Fair or not fair ?

[ChrisB]

Hello everyone, I read some systems to determinate valuebets. But why it's not interesting to trusth books about odds calculating. bookmaker use powerful algo for major leagues, their estimations are correct. Ok, books adjust a little pre-opening odds to equlibrate the future weight of money. But apart this, the opening odds of majors bookies are fairs. an example to determinate value bet. average books opening odds : 2.50 - 3.20 -2.50 (36% - 28% - 36%) average books closing odds : 2.20 - 3.40 - 2.80 ( 41% -26% - 32%) value should be 2.80 (+8.9% from the opening odd). In conclusion, fair estimation can be found with books opening odds. This is my point of view. I would like to know what do you thhink guys ? Sorry fo my english. Thank you for your comments and point of views. :)

[v-zero]

Re: Why values bets are not determined like this ? Not all odds are fair, the assumption that the bookies are amazing at calculating fair odds is inaccurate.