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NCAAF: Week 8


blackcrow

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Florida International @ 2.38 pinnacle Florida International has a more balanced attack with 249 passing yards and 156 rushing yards per game while Arkansas State allows an average of 222 passing yards and 123 rushing yards per game. QB Caroll has been good, they get back a very good WR in Hilton while RBs Rhodes and Perry have been effective in running the ball. Good wins over a good defences in Louisville and Central Florida supports this team is underrated and capable of doing well. Arkasas State is more one dimnesional as they average 303 passing yards and though they average 141 rushing yards per game, games against some much weaker opponents inflated these numbers. FIU allows an average of 245 passing yards and 107 rushing yards per game. So can see FIU containing the run but will give up some yardage threw the air. Also with QB Aplin for ArkSt having 6 TDs but also 8 INTs, he does turnover the ball, and they have lost more fumbles than they have regained, so given that the conditions are likely to be wet, then a FIU defence can get some good field position. Record 51-40 (+11.04)

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Re: NCAAF: Week 8 Florida International @ 2.38 :( Record 51-41 (+10.04) Central Florida -16.5 @ 1.95 pinnacle Like UCF to bounce back from their loss to Southern Mississippi here as they are the better team. They average 238 passing yards and 184 rushing yards per game, and should do well on this porous UAB defence that allows 292 passing yards and 223 rushing yards per game. In the 37-20 loss to Tulsa, they allowed 314 passing yards and 218 rushing yards in that game. UCF's defence allows just 184 passing yards and an even better 78 rushing yards per game, and with the UAB offence, gaining 210 passing yards and just 104 rushing yards per game, hard to see them doing much here as the UCF defence will be fired up to get back on the winning track. UAB have lost their last 2 games by 17+ points and have averaged just 13 points per game but allowed 33 points per game, and while UCF have not scored much, they have had a much tougher schedule and should relish playing a much easier opponent where they can dominate on both sides of the ball. Arizona - UCLA over 62.5 @ 1.99 pinnacle Arizona has just sacked its coach so the team should be looking to do well for their new coach. Still they have a very good offence that passes the ball well, averaging 383 passing yards per game, and should do well on this UCLA defence that allows an average of 232 passing yards per game. With the injuries in the UCLA secondary, the expect QB Foles to have another big game. They do not run the ball that well, gaining just 72 yards per game but UCLA does not defend the run well either, allowing 182 yards per game. UCLA's defence has allowed at least 38 points in its 3 losses so far. Arizona passed for 378 yards and ran for just 53 yards in their 37-27 loss to Oregon State last week, while UCLA allowed 287 passing yards and 88 rushing yards in their 27-19 win over Oregon State 3 weeks ago. Stanford is another common opponent where Arizona managed 282 passing yards and 51 rushing yards in the 37-10 loss to them while UCLA allowed 240 passing yards and 202 rushing yards in the 45-19 loss to them. On defence, Arizona has allowed 292 passing yards and 196 rushing yards per game, with at least 37 points scored in their last 3 losses. Oregon State had 280 passing yards and 128 rushing yards against Arizona while Stanford had 345 passing yards and 242 rushing yards. Like UCLA's offence to take advantage of this turmoil as they average 199 passing yards and 195 rushing yards per game. They had 146 passing yards and 211 rushing yards against Oregon State and 202 passing yards and 141 rushing yards against a good Stanford defence. Neither defence has been good at stopping yardage and points against them. Arizona will air the ball while UCLA will run the ball, and like both teams to put up points, as neither side has a good pass rush to pressure the QB or disrupt the hand offs to the RBs.

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Re: NCAAF: Week 8 Central Florida -16.5 @ 1.95 :( They were poor. Arizona - UCLA over 62.5 @ 1.99 :wall They had 49 points at half time and only 11 in the second half and the refs came up with some rubbish penalties at the end to prevent the over coming in Record 51-43 (+8.04) Rutgers -2.5 @ 2.10 pinnacle Rutgers on offence passes for 241 yards and runs for 103 yards per game, as they had 174 passing yards and 97 rushing yards in the 34-10 win over Pittsburgh while in the 21-20 win against Navy, they had 271 passing yards and 152 rushing yards. Louisville's defence allowed just 178 passing yards and 86 rushing yards to North Carolina, and then allowed 152 passing yards and 178 rushing yards to a good Cincinnati offence. Louisville averages 222 passing yards and 109 rushing yards per game as they had 173 passing yards and 100 rushing yards in the 14-7 loss to North Carolina, and then had 201 passing yards and just 70 rushing yards in the 25-16 loss to Cincinnati, with their only TD in this game coming from an INT return. They face a very good Rutgers defence that allows 195 passing yards and 105 rushing yards per game. They allowed 131 passing yards and 140 rushing yards in the win over Pittsburgh, and with the turnovers they create, they give their offence good field position to work with. Rutgers has stepped up their defence with 20 points or less allowed in their last 3 games, while they did score 19, 34 and 21 points in these last 3 games. Lousiville have scored 17 points or less in 4 of their 6 games. Can see this Rutgers pass rush getting through this Louisville OL and getting sacks and turnovers. West Virginia -14.5 @ 2.05 pinnacle West Virginia passes for 381 yards per game and should pass on this Syracuse defence that allows 293 yards per game. Their running game may struggle to get their average of 123 yards per game on a Syracuse rush defence that allows 104 yards per game. WVU had 469 passing yards and just 72 rushing yards in the 43-16 win over Connecticut and with Rutgers gaining 297 passing yards and only 38 rushing yards in the 19-16 win over Syracuse, like WVU's QB Smith to pass all over this secondary as he has shown to be much better and efficient than what Rutgers has to offer. WVU allows 181 passing yards per game and 120 rushing yards per game, and allowed just 193 passing yards and 83 rushing yards to Connecticut. Syracuse averages 220 passing yards and 113 rushing yards per game and had 169 passing yards and 126 rushing yards to a good Rutgers defence, which they will find was similar to WV's. While both team are fresh off a bye, WVU looks better on both sides of the ball, and will be looking to make up for last year's loss.

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Re: NCAAF: Week 8 Rutgers -2.5 @ 2.10 :@ Kicker misses two easy FGs which would have won the pick West Virginia -14.5 @ 2.05 :eyes Another big road favourite gets done straight up Record 51-45 (+6.04) Clemson -10.5 @ 1.97 pinnacle Clemson averages 294 pasing yards and 193 rushing yards per game as they have scored at least 35 points in 4 of their last 5 games. They have each of their 7 games with very good wins over Auburn, Virginia Tech and Florida State. North Carolina allows 248 passing yards and 108 rushing yards per game, and in losing 2 of their 7 games, they allowed 267 passing yards and 44 rushing yards in the 30-24 loss to Miami and 184 passing yards and 312 rushing yards in the 35-28 loss to Georgia Tech. Clemson allows 193 passing yards and 179 rushing yards per game, while NC averages 233 passing yards and 160 passing yards per game. Expect NC to have some success on the ground but like this Clemson secondary to be much better than it is was last week and contain them. Clemson have won 6 of their 8 games by 11+ points and with them having played a much tougher schedule, like them to win well again here Kansas State -10.5 @ 1.98 pinnacle Kansas State have been impressive in beating some very good sides like Texas Tech, Missouri and Baylor so they will like their chances of beating their state rivals here. KSU averages only 130 passing yards per game but they run for 206 yards per game, and like them to get plenty of yardage on this very bad Kansas defence that allows 338 passing yards and 227 rushing yards per game. Kansas State's defence allows 284 passing yards per game and just 97 rushing yard per game, so while Kansas should have some success passing the ball as they average 218 yards per game, they could struggle to run the ball even though they average 207 yards per game. They have faced a common opponent in Texas Tech in which KSU won by 7 points on the road while Kansas lost by 11 points at home. Like Kansas State to continue their unbeaten record and beat their interstate rivals

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Re: NCAAF: Week 8 Clemson -10.5 @ 1.97 Kansas State -10.5 @ 1.98 Record 51-45 (+6.04) Boise State -30.5 @ 2.12 pinnacle Boise State continue to steamroll opponents as they look to maintain their high ranking. They average 307 passing yards and 192 rushing yards per game, and like they to do well once again against a Air Force defence that allows 205 passing yards and 230 rushing yards per game. In the 59-33 loss to a Notre Dame side that has some resemblance to this Boise State side, Air Force allowed 202 passing yards and 363 rushing yards in that game with AF scoring 2 late TDs to make it more respectable scoreline but they were severely outmatched here. Boise State's defence allows 262 passing yards and 113 rushing yards per game while AF averages 205 passing yards and and 230 rushing yards per game. Against ND, AF had 294 passing yards and 266 rushing yards as they were outmuscled by the bigger OL that allowed ND to find their WRs as well as the bigger DL that created turnovers for them. This Boise State defence is even better and like them to contain their yardage here while their own offence scores easily. Florida State -20.5 @ 2.18 pinnacle Florida State averages 311 passing yards per game and 112 rushing yards per game and like them to do well on this banged up Maryland defence that allows 221 passing yards and 215 rushing yards per game. FSU had 336 passing yards and just 29 rushing yards in the 35-30 loss to Clemson while Maryland allowed 270 passing yards and 306 rushing yards in the 56-45 loss to Clemson when they led 28-17 at half time, are without several LBs. FSU's defence is much better than Clemson's, as they allow just 198 passing yards abd 87 rushing yard per game, and though they allowed 344 passing yards and 111 rushing yards to Clemson, like them to do a good job of containing this Maryland offence had 177 passing yards and 291 rushing yards in the loss to Clemson. Like FSU to come out strong and win well here Texas A+M -22.5 @ 2.04 pinnacle Texas A+M's balanced offence averages 297 passing yards and 228 rushing yards per game and should do well against an inferior side than what they have played lately as they face a a Iowa State defence that allows 229 passing yards and 218 rushing yards per game. TAM are coming off passing for 415 passing yards and 266 rushing yards in the 55-28 win over Baylor last week while Iowa State allowed 244 pasing yards and 181 rushing yards in the 49-26 loss to Baylor two weeks ago. TAM's defence allows 361 passing yards and just 72 rushing yards per game, and held the Baylor offence to 430 passing yards and just 50 rushing yards last week, while Iowa State averages 231 passing yards and 151 rushing yards per game. Iowa State passed for 244 yards and ran for 181 yards in that game with Baylor. Like TAM to stop the run and though the secondary will give up yards, they are not playing an offence as good as some of the teams that they have played in the last few weeks. Auburn +20.5 @ 2.03 pinnacle LSU averages 178 passing yards and 191 rushing yards per game as they have done well to score points due to good field position gained from their defence. They prefer to run the ball but will be without the suspended RB Ware which will make it hard for them to get their usual yardage. Auburn allows 222 passing yards and and 182 rushing yards per game but will be relieved that Ware is not playing. Auburn averages 164 passing yards and and 197 rushing yards per game while this very good LSU defence allows just 177 passing yards and 75 rushng yards per game, but LSU are without a pair of CBs which should enable Auburn to score some points. For LSU, they have a bye next week but they will be looking to stay injury free for their next game with Alabama. LSU should win but like Auburn to keep this fairly close. Georgia Tech @ 2.23 pinnacle Georgia Tech averages just 169 passing yards per game but runs for a massive 348 yards per game, and like them to do well on this Miami defence that allows 220 passing yards and 182 rushing yards per game. Miami allowed 288 passing yards and 141 rusing yards in the 30-24 win over North Carolina last week while GT had 184 passing yards and 312 rushing yards in beating North Carolina 35-28 two weeks ago. GT's defence allows just 175 passing yards per game as well as 177 rushing yards per game, and allowed NC to gain just 204 passing yards and 128 rushing yards. Miami averages 225 passing yards and 160 rushing yards and had 267 passing yards and just 44 rushing yards in beating NC. Like this GT triple option rush offence to overwhelm Miami while their secondary to do well against Miami's inconsistent QB Harris

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