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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

real55555

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Posts posted by real55555

  1. 5 hours ago, Sir Puntalot said:

    That's fine, just uploading images. :ok 

    Can you replace the other posts above with the same please? ;) 

    These 2:

    Posted 2 September 2018 8:48am
    Posted 3 September 2018 2:36am

    How'd you suggest I replace them? Use the edit function or just make a new post? Thanks

  2. I think the main factor to winning this competition will be team depth. Teams like France, Germany, Spain can afford to field their second string and still win comfortably against lesser opponents or even equal strength opponents, where as teams like Wales, Denmark, Portugal when you take away Bale, Ramsay, Eriksen, Ronaldo then they become very ordinary (just example I don't know if all of these nations are playing). Surely at some point in the competitions, the substitutes or reserves will be given a chance to start the game and show what they can do.

  3. 5 hours ago, BillyHills said:

    @real55555

    Great write up mate and good luck with your bets:ok

    (Im secretly cheering on Kimi!)

     

    Congrats on the finishers bet as well as Alonso's retirement. All my bets lost, just shows you how unpredictable F1 betting is and how we can find value if the result end up in the right side.

    I did made a few in-running bets on Hamilton win though as the odds offered were very kind. All the while above 2.00 (even reaching 3.00 at one stage in the first stint when Kimi pulled a 1.5sec lead) before Hamilton made his pitstop.

  4. 10 hours ago, BillyHills said:

    Italian GP

    Great news for Ferrari as the front row will be Raikkonen and Vettel, probably not in the order you would expect but it doesnt really matter as Ferrari are past masters at getting their number 1 driver in the right place by the end of the race.
    That explains why Vettel is the 4/6 favourite from second on the grid, never heard of before. Raikkonen is a 5/2 chance, he may as well be 50/1 because unless Vettel crashes out on the first bend or something he wont be winning this race. Hope he proves me wrong! Wouldn't it be fun if Kimi refused to let Vettel past.

    The Mercs are on the second row and its a 4 cornered affair as Red Bull just aren't competitive around here. Ricciardo will once again start at the back of the field alongside Hulkenberg. Ricciardo is 10/11 to get into the top 6 and will be fun watching him try so worth a nibble at the price.

    Fernando Alonso had another dramatic session today and he seems to be high on adrenaline since he announced his retirement. He looks like he wants to prove a point and may be trying too hard, he's an 11/4 shot to retire from the race and that looks a sporting bet to me in the absence of anything else which looks like a value bet.

    Bets

    Over 15.5 Finishers 10/11 bet365
    D.Ricciardo Top 6 10/11 Hills
    F.Alonso Not To Finish 11/4 bet365

     

     

    Hi again Billy.

    1. Didn't expect there hasn't been any safety car in Monza for the past 6 years. I thought there would be high occurence of safety car on such a high speed track before I saw your statement. Anyway, the over finishers bet looks to be a good bet in most of the races this season. We don't see that much mechanical failures as compared to previous season (especially the mclaren honda era, hehe), and only a first lap chaos in Belgium last week helped to clear the under finishers bet. I'd think if the drivers can avoid the first corner chaos, then the over 15.5 finishers is an almost guaranteed bet, but then again the run from the start to the first corner is quite a long one, and it is a very tight chicane, so I'd expect contacts between cars but whether it will result in retirements. There is chance of a rain as well in the race that will certainly spice things up for the finishers market. I'll skip this bet as I personally do not like to bet on over finishers bet.

    2. Good chance for Daniel to finish in the top 6 if he can avoid the first lap chaos. Red Bull again is the best of the rest after Ferrari and Mercedes. On a track where overtaking is quite easy with DRS, I think Daniel should be able to make his way up the field pretty easily until he catches up on the Haas. I'll go with you on this.

    3. I'll skip the Alonso bet as well. Just recalling from memory, most of his retirements are from mechanical failures or accident through no fault of his own. Do correct me if I'm wrong as I did not look up any data on this.

     

    My bets for this race:

    1. Vettel to win @ 1.57 bet365.

    I don't think Ferrari will allow Kimi to win unless Vettel retires or Hamilton is in front of Vettel. I think the only threat lies in a clean start and the reliability of the Ferrari. The Ferrari is too quick even if they lose the position to Hamilton at the start, I do not think Hamilton can defend the lead, just like in Belgium where Vettel overtook Hamilton without DRS.

    2. Ricciardo to finish in top 6 @ 1.90 bet365

    As explained above.

    3. Magnussen to finish in the points @ 1.61 bet365

    A 'racing incident' ruined both Magnussen and Alonso's qualifying runs, otherwise Magnussen would at least qualify in the top 8 if he is able to get a tidy lap in. Nevertheless, by starting 11th on the grid, he has fresh tyres for the start, as well as a car that is capable of a top 8 finish. At 1.61 is definitely a good value for this bet if he can avoid first lap chaos.

    4. Both Red Bulls to finish in the points @ 1.72 bet365 & Both Haas to finish in the points @ 2.25 bet365

    In terms of raw pace, the Red Bulls and Haas are the 3rd and 4th ranked teams on the grid. Other than retirements or accidents, I'd expect both cars from these two teams to finish in the points

    5. Both cars to be classified - Williams - NO @ 2.37 bet365

    We've seen the Williams improved their reliability recently but they've mostly started at the back of the grid, which means they are better placed to avoid first lap incidents. Now, stroll and sirotkin are starting 10th and 12th on the grid in this race, and they are not exactly the sort of drivers which I feel safe to be alongside them going into the first corner when there could be 3-4 drivers squeezing each other into the corner. So I'd expect either one of them to probably retire after the first lap, or otherwise hope for a engine failure due to the time on the throttle for this track

     

     

     

  5. Bet 74: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 75: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 76: Won (+$5.00)

    Bet 77: Won (+$4.15)

    Bet 78: Won (+$4.15)

    Bet 79: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 80: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 81: Won (+$3.30)

    Bet 82: Won (+$3.30)

    Bet 83: Won (+$2.65)

    Bet 84: Won (+$2.50)

    Bet 85: Won (+$3.60)

    Bet 86: Refund (match abandoned)

    Bet 87: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 88: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 89: Won (+$3.60)

    Bet 90: Won (+$3.05)

     

    Starting Bank: $100

    Balance: $91.05

  6. 3 hours ago, real55555 said:

    Bet 71: Bosnia Premier League: Radnik vs GOSK Gabela

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 2.10

     

    Bet 72: Czech Liga 1: Opava vs Jablonec

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.75

     

    Bet 73: Poland Liga 1: GKS Jastrzebie vs Termalica

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83

     

    Bet 73: Russia FNL: Chertanovo vs Tyumen

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83

    Bet 71: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 72: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 73:: Won ($4.15)

    Bet 73*: Lost (-$5.00) [double bet number 73 due to copy paste error]

     

    Starting Bank: $100

    Balance: $85.75

     

  7. Bet 50: Won  (+$3.60)

    Bet 51: Won  (+$4.15)

    Bet 52: Won  (+$4.00)

    Bet 53: Won  (+$3.50)

    Bet 54: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 55: Won  (+$3.05)

    Bet 56: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 57: Won  (+$4.50)

    Bet 58: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 59: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 60: Won  (+$4.00)

    Bet 61: Won  (+$3.60)

    Bet 62: Won  (+$3.60)

    Bet 63: Won  (+$4.00)

    Bet 64: Won  (+$2.20)

    Bet 65: Won  (+$3.30)

    Bet 66: Won  (+$2.65)

    Bet 67: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 68: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 69: Won  (+$2.65)

    Bet 70: Won  (+$3.30)

     

    Starting Bank: $100

    Balance: $96.60

     

     

  8. Bet 84: Ecuador Serie A: U.Catolica vs EL Nacional

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.50

     

    Bet 85: Paraguay Primera Division: Sol De America vs Nacional Asuncion

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 86: Peru Primera Division: Commerciantes Unidos vs Ayacucho

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.61

     

    Bet 87: Romania Liga 1: U Craiova 1948 vs Dinamo Bucuresti

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80

     

    Bet 88: Uruguay Clausura: Rampla Jnrs vs Wanderers

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.57

  9. Bet 37: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 38: Won (+$3.60)

    Bet 39: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 40: Won (+$2.50)

    Bet 41: Won (+$3.30)

    Bet 42: Won (+$2.85)

    Bet 43: Won (+$2.50)

    Bet 44: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 45: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 46: Won (+$4.00)

    Bet 47: Lost (-$5.00)

    Bet 48: Won (+$3.30)

    Bet 49: Won (+$3.30)

     

    Starting Bank: $100

    Balance: $74.50

  10. Bet 74: Belgium Pro League: Lokeren vs Waasland Beveren

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.57

     

    Bet 75: Belgium Pro League: St Truiden vs Oostende

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.61 

     

    Bet 76: Croatia 1.HNL: Slaven Belupo vs Hajduk Split

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 2.00

     

    Bet 77: Croatia 1.HNL: Osijek vs Lokomotive Zagreb

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83

     

    Bet 78: England Championship: Milwall vs Swansea

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83

     

    Bet 79: Hungary NB1: DVTK vs Paks

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 80: Hungary NB1: Mezokovesd vs Puskas Academy

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80

     

    Bet 81: Norway Eliteserien: Stabaek vs Sandefjord

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 82: Sweden Allsvenskan: Orebro vs Ostersunds

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 83: Swiss Challenge League: Winterthur vs Schaffhausen

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.53

  11. Bet 50: England Championship: Hull vs Derby

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72 

     

    Bet 51: England Championship: Reading vs Sheff Wed 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83 

     

    Bet 52: England Championship: Sheff Utd vs Aston Villa 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80 

     

    Bet 53: England League One: Accrington vs Scnuthorpe 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.70 

     

    Bet 54: England League One: Coventry vs Rochdale 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80 

     

    Bet 55: England League One: Peterborough vs Doncaster

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.61 

     

    Bet 56: England League One: Portsmouth vs Plymouth 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80

     

    Bet 57: England League One: Southend vs Charlton 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.90 

     

    Bet 58: England League One: Walsall vs Blackpool 

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.70

     

    Bet 59: England League Two: Exeter vs Lincoln City

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 60: England League Two: Northampton vs Notts County

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80

     

    Bet 61: England League Two: Nortts County vs Forest Green

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 62: England League Two: Swindon vs MK Dons

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 63: England National League: Havant W vs Hartlepool

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80


     

    Bet 64: England National League North: Blyth Spartans vs Altrincham

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.44

     

    Bet 65: England National League North: Telford vs Ashton Utd

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 66: England National League South: St Albans vs Dartford

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.53

    Bet 67: England National League South:Wealdstone vs Truro

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 68: England National League South: Weston vs Eastbourne

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.61

     

    Bet 69: Finland Ykonnen: Klubi vs JJK

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.53

     

    Bet 70: Sweden Superettan: Degerfors vs Helsingborg

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

  12. Bet 38:

    China Division 1: Zhejiang vs Meizhou

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 39:

    China Super League: Guangzhou RF vs Tianjin Teda

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.44

     

    Bet 40:

    China Super League: Hebei vs Shanghai SIPG

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.50

     

    Bet 41:

    Denmark 1st Division: Naestved vs Roskilde

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 42:

    Japan J League: Vegalta Sendai vs Shimizu S Pulse

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.57

     

    Bet 43:

    Japan J League: Yokohama F Marinos vs Kashiwa Reysol

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.50

     

    Bet 44:

    Japan J League 2: Gifu vs Omiya Ardija

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 45:

    Japan J League 2: Kofu vs Machida

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.83

     

    Bet 46:

    Japan J League 2: Yamagata vs Kumamoto

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.80

     

    Bet 47:

    Korea League 1: Gangwon vs Seoul

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.57

     

    Bet 48:

    Korea League 1: Sangju Sangmu vs Jeonnam

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

  13. Bet 28:

    Austria Erste Liga: Vorwarts Steyr vs Amstetten

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.61

     

    Bet 29:

    Belgium Pro League: Zulte Waregem vs Club Brugge

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.50

     

    Bet 30:

    Denmark Superliga: Horsens vs Vejle

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.90

     

    Bet 31:

    France Ligue 2: Niort vs AC Ajaccio

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.72

     

    Bet 32:

    Poland Ekstraklasa: Lechia vs Korona

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.70

     

    Bet 33:

    Slovenia Prva Liga: Cejle vs Domzale

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.66

     

    Bet 34:

    Sweden Allsvenskan: Trelleborg vs Norrkoping

    BTTS Yes - $5 @ 1.90

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