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Everything posted by four-leaf
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Stephen Maguire to beat Mark Williams at 2.65 with Leovegas I don't see why Stephen should be such underdog, he's still a prolific breakbuilder and it's a tight head to head here at 7 each. Even if Mark would shine I think Stephen has a shot at outshining Mark. I don't expect anyone of them being bad at all, should be a good game but Mark being a 1.46 fav, really? Even if he's called The welsh potting machine he hasn't been at his best since he became Champion for the third time of the Crucible 2018. Mark may be known for his long potting skills but even if he'd be that good this tuesday it probably will take some effort to overcome whatever his opponent can do. I might even stream this if Stephen looks tuned.
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Will keep an eye on it
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Misaki Doi to beat (+5.5 games) Petra Martic at 1.77 with Leovegas Agree with @CzechPunter here Kamilla Rakhimova to beat Arantxa Rus at 2.18 with Leovegas I don't buy Rus as the likely winner here. She never was any good on hardcourts and now she's being hyped up due to her first title in Hamburg. Ekaterina Alexandrova to beat (-1.5 sets) Anna Kalinskaya at 2.40 with Leovegas Agree with @Swami here but I take it one step further as I've read what you've written @Swami and it looks interestingly enough for me to raise the bar with Kalinskaya to lose in straights again. Treble at 9.26 BOL to all of us
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Tennis Tips - September 18 - September 24
four-leaf replied to CzechPunter's topic in Tennis Betting
Thanks Czech I do a double on that -
I'm also gonna add Murphy/Mertens over 7.5 frames at 2.33 with Unibet
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Ben Mertens (+2.5 frames) to beat Shaun Murphy at evens with Unibet Here's my contribution for tonight. Belive it or not but Mertens who's 18 already has taken Murphy to the brink of defeat in last years CL and I belive in this Belgian guy. Leclerq didn't win today and so will Ben fail or impress? I think he's gonna impress the shit out of us and Murphy.
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@CzechPunter tagging along on Peyton
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Linda Noskova to beat Ons Jabeur at 2.45 with Unibet I can see an upset here. Partly because Ons isn't likely to defend every point earned and she is under pressure to keep delivering. Noskova doesn't have to same kind of pressure and can play freely and she also defeated Ons in Adelaide 9 months ago.
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By all means @CzechPunter I think you're wrong on Kenin, perhaps you missed out on her raise of level and I noticed she had the same determination as when she won AO20. Kenin could have turned a serious corner this week and Kasatkina you say has been better all year long. Well you can't live on past merits. Now is what matters not how both played last 6 months.
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As the match has got going now I see some tendency with Juvan to bottle som games already after 1 game and Davis is the one with the better groundstrokes
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@matrixman it's even under 36.5 which means you should sit relatively safe even if Ramos grabs a set.
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Under 35.5 means Ramos may have a set but no more. Even if Ramos grabs a set it could go under.
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I have avoided Wickmayer just because I'm also surprised by the odds and I don't really dare touching Vera. Acctually it's both Sonja and Sofia if you want to go by what she calls herself. It's like Cori Gauff and Coco Gauff. I also agree on Burel.
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Quentin Halys to beat (-1.5 sets) Benjamin Bonzi at 2.05 Bonzi is no more a name to count on. His form has kept going down for several months. Halys always had Bonzis number. Has beaten him 3 times without a fuzz and no loss of a set in best of 3. Now this is best of 5 and since it is a grand slam things can change but still I do expect Halys to get the job done in less than 5 sets. Christopher O'connell to beat (+5.5 games) Max Purcell at 1.53 @CzechPunter has already said last week that Max will probably be to tired for USO and even if I belive Purcell might lose this I play it safe and go for +5.5. Daniel Altmaier to beat (-1.5 sets) Constant Lestienne at 2.43 Lestienne never was the type of player to succeed as a player inside top 100. He had his best season of his career last year but this season when he's played less challengers he's shown that he isn't talented enough for top 100. I can't pick this frenchman to win 2 sets or more, it would be illogical when his opponent is 7 years younger, more talented and has shown he can beat difficult players on ATP level. Albert Ramos/Alex Michelsen under 36.5 games at 1.87 Don't see how Ramos will have anything to say here. Michelsen is a serious hardcourt and grass talent and top 100 is waiting for him. Ramos is mostly focusing on clay nowadays and likely comes to Flushing without ambitions bigger than picking up the round 1 cash. Ana Bogdan to beat Sonja Kenin at 2.43 Bogdan is doing better than Sonja now and has been since last season. Kenin hasn't played since Wimby and even lost her only hardcourt matchup with Bogdan in 3 sets. Kenin hasn't done well for a long time and her low odds is probably because of her name. Bogdan is the better player at this stage of these two players careers. Daniil Medvedev/Attila Balazs under 24.5 games at 1.58 It's very likely that Attila who's best surface is clay where he doesn't even win anything nowadays will get blown off the court. I see no reason why Meddy can't win this 6-3 6-2 6-1 at the very least. Six-fold at 54.72 with Unibet
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I had to cover my debacle with Higgins up with a bigger price bet on tennis in Cleveland which was all wrong from the bookie so it turned out well so far this week for me..
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Well SST wins her second International WTA title by frustrating Alexandrova with clever returns and loads of grit. To bad I had to blow all my wins away from yesterday on snooker but my decision to back SST big proved to be a fortunate choice and I'm in the green for the week..
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Well long story short: Sorribes got waaay to many balls back for Alexandrovas liking. Here Sorribes fourth matchpoint which Alexandrova hits wide and conceals the deal...
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Alright it's 4 all rn and Sorribes serving for 5-4.. Deja vú?
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I guess you're right, Alexandrova hasn't been much different from how she usually is...
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Alexandrova probably will stand for the biggest mental breakdown performance this week just before USO
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Painful to see from some point of view but I guess it's welcome for me..
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Errors are coming from left and right from Alexandrova, she's really lost her head..
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Geez, Alexandrova is falling apart like a house of cards.. Not impossible Sorribes turns it around.