Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 1:00 Newbury 40 points @ 9/4 (sky) Line Freedom

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

2:10 Newbury 23 points @ 10/1 (b365) Sound Stage 19 points @ 10/1 (b365) Thetwincamdrift

saver: 19 points @ 9/4 (corals) Zarrafakt

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

Given that he said a while back he got stuck into 16/1 I think it was' date=' I doubt it. Has been honest and up-front with everyone about the horse since before the GC. Let everyone know that IC and Khyber were in 'sparkling form' and would run huge races. Do think though that if he does miss the KG, and goes straight to Chelt, it'll be disappointing to see such a horse out only twice though.[/quote'] I have no doubt there is quite a doubt about IC running, but for him to say it is as clear cut as that is wrong (imo). Otherwise the horse would already be 50/1 on betfair. Where as since he's given his "long odds-on" opinion the price has come down from 14/1 to 17/2.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

Judging by betfair BKI, that does not ring true. He's now shorter than he was this morning. Why should the horse be shortening if he's "long odds-on to miss Kempton"? Could it be an owner is over-playing an injury, to get a better price. Then say "he's made a much quicker recovery than we thought he would". Assistant trainer Carl lewellyn was quite optimistic yesterday. 2:10 Newbury 23 points @ 10/1 (b365) Sound Stage 19 points @ 10/1 (b365) Thetwincamdrift 19 points @ 9/4 © Zarrafakt

Got to do another saver: 3 points @ 27/1 Nostringsattached further 1 point @ 9/4 © Zarrafakt

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

1:00 Newbury 40 points @ 9/4 (sky) Line Freedom

Saver: 6 points @ 7/1 (SJ) Sparky May

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 1:00 Newbury Alverstone won easily last time when upped from 2m to 3m in taking style. Now goes back 3 furlongs and did not beat much there. I make him favourite, but only just. Line Freedom was not as impressive in winning, but should appreciate a step up in trip. Stable must have many novices they could choose from for this meeting. Sparky May has progressed this season with front running tactics and comes from a stable bang in form.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 3:15 Tell Massini could be anything, but his pre-match antics make him opposable. Can get above himself in the prelims. The two with no chasing experience were good enough hurdlers and are built to do better over fences. And Voramar Two looked to be given an easy introduction to the bigger obstacles, again should be a better chaser than hurdler. The bet though is outsider Swincombe Rock, his Perth form looks very good, though not so smart last time. If he can put experience to his advantage and improve a little... 12/1 looks too big each way (first 2).

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 2:10 Newbury Zarrafakt is a worthy favourite, won only chase start (handicap) in effortless style. But did make a mistake or two and was never the best lepper of smaller obstacles. This larger field may cause him a few problems. Prince Greeno hasn't had any fencing experience, yet is second favourite. Unseen since December last year. Fair hurdles form, but needs to be better over fences at first attempt. Poor value. Thetwincamdrift is another with little experience (one chase run when making mistakes). Last year was a poor one for Kingy, this term has started better. Thetwincamdrift was well thought of prior to 09/10, 8^th in Spa hurdle. Prefer it to be over another couple of furlongs, but at a double figure price is worth chancing. Sound Stage is (imo) even better value at the same price. 4^th in a Cheltenham conditional jockeys hurdle last time. Progressive when last seen over fences, this 7 year old is built to keep on improving for some time yet. Probably only the price he is due to the little known (but capable) trainer. Sir Ian comes from one of the best young trainers around in Charlie Longsdon, who's in great form. Sir Ian could improve again, but no longer looks well handicapped. Might also be taken on for the lead by Buffalo Bob who is a very similar type, along with Flemmish Invader. Nostringsattached has a chance on form for his in form trainer/jockey, but does not find much off the bridle. This looks too competitive for him. Or Bleu seems inconsistent these days. Regal Heights used to be a genuine handicapper, well handicapped at best, but raced as if something was hurting last season. The Vicar is a dog, again well handicapped at best, just very unlikely to give it.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 2:45 Rajamand deserves respect, fell at the last last time when in with a chance. Step up in trip should suit, but there is a chance the fall might have unsettled him. Full Of Joy ran well last time and connections think a quick reappearance is worth it. Has more improvement in him and stable in cracking form. Nobby Kivambo is progressive and might be able to steel this from the front if Frosted Grape (another possible prominent runner) jumps poorly again. Vagrant Emporer has not run for some time but looks well handicapped. Market support is (I hope) a guide to his fitness. From the brillisnt Emma Lavelle stable who has a remarkable strike rate this season. Ballycracken, Foynes Island, What An Oscar and Simply Wings are other possible improvers in with a chance. Sorry, no more time to go in to things...:ok

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Will do a p/l after the Newbury Festival. One winner, one saver from four races today. 1:35 Newbury 52 points @ 4/1 (vc) Barafundle

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 2:45 Newbury 42 points @ 11/4 (SJ) Matuhi 6 points @ 54/1 (betfair) Perse Rock 6 points @ 8/1 (FD) Call Me A Legend

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 10 points @ 11/2 (SJ) Cotswold Charmer 3 points @ 37/1 (betfair) Estates Recovery

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Above bet savers for Barafundle in the 1:35.:ok

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 1:35 Newbury Buena Vista ran well over fences at Wincanton, possibly slightly flattered by racing at or near the slow pace. Very best form is at Cheltenham and on good ground (may be being prepared for repeat Festival bid). Racing Demon Ran well when second last time, not getting any younger, isn't that consistent and stable could do with being in better form. Oscar Park was never in good form last year over fences. Well handicapped on very best form (years ago) but now almost 12 years old. Quickbeam ran an awful race on reappearance. Asking him to improve enough to beat an exceptionally well handicapped horse is asking too much. Races prominently. Barafundle finished second to Grands Crus at Haydock, beat the rest easily after travelling well for a long way. This is a quick reappearance, but if in the same form will be difficult to beat. If he had longer to get over that run I'd make him a 13/8 to 7/4 shot. Similar conditions, may not be quite as soft today. Carries head high but seems genuine and has won his share of races. Galaxy Rock took a bad fall over fences last time. If over that stands a chance for his in form yard if the fav is below par. Markington ran well enough last time but rarely puts it all in, inconsistent. National Trust non-runner. Gala Evening stands a chance on the book (again if fav is below form) but (if memory serves) trainer is yet to have a winner, most running poorly. Mostly Bob is interesting, weakened late last time (2m4f) possibly down to fitness. Unexposed and could improve. Best form so far on a sound surface though did win a bumper on heavy. Miss Overdrive ran well before rider fell off at the last. Is a bit temperamental. Estates Recovery might be one at a price. Not jumped fences at all well and reverts to hurdling. Showed improvement when last seen over hurdles and is worthy of at least a saver at massive price. Cotswold charmer is the one that could give the favourite a race. Improved last time despite not having the race run to suit. Lightly raced and more progress virtually certain, but needs to find a good bit more to trouble a spot on Barafundle. Saver bet. 100% book: Barafundle 5/2, Cotswold Charmer 5/1, Master Bob 10/1, Galaxy Rock 14/1, Racing Demon 14/1, Estates recovery 14/1, Buena Vista 15/1, Miss Overdrive 20/1, Gala Evening 25/1, Markington 28/1, Quickbeam 33/1, Oscar Park 33/1.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Hennessey I've got bets on Weird Al and (unfortunately) China Rock. But here's a saver: 8 points @ 8/1 © Diamond Harry

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

2:45 Newbury 42 points @ 11/4 (SJ) Matuhi 6 points @ 54/1 (betfair) Perse Rock 6 points @ 8/1 (FD) Call Me A Legend

Matuhi won so well, improved form for new connections (Pipe), will probably improve again. Rivaliste is on a sharper track than last time and may not have the speed. Suntini has an excellant record fresh, should run well but difficult to see him improving much. First Point poorly handicapped on fences form, fair if can run up to hurdles. Passato and Fighting Chance have lost their form. Peplum runs for new connections but too slow. Call Me A legend I've saved on, but has been injured (cracked pelvis). Market drift suggests not ready. Aigle D'Or thrown in on hurdles/Greatwood form, but shown little since, market support could be significant to his chance. Perse Rock ruins his chance with jumping problems, but if (big IF) jumps ok is worth taking a chance on at massive price.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 12:25 Newbury 12 points each way @ 16/1 (vc) Nearby 25 points @ Evens (WH) Binocular

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Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 2:00 Newbury 38 points @ 7/2 (VC) Tocca Ferro 20 points @ 15/2 (WH) Stormy Weather 7 points @ 9/1 (PP) Advisor 5 points @ 14/1 (PP) Rebel Dancer

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 3:40 Newbury 23 points @ 10/1 (L) Mount Oscar 20 points @ 13/2 (VC) Pasco 7 points @ 13/2 (B365) Prince De Beauchene

[Dtrains]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Ginge great price on Barafundle (4/1) early bird catches the worm it would seem:clap

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Yes, Dtrains, It is very satisfying to work a horse out as a 5/2 (29%) chance, back it @ 4's, and see it tumble all the way down to 2/1. If you add a "bookies mark up to my 100% price of 5/2, 29% + 3% = 32% = 85/40. Pretty close to the SP of 2/1. :cow :nana

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Write up now contains my 100% book. Figure in () is my price plus a bookies mark up. Number after the write up is position in my book (betting) 1st to 18 runners. Hennessey Cognac Gold Cup 3m2f110y Handicap Chase Newbury A third Hennessey for Denman would be historic, will be cheering him on to do so. With only eight horses carrying their correct weight, you'd thimk this an uncompetitive race. It is not. There are many out of the weights capable of improvement. 14.25% 6/1 (5/1) Denman 10 11-12: One of the top 20 chasers ever seen. A big brute who runs rivals in to submission. Due to be reunited with Gold Cup winning jockey Sam Thomas. Showed he was as good as ever in this last year, but probably not firing when fell in Aon Chase. Not far below best in the Gold Cup. Capable of running well fresh, a lot seems to depend on what Denman looks like in the paddock. In cracking shape before the Hennessey and (reportedly) well at Cheltenham. To me, disappointed walking around before the Aon, dull in coat and unenthusiastic. Although very genuine once racing, has some quirks. Sometimes proving difficult at the start. It wouldn't be the biggest surprise to see this well loved horse plant himself one day. In just over a month's time Denman will be 11 years old, most of that age are on the downgrade, certainly unlikely to improve. At around 4/1 hardly represents value, but may well shorten up further with public interest. 2 5% 20/1 (14/1) Neptunes Collonges 9 10-8: One of Denman's stable companions; dropped significantly in the weights for his absence, not seen since Gold Cup day 2009. Suffered a tendon injury there when a disappointing fourth, 8 ½ lengths behind Denman. Beat Notre Pere (then top class) 5 lengths in Irish Hennessey (Grade 1). Best on a soft surface. If fully fit and injury hasn't taken its toll (quite big Ifs) looks well handicapped. 7 4% 25/1 (18/1) Taranis 9 10-4: Another Nicholls runner, lightly raced and prone to injury, but has an exceptional record fresh. Won Cotswold Chase by 6 lengths, getting 6lbs from second Carruthers. On the face of it that looks good form. For that to be the case you must believe Joe Lively, who gave Taranis 10lbs and beaten only 7 ¼ lengths, produced his only good run in two years. 10 3.25% 28/1 (20/1) Madison Du Berlais 9 10-1: Ex-winner of the race, but although only nine seems on the decline. Below par on all starts last term and looks of doubtful temperament. Flattered second in King George, running on to beat some who chased winner. Also distant third behind Kauto Star in Betfair Chase in 09. Second, down in grade over hurdles on reappearance after making most. Possibly best when able to dominate from the front these days. 11 0.5% 200/1 (66/1) Barbers Shop 8 10-0: Fourth in this last year, but poor win to run ratio which betrays a dodgy mind. Travelled well in his races last season, good distant third to Kauto Star in King George. Refused to put it all in in Charlie Hall. 15 2.75% 33/1 (22/1) Silver By Nature 8 10-0: Could be one to keep an eye on this season. One of the most progressive chasers in 09/10. Unlucky second in Welsh National and winner of Blue Square Gold Cup in tremendous fashion by 15 lengths. Has since had a chipped bone in a knee, not thought to be a serious injury. Those performances were over further than this and will probably need very soft ground (which is unlikely) to bring abundant stamina in to play. 12 6.75% 14/1 (11/1) Carruthers 7 10-0 (9-13): More consistent than overall form suggests given a prominent position and give in the ground. Unable to dictate when beaten by Taranis in Cotswold Chase last term. Unlucky to be pipped for third in Gold Cup. Taking first two on up front and beaten by one coming from way back. Unable to achieve his normal prominent position when well beaten on reappearance. Part owned by Lord Oaksey and from the small yard of his son-in-law. Carruthers would look over-priced if it's soft enough for him. 6 1.5% 66/1 (40/1) The Tother One 9 10-0 (9-12): Should be suited by the trip, but has two ways of running. Best form early in the season. Even so looks ungenuine with a poor win to run ratio. Four lengths second to Nacarat in eight runner Charlie Hall on reappearance, racing with a high head carriage. Not sure to do as well in much larger field if taking his chance. 14 11% 8/1 (13/2) Burton Port 6 10-0 (9-10): Another second season Nicky Henderson / Trevor Hemmings Hennessey winner? Placed in RSA, staying on after pushed along some way out, doing best of stable's three runners. An increased test should play to his strengths. Also won two other top novices, Reynoldstown and Mildmay. Does not look especially well handicapped, but young enough to improve. Has winning knack, just doing enough. Gerraghty might yet to do the weight. 4 13% 13/2 (5/1) Diamond Harry 7 10-0 (9-10): Exceptional record fresh, never been beaten first time out, should see him run well here. Certainly well handicapped on hurdles form. Could yet improve over fences. Two wins over larger obstacles (including here) before disappointing in RSA at Cheltenham, making mistakes. Best on a soft surface. Sometimes gives the impression he's quirky, but has a good win to run ratio. Usual pilot Timmy Murphy probably now able to take the ride as Newcastle is off. Sometimes hangs left and Timmy seems at pains to keep to the rail. Which is often not ideal in a finish at Newbury. 3 16.5% 5/1 (4/1) Weird Al 7 10-0 (9-10): Genuine unbeaten chaser. Won three novice chases, looking a serious RSA candidate before a small fracture in front leg cut season short. Raced only on a soft surface. Dead-heated with Little Josh on reappearance, who franked the form in no uncertain terms winning the Paddy Power. Weird Al made up a lot of ground late on, just getting up to share the prize at Carlisle over an inadequate trip of 2 ½ miles. Did finish very tired there and yet to run in a big field. Provided he does not bounce, looks well weighted despite 4lbs out of the handicap. Paddy Brennen probably rides. 1 4.5% 20/1 (15/1) Big Fella Thanks 8 10-0 (9-9) Changed stables from Nicholls to Ferdy Murphy, but seems as good as ever judging by second on reappearance. However, gave the race away after looking the winner. Like he tried to do at Newbury last term. Looked likely to hack up before badly idling. At least those tendencies make him difficult for the handicapper to get a handle on. Twice looked well handicapped in Grand National but failed to stay. This trip should be within his compass. Not one to bet win only. 9 0.2% 500/1 (125/1) Dream Alliance 9 10-0 (9-9) Lightly raced, poor jumping out and out stayer. Won last years Welsh National with a better than usual round of jumping, only significant error at the last. 11 lengths second to Denman in his first Hennessey back in 07 and now 7lbs worse off with that rival. 17 2% 50/1 (33/1) Niche Market 9 10-0 (9-6) Uncharacteristic mistakes before falling on reappearance / first start for Nicholls stable, who need to get some improvement out of this seemingly exposed runner. Favourite; did not get in to his usual prominent position at Wincanton, or when disappointed in Grand National. May jump better up with the pace. Over 7 lengths third to Denman (on same terms) in last years Hennessey for Bob Buckler after disappointing run in same Badger Beers race. Just touched off in AON Chase so clearly goes well at Newbury. Best on going no softer than good-soft. 13 9% 10/1 (8/1) Pandorama 7 10-0 (9-6): Progressive and prolific, lightly raced Irish chaser. Found to have blood in nose at start on intended reappearance, favourite at time of withdrawl. Kept to a soft surface, obviously fragile and now unraced for 11 months, reportedly due to muscle problems. Won two of Ireland's best novice chases before his enforced leave and clearly has potential for improvement. 5 5.2% 18/1 (14/1) Hey Big Spender 7 10-0 (9-8): 6lbs out of the handicap. Good jumper up until bad mistake and unseating in Jewson Novices Handicap at Cheltenham Festival. Going well at the time. Then fell at Aintree only other start in 09/10. Few minor mistakes on reappearance at Carlisle. Pulling quite hard yet stayed on to beat Big Fella Thanks a length off same terms as here. Probably helped by that rival idling badly when seemingly sure to win. Hey Big Spender has scope for further improvement if jumping consistently and settling better. Although acts on soft going, good ground might help slightly suspect stamina. 8 0.4% 250/1 (80/1) Razor Royale 8 10-0 (9-4): Racing Post winner, beat Nacarat a neck in receipt of 17lbs. Remote 4^th in Scottish Grand National, failed to stay 4 miles and weakened 11^th of 12 finishers (mistakes) over 1 furlong less than Hennessey trip. Inconsistent and can look unwilling. 10 lbs out of the handicap here. Unlikely starter judged by Betfair price and stable jockey riding Weird Al. 16 0.2% 500/1 (125/1) Hills Of Aran 8 10-0 (9-3): Winner of two novice chases in summer of 09 before injury. Returned over hurdles and respectable 5^th at Haydock (fixed brush) 30 lengths behind Grand Crus last week. Run well with two races in quick succession. Difficult to know just how much chasing ability retains and others look better handicap (11lbs out of the weights). Yet to prove himself over this trip. 18 Already advised: 23 points @ 8/1 Weird Al 16 points @ 20/1 China Rock 8 points @ 8/1 Diamond Harry Another one: 12 points @ (best odds in pricewise box) Carruthers

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

12:25 Newbury 12 points each way @ 16/1 (vc) Nearby 25 points @ Evens (WH) Binocular

Binny has by far the best form. If he runs to that Champion performance will win. Starluck has the most speed and if it ends up a sprint has a squeak. But Peddlers Cross has no chance if that were the case, so can't see McCain allowing that. PC is unbeaten and is one of my favourites (backed him ante-post for Neptunes), but has an awful lot of improvement to make in one go. Might be up to it come March though. Nearby has been remakabley progressive this season already and has a fitness edge. Impressive at Wincanton and has been under-rated by bookies. My 100% book: Binocular 8/11, Peddlers Cross 7/2, Starluck 7/1, Nearby 10/1, Bygones Of Brid 400/1.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

2:00 Newbury 38 points @ 7/2 (VC) Tocca Ferro 20 points @ 15/2 (WH) Stormy Weather 7 points @ 9/1 (PP) Advisor 5 points @ 14/1 (PP) Rebel Dancer

Wanted to put Tocca Ferro in my totetentofollow to win the Totesport, but wasn't in the list. Saw him in his stable last month, they really like him. Been raised significantly for that Ascot win, but had any amount in hand. came there cruising and idled badly. There is not much pace in this race. As Dtrains points out in another thread, Praxitiles is perhaps the most likely pace setter. Could get an easy lead. I've gone for those who have plenty of speed. Stormy Weather is my other main bet. Progressive and good 5th in Fred Winter last term. Stable in good form. Advisor won his first two, before seemingly going bad (temperament). First time may be the time to catch him (saver). Regal Dancer is the other saver. Going quite well, fav when falling last time (alongside at time). Over-priced at around 14's, but don't like making those who fell last time out the main bet. I'd want to be against The Betchworth Kid, has a good chance on the book, but he's quirky and probably best in a truly run race at 2m. Olafi is another with a good chance on figures, but may not be suited by the run of the race.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

3:40 Newbury 23 points @ 10/1 (L) Mount Oscar 20 points @ 13/2 (VC) Pasco 7 points @ 13/2 (B365) Prince De Beauchene

If I remember rightly Mount Oscar and Pasco fought this out last year. Latter is a course specialist, seemingly does not run well anywhere else. Goes well fresh too. Mount Oscar is getting on now, but ran very encouragingly on reappearance. Weakened only late and a return to a truly run 2m4f should suit. Is well handicapped on that win last year. Looks very much over-priced. Working Title has won a couple of races over the smaller obsticles this term, showing improved form and is well handicapped on that hurdles form. However, he's only small and by no means certain to be as good over fences. Prince De Beauchene was running well, behind Little Josh and Weird Al last time, before unseating at the last. Nothing much wrong with his jumping. going might be more of a problem, possibly needs it softer to bring stamina in to play. Saver. Piraya ran well last time, but is too inconsistent. Of the others, Just Smudge is posibly the best outsider, still to be asked for everything when fell last time. Stable in better form now than then too. Might back it on course.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

Already advised: 23 points @ 8/1 Weird Al 16 points @ 20/1 China Rock 8 points @ 8/1 Diamond Harry Another one: 12 points @ (best odds in pricewise box) Carruthers

Also: 3 points @ (best odds in pricewise box) Hey Big Spender

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

2:00 Newbury 38 points @ 7/2 (VC) Tocca Ferro 20 points @ 15/2 (WH) Stormy Weather 7 points @ 9/1 (PP) Advisor 5 points @ 14/1 (PP) Rebel Dancer

Saving on a probable prominent runner: 4 points @ 17.5/1 (betfair) Praxiteles

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Duplicated.

[Gingertipster]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011

1:00 Newbury -40 @ 9/4 Line Freedom Fell 6 @ 7/1 Sparky May 1^st Return 48 points :nana (46) 2 points profit 2:10 Newbury -23 @ 10/1 Sound Stage 2^nd -19 @ 10/1 thetwincamdrift -20 @ 9/4 Zarrafakt -3 @ 27/1 Nostringsattached -65 points deficit 2:45 Newbury -18 @ 10/1 Vagrant Emporer 2^nd -17 @ 14/1 Nobby Kivambo 27 @ 9/2 Full Of Joy 1^st Return 148.5 points :nana (62) 86.5 points profit 3:15 Newbury -34 (17 ew) @ 12/1 Swincombe Rock -34 points deficit Days Deficit -10.5 points :( 1:35 Newbury 52 @ 4/1 Barafundle 1^st Return 260 points :nana -10 @ 11/2 Cotswold Charmer -3 @ 37/1 Estates Recovery (65) 195 points profit 2:45 Newbury -42 @ 11/4 Matuhi 2^nd -6 @ 54/1 Perse Rock BD -6 @ 8/1 Call Me A Legend -54 points deficit Days Profit 141 points :cow 12:25 Newbury -24 (12ew) @ 16/1 Nearby -25 @ Evens Binocular 3^rd -49 points deficit They didn't go that fast early and Peddlers Cross was in the right place in that respect. Wasn't going quite as well two out as either Binocular or (in particular) Starluck. However, Donald McCain's horse quickened immediately when asked, not once but twice. Looked fit in the paddock. Very genuine race horse, it's difficult to know just how much more might be left in the tank. Quite a bit of improvement made here and is deservedly second fav for the Champion Hurdle, we know he goes well at Cheltenham. Starluck was suited by the slowly run race (slower than Tocca Ferro). Though it may be he'll always find little, as he did so here and Kempton (sharp track) last year. Weakening was nothing to do with fitness. Binocular was a bit disappointing, though it's a lot better than last season's reappearance. Looked as though the race would bring him on and (to my eyes) blew more than the others afterwards. Might be more a spring horse anyway. AP rightly not hard on him once beaten. Nearby (my main bet) disappointed, looked as though his coat was in transition. Might have kept summer coat longer than most for earlier success. Though in truth, never likely to find the improvement of Peddlers Cross. At least I had the knowledge of getting the value, backed at 16/1, SP 10/1. 2:00 Newbury 38 @ 7/2 Tocca Ferro 1^st Return 171 points :nana -20 @ 15/2 Stormy Weather -7 @ 9/1 Advisor -5 @ 14/1 Rebel Dancer -4 @ 17.5/1 Praxiteles (74) 97 points profit All the rest wanted a lead and Praxiteles as expected (with the help of Dtrains) got a lead at the start. Somewhat surprisingly though, Master Scu set a good pace. It was good to see Tocca Ferro cruise through the race and only needing to a smack or two when idling on the run in. Should help his handicap mark. Make no mistake, Emma's hurdling star had any amount in hand. Rebel Dancer showed good speed, held up for a late run. Could be suited by a sharper track. Olofi travelled quite well until two out and then got outpaced before staying on again. Might do better over further or softer/stamina test at 2m; same comments apply for The Betchworth Kid. Stormy Weather ran as though needing the race after travelling well for a long way. Advisor virtually brought down, trainers words beforehand suggested another target anyway; very easy to back. Big Buck's is worth mentioning won easily enough, did his usual idling on the run-in. Looks in a league of his own in staying hurdles. 3:05 Newbury -23 @ 8/1 Weird Al -16 @ 20/1 China Rock did not run 8 @ 8/1 Diamond Harry 1^st Return 72 points :nana -12 @ 22/1 Carruthers -3 @ 25/1 Hey Big Spender (62) 10 points profit With an eight race programme there wasn't any time to get on here with another small bet on Diamond Harry. Sorry after-timing, though if I thought 8/1 was good value why wouldn't I go in again at 9's? Anyway... Fantastic to be there and witness a great race, better quality than 09 or 08. When Denman went upsides turning for home the crowd started shouting him home, whether they'd backed him or not. The old boy ran his heart out, in my opinion just as good a form performance as either win. Beaten by a couple of good second season chasers. Change of tactics saw Diamond Harry up there from the start under Darryll Jacob, who kept the ride despite usual jockey Timmy Murphy being available. Coped well with a faster surface, jumping reasonably until getting the last two a bit wrong, staying on well nevertheless. Judging by his record it won't be surprising if Diamond Harry fails to go on from this. Best fresh and the decision to go straight for the Gold Cup, the right one. Despite the break neck pace it proved difficult to make up ground. Burton Port came from further behind than most (mid-division) and improved significantly. Just running out of time on the run-in. Possibly unlucky, in making a significant error at the cross-fence. Whether he has enough improvement to challenge for top honours is debatable. The Tother One ran a strange race. Took a fairly prominent position early, but never jumping or travelling with any fluencey. Outpaced in the back/cross straight, before staying on very strongly to almost get up for third. Niche Market ran his race, just too exposed to win a race like this. Though still strikes as a Grand National type. Taranis as usual travelled well for a long way. Did not find much in the straight. Probably due to being poorly handicapped more than fitness, as has a good record fresh. Hopefully he can be kept sound this term. Wish Carruthers could get an easy lead in one of these big races, convinced he can win one of these. Unfortunately, Mattie Bachelor chose to go up the inner again. I've noticed front runners who are unable to lead, run better on the outer where they have an uninterupted view of a fence - instead of being amongst horses. Madison Du Berlais, a similar type, also on the inner took a fall. Bringing down Neptunes Collonges. Weird Al possibly not over his hard race at Carlisle. Not far behind Burton Port at the cross-fence, so close enough if good enough. Hey Big Spender failed to stay. Led until the turn, Aiden Coleman not seen at his best, hard ridden in the straight when seemingly beaten and taking a tired fall at the last. Razor Royale is inconsistent. Been agressively campaigned since his Racing Post win. Probably does not fully stay this trip, but does not look in the same form anyway. Barber Shop raced with ears pricked in first time blinkers. Gone the wrong way temperamentally. Silver By Nature predictably outpaced over a shorter trip and firmer ground, jumping not as good as usual as a result. Dream Alliance also outpaced and didn't seem to want to know. Big Fella Thanks uncharacteristicly fell early. Pandorama hampered early, never recovered and run best ignored. 3:40 Newbury 23 @ 10/1 Mount Oscar 1^st Return 253 points :nana -20 @ 13/2 Pasco 2^nd -7 @ 13/2 Prince De Beauchene (50) 203 points profit Satisfying result. Both Mount Oscar 10/1 in to 11/2 and Pasco (SP 4/1) exceptionally well backed. Had it between them coming to the last. Remember thinking Mount Oscar would make a decent chaser way back in his novice hurdles season. Taken time to get there (now 11), but hasn't had much racing since and is at least as good as ever. Master Twister again showing why he's one of the most promising young jockeys we've seen since AP. Not panicking when the leaders went for home round the turn. Mount Oscar staying on well all the way up the straight. Might even be more to come from him now jumping seems to be sorted out. Pasco ran right up to his best, tracking the pace until challenging in the straight. However, it's debatable whether he'll prove this good away from Newbury. The valuable 2 ½ mile race just before the Cheltenham Festival here might be his best chance of a big (ish) prize. Pipes have at last got the trip right for Piraya, now looking more genuine. Prince De Beauchene ran ok, probably unsuited by the drying ground. Days Profit 261 points :cow Newbury Festival Profit 391.5 points :cow Gingers Jumpers Profit 540 points :nana :cow

Now addded write ups of results for Saturday, will do others later.

[Lars]

Re: Gingers Jumpers 2010-2011 Fantastic effort Ginge :clap