BBOTD 22nd July

[hereforthep]

17.15 Southwell Hi Tide - 1pt win @ sp Hi Tide wil be tough to beat here despite the penalty he won well here last month easing up near the finish showing he should have more than enough in hand to follow up at a similar level and expected to improve further over hurdles to win well

[chris34]

Re: BBOTD 22nd July 3.55 Ascot After several poor days it has certainly dampened my enthusiasm but I was always gonna have a nap bet on Keys when I saw the decs earlier in the week. He was given a potentially cocky ride by Spencer last weekend which in my opinion has caused a slightly excessive rise in the weights, he is due to go up 16lb for his win but today gets away with just a 6lb penalty and obviously should be hard to beat. He was hard on the bridle at the line and it only a guess to how much he could have won by. Admitly that was a poorish class 4 staying event and this is a step up in class but clearly has the ability to be something a little bit special potentially listed/group class. He has already shown a good level of form in bumpers winning a listed event at cheltenham and showed plenty of promise in maidens at inadequate trips and stepped upto 2mile on handicap debut and took the piss, soft ground doesnt look any problem having won on heavy ground in bumpers. Spencer keeps the ride and I would like to see him not give it quite such a cocky ride! Also gonna have a little saver on Dayia, she won a listed race on final start last season in france and ran a good enough race last time out on first run of the season over a trip that probably in the end stretched her, should find this step back in trip a positive and soft ground again no concern as she loves the mud and if she strips fitter and builds on reappearance she has to be considered. 1pt win Keys 5/4 lads