NoFear
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Posts posted by NoFear
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Re: February 3 - February 9
thanks for pointing us all to this betDaniel Brands v Ivo Karlovic - First set tie break - yes No bookmaker has been silly enough to price up the Tie Break market. But Coral are offering 6/4 on the 1st set being decided by a Tie Break. Are they stupid? Two huge servers on one of the quickest courts of the year. Indoors means no wind and no sun to effect their serve. This is odds on in my book and here are some stats to back it up. Brands and Karlovic have met twice before. 5 sets of tennis and 4 of them went to a tie break. Karlovic has seen a 1st Set Tie Break in 3 of his last 4 matches. 7 of his last 10 sets of tennis has been decided by a Tie Break. In Zagreb, Karlovic's last 8 matches have had 6 1st Set Tie Breaks. Daniel Brands has had a 1st set tie break in his last two matches. 6/4 is a such a good price I can't stop smiling. Thanks Coral. -
Re: February 3 - February 9 @czech have you increased your standard bet size? I remember when you were only betting 3 units as standard and maybe 4 units for confident bets. But only ever so you bet 7 units on what you deemed absolute bankers. However, noticed that 5-7 units is your new standard bet size. Is that true?
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Re: La Liga > January 31st - February 3rd yup cost me big as well. csk csk csk. this week all my bankers in big big value accas have lost. Chelsea lost @1.17 when it was the only losing leg in a 30/1 acca and now barca cost me 4 double digit accas which had cardiff and schalke and a few others in them. I think its best to avoid these skinny skinny priced teams in the future. But with all the info we had on valencia, still hard to fathom how barca didnt at least win, let alone cover the handciaps. this week must be bookies best week for many years.
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Re: Sky Bet Championship > February 1st & 2nd I am never betting against runs. One doesnt know how long it will last.
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Re: Chelsea v West Ham > Wednesday January 29th the only losing leg in a 30/1 acca. csk csk
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City > Wednesday January 29th I think that tottenham could get some joy here if they set up to counter attack? man citys defence can be got at and I know sherwood has been favoring 4-4-2 but he could set them up differently here or change the formation in-play. Tottenham had trouble breaking teams down at white hart lane under villas-boas when playing the tikka-takka and I am sure city might have the same troubles breaking spurs down now with vertonghen back in the defence.
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Manchester City > Wednesday January 29th vertonghen in playing
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > Tuesday January 28th http://www.theguardian.com/football/2014/jan/05/everton-qpr-fa-cup-match-report John Stones impresses for Everton against lifeless QPR Thanks, I havent seen much of him though some good reviews on his performances.
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Re: Swansea City v Fulham > Tuesday January 28th @neil = although I love your second half bets, don't you think Swansea will want to win this game badly and so will be out of the blocks very quick? I think they are shrewd enough to know that fulham are bad travellers and can be got at early. And swans know that they have the possession game to keep hold of a lead. I realise that swans have their injury concerns but those injury concerns are probaby not going to affect the 1st half as much as they are going to affect the 2nd half. FWIW, I think your stats may well have made me believe that swans are a good bet here to win outright (but the price is still too skinny!). So although, I like the bet, I hope u dont mind if I suggest that you perhaps dont make it your Maxbet. just my two cents
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Re: Liverpool v Everton > Tuesday January 28th @evertonboy - I was with you before they came out with the injury list. Dont you think defensive injuries at both ends should make your price on the overs change? Regarding the liverpool odds, initially I thought they were short too but I think everton's injuries at the back could well be worse then pools cos toure and skrtel are still decent defenders, where as half-fit heitinga (probably his last game too for the club), with coleman and pienaar out, those are bigger blows. Hence, I think the bookies have the odds spot on here.
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Re: La Liga > January 24th - 27th amazing stuff neil and nicko. BRAVO :clap
I just don't get the Sociedad v Elche odds If you look for teams that have won their last 5 home games (10 of them in Europe) , Sociedad are in this group. Their goal scoring is the 2nd best in Europe (in the last 5 home games) , with 19 goals scored and 3 clean sheets ( compare with Chelsea, who have won their last 5 , but have scored just 11 goals). Only Real Madrid with their 400 million pound squad have scored more (21). Then throw in how good these guys are in the 2nd half of games. They have won 7 of 9 , drawing 2 2nd halves. One of the draws was against Ath MAdrid. They have won 4 second halves by a 2 or more goal margin, scoring 17 goals and conceding just 2. Only the other Basque club Ath Bilbao have a better 2nd half home record in Spain. The odds for the home win (1.55) are not fantastic but on pure form, goal scoring and winning momentum it's a GIFT. Exceeding my max with 8 units here for the HW at odds of 1.55 betvictor , 1.53 various. Also going huge 10 UNITS (normal max is 6 for me) for Sociedad to win the 2nd half at 1.91 bet365, 1.92 betvictor Am happy to incur some risk in this game to set up a massively profitable week. Good luck to all, and lets have a HUGE PROFITABLE week starting tonight ! :ok -
Re: Serie A > January 25th & 26th
same here must of backed them 3-4 times since they beat ac Milan' date=' don't think they won a game since[/quote'] exactly, i was impressed after watching that milan game. Gits have cost me a few accas since then. Like i said, need to learn to stay away from them unless they find some consistency -
Re: La Liga > January 24th - 27th well done on the AM match guys. Absolutely spot on with the goals bet as well
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Re: Ligue 1 Orange > January 24th - 26th
Wow' date=' what a great weekend again. Lyon delivered as expected and all 3 bets won! great profit again. Almost all my bets won and I'm glad I can tribute something to this forum. Let's hope Marseille will be the icing the cake! Cheers.[/quote'] well done. finally we are getting something from the french league -
Re: Serie A > January 25th & 26th
inter cost me a good acca today. when will i learn. they seem to win when i m not on, and lose when i am.Glad you won. I did not have a bet here , but 2 goals in the last 5 minutes always helps. Watched Inter labor around and miss 10 chances against a terrible Catania side. Whistled off by a pissed off crowd -
Re: England > Weekend > Skrill Prem Jan 25
so how many are you?Sorry addpea, We are iBettors, sportsbetting entusiasts based in Gibraltar. 117,31% ROI on the 44 bets placed so far here on PL, + 29,44 units. Congratulations on your awards, well deserved. An inspiration together with Meatman and a few others. Good luck all, -
Re: FA Cup > January 24th - 26th this manc team is going places for sure. could have settled for the replay but no, they want to win everything
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Re: FA Cup > January 24th - 26th what channel is this game on? mancity-watford i mean
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Re: Ligue 2 > January 24th - 27th
I follow him because even after this incredibly bad run I have broken even following his tips. I will be the first to admit that I am a little nervous following him blindly now though since he is running so bad and all my previous years winnings from him have gone within the past month or so (I havent been following him from day 1). But having said that, his opinion matters because until he hits the form again, I am reading through his picks, then going out and doing research, and if I think he has a point then I back his tip. In the past, I was less selective and was following blindly. Also other tipsters like senk provide valuable info as well. So if after reading all the tips, a bet seems +ev, then I take it. I advise u to do the same instead of just betting on the opposite of his tip. GLI put my money to win not to bet against anyone on world,so this is not against you or against someone else. But why to follow you if you are in deepshit with predictions last month.You puting money on underdogs last 1/2 monts snd you loose slmost evry time. And i dont care about that,its your money,but if someone put bets oposite you you are nervous.... Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk -
Re: Ligue 2 > January 24th - 27th
thats the spirit. let them bet against u if they want. Anyways, smart punters are just after your views. They dont care about bad runs. They will take your advise, mix it with their other research and bet if you make a valid point that has some thinking gone into it. GL this weekend3 pretty decent predictions there! Only the Le Havre result I was off on! Btw going against me long term will lose you money. I know, everyone knows, and even you know I will return to form sometime ;) #justsaying -
Re: Australian Open 2014 I agree with neil here. If he can stay competitive against djokovic, he can compete with nadal. People always say it depends on which wawrinka is going to turn up. Not the case here as we all know which wawrinka is going to turn up. Its the bloody final.
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Re: FA Cup > January 24th - 26th
well done, he did look hungryVery strong team from Arsenal: Fabianski, Jenkinson, Koscielny, Mertesacker, Gibbs, Wilshere, Oxlade-Chamberlain, Ozil, Gnabry, Podolski, Bendtner. I'm going for Podolski to score 2 at odds of 3.00 (Coral). Should get lots of chances tonight and looked absolutely desperate to bag a goal when he came on a Fulham last weekend. Definitely will be trying to play himself back into contention tonight. -
Re: Australia vs England - ODI & T20 Series
bad luck there. hopefully england defend now. think the price of 1.62 was not much value though. batting pitch, aussies bat deep, and nowadays 300 is the same as 250 10 years ago. btw which bookie was the o/u bet withOver / Under runs has moved up to 100.5 in 15 overs, this one is in the bank early :cigar Amazing its 74 runs with 3 balls to go and that fking sheep shearer blocks 3 balls, hilarious:wall Thanks Mathew Wade , you clueless boko. -
Re: Horse withdrawn due to gamble?
still not too late. still a couple of "gambles" left to run. Anyone on?God I wish i'd seen these gambles this morning. Still good to see someone taking the bookies for a roasting. :ok
Serie A > february 14th - 17th
in Italian Football Predictions
Posted
Re: Serie A > february 14th - 17th catania won earlier today and surely that result will inspire sassualo to get a result as well against napoli since they are now last after catania's win. This is a very important game for them, more so now. They will be up for it and napoli usually has trouble against underdogs who are motivated especially when napoli play away. No bet game for me.