,36 yes 1,00 216,97 28 Japan Sendai G-Osaka - Sendai 26.11.2011 4,90 1,05 4,10 yes 1,00 215,97 27 France Lille Lille - Brest 26.11.2011 4,40 1,05 3,57 yes 1,00 214,97 26 Italy Albinoleffe Brescia - Albinoleffe 26.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 yes 1,00 213,97 25 England Exeter City Exeter City - Tranmere 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 212,97 24 England AFC Wimbledon Burton - AFC Wimbledon 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 211,97 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 35a Cyprus Aris Aris - Apollon 27.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 34a Italy Carrarese Carrarese - Sudtirol Bolzano 27.11.2011 3,45 1,05 2,57 33a Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 32a Gerrmany Saarbrücken Saarbrücken - Offenbach 26.11.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 yes 1,00 227,01 31a Italy Juve Stabia Grosseto - Juve Stabia 26.11.2011 3,25 1,05 2,36 yes 1,00 226,01 30a Italy Torino Torino - Livorno 26.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 yes 1,00 225,01 29a Belgium Waregem Waregem - Anderlecht 26.11.2011 4,20 1,05 3,36 yes 1,00 224,01 28a Japan Sendai G-Osaka - Sendai 26.11.2011 4,90 1,05 4,10 yes 1,00 223,01 27a France Lille Lille - Brest 26.11.2011 4,40 1,05 3,57 yes 1,00 222,01 26a Italy Albinoleffe Brescia - Albinoleffe 26.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 yes 1,00 221,01 25a England Exeter City Exeter City - Tranmere 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 220,01 24a England AFC Wimbledon Burton - AFC Wimbledon 26.11.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 219,01 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
averick Posted November 27, 2011 Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please nice one leony. mind putting up some ROI stats too? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 27, 2011 Author Share Posted November 27, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Thank you. I'll do it later tonight when the Aris game has been settled. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 27, 2011 Author Share Posted November 27, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please There are 2 games in the system tonight. Here is how it looks: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 37 England Gateshead Mansfield - Gateshead 29.11.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 36 England York York - Lincoln 29.11.2011 4,10 1,05 3,26 35 Cyprus Aris Aris - Apollon 27.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 yes 1,00 219,40 34 Italy Carrarese Carrarese - Sudtirol Bolzano 27.11.2011 3,45 1,05 2,57 no -2,57 218,40 33 Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 yes 1,00 220,97 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 37 England Gateshead Mansfield - Gateshead 29.11.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 36a England York York - Lincoln 29.11.2011 4,10 1,05 3,26 35a Cyprus Aris Aris - Apollon 27.11.2011 3,75 1,05 2,89 yes 1,00 226,44 34a Italy Carrarese Carrarese - Sudtirol Bolzano 27.11.2011 3,45 1,05 2,57 no -2,57 225,44 33a Turkey Boluspor Boluspor - Kartalspor 27.11.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 yes 1,00 228,01 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 29, 2011 Author Share Posted November 29, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please This is the rest of the list for this week: CarrareseFeralpiSalo - Carrarese04.12.2011Atletico GOAtletico GO - América Mineiro04.12.2011CruzeiroCruzeiro - Atletico-MG04.12.2011Universitario LimaDep. Un. Comercio - Universitario Lima04.12.2011CartagenaNumancia - Cartagena03.12.2011KonyasporKonyaspor - Gaziantep BB03.12.2011RadRad - CZ Beograd03.12.2011Sutjeska NiksicSutjeska Niksic - Mladost Podgorica03.12.2011AroucaArouca - Oliveirense11.12.2011 And of course there is the Kaposvar chase that needs an ending. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted November 30, 2011 Author Share Posted November 30, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please FeralpiSalo - Carrarese is playing tonight. That game is only for the chase system. Here is how it looks: CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 34b Italy Carrarese FeralpiSalo - Carrarese 02.12.2011 3,05 3,82 7,83 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 2, 2011 Author Share Posted December 2, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please 4 games for Saturday. 2 of the English games on the list are FA Cup games so they wont be played. Neither will the Rad - CZ Beograd or the Sutjeska Niksic - Mladost Podgorica games. Here is how it looks: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 41 Italy Napoli Napoli - Lecce 03.12.2011 4,80 1,05 3,99 40 Turkey Konyaspor Konyaspor - Gaziantep BB 03.12.2011 3,40 1,05 2,52 39 Spain Cartagena Numancia - Cartagena 03.12.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 38 England Mansfield Mansfield - Braintree Town 03.12.2011 3,95 1,05 3,10 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 41a Italy Napoli Napoli - Lecce 03.12.2011 4,80 1,05 3,99 40a Turkey Konyaspor Konyaspor - Gaziantep BB 03.12.2011 3,40 1,05 2,52 39a Spain Cartagena Numancia - Cartagena 03.12.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 38a England Mansfield Mansfield - Braintree Town 03.12.2011 3,95 1,05 3,10 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 4, 2011 Author Share Posted December 4, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please 3 out of 4 on Saturday. 3 matches on the list for today (FeralpiSalo - Carrarese was played Friday) but I've decided not to make any bets since it the last round in Brazil. Since I don't know the teams' motivation level and I don't want to leave a chase open until next season starts. The Peruvian game isn't on the list at Betfair so I cannot bet on that either. Here is the updated sheets and summary after this weekend's matches. FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 41 Italy Napoli Napoli - Lecce 03.12.2011 4,80 1,05 3,99 yes 1,00 218,04 40 Turkey Konyaspor Konyaspor - Gaziantep BB 03.12.2011 3,40 1,05 2,52 yes 1,00 217,04 39 Spain Cartagena Numancia - Cartagena 03.12.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 no -2,63 216,04 38 England Mansfield Mansfield - Braintree Town 03.12.2011 3,95 1,05 3,10 yes 1,00 218,67 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 41a Italy Napoli Napoli - Lecce 03.12.2011 4,80 1,05 3,99 yes 1,00 217,25 40a Turkey Konyaspor Konyaspor - Gaziantep BB 03.12.2011 3,40 1,05 2,52 yes 1,00 216,25 39a Spain Cartagena Numancia - Cartagena 03.12.2011 3,50 1,05 2,63 no -2,63 215,25 38a England Mansfield Mansfield - Braintree Town 03.12.2011 3,95 1,05 3,10 yes 1,00 217,88 Summary Flat Chase Flat + Chase Starting bank 200 Starting bank 200 Starting bank 400 Current bank 218,04 Current bank 217,25 Current bank 435,29 Total liability 132,45 Total liability 162,13 Total liability 294,58 Number of bets 41 Number of bets 44 Number of bets 85 Winning bets 35 Winning bets 37 Winning bets 72 Losing bets 6 Losing bets 7 Losing bets 13 Strike rate 85,37% Strike rate 84,09% Strike rate 84,71% Yield 13,62% Yield 10,64% Yield 11,98% Profit (or Loss) 18,04 Profit (or Loss) 17,25 Profit (or Loss) 35,29 Ongoing chases: Kaposvar (17a) - Carrarese (34a) - Gateshead (37a) - Cartagena (39a) I'll be back in a couple of days with the list for the weekend to come. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 5, 2011 Author Share Posted December 5, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 6, 2011 Author Share Posted December 6, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please There is some action tonight. Trying to end the Gateshead chase. Starting a new chase with Cambridge. For some reason Betfair hasn't postet and odds for the Forfar game so this game isn't played and there isn't in the system qualifiers. Here is how it looks for tonight: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 42 England Cambridge Ebbsfleet - Cambridge 06.12.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 42a England Cambridge Ebbsfleet - Cambridge 06.12.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 37b England Gateshead Stockport - Gateshead 06.12.2011 3,60 3,98 10,35 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nightfire23 Posted December 6, 2011 Share Posted December 6, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please For some reason Betfair hasn't postet and odds for the Forfar game so this game isn't played and there isn't in the system qualifiers. Match is postponed due to the weather. So try Forfar for this weekend. :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 7, 2011 Author Share Posted December 7, 2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arce Posted December 7, 2011 Share Posted December 7, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Extreamly good strike rate for laying the draws of odds round 3,75 :clap As for chasing the looses: are you aware what was the longest series of draws in history :loon ? Theoreticly using excel formulas you can figure out longest bad run (for strike rate 85% within 1000 bets it will be only 3,6 game and for 10.000 bets - 4,8), but here we're not talking about simple loosing run in general, but loosing run in specific - one team. Therefore it's not so simply to predict and can kill your bank. I would say establish a cut-off point, when you will simply stop laying team A and switch your lay lader to the other team. Nevertheless: best of luck :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Hi Arce Thank you for the input. I don't know the length of the longest streak in history. I really doesn't think it matters either (although it doesn't hurt to know the worst case scenario). In my opinion it isn't relevant if Sunderland drew 14 games in a row in 1935. I cannot promise it doesn't happen again but I hope not and there is only one way to find out. I like the numbers you have crunched in excel. You are absolutely right about having a cut-off point. The bank currently can take 3 hits and then have to strike gold in the 4th attempt to be able to continue at average odd of 3,75. Thats a 7 game draw streak. Lets hope it doesn't go to those length. If it comes to it I will declare the system a failure. Here is to hoping :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please The Chico game ended 2-2. 2 games for tonight. Here is how it looks: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 44 Gerrmany Hertha Hertha - Schalke 09.12.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 43 Italy Sampdoria Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 09.12.2011 3,85 1,05 2,99 42 England Cambridge Ebbsfleet - Cambridge 06.12.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 no -2,68 15,36 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 44a Gerrmany Hertha Hertha - Schalke 09.12.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 43a Italy Sampdoria Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 09.12.2011 3,85 1,05 2,99 42a England Cambridge Ebbsfleet - Cambridge 06.12.2011 3,55 1,05 2,68 no -2,68 218,35 37b England Gateshead Stockport - Gateshead 06.12.2011 3,60 3,98 10,35 yes 3,78 221,03 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arce Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please I've been trying to find, but I failed :( Nevertheless, you said you are using betexplorer. Try also maybe this: http://www.sportstats.com/soccer/streaks/#draws They have more teams. Including Comunicationes from Guatemala, that had 8 draws in a row (and they won 3:0 yesterday :P) - http://www.sportstats.com/soccer/guatemala/detail/comunicaciones-37117/#results Again: Good Luck! :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 9, 2011 Author Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Aaarggghhhh. Sampdoria scored an equalizer in 90+3 minutes of the game. Schalke won. Thanks for the website Arce. I didn't know that one. I'll have a look at it. They certainly have a lot more leagues than Betexplorer (but the question is wether or not Betfair has those leagues so the draw can be layed). And some funny streaks to. Who would have guessed that Southend is on 5 game draw streak when it comes to club friendlies :-) Again: Thank you Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arce Posted December 9, 2011 Share Posted December 9, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please It doesn't matter if leagues can or can't be played - it's always good just to know how far things can go :) For example if you look at the no draws you can see, that actual leader has 19 non-draws streak - and that's what I would say if I didn't know that :) But I didn't know about draws, so after looking at this a would say, that 6 is a possibility, but anything more than that is an achievement. So cutoff point at 6 or 7 is mething best. Also you inspire me and I'll try (paper for now - christams is coming XD) to select 3 teams (Herta already won, also selected Freiburg and Lokeren) witch in my opinion has biggest chance of not ending their match in a draw within next 3 games. I set up my cutoff point when draws streak reach 6 games (so 3 lvl can be played). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 10, 2011 Author Share Posted December 10, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Good luck to us ;) The Forfar-East Fife game has also been postponed. So 4 for the flat bet and 5 for the chase. Here is how it looks (with the results from yesterday): FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 48 Spain Numancia La Coruna - Numancia 10.12.2011 3,90 1,05 3,05 47 Belgium Lokeren Lokeren - St. Liege 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 46 Gerrmany Freiburg Köln - Freiburg 10.12.2011 3,70 1,05 2,84 45 Scotland Alloa Alloa - Queens Park 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 44 Gerrmany Hertha Hertha - Schalke 09.12.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 213,70 43 Italy Sampdoria Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 09.12.2011 3,85 1,05 2,99 no -2,99 212,37 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 48a Spain Numancia La Coruna - Numancia 10.12.2011 3,90 1,05 3,05 47a Belgium Lokeren Lokeren - St. Liege 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 46a Gerrmany Freiburg Köln - Freiburg 10.12.2011 3,70 1,05 2,84 45a Scotland Alloa Alloa - Queens Park 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 39b Spain Cartagena Cartagena - Las Palmas 10.12.2011 3,35 3,87 9,09 44a Gerrmany Hertha Hertha - Schalke 09.12.2011 3,65 1,05 2,78 yes 1,00 216,36 43a Italy Sampdoria Sampdoria - Juve Stabia 09.12.2011 3,85 1,05 2,99 no -2,99 215,36 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 10, 2011 Author Share Posted December 10, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please I've added a team to the list: Newell's Old Boys Lanus - Newell's Old Boys 12.12.2011 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
skm2 Posted December 10, 2011 Share Posted December 10, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Hi everyone and thank you leony for sharing your system. I have been working on the "lay the draw" system for a while so I was very happy to find others working on the same system. I would definitely agree that it would be better to try to make up for lost games to some degree but the problem for me is how. Chasing the lost games is one possibility. Drawback is limited bank stamina especially if the chase goes on for 3-4 matches. The need for bank stamina could maybe be reduced by starting a chase only after 5 draw streak. Other possibilities could be to raise the stake on the next match after drawn game, or next match where there is a favorite site. I am somewhat primitive with statistic analysing tools. Some of the facts I would like to know is how much % of games after 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 draw streaks are drawn? Does anyone know of statistic analysis tool that could be used for this purpose? I would also like to know how much % of matches after 3+ draw streak where there is a favored site are drawn but I realize that is probably not possible. Good luck on your system Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please Hi skm2 There is advantages and disadvantages with every way you chose to attack this. If you start the chase after 5 draws you will get a very small number of games each season. You just have to chose the method that suits your temper and your bankroll best. I cannot help you with the % statistics. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leony Posted December 11, 2011 Author Share Posted December 11, 2011 Re: Teams: End your streak.............please And there is some action today. 2 for the flat bet system and 3 for the chase system. The 2 Greek games on the list isn't offered by Betfair so I'm not gonna take those. 1 in Argentina tomorrow. Here is how it looks: FLAT BET SYSTEM - (lay draw) Bet Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 50 Portugal Arouca Arouca - Oliveirense 11.12.2011 3,20 1,05 2,31 49 Italy Atalanta Atalanta - Catania 11.12.2011 3,30 1,05 2,42 48 Spain Numancia La Coruna - Numancia 10.12.2011 3,90 1,05 3,05 yes 1,00 213,64 47 Belgium Lokeren Lokeren - St. Liege 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 no -2,73 212,64 46 Gerrmany Freiburg Köln - Freiburg 10.12.2011 3,70 1,05 2,84 yes 1,00 215,37 45 Scotland Alloa Alloa - Queens Park 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 yes 1,00 214,37 CHASE SYSTEM - (lay draw) Chase Country Team Next match Date Lay odd Stake Liability Bet won Profit (-5%) Bank 50a Portugal Arouca Arouca - Oliveirense 11.12.2011 3,20 1,05 2,31 49a Italy Atalanta Atalanta - Catania 11.12.2011 3,30 1,05 2,42 34c Italy Carrarese Carrarese - Barletta 11.12.2011 3,35 11,99 28,18 48a Spain Numancia La Coruna - Numancia 10.12.2011 3,90 1,05 3,05 yes 1,00 207,54 47a Belgium Lokeren Lokeren - St. Liege 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 no -2,73 206,54 46a Gerrmany Freiburg Köln - Freiburg 10.12.2011 3,70 1,05 2,84 yes 1,00 209,27 45a Scotland Alloa Alloa - Queens Park 10.12.2011 3,60 1,05 2,73 yes 1,00 208,27 39b Spain Cartagena Cartagena - Las Palmas 10.12.2011 3,35 3,87 9,09 no -9,09 207,27 :hope Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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