Flat Racing 12th July

[chris34]

2.40 Brighton Probably more my heart ruling my head in this one on the old boy The Tatling though that said and admitted he must hold a solid chance. Mandhooma goes well here with 6 course wins to her name but recent good efforts have come over 7f and 1mile and doesnt look in need of a switch back to 6f, also slowly creeping back up the weights another 1lb higher today and requires a career best. Another needing a career best is Bermondsey Bob and doesnt get off lightly for dead heating last time out on softer ground with a 6lb rise in the weights, has form on faster ground but has been found more at home recently in softer conditions. Another that might want safer condtions than fast ground round here at Brighton is Elsies Orphan who is relatively unexposed and won well last time out, that said that was a very weak event and on good ground and the race itself couldnt have worked out any worse with those that having run since have failed to finish closer than 5 lengths to a winner since, she certainly looks a skinny price. For me the ol Tatling looks a very reasonable price, will be well suited to the fast ground, has gone well here on 2 runs here including a CD win and he finally got back on the scoresheet after a run of creditable efforts coming with a rattling late run under Hayley at Yarmouth last time out, just as at home over 6f and 5lb rise might not stop the follow up having some solid form of similar marks over the past year or so. Hayley gets the leg up again. 1pt win The Tatling 5/1 bet365 7.30 Yarmouth You can cross Macie, Gala Spirit and Danzoe out straight away all 3 have shown very little of any worth recently. Wreningham also joins that list although he is very well treated if recapturing anything like his old spark but no sign of that recently. Paradise Place won first time up for this yard but has since just been held by the handicapper and although perhaps 1st time cheekpieces were to blame for lesser effort last time out still needs a career best at first try at taking on elders. Whiskey Junction managed to win a claimer on AW last time out but had previously been well held in handicaps and wil find this tough under a 6lb penalty although has previous form off higher marks but that was a long time ago. Bobbys Doll has improved recently bumped into the rejuvinated The Tatling before winning by 3 lrngths at Brighton in a weakish handicap, did win with plenty of authority but does also meet another potentially unexposed sort. Star Twilight has potential to go on from a promising reappearance, he recorded a decent racingpost speed figure last time out, his only win to date has come over CD off a 3lb lower mark, he is dropped 1lb since reappearance when he raced up with the pace and looked in need of the run in the final furlong should strip fitter for the run and could get a softer lead in this race than has often been the case with only Bobbys Doll the only other that may make the running. 2pts win Star Twilight 7/2 hills 9.10 Southwell Elusive Warrior has done nearly all his winning round here but has long been out of form and looked very one paced recently and although that is probably exageratted on this surface he still doesnt look a winner waiting to happen and is held on recent run behind Ubenkor and Jonnie Skull. This Ones For Eddy won with some in hand at wolves on penultimate start went up 3lb for that effort but was slightly disappointing in a slightly stronger race over the same CD. Has run well here before including 2 wins and is still well in on old form winning off a 9lb higher mark over CD 2 years ago but last time out effort was defenetily not enough to take this. Ubenkor is held by Jonnie Skull who has been running well of late over CD, up another 1lb for last time outs 2nd but again looks a very short price probably because of the 'Dousa' factor at the moment and I just couldnt have him at 2/1. For me Bonnie Prince Blue looks a massive price having shown a real sign of a return to form last time out having generally struggled for his new yard recently. Was totally outpaced most of the race behind Equuleus Pictor when badly drawn in stall 13 over 6f last time out but finished like a bullet train which is not easy to do on this surface and another 50yards and he would have won comfortably and if he can repeat that over this furlong extra he has to have a solid chance. Same jockey gets the ride today after giving him a never say never ride last time out, 4lb below last handicap win and jockey takes off the handy 5lb looks well treated and must go well in a smaller field and better drawn. 3pt win Bonnie Prince Blue 5/1 bet365

[richard-westwood]

Re: Flat Racing 12th July 1.30 bev: king of swords has a lot in his favour today ....nice draw ,good jockey and marginally comes out top on adjusted speed ratings at 130 but 11/4 is a little short with the presence of greek secret 15/2 skybet who himself is no pushover .....greek secret ran a 126 lto so has a tiny bit to find with the fav and draw 7 isnt brilliant either but is clear 2nd rated and ran that time first time up so could naturally improve a fair bit today and daryl holland i have a lot of time for as hes a great jockey to have on board .looks a solid e.w bet and if he can overcome the slight draw worry could run well 2pts e.w