neilovan

Miami Q Inglis vs. Bondar A. 1.67 Miami Q Marino R. vs. Fruhvirtova L. 1.57 Miami Q Birrell K. vs. Sasnovich 1.57 Miami Q Sawangkaew vs. Masarova 1.45 All favorites to win ------------------------------------ Two dogs to win Miami Q Stardodubtseva J. vs. Lepchenko V. 2.15 Miami Q Pera B. vs. Stakusic M. 2.20

Easy afterwards.

For me, it is not often that you see the 4 best players in the world (on form), in the semi-finals of a tournament. Normally at this point, two/more of the top 6 seeds has had a bad match and is gone (so Gauff and Pegula). But on current form it is very difficult to go against any of the 4 semi-finalists. Aussie Open champ | Aussie open runner-up | Swiatek who can be incredible | Andreeva who is playing the best tennis of her life. Swiatek in her last 17 matches on hard, won 14 lost 3 (Andreeva, Keys, Ostapenko) Keys has won 17 of her last 18 matches (won Adelaide, Aussie Open ... 1 loss to Tauson) . Highest level. Andreeva with 14 wins in 17 also playing at her highest level (2 losses to Sabalenka, 1 to Sramkova). Bad losses to Sabalenka. Sabalenka also 14 of 17 wins (3 loses Tauson, Alexandrova,Keys) . Tauson with 2 wins here which is eye opening. I wish you the best with your bet, but for me these 2 matches are far from the 'low hanging fruit'. These are very difficult to predict, and it would be easy to get both wrong. In addition, Andreeva beat Swiatek the last time they played. Ithink if Andreeva was playing Keys and Swiatek v Sabalenka the bet may be easier to win.

Two bets, both favorites to win. Just taking as a double which is around 1.80 Indian wells Andreeva M. vs. Svitolina E. 1.4 3 Phoenix challenger Fonseca vs. Struff JL. 1.33 3.1

The dessert sounds Tasty !🍦🍉 but I know what you mean 😁 Would just like to get away from the butt-kicking 🤢 I am getting at Indian Wells. Indian wells Draper J. vs. Fritz T. 1.78 2.0 (Draper to win)

Indian Wells been a tricky few days. I'll rather just revert back to system picks as they seem to be more reliable. 6 FAVORITES to win Cap Cana challenger Schoolkate vs. Fognini F. 1.6 2.2 Cap Cana challenger Altmaier D. vs. Lajovic D. 1.7 2.2 Phoenix challenger Safiullin R. vs. Eubanks C. 1.45 2.55 Phoenix challenger Fearnley J. vs. Duckworth J. 1.4 2.7 Phoenix challenger Holt B. vs. Hijikata R. 1.5 2.4 Phoenix challenger Walton A. vs. Gaston H. 1.57 2.25 2 UNDERDOGS to WIN 3/11/2025 Indian Wells Medvedev D. vs. Paul T. 1.75 2.05 3/11/2025 Phoenix challenger Bublik A. vs. Vukic A. 1.72 2.00

Wow. Awake to a trainsmash. Nice write up but the predictions were rubbish. Nobody wins. Such a bad day of results. Kasatkina and Navarro 😗 At least you can only lose a bet once. I expected players to struggle with their serves. But my expectation was that the better, mentally tougher players would handle it and prevail. Arnaldi to win was a good price, but he got destroyed, in conditions that should suite him. He won 8 return points in 45, or less than 1 point every return game (9). WTA no 8, Navarro loses her serve 7 times in 10 tries. Goes to pieces after losing 1st set breaker, getting hammered 6-1 2nd set. Kasatkina plays a solid 1st set and is 3-2 with a break in the 2nd. Then loses her serve 5 times in a row and disintegrates. Paolini and Cristian 4-4 3rd set playing a 9th game that has had 24 points in it. Bizarre. Paolini just falls over the line to win it. I just cannot get a grasp of what is going on in this tournament.

Amazingly Keys butchers the 2nd set. What's that, 5 match points to win in straight sets? She is 5-2 up in the breaker and loses 6 of the next 8 points. Some of this stuff is hard to digest. But she wins at the end so it's OK.😄

It is interesting that the resurface of the courts has actually made them slower. Normally there are fine grains of sand added to the final paint of the surface. Certain events affect it. Rain, lots of play and feet on the court, how it is cleaned and how often. But these courts are grainy, new and relatively slow and bouncy. A few things happen. The balls get fluffed up much quicker, and go through the air slower. I think balls are changed every 9 games (first change is 7 because of warm up), so this normally happens later (in the series of 9 games). But this happens earlier on outdoor, slower grainy courts. So in the WTA where matches are not generally serve dominated, the server finds it even harder to hold serve. And players that rely on a stream of free'ish serving points, get a helluva shock when the opponent starts making more and more returns. And the more balls that are in play, with longer rallies, the quicker the balls fluff up, and the worse it gets for the server. So betting in-play on serve breaks, as the balls get older, there are increasing returns (more chance to be broken). What also happens (to those very good servers) is that some are just not 100% fit. They are so used to a stream of soft points, that they don't need exceptional fitness levels. They can't grind out a string of long points, because they don't have the fitness to do it (Rybakina, Mertens). And somebody who is a grinder knows this, and will use it to their own advantage. Indian wells Arnaldi vs. Nakashima 1.85 1.91 Indian wells Keys vs. Mertens 1.36 3.1 I give Mertens almost no chance of winning her match against Keys. She is heavily dependent on her serve effectiveness and it is nullified here. The rest of her game can't make up the slack. The 2:0 Keys (1.91) is the bet for me here. I think similar of Vekic v Navarro. Again, Vekic over reliant on serve freebies, and she won't get many v Navarro, who is in very good form. Navarro who is a really good athlete/competitor will love these conditions and should win easily. Another that I expect to win is Kasatkina over Samsonova. Kasatkina has quite a strange game style, but she has fantastic hand-eye coordination. You can see that she played from a very young age, and developed her own game, before being coached. She likes to hit a looping topspin, that clears the net by 4 foot. It is a brutal ball to deal with on these courts. Ball is gripping and bouncing and is heavy, and difficult. These conditions are made for Kasatkina. Last match is Paolini to beat Cristain. No-contest for me. Paolini just too athletic for her opponent, in conditions that will suite her well. No dominant serves here, in a clash of similar game styles. Paolini is just miles better at doing it. I am just going 1 unit of Navaro, Paolini, Kasatkina all to win, and 1/2 unit on each as individual bets. Keys and Arnaldi seperate bets for me but 2.5 units each.

The price never really worries me. Its just a quantification of sentiment and money flow. The new racquet is definitely working for Tsitsipas. He is a pretty good athlete but the backhand has been glaring. But now, with whatever it gives him ... more control, stability, bigger sweet spot, he is way better on that side. He was being overpowered on the backhand, and now it looks way more stable, and the racquet is not rotating/vibrating in the swing... where he gets the crazy misshit, shank frame shot. I don't think these weird high bouncing, slowish courts help Berrettini. Berrettini in trouble here. Very few free points, and he's actually a serving bot with a big forehand.

Thanks, but sometimes I stink too. I am taking them as singles.

Indian wells Tsitsipas vs. Berrettini 1.78 2 Indian wells Andreeva M. vs. Tauson C. 1.5 2.55 Tsitsipas and Andreeva to both win.

5 stinking predictions yesterday, but 5 very good ones the day before. There is a level of inconsistent play and performance that is very hard to get in sync with.

Frech, Potapova and Tomova 3 bombs. Not cost a lot but Potapova and Tomova badly beaten. To see Avanesyan losing her serve 5 times in 7 tries is eye opening. In each of the 5 games she has been down 0-40 every time. Essentially losing the 1st 3 points in 5 separate serve games. What is going on there? This is not a palooka, she is world number 39... And at 1-4 down second set she does it again. Virtually impossible to do this. In the 2nd set, at one stage she had won 1 of 16 points on her own serve, which is ridiculous.

Not seeing a lot of great opportunities in the ATP. In the WTA there are some close matchups Frech v Bronzetti looks close to me. A couple of options here. Could dutch the 2:1 and 1:2 scorelines in sets. If you put a unit on each and it went to 3 sets, you win 3.6 -1 or 2.6 units. For me its better than the oover match games bet. Frech has played 3 sets in 5 of her last 7 matches on hardcourt. Sakkari v Tomova If Tomova could ask for a time to play Sakkati, it would be now. Sakkari is so far off her best level, while Tomova is playing at her highest level in 2 years. Nothing between them and Tomova definitely worth a unit bet against an opponent who has no confidence and is serving badly. Keys v Potapova Keys has not played since the Aussie open, and backing her to win here, is looking for trouble. The ball seems to be slow with a high bounce. I watched the Potapova v Yastremnska match (I think Dubai), and Potapova actually played well, but Yastremska was on fire. Keys to start slowly and lose the 1st set. 1st set Potapova winner is 2.55. Avanesyan v Vekic Avanesyan all day for me here. After losing 7-6 6-0 at Aussie open (Pavlychenkova) Vekic has lost 1st match and Doha, Dubai and Merida. She also lost 1st match at Adelaide and both matches at the United cup. So her game is not firing at all. Confidence is low, serve is not getting the free points, and IMO she should lose this match against a solid opponent. Shnaider v Parks For me, it is very evenly matched. Again I am dutching the 2:1 or 1:2 in sets bet. Shnaider had been over 2 sets in 7 of her last 11 hard court matches. Will Dutch a 1/2 unit on each. Indian wells Draper vs. Fonseca 1.56 2.45 . Draper to come out on top here.