DC Posted September 30, 2011 Author Share Posted September 30, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) a couple of races for Friday 2:40 Fontwell (3) 3:05 Hexham (4) except Outlaw Tom (p) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 1, 2011 Author Share Posted October 1, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Khorun lost 9.16 -1.62pts [url=http://form.horseracing.betfair.com/form/horse/1/00296362]Dystonia's Revenge lost 28.00 (outlaw tom no bet) -1.62pts Summary Bets 107 Wins 19 Win SR 17% Staked 133.33pts Net profit +59.52pts Yield +44% Bank 159.52pts Next bet/s 1.62pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 2, 2011 Author Share Posted October 2, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Races to note today: 2:15 Uttoxeter (4) 3:00 Huntingdon (5) Except Max Bygraves (p) 3:55 Kelso (4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 3, 2011 Author Share Posted October 3, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) 2:15 Uttoxeter both rags lost -3.24pts 3:00 Huntingdon 5 ran no bets 3:55 Kelso both rags lost -3.24pts Summary Bets 111 Wins 19 Win SR 17% Staked 139.81pts Net profit +53.04pts Yield +38% Bank 153.04pts Next bet/s 1.62pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 3, 2011 Author Share Posted October 3, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Monday 3:40 Leicester (3) 3:50 Southwell (4) 4:10 Leicester (4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 5, 2011 Author Share Posted October 5, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Tuesday - a few possible races today 2:20 Towcester (5) 2:40 Ludlow (5) ignore 2 & 3 if NR/s 2:50 Towcester (5) ignore 2 if NR/s 3;50 Towcester (4) 5:00 Nottingham (5) 5:20 Towcester (5) ignore 4 & 5 if NR/s Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 5, 2011 Author Share Posted October 5, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) A couple of short price winners keeps my head above water :) Monday Tidal Way lost 6.60 (3 ran) -1.62 Deraasa WON 5.00, Tricksofthetrade lost +4.54 Franciscan WON 4.10, Quiz Mistress lost +3.15 Tuesday Living Proof lost 3.68 (3 ran) -1.62 Reg's Ruby WON 4.40 (ignored no 2) +5.23 Small Fly lost 16.50 (3 ran) -1.62 Monopolize lost 4.20, Munaawib lost 85! -3.24 +4.82 Summary Bets 121 Wins 22 Win SR 18% Staked 156.01pts Net profit +57.86pts Yield +37% Bank 157.86pts Next bet/s still 1.62pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 7, 2011 Author Share Posted October 7, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Friday 2:20 Newton Abbot (4) 2:55 Newton Abbot (5) 4:40 Newton Abbot (5) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 8, 2011 Author Share Posted October 8, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Saturday 2:10 Hexham (5) 4:10 Chepstow (4) 4:30 Hexham (4) Ignore Misty Cloud 5:05 Hexham (5) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted October 9, 2011 Author Share Posted October 9, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+25% Yield after 100 bets) Results Rainy Champion lost 8.43, Drawn Free lost 30.08 Micheal Flips lost 12.06, Le Corvee lost 107.58 Ifonlyalfie lost 5.73, Misty Cloud ignored -8.1 points Summary Bets 126 Wins 22 Win SR 17% Staked 164.11pts Net profit +49.76pts Yield +30% Bank 149.76pts Will have to leave this thread for now. Need a break. Will return soon. Cheers DC Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 1, 2011 Author Share Posted November 1, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) thread on hold OK time to pick this one up again after a brief break. Some small fields at Warwick tomorrow: Weds 2nd November 1:40 Warwick (5) 2:45 Warwick (4) 3:20 Warwick (5) 3:50 Warwick (5) No bets unless 3 or 4 run. If 3 run, back the rank outsider; if 4 run, back the 2 biggest prices on Betfair. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
THE % MAN Posted November 2, 2011 Share Posted November 2, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) thread on hold OK time to pick this one up again after a brief break. Some small fields at Warwick tomorrow: Weds 2nd November 1:40 Warwick (5) 2:45 Warwick (4) 3:20 Warwick (5) 3:50 Warwick (5) No bets unless 3 or 4 run. If 3 run, back the rank outsider; if 4 run, back the 2 biggest prices on Betfair. Theirs now doubt you will find winners in the coming months and unlucky not to restart yesterday when a 16/1 shot won in a 3 horse race. Their are some courses were this happens a lot more than others and overall the thread should end up well in profit. One also as to realise as I'm sure you do LONG LOSING RUNS will occur but it does happen more than many realise. Great to see its back and no doubt well researched Tony Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 3, 2011 Author Share Posted November 3, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Thanks Tony, in all honesty the 16/1 shot wouldn't have been a race I'd have played in. Let's hope you're right and the winners continue to come up... onto today and one possible race.... 1:50 Towcester (5) Stake/s still 1.62pts Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 3, 2011 Author Share Posted November 3, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) No bets today Weds results 1:40 Warwick no bets 5 ran 2:45 Warwick Cardigan Island lost 29 Apache Dawn lost 55 3:20 Warwick Monbeg Dude lost 4.40 Chuckery lost 8.20 3:50 Warwick no bets 5 ran -6.48pts Summary Bets 130 Wins 22 Win SR 16.9% Staked 170.59pts Net profit +43.28pts Yield +25% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 4, 2011 Author Share Posted November 4, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Friday 1:50 Fontwell (3) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 6, 2011 Author Share Posted November 6, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Sunday 2:05 Ffos Las (5) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 6, 2011 Author Share Posted November 6, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Monday 1:10 Southwell (4) not Mickytaker or Gerrard 1:30 Hereford (3) 3:10 Hereford (5) not Western Whisky 3:55 Southwell (5) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 8, 2011 Author Share Posted November 8, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Tuesday 1:40 Lingfield (5) not Witch's Hat or Just Playful 2:40 Lingfield (4) not Road Train Bob 2:50 Huntingdon (4) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted November 8, 2011 Author Share Posted November 8, 2011 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Not updated for a while here are the results from Friday: Way Back When lost 5.57 Von Galen lost 4.63 Western Pride lost 7.99 Aeronautica lost 8.15 Nosecond Chance lost 12.24 Summary Bets 135 Wins 22 Win SR 16.3% Staked 178.69pts Net profit +35.18pts Yield +19.7% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegooser1 Posted January 11, 2012 Share Posted January 11, 2012 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) This looks like a great little system, mainly because it can all be automated. Is there anyway to "back test" it? For example going through all of the races with 3 or 4 runners over the last year or so, and extracting the odds, and results? Also, now that you have made 135 bets, would you tweek this or put extra conditions in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DC Posted January 23, 2012 Author Share Posted January 23, 2012 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) Hi gooser, I back tested it over 7 years and every year made a profit. It's impossible for me to run these days as I can't get on when there's a late NR etc so had to end it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thegooser1 Posted January 23, 2012 Share Posted January 23, 2012 Re: Outsiders (+30% Yield after 126 bets) And did you split the two bets up and get different results? By that I mean do you know the back tested results for backing the outsider in the 3 horse race seperatly for backing the two outsiders in a 4 horse race. I would imagine that the results were different. Like I say, I could run a system like this automatically using some software that I have. Don't supose you have any thoughts on USA and RSA racing? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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