si1965 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Just an idea at the moment, so I thought I would start a thread here to track it's progress. Basically I will be selecting matches where the bookies price up the home and away side equally. I will be tracking the success of backing the away side and also a separate bank taking the X2 more conservative option. Bets will be 10% of bank and I will generally try and get best odds available. My first selection for the weekend: Middlesbrough v QPR QPR @ 2.75 (VCBet) QPR or Draw @ 1.44 (Bet365) Bank A (Away) / Bank B (Double Chance) Starting Bank = 100 / 100 Current bank = 90 / 90 Total staked = 10 / 10 Number of bets = 1 / 1 Winning bets = 0 / 0 Losing bets = 0 / 0 Strike rate = 0% / 0% Yield = 0% / 0% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Re: Too close to call There is a second match that fits the criteria this weekend: Doncaster v Watford Watford @ 2.75 (VCBet) Watford or Draw @ 1.5 (Bet365) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted February 27, 2011 Author Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Too close to call Always good to start on a winning note. As soon as Watford went down to 10 men I knew the win was probably out of reach, but at least the draw counts for Bank B. Bank A Bank B Starting Bank 100 100 Current bank 108.5 108.9 Total staked 19 19 Number of bets 2 2 Winning bets 1 2 Losing bets 1 0 Strike rate 50% 100% Yield 45% 47% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted February 27, 2011 Author Share Posted February 27, 2011 Re: Too close to call Got a selection for midweek: 1st March League 2 Lincoln City v Oxford United Oxford @ 2.75 (VCBet) Oxford - Draw @ 1.5 (PaddyPower) Both stake 11 points (10% of bank rounded to nearest whole number) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 11, 2011 Author Share Posted March 11, 2011 Re: Too close to call This is the situation after the Lincoln Citry home win. Bank A Bank B Starting Bank 100 100 Current bank 97.7 98.0 Total staked 30 30 Number of bets 3 3 Winning bets 1 2 Losing bets 2 1 Strike rate 33% 67% Yield -8% -7% Unfortunately due to the site problems last week I couldn't post my selection (Newcastle v Everton) In the interests of fairness I will ignore last week so this weekend there is again one selection, once again I am opposing Lincoln: Lincoln City v Southend Southend @ 2.7 (StanJames) Southend or Draw @ 1.5 (StanJames) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 13, 2011 Author Share Posted March 13, 2011 Re: Too close to call Southend come back from a goal down to earn a draw. Bank B looking healthier. Bank A Bank B Starting Bank 100 100 Current bank 87.9 103.2 Total staked 40 40 Number of bets 4 4 Winning bets 1 3 Losing bets 3 1 Strike rate 25% 75% Yield -30% 8% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 17, 2011 Author Share Posted March 17, 2011 Re: Too close to call Nothing fits the model for this weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 24, 2011 Author Share Posted March 24, 2011 Re: Too close to call Dropping down to the BlueSq Premier this weekend. Mansfield Town v Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminister @ 2.92 (Pinnacle) Kidderminster +0.5 @ 1.59 (Pinnacle) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 26, 2011 Author Share Posted March 26, 2011 Re: Too close to call Kidderminster oblige with a 2-1 victory :beer Bank A Bank B Starting Bank 100 100 Current bank 105.4 108.8 Total staked 49 50 Number of bets 5 5 Winning bets 2 4 Losing bets 3 1 Strike rate 40% 80% Yield 11% 18% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 29, 2011 Author Share Posted March 29, 2011 Re: Too close to call A midweek pick north of the border... East Fife v Ayr Utd Ayr Utd @ 2.62 (Pinnacle) Ayr Utd or Draw @ 1.53 (SkyBet) Both stake = 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
si1965 Posted March 30, 2011 Author Share Posted March 30, 2011 Re: Too close to call Lost 3-2 :( Bank A Bank B Starting Bank 100 100 Current bank 94.8 97.9 Total staked 60 61 Number of bets 6 6 Winning bets 2 4 Losing bets 4 2 Strike rate 33% 67% Yield -9% -3% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.