gettingfatter Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Obviously the divisional dog system goes out of the window for the next 3 games and I have been looking for interleague trends and stats. AL crush, up until last year where they still won 52.5% of the games but basically broke even. Not sure what angle to look at this from tbh. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gettingfatter Posted May 20, 2011 Author Share Posted May 20, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague okay, it seems as though big home dogs do well, as have AL dogs and small AL home favourites. These seem pretty low variance angles to approach the interleague this season from. I have also looked at interleague records for various pitchers and made two picks on that basis. CLE @ evns - Home 'dog' AL KC @ 2.17 - Home dog AL LAA @ 2.07 - Home dog AL SF @ 2.06 - Priced in, dont really see why they are a dog here. PIT @ 2.17 - Priced in TEX @ 2.55 - Priced in, Halladays record isnt amazing in interleague Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGurv Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague MLB Overall 2011 56-43 +8.68 units (56.56%) Tampa Bay +138 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes Giants +102 to bet 1 unit @ 5dimes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iamblichos Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague Well, for tonight i will probably make a selection from following games /will look closer for statistics, but these matches catch my eyes/ Yankees to beat Mets Red Sox to beat Cubs White Sox to beat Dodgers Angels to beat Braves Marlins to beat Rays and finally Athletics to beat Giants Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted May 20, 2011 Share Posted May 20, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague Had a few days off to get my wits back ... see if interleague is any better. Florida -1.5 @ 2.47 pinnacle Sanchez is 3-1, with a 2.90 ERA and is 3-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last 5 starts as he has allowed just 5 hits in beating Washington in his last 2 starts. he faced Tampa Bay last year, and though he allowed 4 runs, he got plenty of run support as Florida won 14-9 last June. They tend to do well in interleague play and like them to hit Sonnanstine who is 0-1, with a 3.92 ERA in 2 starts this season. He allowed 4 runs on 8 hits in the 9-3 loss to Baltimore last Sunday, and though he has gone 3-0 with a 3.09 ERA in 4 starts against Florida, he has not faced them for a couple of years. Also in this matchup, TB will be disadvantaged having to go with one less bat. Detroit -1.5 @ 2.47 pinnacle Penny is 4-3, with a 4.11 ERA for the season but has won his last 3 starts with a very low 0.83 ERA as he allowed 5 hits in the 3-0 win against Kansas last Saturday. He is 3-0 with a 2.78 ERA in his last 6 starts against Pittsburgh and while they go in with one less bat, they face Karstens who not won his last 4 starts even though he has a decent 3.38 ERA in those games. He allowed 2 runs in the 8-2 loss to Milwaukee last Saturday, and did face Detroit last June, where he allowed 2 runs in the 4-3 loss to them. Hard to ignore the form of Penny and believe he will close down this offence, while Detroit is capable of getting a few runs off Karstens here. Toronto - Houston over 9.5 @ 2.07 pinnacle Reyes is 0-3, with a 4.75 ERA as he allowed 3 runs on 10 hits in the 9-3 win over Minnesota. Houston tend to hit LHP quite well, and with an extra bat, can see them continue his poor performances over the last few years, as he has not won an of his starts over the last 3 years. Rodriguez is 0-2, with a 6.26 ERA as he allowed 7 runs while walking 4 in the 7-4 loss to the NY Mets. Now he faces Bautista who has been bombing the ball all over the place, like last year, and can see Rodriguez get hit here. Kansas - St Louis over 9.5 @ 2.18 pinnacle Francis is 0-5, with a 4.83 ERA and allowed 5 hits in the 3-0 loss at Detroit last Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA in 8 starts against St Louis but they do have Puyols who enjoys playing against them, and with an extra bat, this Cadinals line up can score runs. Carpenter has not showed any of his old form as he is 1-3, with a 4.95 ERA this year as he allowed 8 runs on 9 hits in the 9-7 loss at Cincinnati last Sunday. His record is not much in 28 interleague starts, going 10-10 with a 4.49 ERA, while his road form has been poor. Can see Kansas scoring a few here also to send it over. Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ 2.43 pinnacle Humber is 3-3, with a 3.18 ERA) as he allowed 3 runs in the 403 win over Oakland, and with the bats starting to heat up, can see him getting some run support, as the White Sox tend to do well in interleague games. Lilly is 3-4, with a 4.83 ERA and is 1-2 with a 5.50 ERA in his last 3 starts. Though he has pitched well against the CWS in the past, he may not get much run support here, as the Dodgers bats have gone cold. Arizona -1.5 @ 2.46 pinnacle Kennedy is 4-1, with a 3.05 ERA and has won 3 of his last 6 starts with a low 1.50 ERA to go with it, as he has allowed just 1 run on 8 hits in his last 2 starts. Duensing on the other hand, is 2-3, with a 4.61 ERA and has lost his last 3 starts with a high 7.50 ERA as he allowed 7 runs on 8 hits in the 11-3 loss to Toronto on Sunday. With Duening's struggles, can see the bats scoring a few off him here to set up another win for the home side, who have won 6 of their last 8 at home. Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.65 pinnacle Hudson is 4-3, with a 3.03 ERA and is 2-1 with a 2.91 ERA in his last 3 road starts. He is 13-6 with a 3.49 ERA in 24 starts vs the Angels, and though his over all record in interleague is poor, he did go 1-2 but with a much lower 2.86 ERA last year. Hudson is coming off allowing 2 runs in the 3-2 win over Philadelphia on Sunday and will like his chances fo doing well here against a LA side that has struggled to hit of late. They send Santana to the mound and he is 1-4, with a 4.85 ERA as he allowed 4 runs in the 5-4 loss to Texas last Sunday. He is 8-6 with a 4.60 ERA in 18 interleague starts, and allowed 6 runs and 9 hits in his only start against Atlanta, 3 years ago. With an extra bat, like this good hitting Braves line up to score some runs for Hudson here. May picks: 22-50 (-22.32) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackcrow Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague Florida -1.5 @ 2.47 :D Detroit -1.5 @ 2.47 :eyes Toronto - Houston over 9.5 @ 2.07 :eyes Kansas - St Louis over 9.5 @ 2.18 :eyes Chicago White Sox -1.5 @ 2.43 :eyes Bullpen blows Arizona -1.5 @ 2.46 :spank Bullpen blows the run line Atlanta -1.5 @ 2.65 :eyes Rut continues with pitchers still going against their recent form May picks: 23-56 (-24.85) April picks: 45-56 (+2.52) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
phil85 Posted May 21, 2011 Share Posted May 21, 2011 Re: MLB 20/05/11 - interleague okay, it seems as though big home dogs do well, as have AL dogs and small AL home favourites. These seem pretty low variance angles to approach the interleague this season from. I have also looked at interleague records for various pitchers and made two picks on that basis. CLE @ evns - Home 'dog' AL KC @ 2.17 - Home dog AL LAA @ 2.07 - Home dog AL SF @ 2.06 - Priced in, dont really see why they are a dog here. PIT @ 2.17 - Priced in TEX @ 2.55 - Priced in, Halladays record isnt amazing in interleague :clap :clap good stuff! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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