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Teams to score 2 goals ...simples


jtw1

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The purpose of this thread is to try and identify a match where one side has [in theory] a good chance of scoring at least 2 goals.

Major leagues only .

soccerstats.com is the primary source i'll be using .

Bet 1 - Friday - REAL SOCIEDAD to score at least 2 away to Girona.

Reasoning - Sociedad have scored 2+ in 3/5 aways this season and have an average of 14 shots on target in those 5 games. They have no serious Injury or suspensions.

Girona have conceded at least 2 in 3/6 homes.

ODDS - 2.20 from Bet365

10pts staked

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After a 7th minute goal i was thinking this is an easy way to make money......:eyes

1-1 ft ....:@

Anyway after being unable to post for saturday's games here 3 interesting picks for Sunday.

SAMPDORIA v juventus ...After 5 homes Samp have scored at least two in all those games whilst Juve have conceded 2+ in 3/5 aways.

Juventus have an important CL game at home to Barcelona mid-week so some players may be rested for this .

Odds for Sampdoria 2+ goals = 3.75

 

INTER v atalanta ...4/6 homes have had 2+ while Atalanta have conceded 2+ in 3/5 aways

Atalanta have a mid-week Euro qualifier v Everton

Odds for INTER 2+ = 1.66   *If Icardi [11 goals this season] does not start then it's a no-bet .

 

utrecht v EXCELSIOR ...The away side have a 100% 2+ record in 5 aways this season

Excelsior have a full team to choose from.

Odds for EXCELSIOR 2+ - 3.75

Edited by jtw1
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Tuesday - Championship

MILLWALL v hull  -  Millwall have scored 2+ in 4/8 homes [scored in 7/8] They will miss Jed Wallace [3 goals] but managed 2 goals away to Sunderland without him on saturday. They appear to have no other fresh injury/suspension worries.

Hull have conceded in 7/8 aways [2+ in 4 of those 8]

Both could well do with 3pts as they hover above the relegation zone .

Odds - 2.1   [bet365]

 

DERBY v qpr  -   Derby have scored 2+ in 4/7 [scored in 6/7] homes while Qpr have yet kept a clean sheet away from home this season [2+ in 4/8]

Odds - 1.91   [corals]

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WOLVES 4-1 Big Grin

Bets - 7

Wins - 5

Profit/loss to 10pt stake = +21.70pts


CRYSTAL PALACE - 2+ goals in 3/6 homes [the last 3 homes actually] v a Stoke side who conceded 2+ in 3/6 and will continue to miss regular keeper Jack Butland.

Odds - 2.1 bet365

BRISTOL CITY have scored 2+ in 5/9 aways and have a full squad to take to HULL who could be fancied themselves for at least but the fact they have let in 2+ in 5/9 homes diverts me to the away side at the odds .

Odds - 2.20 bet365

SHEFF UTD have scored 2+ in 5/9 homes while Birmingham have conceded 2+ in 6/9 aways and are riddled with injuries in all areas.

Odds - 1.73 [corals]

INTER have scored 2+ in 4/6 aways [one of those 2 where they didn't was at leaders Napoli] while Cagliari have conceded on twice in 6 homes they failed to keep a clean sheet in 5/6 and have yet to face a side from the top 12 in the league [teams in 13,15,17,18,19 and 20th place have visited]

Odds - 1.8

BETIS have scored 2+ in all 6 homes while Girona have conceded 2+ in 2/5 aways [only 1 clean sheet in those 5 ] but the away side will be missing regular central defender Espinosa who has not missed a game all season up until today.

Odds - 1.8

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Germany -

HOFFENHIEM  - 2+ in 4/5 aways , Hamburg could be short of experienced bodies in midfield  - Odds - 2.25

 

Italy -

AC MILAN - 2+ in 3/6 homes [Roma and Juventus were 2 in which AC failed to score 2+] while Torino have conceded 2+ in 4/7 aways.

Odds - 1.6

GENOA - 2+ in 3/6 homes but strangely enough those 3 in which they did score 2+ were against JUVE , LAZIO and NAPOLI.    Roma are todays opponents and initially i fancied them to net 2+ but odds of 1.67 after being beaten by Atl Madrid over in the Spanish capital only 4 days ago my confidence in them waned ..

Odds - a speculative punt on GENOA to score 2+ at 3.4

 

Spain -

REAL SOCIEDAD - 2+ in 4/6 homes while Las Palmas have conceded 2+ in 3/6 aways and have yet to keep a clean sheet away from home [only 1 clean sheet in all games this season] . Although Sociedad played over in Norway mid week past results after a Euro game have been positive.

Odds - 1.4   

 

France -

LYON  - 2+ in 4/6 aways while Nice have conceded 2+ in 4/7 homes . Lyon have scored 15 goals in their last 4 away games [3 league and 1 euro]

Odds - 1.83

MARSEILLE - 2+ in 4/6 [scored in all 6] at home to Guingamp who have conceded 2+ in 5/6 aways [conceded in all 6] and will be missing regular central defender/midfielder Lucas Deaux.

Odds - 1.44

 

I'm trying to avoid odds of under 1.6 but the 2 selections under those odds appear to have very strong chances of coming in so , personally i'll be having a 10PT double on MARSEILLE / SOCIEDAD .

10PT win on the others .

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Tuesday -

LEICESTER 2+ in 3/6 homes will be hosting Spurs who , imho , are weakened by the injury to Toby Alderweireld.
Leicester have only once failed to score at least once and that was against the current leaders Man City .

Odds - 3.40

WEST BROM 2+ in only 2/6 homes but they face a Newcastle side who were abject in defence on Saturday added to the fact that West Brom no longer have the defence-minded Tony Pulis in charge [Alan Pardew may well be named manager before this game ] and i believe in the short term positive effect of a change of regime .
Newcastle have kept only one clean sheet away from St James's Park.

Odds - 2.7

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Wed -

STOKE - 2+ in 3/6 and have hit the net in their last 7 league games.Liverpool [conceded 2+ in 4/6 aways] have yet to keep a clean sheet away from Anfield , conceding to the likes of Newcastle and West Ham .

Odds - 3.40

Edited by jtw1
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Friday -

NAPOLI - 2+ in 5/6 homes while Juventus have conceded 2+ in 4/6 aways .

Juve will be missing regular defender Stephan Lichtsteiner .

H2H - Napoli have scored at least once in this fixture [at home] in all 13 League [11] and Cup games [2] since 2006 ...2+ in 9 of those.

Odds - 2.05



ZWOLLE - 2+ in 5/6 [odd one was a 0-1 defeat to league leaders PSV]
Utrecht have conceded 2+ in 3/7 aways .
Zwolle have a full squad to choose from .

Odds - 2.00

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Just spent over an hour selecting todays selections ...went to post ... must have pressed the wrong button ...GONE !!!

So in a very small nutshell here they are , with odds for 2+ goals -

EVERTON - 2.00

FULHAM - 2.0

RB LEIPZIG - 1.83

LEVERKUSEN - 1.66

TORINO - 2.20

 

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A day to forget esp when the wrong choice was made when it was a 50/50 split in a couple of games ...:@

Trying a slightly different approach today.

WOLFSBURG V M'GALDBACH   -   G'ladbach have kept only 1 clean sheet in 7 aways , they have added another couple of players to the injury list . Hermann [midfield] and Jantschke [defence].

WOLFSBURG have improved their shots/shot-on-target and conversion ratio since new manager Schmidt took charge 8 games ago....this has taken their goals per game average from 0.50 per game to 1.65 per game..

Since 1999 there has been 10 previous fixtures where Wolfsburg , at home , have scored 2+ [from 16 games in total] and only once have Wolfsburg failed to score in those 16.

Odds - Wolfsburg to score 2+ = 2.10

 

GETAFE V VALENCIA  -  Valencia have scored 2+ in 5/6 aways this season while Getafe have conceded in 5/6 homes .

Getafe will be missing 2 regular defenders today .

Valencia have scored 16 goals away from home and have found the net in the 8 last previous corresponding fixtures [4 times netting 2+]

Odds - Valencia to score 2+ = 1.95

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So heres the scores from Sat/Sun .......with a wee bit of a post mortem on the losers...

 

EVERTON - 2-0

FULHAM - 3-1    No doubt looking at the stats that the red card on the 53rd min cost Fulham the oppotunity of a 2nd , 9 shots on target in the first half with 6 shots turned into 2 shots , none on target in the 2nd half.

RB LEIPZIG - 4-0    Both sides have midweek Euro fixtures and possibly affected Leipzig rather than the Hoff..!!

LEVERKUSEN - 1-1   Yet another red card [41st min] and some impressive goalkeeping stats cost us .

TORINO - 1-1   appears to have a tight game , no excuses.

WOLFSBURG - 3-0

VALENCIA - 1-0   Red card for Getafe in the first half on top of 7 other yellows  and possestion stats of 32%/68%  suggest this was possibly a robust defensive display from the home side !!!!

Edited by jtw1
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Mon - VERONA v GENOA  -  Only once from 7 home games this season have Verona scored 2+ but when you take a closer look at the opposition they have faced  -  9th , 1st , 5th , 6th , 7th , 2nd in the current league table [Rock-bottom Benevento only let in one] ...GENOA are in 17th .  

Odds for VERONA to score 2+ =  3.00

 

GIRONA v ALAVES  -  The home side have scored in 5/7 homes , Barcelona and 5th placed Seville were the 2 they failed to net against...but , ironically the 2 they did score 2 in were against both Madrid sides!! . They have faced 5 of the current top 6 in La Liga at home this season

Rock bottom Alaves have only kept one clean sheet in 7 aways and have 3 suspended [inc 1 defender and 1 defensive midfielder] as well as up to 5 injured or doubtful and are on their 3rd manager this season.

Odds for GIRONA to score 2+  =  1.83

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2 hours ago, jtw1 said:

So heres the scores from Sat/Sun .......with a wee bit of a post mortem on the losers...

 

EVERTON - 2-0

FULHAM - 3-1    No doubt looking at the stats that the red card on the 53rd min cost Fulham the oppotunity of a 2nd , 9 shots on target in the first half with 6 shots turned into 2 shots , none on target in the 2nd half.

RB LEIPZIG - 4-0    Both sides have midweek Euro fixtures and possibly affected Leipzig rather than the Hoff..!!

LEVERKUSEN - 1-1   Yet another red card [41st min] and some impressive goalkeeping stats cost us .

TORINO - 1-1   appears to have a tight game , no excuses.

WOLFSBURG - 3-0

VALENCIA - 1-0   Red card for Getafe in the first half on top of 7 other yellows  and possestion stats of 32%/68%  suggest this was possibly a robust defensive display from the home side !!!!

Nice analysis, JTW. Just shows that unforeseeable external influences (especially red cards) can undermine the best systems :@

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I appear to have had a wee brain-fart and didn't post 2 selections on here from Monday..:eyes [it's an age thing ]

Not too much damage as there was 1 win and 1 loss [Girona for a return of 8.30pts and Verona for a 10pt loss , -1.70 on the day]



Bets - 29

Wins - 15

Profit/loss to 10pt stake = +16.400pts.

 

Sat - GETAFE v eibar is a 12.00 kick-off over in La Liga

Getafe have only failed to score once in 7 homes [2+ in 3] while Eibar have only kept one clean sheet in 7 aways [2+ in 5]

Getafe have an average of 10.7 shots-per-game in all matches , 12.4 in home games.

Team news - Getafe will miss defensive mid-fielder Arambarri [suspended] but have 2 back from suspension  [left back and central defender]

Eibar  - top goalscorer Charles is out as well as Defender Junca through injury.

Odds - 2.25

 

Despite their lowly league posItion CRYSTAL PALACE have scored 2+ in their last 4 home league games against Chelsea , Stoke , Everton and West Ham with a s-p-g average of 12.2 [all] , 14.9 [home] while Bournemouth have conceded in [5/7 aways]

Team news - Hopefully both Cabaye and Mcarthur will pass fit for Palace

Bournemouth will miss the defensive strength of regular Adam Smith due to suspension as well as fellow defender Mings

Odds - 2.05

 

DERBY are away to Barnsley today and they have hit the net in 9 of 10 away games they have played [ 2+ in 4 ] with a s-p-g average of 9.4 in away league games .

Derby have scored 2+ in 3 of their last 5 games and 4 were against top 10 teams [Fulham are in 15th ] while Barnsley have lost 4of their last 5 games [one other was a draw] and conceded 10 in those 5 .

Odds - 2.15

 

Thats it so afr for the early kick-offs , will be back later with this evenings picks [busy day ahead]

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Sun -
                 
                 
                 
                 
   
                 
                 
                 
 
 
                 
 
 
                 
                 
                 
 
 
                 
                 
                 
 
StandingsFRANCE: Ligue 1
  09.12. Finished Guingamp 4 - 0 Dijon       
 
StandingsNETHERLANDS: Eredivisie
  09.12. Finished Twente 2 - 3 Den Haag      

fottball scores.jpg

Edited by jtw1
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