neilovan

The Tauson performance is quite interesting The fact that she blows up after losing a close 2nd set (6/7) indicates a few things. Possibly not so strong mentally. Tough players (mentally) overcome these setbacks and they come out on top. Maybe she is not fit enough. You can actually check this by looking at her 3 set W/L record. Maybe affected by heat. But either way, make a note of this and use it against her (betting wise) when the next opportunity arises. Off the top of my head I say similar happened in the Aussie open against Sabalenka, where she had chances and blew it. If you have a database of matches, check those players that exhibit the qualities. Lose a close set and blow up on the next one. And check those that don't as well.

Good to take a few days off and reevaluate. I think I have made some seriously good upgrades to my models, and am expecting good things. No doubt, as the the clay court season progresses it will become easier to identidy better betting oppotrtunities. 3 Dogs to win WTA Rouen Sakkari vs. Bouzas Maniero 1.45 2.70 Stuttgart Tauson C. vs. Potapova 1.57 2.35 Stuttgart Shanaider D. vs. Kudermetova V. 1.75 2.05 5 Favorites to win Barcelona Arnaldi M. vs. Korda S 1.85 2 Rouen Ruse E.G. vs. Jacquemot E. 1.57 2.35 Rouen Garcia C. vs. Blinkova A. 1.8 2 Munich Kecmanovic M. vs. Giron M. 1.35 3.00 125K Oeiras Zidansek T. vs. Barthel N. 1.42 2.65 Lets see what the new week brings.

What is with Shelton dropping his serve 6 times in a row? Is he injured? How do you win the 1st set and then get smoked 6-2 6-1. Something special from the 14th best player in the world. I am done for a few weeks. Simply have no form to win a close match, and am unable to get a 4 to 10 favorite over the line. Will hold on to some winnings and avoid this endless butt-kicking.

You think maybe he could win 1 of the next 5 points against a guy that has no weapons. NO he dumps the match in the bin and folds up like a bog roll in a thunderstorm.

Just amazing watching Auger Aliasimme play. He has such potential but just plays like a vegetable. Has the tennis IQ of a green pea. After today I will never bet on that guy again. I am watching the Bu v Musetti game now. Bu certainly has some ftness and stamina. Musetti going ape!

Just brutal to rely on someone else to perform. He really should win this most days. I see Auger Aliasimme struggling with the journeyman Altmaier and Musetti on the wrong end against Bu. Wawrinka had it going his way and blew it as well.

A couple of thing regarding Monte Carlo. 1) The Europeans should be more comfortable in Europe, while the American players now have to do some serious travelling out of their comfort zone. It has to help European based players. Does it affect players from South America or Oceania that much? No, these players are used to big travel, and long flights etc 2) Even at this stage some players have not played a competitive match on clay this season. Case in point: Lehecka v. Korda. I think these types of matches are going to be won by those that are more advanced in their clay court prep. Lehecka v Korda and Medvedev v Khachanov In both matches neither player has played a clay court match this season. Who is ready? Anyone's guess. Lehecka was done in Miami on the 21st of March, so he has a head start in this process over Korda who played his last match 27th March. I don't think that a player suddenly finds their form, during a match on a new surface. If they are outta sorts at the start they will be in the same place at the end. So my feeling is whoever starts well will probably win. OK, you get lower odds, but it is really an in-play betting opportunity. In the Medvedev match it is wait and see. This is quite a tricky one to call. Khachanov beat him last year at Monte Carlo. 3 underdogs to win Monte Carlo Tabilo v. Wawrinka 1.75 2.05 Monte Carlo Muller A. v. Ugo Carabelli C. 1.85 1.91 Monte Carlo Davidovich Fokina v. Shelton 1.60 2.30 3 favorites to win Monte Carlo Shapovalov D. v. Giron M. 1.45 2.7 Monte Carlo Auger Aliasimme v. Altmaier D. 1.42 2.85 Monte Carlo Berrettini M. v. Navone M. 1.5 2.54

Sorry my bad. I screwed up on this one.

I would be 4/4 today but Herbert is unable to win a point at 7/6 5/3 love:40 to go over 22.5 games. Add to Kenin who is winning (and opponent quits at 2-5 ... result stands at 2-6) and Pegula who wins in spite of herself, it is quite irritating. 3 bets that with a miniscule amount of good fortune ALL win.

So back to some form yesterday (7/8). Hopefully the streak continues well. Underdogs to win Pegula v Kenin at 2.35 Baez v Cobolli at 2.4 -------------------------------- Marozsan v Bellucci Over 21.5 games 1.7 Goffin v Moutet Over 21.5 games 1.8 Altmaier v Herbert Over 22.5 games 1.9 Bu Yunchaokete 2:0 v Ramos Vinollas 1.91 Mpetshi Perricard to beat Thompson 1.75 Alexandrova losing a very close match against Pegula yesterday, while Kenin had a walkover (2-5 I needed 1 more damn game), has to favor Kenin. SHe had a rest day. Kenin playing very well and looks over her injury problems. Bonzi nutchered it against Ramos Vinollas yesterday, but my feeling is that Yunchaokete wins well against Vinollas today. Perricard beat Thompson their last meeting, and Thompson really strugging on clay. Off to the courts myself for a Sunday 8am😲 kickoff. My opponents/partners are tough competitors, cunning, with skill and ability. Should be a good 2+ hours of battle.

I bet more on the the ability ( or lack thereof of) of his opponent.

Well hopefully it turns around.

Nice return to some form for me, winning all bets posted today. Just need Bonzi to beat Ramos Vinolas and it is 8/8 wins. I am not impressed with Pegula. For me she crumbles under pressure. I have watched quite a few matches where she just does not know what to do. Gets aggrevated and then blows up. The last time she played Alexandrova she got crunched 6-1 and 6-1 in sets 2 and 3. When it goes bad for her, there is no plan 'B' . Alezandrova has been playing very well. Solid win over Shnaider (6-2 6-1), walked over Li (6-3 6-0) and beat up Zheng (6-1 and 6-4). So she is in very good form. I am going for the Alexandrova win here at odds of 2.45

Sometimes they tourn organizers pay appearance money, or throw in a freebie. Come play and we'll pay your flights and accommodation.

All Monte Carlo Qualifying Rinderknech to beat Nardi 2.15 Herbert to beat Vukic 1.85 Medjedovic to beat Gojo 1.44 Bonzi to beat Ramos Vinolas 1.4 Darderi to beat Carballes Beana 1.9 Lajovic v Bublik looks to be a close match as does Norrie v Bellucci.