iroquois

Table correction
The last table misses a game. This is the correct one✌
%win   Profit 334,00 € 80%   Roi 33,40% Game odd profit botafogo vila nova 1,63 63,00 € cobresal u. espanola 1,90 90,00 € mont. yamagata ryukyu 1,66 -100,00 € njardvik haukar 1,70 70,00 € kordrengir thor akureyri 1,55 55,00 € recoleta colchagua 1,70 70,00 € saoura mlila 1,70 70,00 € chacaritas atl porteno 1,83 83,00 € hafnarfjordur keflavik 1,50 -100,00 € ytterhogdals umea fc 1,33 33,00 €

A simple factor that i discovered when playing with the stats. I don't use probabilities, only this factor and the booker odds. They together form a ranking. Then i use the best boundaries to increment sucess. But i don't use anymore what we call probabilities and fair odds. This simple don't work. I try a new edge.✌

2/3 not bad...a profit is a profit?
Profit=+16?
Chacaritas vs Atl. Porteno 1(1.83)? +83?
Hafnarfjordur vs Keflavik 1(1.50)?-100 (0-0)
Ytterhogdals vs Umea fc 1(1.33)? +33?
 

I have to Say that this is looking very very good.
I'll look foward to this
 
Great job, keep going!

You right. My fault. Home wins only.?

Those 3 games at 100 monopoly money each! single bets.?

Hello people...new over2.5 strategy based exclusively on data
Rules of the system:
Flat bet=10 units
Bank=500 units
Bet365 odds
Games for saturday 20, february
Southampton vs chelsea (1.80)
Rochdale vs Plymouth (1.70)
Swindon vs crewe (2.00)
Exeter vs grimsby (1.80)
Crawley vs colchester (2.00)
Frankfurt vs B. Munich (1.33)
Tirol vs st. Polten (1.57)
Barnet vs woking (2.05)
Duisburg vs unterhaching (2.00)
Saarbrucken vs munich 1860 (1.95)
Moravce vs Ruzemberok (1.72)
???
 

ok this is a footballsystem based in a diferent interpretation of the value in football. I try many systems and fail in all...at long term its virtualy impossible be in profit...the odds, the value expectation are too low to get profits in this game...so i try another way to be alive at long term...my new interpretation of value...i create a software to help me in this, and i put here only one picture of the same. Its not for sale, neither this is a marketing post.
bank=500 units
flat bet=10 units
odds, bet...from myscores page.

 
Tomorrow i put the first games
 
 
 
 
 

amkar-lok. moskow under 2.5 1.37
st truiden-westerloo over 2.5 1.77
doncaster-colchester under 2.5 2.12
panionios-olimpiakos over2.5 1.89
avellino-spezia under 2.5 1.57
basel-luzern over 2.5 1.40

6/9 last weekend inc  a full house on saturday..


Fri
---

DORTMUND v freiburg 9-0-1 , 1.22

Sat
---

ATH BILBAO v seville 6-0-0 , 2.10

BOHEMIANS 1905 v pribram 5-1-0 , 1.80 [czech]

GRONINGEN v heracles 9-0-1 , 2.10

BRAGA v setubal 7-0-0 , 1.50

And folks...with this red weekend, one more...thread closed. The system is not viable...lets continue find the gral

ok, here are the conclusions for the system right now
ROI= 19%
PROFIT= 76.80 UNITS
NUMBER OF BETS= 40
ODDS AVERAGE= 2.26
STRIKE RATE = 55%
Other conclusions: the system find some draws
STRIKE RATE OF THE DRAWS= 35%,
In 40 bets, 14 finished draws!

Every system you choose must follow this rule: %of expectation*price>1
The problem is the first part of the equation...the %of expectation. If you are able to determine this % with acuracy you are in the right way to become a millionaire!
Suggestion: Don´t follow the factors you mentioned. Because they are all in the price established by the bookers. You must find an edge in other factors less visible.

it´s a secret, a formula to achieve the intrinsic value of a team and compare with the bookers to find value. Simple. The true is that i believe i found a stat undervalued by the bookers and try to take advantage of that!
Bielefeld - Duisburg 1, 1,83
Espanyol - Real Sociedad 2, 2,70
Trapani - Como 1, 1,95
Panionios - Panetolikos 1, 2,00
Kasimpasa - Genclerbirligi 1, 1,65

Sandhausen - Paderborn 1, 2.50
Evian TG - Paris FC 1, 1.95
Dordrecht - Breda 2, 1.95
Volendam - Sittard 1, 1.61

Hi people,
This is a system of betting in soccer...a simple one, based on table positions alone. All this years my conclusions are that if you want something well done, do it simple.
So here are the rules:
Starting bank 500 units
%of bank betting: 5%
At the end of the session i calculate the next stake value, respect always the 5% of the bank.
so here are the first selections: H(HOME); A(AWAY)
Augsburg - Frankfurt H-2.00
Munster - Erfurt A-4.35
Leuven - St. Liege H-3.55
Westerlo - Waregem H-2.60
Alcorcon - Valladolid A-3.90
Cordoba - Leganes A-2.85
Panthrakikos - Panionios H-2.50
Huddersfield - Cardiff H-2.10
Rotherham - Charlton H-1.91
Bradford - Fleetwood A-3.30
Coventry - Scunthorpe A-4,05
 
 
 
 

I believe that home wins sometimes have value. This is a value relative style of betting. Based on stats only and the formula of goal difference. I only bet if the home team have more than 50% of probabilities of winning and the value of the equation is equal or more than 10%.
Initial bank=500 units
Type of betting= Flat betting
Unit of stake=10
Games
HOME   AWAY RATING %H ODD VALUE PICK
Augsburg - Frankfurt 12 65% 2,00 30% 1
Eibar - Malaga 4 53% 2,45 30% 1