opole

Challenger Knoxville qualifying
Patrick Kypson @ 2.51 Sbobet stake: 5/10
Michael Redlicki @ 2.63 Sbobet stake: 4/10
Kypsons opponent Draper had a good run but he was playing weak futures most of the time and Kypson is playing on another level, a lot of challenger recently and competed with very solid opposition. I doubt he is the underdog here, i would think odds should be the opposite.
Redlicki vs. Fawcett looks like a 50/50 matchup, both big serving guys with huge groundstrokes playing on a fast indoor surface. Redlicki has a solid 10-2 record indoor in 2018 beating quality opposition like A. Pavic, A. Gomez, B. Schnur, F. Peliwo or B. Gojo.
 
 

Challenger Eckental
Daniel Brands vs. Ruben Bemelmans
=> Daniel Brands @ 2.84 Pinnacle stake: 3/10
I think Bemelmans is a bit overrated here due to playing a solid match vs. Thiem in Vienna. I think this is an equal matchup, history showed both players are at the samel level as the H2H is 4-4. Interesting fact: Both met three times in Eckental. Brands won two of those three meetings. If we take a deeper look into those eight matches we can clearly see that it was always a tight affair between those two. Only three of those eight matches ended in straight sets (2-1 Bemelmans), other five matches were close matches that went the distance. I expect another close match here with some tiebreaks. I think odds are way too high.

Challenger Eckental
Daniel Brands vs. Ruben Bemelmans
=> Daniel Brands @ 2.84 Pinnacle stake: 3/10
I think Bemelmans is a bit overrated here due to playing a solid match vs. Thiem in Vienna. I think this is an equal matchup, history showed both players are at the samel level as the H2H is 4-4. Interesting fact: Both met three times in Eckental. Brands won two of those three meetings. If we take a deeper look into those eight matches we can clearly see that it was always a tight affair between those two. Only three of those eight matches ended in straight sets (2-1 Bemelmans), other five matches were close matches that went the distance. I expect another close match here with some tiebreaks. I think odds are way too high.

I agree on this and basically assumed u were referring to Tiafoe. He looked good today.  I see a lopez/tiafoe r16. Or exactly the opposite

Aragone is decent but he has diabetes and is very inconsistent because of that. 
SE means exactly what CzechPunter mentioned above.
If a player reaches the SF at a tournament and can't play the qualifying tournament for the next weeks tournament he can get a SE entry.
 

Aragone is decent but he has diabetes and is very inconsistent because of that. 
SE means exactly what CzechPunter mentioned above.
If a player reaches the SF at a tournament and can't play the qualifying tournament for the next weeks tournament he can get a SE entry.
 

good call on feli lopez. clutch as usual and experienced enough to win the third set tiebreaker from being 2-5 down. very nice! i took him after he lost the first set.
i like basilashvili to beat anderson.
anderson already qualified for london, he will be motivated as hell to gain a good result there and he just won vienna so he might be happy about an early exit so he can fully recover for london. additional anderson has not the best record in paris i think, he is 7-6 overall at Paris Masters.

You probably don't have too wait that long to go against Alex Zverev.
Mahut/Tiafoe in the second round could be a possible upset too.

@four-leaf @CzechPunter @opole 
@everybody else
if zverev and schwartzman both win. They will clash in the third round. Diego holds 1-0 record h2h. I might choose him to win again. Odds will be at least 3.0, possibly much higher. You guys have opinions on this. Actually I think odds will be around 5.0 my best guess.
I also see possible upset over tsitsipas(Who is not serving very well in basel)Peter gojowczyk If he wins the first round match.

ATP Paris
Sportsbook Heritage
Feliciano Lopez 2.55
Haase 2.55
Basilashvili 1.54
Gojowczyk 1.69
Good surface for veteran players Lopez has experience in this tournament and his advanced to at least the second round in the last five years including a round of 16 he’s also went through the qualifying and should be comfortable enough on the surface.
Haase With round of 16 Appearance last year has also went through qualifying and beating tough competition could be prepared for german and sometimes likes this slow indoor surfaces
Not much needs to be said about basilashvili he’s had an incredible close to the season I saw him a little bit in the last tournament and he was serving great and his condition also look very good as well I think you should be able to take out Millman
Peter  comes into this match playing at what I would say average form I believe he has also came through qualifying and he did come through qualifying beating to solid opponents also made the second round of this tournament last year his opponent  today has been recovering from injury often on for a while and we’ve seen ups and downs in his form but I just don’t believe that he is passionate about advancing because he needs more rest for next season 

Challenger Canberra-2 Doubles
N. Kuhn/Y. Mertens vs. A. Harris/A. Vukic
=> A. Harris/A. Vukic @ 3.3 10bet stake: 4/10
Absolutely unreal odds on Harris and Vukic. I would give even odds here, this is a completly open matchup where i can not see a favorite at all. Harris and Vukich having some extra motivation as they both playing in Australia, can't see them going out easily here. As i said: 50/50 matchup. Can't ignore the odds. High confidence bet !!

Challenger Canberra-2 Doubles
N. Kuhn/Y. Mertens vs. A. Harris/A. Vukic
=> A. Harris/A. Vukic @ 3.3 10bet stake: 4/10
Absolutely unreal odds on Harris and Vukic. I would give even odds here, this is a completly open matchup where i can not see a favorite at all. Harris and Vukich having some extra motivation as they both playing in Australia, can't see them going out easily here. As i said: 50/50 matchup. Can't ignore the odds. High confidence bet !!

Challenger Canberra-2 Doubles
N. Kuhn/Y. Mertens vs. A. Harris/A. Vukic
=> A. Harris/A. Vukic @ 3.3 10bet stake: 4/10
Absolutely unreal odds on Harris and Vukic. I would give even odds here, this is a completly open matchup where i can not see a favorite at all. Harris and Vukich having some extra motivation as they both playing in Australia, can't see them going out easily here. As i said: 50/50 matchup. Can't ignore the odds. High confidence bet !!

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Emil Reinberg vs. Stefan Kozlov 
=> Emil Reinberg @ 3.25 Ladbrokes stake: 4/10
Kozlov lost 11 of his last 12 matches, he is waiting for a win since June and he looked horrible recently losing the last six matches without winning a set and receiving some big blowouts vs average opponents like Lucas Gomez or Jared Hiltzik.
Reinberg is very solid and talented youngster who is playing for Georgia at College. He likes fast conditions and Charlottesville is really fast. He was a top junior ranked inside Top 50, for example defeated Denis Shapovalov there.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Emil Reinberg vs. Stefan Kozlov 
=> Emil Reinberg @ 3.25 Ladbrokes stake: 4/10
Kozlov lost 11 of his last 12 matches, he is waiting for a win since June and he looked horrible recently losing the last six matches without winning a set and receiving some big blowouts vs average opponents like Lucas Gomez or Jared Hiltzik.
Reinberg is very solid and talented youngster who is playing for Georgia at College. He likes fast conditions and Charlottesville is really fast. He was a top junior ranked inside Top 50, for example defeated Denis Shapovalov there.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Alejandro Gomez vs. Aswin Lizen
=> Aswin Lizen @ 9 Ladbrokes stake: 1/10
Lizen is a solid prospect and he is playing for Virgina so this is a kind of a home tournament for him as Univ. of Virigina is located in Charlottesville. Lizen had a couple of good wins at college vs very good opponents and top college players. Gomez is a shaky player, inconsistent and indoor hard is obviously not his best surface.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Hugo Grenier vs. Henrik Wiersholm
=> Henrik Wiersholm @ 6.50 Ladbrokes stake: 0.5/10
Jan Choinski vs. Ryan Shane
=> Ryan Shane @ 2.96 Sbobet stake: 3/10
No time to write long analysis right now but i think Wiersholm has a slight chance to edge it, he looked promising at those tournaments in the last years and i think he might improved. Grenier is hard hitting guy but makes a lot of errors.
Shane is all or nothing player, hits very very very hard and plays risky tennis all the time, serves the second serve like the first serve, he is a nutcase on court but he has serious amount of talent, i rate him very very highly but he hasn't showed the head right now to establish himself on the circuit. He was one of the best college players and played vor Virginia. Maybe he will peak here, home tournament 100 miles away from his home town Falls Church.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Hugo Grenier vs. Henrik Wiersholm
=> Henrik Wiersholm @ 6.50 Ladbrokes stake: 0.5/10
Jan Choinski vs. Ryan Shane
=> Ryan Shane @ 2.96 Sbobet stake: 3/10
No time to write long analysis right now but i think Wiersholm has a slight chance to edge it, he looked promising at those tournaments in the last years and i think he might improved. Grenier is hard hitting guy but makes a lot of errors.
Shane is all or nothing player, hits very very very hard and plays risky tennis all the time, serves the second serve like the first serve, he is a nutcase on court but he has serious amount of talent, i rate him very very highly but he hasn't showed the head right now to establish himself on the circuit. He was one of the best college players and played vor Virginia. Maybe he will peak here, home tournament 100 miles away from his home town Falls Church.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Hugo Grenier vs. Henrik Wiersholm
=> Henrik Wiersholm @ 6.50 Ladbrokes stake: 0.5/10
Jan Choinski vs. Ryan Shane
=> Ryan Shane @ 2.96 Sbobet stake: 3/10
No time to write long analysis right now but i think Wiersholm has a slight chance to edge it, he looked promising at those tournaments in the last years and i think he might improved. Grenier is hard hitting guy but makes a lot of errors.
Shane is all or nothing player, hits very very very hard and plays risky tennis all the time, serves the second serve like the first serve, he is a nutcase on court but he has serious amount of talent, i rate him very very highly but he hasn't showed the head right now to establish himself on the circuit. He was one of the best college players and played vor Virginia. Maybe he will peak here, home tournament 100 miles away from his home town Falls Church.

Challenger Charlottesville qualifying
Alejandro Gomez vs. Aswin Lizen
=> Aswin Lizen @ 9 Ladbrokes stake: 1/10
Lizen is a solid prospect and he is playing for Virgina so this is a kind of a home tournament for him as Univ. of Virigina is located in Charlottesville. Lizen had a couple of good wins at college vs very good opponents and top college players. Gomez is a shaky player, inconsistent and indoor hard is obviously not his best surface.

Thanks man. I have some bets on my radar for the Charlottesville challenger later on today but no odds so far, but i am pretty sure we have some nice value there as some players are looking like huge underdogs but will perform better than expected. will post it later.

Thanks man. I have some bets on my radar for the Charlottesville challenger later on today but no odds so far, but i am pretty sure we have some nice value there as some players are looking like huge underdogs but will perform better than expected. will post it later.

@opole, Good luck on it the odds look really juicy. I’m not familiar with the other player but at those odds you could easily win. I don’t have money offshore to bet that. Hope you win tho ! I’m going to make a deposit soon I’m only betting at local sports books in Vegas right now

Right now the first match on Centre Court is going to end the first set, then another match and then Zima vs. Poljak. I think ~13:00 is realistic.

Challenger Eckental Qualifying
Leopold Zima vs. David Poljak
=> Leopold Zima @ 6.65 10bet 3/10
I wrote some words about Zima a couple of days ago. He is a decent prospect and has some serious talent, of course he is young and he didn't play much on the pro circuit so far but Poljak isn't an unbeatable opponent in my opinion. Zima was playing a solid match vs. top prospect Rodionov in Eckental last year and i expect a better performance this year as he developed well. Odds are too high.