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akitson
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akitson got a reaction from harry_rag in Lay Football Correct Score Strategy
@harry_rag
Overwhelmingly letting the selections run to completion would result in very high losses, as due to the large liabilities involved the bank balance would get wiped out in much larger chunks than the managed trade out small losses that I've been able to limit things to over the last 4 or 5 months.
Just leaving it to variance is not what I hope and expect that my Lay Correct Score strategy to be about.
Bizarrely a small loss is good if it has avoided a much bigger hit to the funds by not actively withdrawing from the market.
???
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akitson got a reaction from harry_rag in Lay Football Correct Score Strategy
No problem on you being sceptical harry_rag or skittle, but if you check my Lay Correct Score Twiiter selections through July & August all were prior to matches and with results & wins/losses shown.
September has been on an open-to-all-Telegram page, which again details all selections prior to the matches starting. Again with a daily position, UP or like today DOWN, as applicable.
https://t.me/joinchat/xhEgq6tqiGtjOGU0
Due to the number of selections per day (22 over the last 2 days and generally 3 or 4 each weekday) then cutting & pasting across multiple platforms is too time consuming when trading has to be and always will be my priority.
I did email Steve/a moderator before putting this thread up as per the forum rules to check my approach was correct or not, but I never got any return. No criticism as I know they are busy guys.
If a moderator wants to remove this strategy and proven results since April this year then fine, but the forum is for the benefit of all to share and understand how we can all exchange improvements to strategies = winnings for everyone.
Good luck everyone & be kind to all and have success.
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akitson got a reaction from Zico10 in Lay Football Correct Score Strategy
I posted a football lay 3-3 strategy a while back, but have been away developing and fine tuning the following evolution.
Strategy
Pre-match Lay Football Correct Scores, namely 3-3, 3-0 or 0-3 & AOHW or AOAW depending on meeting match selection criteria.
Aim
To clear at least 10% profit on the starting bank each calendar month, but hopefully sooner!!!, and then either withdraw profit or re-invest profit to benefit from compounding it in to future months.
Communication of Progress
General progress will be made via Match Selections being advised each day in advance via Twitter account @slowandsteadyp1
On average two or three matches that meet match selection criteria will be used each day. Some days more and on some days no selections will be made if the match selection criteria is not met.
Investment Liability
No one Football match Correct Score selection will have any more total bank liability than 30% liability at match start. During in-play, no more than total bank liability of 20% (usually less) will occur as also trading out in-play for a small loss will happen rather than risking up to the full 30% liability loss in one match.
I paper traded the above for some months and then started real money trading at the start of April.
Results below. I started with a £500 bank, withdrew, reset and now continue with profit only.
Final total for April ---- UP 63.88 pts. What a 1st Month & turned £500 in to £819 !!!!
May total finishes at UP 90.56 pts. Just shy of £725 profit in a month.
June total ended at UP 14.01 pts (some losses and reduced number of games - mainly Euros)
July ends at UP 31.78 pts. More than 30% profit for the month!!!
August total now at UP 18.87 pts Overall total is UP 225.78 pts
(100 point bank, re-assessed at the end of each day)
Match selection is crucial.
I've expected some big reversals, but I've managed to limit losses to a handful of points in certain games.
Anyone else out there with a simple strategy then always interested to compare notes.
???
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akitson got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in £250 Pot --- Let's See If It Can Be Doubled, Trebled, Quadrupled
New total 755.15........BOOM......Trebled Up.....
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akitson got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in £250 Pot --- Let's See If It Can Be Doubled, Trebled, Quadrupled
2 Wins & Braga game to go tonight. New total 435.58
Shriners Golf - In Play Final Round - Lay Anders Albertson; 2.2 @ 100 & Harold Varner 2.6 @ 85 & Abraham Anger 4.45 @ 50 (Liability 50% of pot)
All at BF.
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akitson got a reaction from Decookie in 23 In A Row.....& Still Going
Bet 10 Won : 71.25 (Up £51.25 or 185%)
Completed 10 In A Row !!!!!
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akitson got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
Bet 65 Won. New total 138.11
Bet 66 Sweden v Slovenia - HT / FT - Lay Slovenia & Slovenia - 2.21 @ 13.5 at Smarkets - Liability 20% of total
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akitson got a reaction from Skittle in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
Bet 64 Won. New total 136.07
Bet 65 Italy v Scotland - HT / FT - Layed Scotland & Scotland 2.08 @ 14 at Smarkets - Liability 20% of total
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akitson reacted to Skittle in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
Any profit is good profit. Onwards and upwards.
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akitson got a reaction from Skittle in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
A small profit made in the month. Learnt a lot........so let's move on to month 2 and see what I can do this time.
Bet 53 Layed Adrian Lewis to win Premier League darts 2.06 @ 13.5 at SMarkets - Liability 25% of total
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akitson reacted to aldric in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
Well done getting back into the black
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akitson got a reaction from Skittle in £100 Starting Pot - Where Will I End Up In 1 Month
Bet 1 Won. New total 104.07
Bet 2 West Ham v Watford
Layed HT / FT - Wat & Wat - 3.47 @ 16 at Betfair - Liability £52
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akitson got a reaction from jtw1 in Head-to Head Meetings
Thanks JTW. Last weekend i used your h2h input and other thoughts to separately lay rijeka, gent & osijek --- all at layed rough odds of between 5 to 7. 3 winners cheers.
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akitson got a reaction from MPLouis in Third Qualifying Round - Second Legs
Layed Bordeaux away 25 @ 2.1 2nd team being fielded and more important season opener coming up so not a key game at all for them