PokerWolf1
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Posts
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Posts posted by PokerWolf1
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At first glance I think Ipswich is good value. Bristol City will be a bit deflated after midweek but make no mistake they are still a very tough team to beat and also represent a bit of value.
Can't see Wolves slipping up with a fully rested squad. Bonatini after a lightning start hasn't scored in 7 but has still be pretty good up front doing the hard work. We have a new guy Rafa Mir from Valencia now though who is sure to try and make an impact up front and the signs were good when he came on for the last 10 mins against Swansea. The more competition up there is only going to make us stronger. Barnsley are bigging this one as rematch of the season after we nicked a last second winner against them in the reverse leg, but I can't see anyone backing against us other than in blind hope.
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Watford @2.40
Middlesboro @2.15
10 double please
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On 1/3/2018 at 11:23 AM, LIKE2FISH said:
Got my numbers muddled :)) Its a 5 figure profit I aim for! 2017 profit was close to £2.6k and a package to Morocco next week! Limited volume but family life is 1st priority
Hopefully I can bring the trophy home and achieve my target!
Nice one mate best of luck to you!
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Blackburn @2.15
Carlisle @3.90
£10 Double please.
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After 6 weeks off and a trip to Manchester for Unibet Live I'm ready to get back on the grind. Had my most profitable year since 2013 but really want to start achieving some bigger things in 2018. Watch this space!
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What a week to be a Wolves fan! That last gasp winner at Bristol was incredibly sweet and few would back against us in any match going forward I'm sure. Not expecting any slip ups against a good Brentford side who I expect will try and play football. That is what we are good at, though.
QPR have upset a lot of us in the top 6 at home already this season and although I wouldn't expect Cardiff to slip up again I can't help but think I don't want to go near that match...
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Leeds @2.30
Shrewsbury @2.90
luton @1.91
£10 treble please
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Certainly some value in Bristol City. Massive game for us and I would take a draw all day. We are talking about a team that has beaten 4 prem teams this season including Man United. We may well be without our man mountain at the back Boly who will be a major loss if so. Also haven't been convincing in any of the last 5 games for me but Helder Costa is getting back to form after injury with 2 assists against Millwall so hopefully he can continue that.
Thinking Brentford, Barnsley, forest and Leeds all worth a look. Will have a think.
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West Ham @2.10
Derby @1.83
Luton @1.57
£30 Treble
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Wolves haven't managed to beat Mick McCarthy since he left us. I'm expecting it to change this weekend and would be disappointed not to come away with 3 points. And we need to. Cardiff and Bristol just won't give up! Ipswich have had some impressive results this season and recently won and kept a clean sheet at Derby. It won't be easy but Wolves should be rested and I think we will be shaking the team up a bit. I don't expect Mick to try and play football against us and we have struggled to beat teams that have come with the 'break us down' attitude. A tight win but a win is all I care about.
Will have a think about the other teams and make another post.
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Sorry I missed last week.
Ipswich win @2.45
Bristol City win @1.80
£15 double
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I suppose with the best away record in the league anything above Evens is going to be snapped up on Wolves against a very inconsistent Sheff Weds side. I have reservations, though. We haven't been anywhere near clinical enough In our last two matches and it could be that fatigue is starting to settle in and a freshen up is needed. I'm expecting a few changes this Friday and although I would be surprised to see us get beat I think a draw is a real possibility.
Elsewhere I can't see Cardiff slipping up and I can see Bolton winning that battle at the bottom too.
I think Villa will set up for a 0-0 but wouldn't like to call that one this weekend!
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Wondering if Sheffield are starting to feel the grueling nature of the championship now? As such I am thinking Bristol might just be playing them at the right time.
Also fancy Norwich to get back to winning ways though I have no evidence other than gut instinct to back that up.
Not much to say about Wolves. Tough match for us last night and was always going to be tight due to the derby nature but we managed to play pretty bad and still win. Think you would have to be mad to back Sunderland any week but in particularly this week. Can't see any case for them taking even a point off us.
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Cardiff @1.91
Derby @1.44
RB Leizpig @2.20
£10 treble
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I was hugely impressed by us midweek but I did say if Leeds played the same way against us as they did against Boro we would carve them open. There really should be no room for complacency this weekend and on paper it's a mismatch that Wolves should comfortably claim victory in. This is the championship though and anything can happen.
Some really tricky fixtures. I think I would back Reading. They are unpredictable but then Sheff Weds are a bit too. Reasonable price at home.
Not really sure how Sunderland can be priced as favorites. It's a 6 pointer for them and despite Coleman coming in I can't see anything changing instantly. Burton know the importance of this and I'm expecting a 0-0 nervy, dire match so will probably be a 10 goal thriller.
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Watford @3.60
Reading @2.63
£10 Double
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I think all three of the top 3 will come away with victory. I watched Leeds yesterday and thought they played well and deserved victory against a Boro side on the up. I really think if they play that style against us they will be opened up a lot more often, though.
Sheff UTD should have too much for Fulham at home. Fulham were the easiest team we have beaten at home this season. They just didn't turn up and I can't see Sheff slipping up here. Some value in their price as well.
Cardiff have the toughest of the three. I think a draw is possible but Cardiff have some momentum and enough experience to keep up the pressure and grind a win out here.
Elsewhere I see wins for Villa and Bristol. Value in Ipswich and no idea what to think about that Bolton match.
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Day 67 & 68 = £2499
Total Buyins = €344
Total Cashes = €231.42
Notable Cashes:
2 PLO: 5th for 7.04
4 Sat: 1st for 25
5 Freezeout: 9th for 14.99
25 Sat: 1st for 100
It really hurts to run bad on a Sunday... Such is my desperation I am including sat wins in the notable cashes! Nothing went right. I had a sick 30 second spell where my AA was beaten by KK 1 outer in 2 rooms at the same time, and I bubbled a UK Final seat.
My frustration eventually turned to bad play and this resulted in entering lots of things just for the sake of it which caused disappointment in myself... Still, today is another day and let's see what tonight brings. If I won the sat with the 100 ticket I have again we will be looking at a very different profit margin as I will be requesting to change the entire seat up for cash.
I am planning to join in the community league next month if it runs. I haven't played on stars for agessssssss but anything I can do to get people on the forum more involved would be good.
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Day 64 & 65 = £2599
Total buyins = €149
Total Cashes = €290.06
Notable Cashes:
5 freezeout: 2nd for 23.71
5 freezeout: 3rd for 27.97
5 Rebuy (1addon): 5th for 45.94
10 freezeout: 2nd for 48.88
10 freezeout: 3rd for 43.20
10 Nightly Major: 10th for 27.50
10 PLO: 5th for 27.64
Another good couple of days but you will understand my disappointment and frustration when you look at the notable cashes. So many near misses and I could not, despite all the will in the world, close any of the tournaments out. The nightly major was a sick KK vs QQ AIPF for a 2x average stack. Similarly I bubbled the nightly mini major when I was forced to stack off 50BB's with AA after someone pushed their SB on me with AQ (board 9 10 J J K).
I will be going over my hands for these final tables. I don't remember doing anything glaring which was bad but it never hurts to have a look back. I've mentioned it a few times now recently but I really do feel I'm playing my best poker all year and I think over the last week or so it's been reflected in my results. Long may it continue and I finally feel again that I'm stepping in the right direction towards this 10k target.
I expect I will continue the grind tomorrow night and take Saturday off ready for a full days grind on Sunday.
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Sheff UTD @1.91
Notts County @2.00
Exeter @2.20
10 Treble please!
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Day 63 = £2473
Tournament buyins = €139
Tournament Cashes = €199.28
Didn't feel like I played well yesterday and if it wasn't for picking up another €100 final ticket I'd have been down. A bubble in an Omaha event to end the night left me feeling a bit sour but I used what little discipline I have an let it go. I wanted to put an interesting hand up for discussion but there wasn't really anything that happened which I think would generate much discussion.
I've been thinking along the lines of what I want to achieve next year. I'm finding it fairly easy to qualify for live events through Unibet but only the small ones. My big goal would be to qualify for one of their £1000 events. Never played a live tournament that big before.
I want my profit loss sheet to be more tailored towards satellites so that's something I want to work on. I know I am massively +ev in some sats such as these UK tour ones (although small sample size) but I suspect that some of the other sats I take part in the structure is such that I would be better off throwing money into something else.
I want to hit 100k points every quarter on Unibet. This would involve an average of £100 of tournament buyins a day... My goal would be to achieve this while still keeping the family life balance in check as at the end of the day that's the most important thing.
I have an ambition to set up a small stable of players who I think would be able to beast sats such as these UK tour one's too and take shares in their target events. Something which would need a lot more looking into, though. No experience of that sort of thing and if anyone has any advice I would be much appreciative.
Anyone doing well against this years goals or got plans for next year?
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Day 62 = £2419
What a couple of days! I won another UK tour ticket and was unfortunate to come 4th in one of the sunday mini majors for another £180 when I raised the blinds from the button with A10, A5 pushed on me and rivered a 5.
Not just winning but also playing really well. Defo back on track and heading in the right direction. As mentioned I plan to expand these posts and put a bit more info from next week but for now I'm going to go have a celebratory whisky and chill!
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Day 61 Profit = £2096
Won me another UK tour seat!
Expenses only have been added to the profit. Really pleased with the way I played overall and hope to expand on these posts a lot more from next week. Going to be playing for the rest of the night now and have yet another UK tour final seat so fingers crossed I get that one too!
Pokerwolf1's Diary - 10k Poker Profit Mega Thread
in Poker
Posted
Day 70/71/72 = £2520
Not much to report. Been a very fragmented start to the year for me personally with a lot of stuff going on. Just hoping things can settle down soon and I can start proper grinds again.