MattyNeth Posted August 8, 2005 Author Share Posted August 8, 2005 Re: The top vs bottom strategy for this weekend. Almost getting to the stage where we can add the Danish and Austrian leagues Just the one game for the coming week 14th August - Malmo FF (3rd) vs Assyriska (bottom) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Saul Hudson Posted August 11, 2005 Share Posted August 11, 2005 Re: The top vs bottom strategy This is looking good matty!, will be interesting and they all get in full swing and we can do the perms that were backtested, i think they will be promising.Cheers and keep it up :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted August 15, 2005 Author Share Posted August 15, 2005 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Yep looking forward to it Saul From the weekend. It finished 2-2, but the odds for Malmo were 1.36 from the Swedish thread in the Euro Leagues forum, so match is excluded. Will be interesting to back test the Euro Leagues at the end of next season to see if there are certain leagues to avoid next season. Really think the English leagues will be profitable for us.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted August 29, 2005 Author Share Posted August 29, 2005 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 1, 2006 Author Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Been off for sometime but resurrecting this as of today 1st Feb. System backs any team at home who is in the top 5 of their division vs any team in the bottom 5 of their respective division. England Premier League to Conference Liverpool (2nd) v Birmingham (3rd bottom) 1.40 1pt home win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sir Puntalot Posted February 1, 2006 Share Posted February 1, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Great to see you back Matty. :ok :cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
davidmphill Posted February 2, 2006 Share Posted February 2, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Great to see you back Matty. :ok :cow I'd like to echo that too. Great to have you around again Matty.:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 8, 2006 Author Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Liverpool drew 1-1 with Birmingham. Great start:@ From the weekend, we also had: Northampton 2-0 Rushden. Cobblers were 1.54 So after 2 bets on the new season: Starting bank 100pts Bets: 2 Strikerate: 1/2 50% Profit: -0.46 Current bank: 99.54 Yield: - Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K'Ching Posted February 8, 2006 Share Posted February 8, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Why have you chosen to exclude games whith odds lower than 1.40? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 9, 2006 Author Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy K-Ching - if you look at the analysis, the yield significantly decreases if you include 1.40 and under shots. That said I'll be running separate yields to see how it compares this season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
K'Ching Posted February 9, 2006 Share Posted February 9, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy I see. But that is only for games with odds between 1.31-1.4. For odds lower than that the yield was good. I would think the poor yield wa caused by an unfortunate string of results, but I guess we'll see. Good luck with it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Agreed K-Ching. Let's see how this season's results go and I'll do the analysis at the end of the season. Onto this weekend: Southend (2nd) vs Rotherham (2nd bottom) 1.53 Wycombe (2nd) vs Mansfield (5th bottom) 1.61 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 10, 2006 Author Share Posted February 10, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy 2-0 win for Southend tonight :) Waiting on the Wycombe game tomorrow Starting bank 100pts Bets: 3 Strikerate: 2/3 66.7% Profit: -0.46 Current bank: 100.07 Yield: 2.33% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 11, 2006 Share Posted February 11, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy .... quite like this strategy Matty, looks to be a decent bet.Probably where it could become a little sticky is near the end of the season when relegation candidates are fighting to avoid the drop.Have you ever considered drawing the line at something like the last week or two? Btw the Wycombe selection looks OK to me also, so much so, that I have had a nibble with Betfair.Good luck!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 12, 2006 Author Share Posted February 12, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Shame about the Wycombe result Merlin:( Starting bank 100pts Bets: 4 Strikerate: 2/4 50.0% Profit: -0.93 Current bank: 99.07 Yield: -23% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 12, 2006 Share Posted February 12, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy ...yeah! shame indeed, my money went down the swanee!Looks quite a decent strategy though as I said previously, and think that more often than not, these results will come good.I think at the moment Wycombe are going through a bad spell, so maybe they will pick up again.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 14, 2006 Author Share Posted February 14, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Well one for midweek Colchester (2nd) 1.57 v Walsall (5th bottom) Also one for Friday night Northampton v Torquay Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 14, 2006 Share Posted February 14, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy ... agree with your findings on the Colchester game, took 1.55 at Betfair earlier this afternoon.Good luck with these Matty.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 17, 2006 Author Share Posted February 17, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy shocking :-( Two for the weekend Northampton 1.60 Carlisle 1.58 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 20, 2006 Author Share Posted February 20, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Northampton won 1-0, and Carlisle thumped lowly Rushden 5-0. Missed Morecombe v Forest Green, 3-2 at 1.60 Starting bank 100pts Bets: 8 Strikerate: 5/8 62.5% Profit: -0.15 Current bank: 99.85 Yield: -1.875% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 20, 2006 Author Share Posted February 20, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Earlier on in the thread I also talked about as well as having singles, doing doubles and trebles each week/midweek depending on how many selections the system through up - last season doing doubles produced a 39% yield and doing trebles produced a 95% yield:eek After a few weeks of this now, I'll start listing the results of this season - looking good so far Doubles Week1: Liverpool/Northampton -1pt (Liverpool drew) Week2: Southend/Wycombe -1pt (Wycombe drew) Week3:Northampton (1.6)/Carlisle (1.58) +1.53(both won) Week3:Northampton (1.6)/Morecombe (1.60) +1.56 (both won) Week3:Carlisle (1.58)/Morecombe (1.60) +1.53 (both won) Starting bank 100pts Bets: 5 Strikerate: 3/5 60.0% Profit: +2.62 Current bank: 102.62 Yield: +52.4% Trebles Only the one, and it was a winner this week Northampton (1.6), Carlisle (1.58) and Morecombe (1.6) Starting bank 100pts Bets: 1 Strikerate: 1/1 100% Profit: +3.05 Current bank: 103.05 Yield: +305% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 20, 2006 Author Share Posted February 20, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy No games this midweek, but as I'm not going to be around until the weekend here are the weekend selections. Two singles and a double Chelsea (1) v Portsmouth Southend (1) v Walsall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 20, 2006 Share Posted February 20, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy .... good luck Matty, they both look sound enough at this stage.;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted February 27, 2006 Author Share Posted February 27, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Singles Chelsea 2-0 Southend 0-0:( Starting bank 100pts Bets: 9 Strikerate: 5/9 56% Profit: -1.15 Current bank: 98.85 Yield: -12.77% Doubles Chelsea/Southend:( Starting bank 100pts Bets: 6 Strikerate: 3/6 50.0% Profit: +1.62 Current bank: 101.62 Yield: +27% Trebles None this weekend Starting bank 100pts Bets: 1 Strikerate: 1/1 100% Profit: +3.05 Current bank: 103.05 Yield: +305% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted February 27, 2006 Share Posted February 27, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy ... know what you must feel like with the Southend result Matty. I had them myself in a singles bet.Must be the 'trying to impress the new manager' syndrome for Walsall, since Paul Merson got his marching orders! ;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted March 3, 2006 Author Share Posted March 3, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Sheff U v Crewe Odds of lower than 1.40 (they are 1.37) excludes them from the system tho Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted March 10, 2006 Author Share Posted March 10, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Just one for this weekend. It's on Sunday Swansea v Walsall 1.66 Game will be excluded if Colchester get a point on the Saturday and move above Swansea into 5th though Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted March 12, 2006 Author Share Posted March 12, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy Colchester lost, so the Swansea game is included Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MattyNeth Posted March 15, 2006 Author Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy bah Swansea drew. Tonight one game Liverpool v Fulham 1.42 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
merlin Posted March 15, 2006 Share Posted March 15, 2006 Re: The top vs bottom strategy .... Should be on to a winner here Matty, looks solid enough at this point. I'll be having a dip at this myself, so I fully expect to collect.Good Luck!;) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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