freddie01

Seems to be a weekly occurrence that there is some late drama with the bets and there certainly was today. Amazing for Dagenham to come from behind and score 2 very late goals, although Fylde blew the lead twice and let a late goal in themselves to stop it being 3/3, but with 7/2 and the Naps wining at 2/1 I will take that! Guaranteed profit for the weekend with the 3 FA Cup tips still come and if at least 1 of those comes in then it will be a very good weekend.

Tottenham vs Inter Milan
It's another crunch game in the Champions League for Tottenham tonight as they take on Inter Milan in an 8pm kick-off at Wembley. A win is an absolute necessity for Spurs if they are to maintain realistic hopes of qualifying for the last 16 of this competition.
Tottenham have started to improve over the past few weeks. It has still been one of their best ever starts to a season but, despite this, Mauricio Pochettino has still come under fire for not being closer to Manchester City in the league and dropping valuable points in the Champions League group phase.
Inter Milan find themselves in second place heading into this game. A 2-1 win over Tottenham in the reverse fixture included two goals in the last few minutes of the game. Their only dropped points in the group so far have been a draw and defeat to group leaders Barcelona.
Pochettino was almost left in a quandary with recent starting revelation Juan Foyth not eligible to play tonight after being left out of the initial Champions League 25-man squad. Fortunately, Jan Vertonghen has recovered from his injury so should be fit to start. A change to the defensive line for a game like this is never the best thing to endure.
Tottenham have a great recent record against Inter Milan at home in European competition. They have played the Italian side twice in the past few years before on home turf and won both times. The 2010/11 fixture was when Gareth Bale famously burst onto the big stage by destroying Maicon down that one flank to gift Spurs with a 3-1 win. They then won again in 2012/13 Europa League with a 3-0 score-line.
Inter Milan have never managed to keep a clean sheet in their last 5 previous meetings with Tottenham. On the flip side, they have only failed to score once. It is also interesting to note that the home side has won those past 5 encounters between the two teams.
Pochettino's men need to win this game otherwise they are eliminated. I can see this being a motivator for them. They have been superb in domestic action lately and with Harry Kane scoring 13 goals in his last 14 Champions League appearances he's certainly worth backing as an anytime scorer in a Spurs win.
Tottenham to Win @ 1.78 with MarathonBet
Harry Kane Anytime Scorer @ 1.80 with Betfair

Another profitable day on Saturday and we move on to the final set of fixtures for November where we basically have a full fixture list in the National League which is where my focus is.
Chesterfield v Bromley
Draw!
Well it might not be as simple as that. Bromley are looking pretty poor at the moment and this does look a very winnable game for Chesterfield who despite their long unbeaten run did slip into the relegation zone on Saturday. They are clearly a better side than that and this is a much easier game than Saturday's. However I did think the Havant game was one they could have won and indeed they should have done, but again their lack of scoring goals was the issue in a 0-0 draw. I am going to back the draw again though because the stats suggest it is the value play yet again. How on earth other tipsters still haven't bothered putting it up I don't know. In this match though I am also going to cover the home win because it is a shade of odds against so would give us a tiny profit if it happened and I struggle to see Bromley winning the match.
Hartlepool v AFC Fylde
I have had my fingers burnt a few times when putting up Fylde away from home as they have only one twice and drawn 7 times. I am going to back them again though as I think Hartlepool look vulnerable at the moment. They have lost 5 league games on the bounce including to struggling Dover on Saturday. What probably didn't help was the fact Gillingham took them to extra time in the FA Cup on Wednesday night and I can imagine that game had left a mark. What they need is a week off, but they aren't going to get that and you would hope that Fylde attack them early on as Dover did on Saturday. Fylde scored two goals in the 88th minute to overturn a 1 goal deficit against Boreham Wood on Saturday and they were a bit off their game, but it is always uplifting to win a game in that style and if they could turn this away draws into wins then they might be capable of getting in the title picture. 
Leyton Orient v Aldershot
Tuesday nights do tend to throw up some strange results and if Aldershot even get a point in this game it would be one of the stranger ones of the season. They are woeful on the road having won just once and drawn just once scoring just 5 times in 10 games. They even managed to lose at home to Barrow on Saturday and like Hartlepool the FA Cup replay they had which went to penalties might have been behind the lackluster performance. Orient are beginning to look like they might be hard to catch at the top of the table. They have lost just once all season and have conceded just 13 goals all season whilst scoring 42. They got a huge win on Saturday against Wrexham when Bonne got a crucial goal 4 minutes from time. He deserves to be playing in the Football League and there is every chance he will be doing that with Orient next season. Aldershot lost 4-0 to Salford in their last away match and this should be a comfortable night for Orient and they should cover the -1 handicap which looks a cracking bet to me.
Maidstone v Eastleigh
I wonder if Maidstone might have one eye on the FA Cup match at the weekend as they weren't great on Saturday when I tipped them up. Granted a sending off didn't help, but they were already a goal down at the time and ended up losing 5-2. They did beat Macclesfield at home in the FA Cup a couple of weeks ago, but they have only won once at home in the league all season and I don't expect them to get a 2nd here. Eastleigh are strong away from home and I am beginning to think that they could be play-off contenders as they are creeping into contention. They are 5 games unbeaten now and are playing well. It probably wont be a goalfest, but I do expect the away side to nick it as they are the better side.
Salford v Harrogate
I am going to oppose Salford again because as I wrote on Saturday I think they are going to lose a league game sooner rather than later. It could well have been Solihull on Saturday as Solihull did score but it was ruled out. At the time of writing I haven't seen the goal yet, but it was a contentious decision as the ref had to consult with his linesman after originally giving the goal. Harrogate started slowly against Braintree on Saturday, but found their stride after going a goal down and ran out easy 3-1 winners in the end. They are only 3 points behind their hosts on Tuesday with a game in hand and have lost just two games so far this season in the league. It obviously is no gimmie, but I do think they should be shorter than the price they are as I would have them around 2/1 to win this so they are certainly worth a bet.
Chesterfield v Bromley 1pt draw @ 127/50 with Marathon and Chesterfield to win 1pt @ 21/20 with Betfred
AFC Fylde 1pt @ 127/100 with Marathon
Leyton Orient -1 3pts @ 7/5 with Betfair and Betfred
Eastleigh 2pts @ 141/100 with Marathon
Harrogate 1pt @ 16/5 with Bet365
 

Not sure why anyone would want to do anything other than backing Chesterfield to draw at the moment. Easy way of making money and we are getting big value because the stats tell you that the draw should be much shorter when Chesterfield are involved. Another profitable afternoon and its been a pretty good move with just one day left to go.

Onwards and Upwards.

Selection
#127
Single
FC Lahti vs RoPS
Veikkausliiga / 18th May 2018 @ 16:30
Double chance • RoPS or draw
Odds: 1.83
Stake: 10 
Veikkausliiga now added to leagues I compile odds for 

Profit/Loss of the day +20.00PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +208.90PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -1.20pts
Overall Selections 112
Won 71
Lost 41
Strike rate :- 63.39%
AVG ODDS 1.94
R.O.I  +18.65%
Full house tonight  only -1.20pts on the month now after a poor start hopefully can kick on now. Got a game overnight in MLS and a game in Sweden tomorrow would be nice going into the weekend in profit for the month.
Most my selections for the weekend are done maybe a few more added as Norway games are on Monday and due to them games just finishing tonight ratings need changing so could throw up a couple more selections.

Profit/Loss of the day -4.90PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +165.10PTS
Month Profit/Loss:-  -45.00pts
Overall Selections 98
Won 60
Lost 38
Strike rate :- 61.22%
AVG ODDS 1.90
R.O.I  +16.85%
 
Another small loss and now this is a record breaking run of losing days . I've been working hard on this today so not seen to many games to know if today's results were bad luck or poor selections. 
I'm working on a market predictor which will predict what way the odds are going to move so this will help me (i hope ) to get better prices and to know what teams to back right away and which to leave and let them drift. I will show you all for Wednesday's games in Norway and talk you through it.
So like I've said many times I'm happy with this atm but now adding more to it all the bits and bobs are coming together. So hopefully I will have a market predictor, A football results predictor and a selection predictor If successful it could be very powerful.
After the last ball is kick in Norway that's around 9pm tomorrow I will post the my market predictor odds for Wednesday's match in that league. Then as soon as Bet 365 release there odds on that market I will get a screenshot and post it side by side with the market predictor odds.
From there I will try to predict which odds will go up and which will go down. I am that confident in this that I reckon I will correctly get 75%-80% right maybe even more. Only time will tell if this will work and actions will speak louder then word but if it does it will give me a little edge but lets wait and see.
Right Irish league is getting dropped lack of coverage plus I have J-league 2 now so no real need for the Irish league as I was performing poor in it.
I will continue to push with this I'm working hard on it and as I'm boring I'm excited by the journey ahead will it work long term ? who knows but I will give it my best shot to make it work and it will take more then a few poor results to stop me with this.
I hope this is coming across as interesting for you all as it is for me Like I've said this is not a thread to follow with your money and back my selections Its more to show you what can be done and how bloody hard it can be and how much hard work goes into it.
Let's Go
 

so that's it for this weekend 17 selections 170pts on the line lets see how I do. I do normally look all weekend for odds movement but due to a little change in selection and team ratings and a 170PT risk I will leave it for this weekend.

Well done again. A very worthy interesting thread. Good luck.

Well done again. A very worthy interesting thread. Good luck.

Going very,very well. Well done sir. 

Excellent thread. Thanks for sharing. A very enjoyable thread. Best of luck.

Result
 
Single
Ranheim vs Brann
Eliteserien / 25th Apr 2018 @ 17:30
Match winner • Brann (0-2) WON +12.00PTS
Odds: 2.20
Stake: 10 
 
 
Profit/Loss of the day +16.20PTS
Overall Profit/Loss +131.90PTS
Overall Selections 54
Won 35
Lost 19
Strike rate :- 64.81%
Avg odds 2.05
R.O.I  +24.43%
Another winner to wrap up the day with 4/6 selections winning roll on the week and I can up my feet up and watch the snooker and champions league now 

If i'm reading this wrong i apologise but Killie did the business by scoring 2 goals ...so a return of 17pts was made ...are you betting win and BTTS  mate ??
 
CRYSTAL PALACE   2-1
KILMARNOCK  2-2
HOFFENHEIM  1-0
HERTHA  3-1
 
Bets - 38

Wins - 22

Profit/loss to 10pt stake = +92.40pts

Sorry to read this Skittle but I'm sure you'll bounce back with another mega run.:hope