thinkpink63
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Posts posted by thinkpink63
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Italy v Portugal
Both To Score @ 2.00
Bet365
In last 2 years (11 games) Italy failed to score at home just once, in the disgraceful match vs Sweden that costed them the WC qualification.
In last 2 years (10 games) Portugal failed to score away just once, in a friendly vs Belgium.
Italy is surely ok with their center-backs Chiellini and Bonucci, but doesn't convince me on the flanks, with Florenzi and Biraghi. And in the defensive phase of their midfield.
Even without Ronaldo Portugal has offensive firepower and quality everywhere.
Italy has only one useful result that is a win. No relegation threat, slight chances left of winning the group.
With San Siro full of fans I expect a bold game of the hosts that should leave space to the counter attacks of Portugal
Both to Score at evens seems a good value bet to me.
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13 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Yeah, maybe at small stakes, but the quality gap really is big at the moment. I can see myself betting on Cilic in some form if he wins the first, otherwise no.
That was the key. Had Cilic won the first set,where he had a set-point in the tie-break, I doubt Nole was going to keep it to the third.
The second was all written to be quickly in favour of the first one's winner.
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Thoughts about Djokovic v Cilic tonight?
The game is an absolute dead rubber: Djokovic has already won the group and will meet Anderson tomorrow, while Cilic is out.
At stake there is only money and 200 ATP points.
Now..Djokovic will play the semi tomorrow against an opponent who had the advantage of a rest day while he will have to play in consecutive days.
As Nole pointed out in a press conference he still has some cold issues like in Paris, and, if Cilic cares a bit about this game, there's a chance that Nole could take a "day off" to spare energies. Could..
Cilic is @ 5.50 to win and @ 9.00 to win 2-0 on Bet365.
Maybe the pride of the Serbian player will show up tonight too, but for sure to win the ATP Finals is more important than to win this game.
Finally Cilic won 2-1 the Queen's final and lost in 3 both in Cincinnati and Paris against Nole.
Some low stake on the above mentioned bets could be worth a go.
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Gibraltar v Armenia
Gibraltar + 1.5 AH @ 2.05
Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.80
Bet365
The only result that can let both bets down is a 0-2 away win.
The odds on Gibraltar look far too long to me. They won the reverse leg in Armenia and beat Lichtenstein at home 2-1 in last game.
Considering that both sides still have chances to be promoted, mainly grabbing a win today,and that there's no relegation threat in Group D, I expect an open game with some goals.
Edit: odds dropped a bit on Gibraltar handicap since I placed them
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Andorra v Georgia
Andorra + 1 AH @ 2.35 Bet365
Taking a risk here on the hosts for a good value.
This game is a dead rubber, with Georgia already promoted and no relegation in group D.
Andorra are not mugs at home: in 2018 they had 3 draws at home against Cape Verde, UAE and Kazakhstan.
In 2017 they lost 0-2 in a WC qualifying game against a Portugal with Ronaldo.
With a lack of motivations from the visitors I fancy a decent game from Andorra, with the cover of one goal. Another draw (priced @ 4.60) wouldn't surprise me.
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1 hour ago, four-leaf said:
I'm gonna be wrong about Kevin and Roger to night just like I was on Dominic and Kei. Roger probably wins in straight sets now and wins the group. Boring but likely.
Strange game that can be just a luxury exhibition..Roger needs 5 games (6 if there's a tie-break) to reach the semis.
Kevin needs 7 games to be first in the group and avoid Djokovic in the semi.
Unless Roger thinks to be able to win in 2 easy sets and be first in the group, after having reached the respective goals it will be a flip coin.
Could be interesting for an in-play bet though
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8 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Isner against Cilic was a good bet though value-wise.
Absolutely. Let's not forget that Isner played having just known of the death of his lifetime best friend and 7 years coach. Tough mental situation to play
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16 hours ago, money44 said:
ATP finals
John Isner to beat Cilic @ 2.86
I agree on Big John beating Cilic. Don't get such long odds.
He won last H2H this year in Miami in straight sets.Cilic could be distracted by the upcoming Davis Cup final and didn't impress me against Zverev.
Adding a double @ 3.05 Bet365
ATP Finals Bryan/Sock to beat Marach/Pavic @ 1.61
Challenger Buenos Aires Gianluigi Quinzi to beat Dimitar Kuzmanov @ 1.90
I give an edge to Bryan/Sock who won Wimbledon and US Open this season.
Quinzi is a clay specialist and won 2 challengers in spring, Rome and Mestre.
Actually he hasn't been brilliant in the second half of the season, and was surprised to see him playing here. Expected his season to be over. He went through a tough game against Bellucci, who has a career high of 21.
The one month break could have suited him and see him winning against Kuzmanov, who won lately a Future in Sardinia but never went past the second round in a Challenger this season.
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2 hours ago, money44 said:
Updated Track: 24-29 +28.34 units(9 bets pending now including these two)
Bangoura + Anderson win, Hazawa lose
Book: Pinnacle
Jared Hiltzik to beat Tommy Paul @ 4.09
Takanyi Garanganga to beat John Patrick Smith @ 5.43
Paul has not been playing well .. losing first round in last two tournaments. I feel this is anybodies match. Also I don't trust Smith at these odds.. Garanganga might be coming back into form, and has sole win vs smith on hardcourts. i feel smith might be susceptible in this spot.
I wouldn't really say that Paul played badly before coming here. And it isn't correct that he lost in the first round in last 2 tournaments.
This month he won the Challenger in Charlottesville, beating the likes of Rubin, Karlovic, Klahn and Polansky, all with a much better ranking than him.
He then lost in the first round in Knoxville against Fratangelo, 90 places better ranked then him. And I would add that losing early in a tournament after winning the previous one the week earlier isn't so uncommon.
In the first round here in Champaign he went through Humbert, that is a top 100, with a quick 6-2 in the third set.
Hiltzik plays his "home tournament" and can be worth a low stake. But for sure not why Paul has not been playing well lately.
Good luck!
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Re: Finnish Ice Hockey, season 11-12
Nice preview mate' date=' the team news are very helpful too. Followed you on this on the money line, @ 1.58 on Bet365 is decent enough for me, although the straight win is on the cards. :cheers[/quote'] Easy money :clap -
Re: Italy - Serie B - 6 January
The line "Diffidati: Anania, Giacomelli, Immobile e Soddimo" means that all these players are available for the match, but, should they get a yellow card, they will miss the next match ( in Italy 5 yellow cards collected = 1 match suspension )Can somone who speaks Italian help me out here? I was looking at the Pescara squad announced for tommorow's game and it says something at the top which I really don't understand despite running it through google translate. Something about Giacomelli, Soddimo and Immobile being missing even though their names are in the squad. Help me I am confused. http://www.pescaracalcio.com/stagione/archivio-news/4980-nocerina-pescara-i-convocati.html -
Re: Finnish Ice Hockey, season 11-12
Nice preview mate, the team news are very helpful too. Followed you on this on the money line, @ 1.58 on Bet365 is decent enough for me, although the straight win is on the cards. :cheersOther bet for tonight KALPA-JYP Kalpa is 1st in league, and JYP 6th. Kalpa is the best home team in Sm-Liiga, 13-4 with gd 56-31 in 17 games. Jyp's away record is 7-10 with 40-40 gd, and 8th best in league. This season teams have played against three times, and Kalpa have been better every time (2-0, 4-1, 2-1). I expect a very low scoring game tonight, maybe even 1-0 for Kalpa. JYP have some new injuries for tonight attacker Jani Tuppurainen (2nd best player from JYP 8+18), defenders Sami Vatanen (3rd best player from JYP and best defender in league 8+15) and Pavel Skrbek who is also pretty important defender, except only 0+3 in 17 games this season. Also goalkeeper Riku Helenius, best goalie in the league with GA 1,47, and attacker Antti Jaatinen and Filip Riska are still out. This is going to be difficult game for JYP, so Kalpa will edge this, and because of the low scoring expect there is some value in EH Kalpa-1 2,70 @Unibet. Also Kalpa's straight win is priced at 1,98 @Unibet which is pretty good odd for me. Your choice which you want to play ;). No one has ever commented my posts so it would be nice if someone says what you are thinking about these writeups :p. -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky
Bet 33, winning streak 0 Treble Dunfermline v Celtic – 2 @ 1.27 Sheffield Wednesday v Tranmere – 1 @ 1.60 Shrewsbury v Northampton – 1 @ 1.50 @ 3.05 €1.84 to win €5.61 Betting bank €92.08Bet 32, winning streak 0 Treble Wrexham v Telford – 1 @ 1.35 4-0 :loon Hayes & Yeading v Ebbsfleet - over 1.5 @ 1.17 ABANDONED Tonbridge v Bromley – over 2.5 @ 1.45 1-1 :@ @ 2.29 €1.88 to win €4.31 :cry Betting bank €93.96 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky Lol, let down by United..:puke
Btw, I forgot to post another bet, that went lost too anyway.. Bet 32, winning streak 0 Treble Wrexham v Telford – 1 @ 1.35 Hayes & Yeading v Ebbsfleet - over 1.5 @ 1.17 Tonbridge v Bromley – over 2.5 @ 1.45 @ 2.29 €1.88 to win €4.31 Betting bank €93.96Bet 31, winning streak 0 4 fold Manchester United v Blackburn Rovers – 1 @ 1.13 2-3 :@ Sheffield Utd v Hartlepool Utd – 1 @ 1.50 3-1 :loon Arsenal v Queens Park Rangers – 1 @ 1.27 1-0 :loon Lisburn Distillery v Carrick Rangers – over 2.5 @ 1.50 3-1 :loon @ 3.23 €1.96 to win €6.33 :( Betting bank €97.84 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky What a nightmare..The best attack of the league not scoring at home against a bottom and out-of-form side as Bristol in too bad..:wall
Bet 31, winning streak 0 4 fold Manchester United v Blackburn Rovers – 1 @ 1.13 Sheffield Utd v Hartlepool Utd – 1 @ 1.50 Arsenal v Queens Park Rangers – 1 @ 1.27 Lisburn Distillery v Carrick Rangers – over 2.5 @ 1.50 @ 3.23 :drums €1.96 to win €6.33 Betting bank €97.84Bet 30, winning streak 1 4 fold Dagenham & Redbridge v Gillingham FC – over 1.5 @ 1.25 2-1 :loon Huddersfield Town v Carlisle Utd – Huddersfield to score @ 1.11 1-1 :loon Southampton v Bristol City – Southampton to score @ 1.08 0-1 :@ Hereford v Accrington Stanley – X2 @ 1.30 1-2 1-1 :loon @ 1.95 €3.15 to win €6.14 :cry Betting bank €100.99 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky
Bet 30, winning streak 1 4 fold Dagenham & Redbridge v Gillingham FC – over 1.5 @ 1.25 Huddersfield Town v Carlisle Utd – Huddersfield to score @ 1.11 Southampton v Bristol City – Southampton to score @ 1.08 Hereford v Accrington Stanley – X2 @ 1.30 @ 1.95 €3.15 to win €6.14 Betting bank €100.99Bet 29, winning streak 0 Universidad de Chile v CD Cobreloa Calama - 2/3 goals to be scored @ 2.15 3-0 :loon €2.00 to win €4.30 :beer Betting bank €98.69 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky so close.. the one with the lowest odds let me down:(
Bet 29, winning streak 0 Universidad de Chile v CD Cobreloa Calama - 2/3 goals to be scored @ 2.15 €2.00 to win €4.30 Betting bank €98.69Bet 28, winning streak 0 Finland Hockey - Treble Hifk Helsinki v Lukko Rauma – 1 @ 1.70 6-2 :loon Kalpa Hockey v Ilves Tampere – 1 @ 1.35 1-1 :@ Pelicans Lahti v HPK Hameenlinna – 1 @ 1.40 2-1 :loon @ 3.21 €2.01 to win €6.46 :sad Betting bank €100.70 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky Plenty of goals in the Australian match but from one side only..
Bet 28, winning streak 0 Finland Hockey - Treble Hifk Helsinki v Lukko Rauma – 1 @ 1.70 Kalpa Hockey v Ilves Tampere – 1 @ 1.35 Pelicans Lahti v HPK Hameenlinna – 1 @ 1.40 @ 3.21 €2.01 to win €6.46 :drums Betting bank €100.70Bet 27, winning streak 2: Double Australia A Sidney v Melbourne both to score @ 1.65 0-4 :@ India I Salgaocar v East Bengal – X2 @ 1.35 @ 2.23 €3.77 to win €8.40 Betting bank €104.47 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky
Well, the bet returned €4.59. From now I will make things easier with the Glory Hunt. At every winning bet 50% of the win will be banked and the other 50% added to the previous stake. At every losing bet I will restart with a stake of 2% of the betting bank. Therefore here is the next bet: Bet 27, winning streak 2: Double Australia A Sidney v Melbourne both to score @ 1.65 India I Salgaocar v East Bengal – X2 @ 1.35 @ 2.23 €3.77 to win €8.40 :hope Betting bank €104.47Bet 26 Stage 1, Bet 2 : Scotland Premier Motherwell v Dunfermline – 1X @ 1.08 Postponed Portugal Segunda Leixoes v Uniao Madeira – 1X @ 1.18 1-0 :loon Scotland Premier St Mirren v Dundee – over 1.5 @ 1.32 2-2 :loon @ 1.68 €2.95 to win 4.96 target € 8 Betting bank €102.83 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky
Bet 26 Stage 1, Bet 2 : Scotland Premier Motherwell v Dunfermline – 1X @ 1.08 Portugal Segunda Leixoes v Uniao Madeira – 1X @ 1.18 Scotland Premier St Mirren v Dundee – over 1.5 @ 1.32 @ 1.68 €2.95 to win 4.96 target € 8 Betting bank €102.83Also Arsenal joined the favourites non-winning club..:puke What a tricky round..:sad Bet 25 Stage 1, Bet 1 : England Premier Norwich v Tottenham Over1,5 @ 1,18 0-2 :loon Belgium Jupiler Mons v Anderlecht Over 1.5 @ 1.25 1-1 :loon @ 1.47 €2 to win 2.95 target € 8 :loon Betting bank €101.88 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky Also Arsenal joined the favourites non-winning club..:puke What a tricky round..:sad
Bet 25 Stage 1, Bet 1 : England Premier Norwich v Tottenham Over1,5 @ 1,18 Belgium Jupiler Mons v Anderlecht Over 1.5 @ 1.25 @ 1.47 €2 to win 2.95 target € 8 Betting bank €101.88Bet 24 Stage 1, Bet 1 : England League 1 Sheffield Utd v Notts County - 1X @ 1,16 2-1 :clap England Premier Arsenal v Wolverhampton - 1 @ 1,22 1-1 :@ England Premier Swansea City v Queens PR - 1X @1,27 England Premier Norwich v Tottenham Over1,5 @ 1,18 @ 2.12 €2 to win 4.24 target € 8 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky
Bet 24 Stage 1, Bet 1 : England League 1 Sheffield Utd v Notts County - 1X @ 1,16 England Premier Arsenal v Wolverhampton - 1 @ 1,22 England Premier Swansea City v Queens PR - 1X @1,27 England Premier Norwich v Tottenham Over1,5 @ 1,18 @ 2.12 €2 to win 4.24 target € 8Poor day for favourites in PL today..:sad Bet 23 Stage 1, Bet 1 : Chile Playofffs Cobreloa v Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Chile to score @ 1.18 0-0 :@ Belgium Jupiler Gent v Westerlo – 1 @ 1.25 3-1 :clap Belgium Jupiler Lokeren v St. Truidense – Lokeren to Score @ 1.10 0-0 :@ @ 1.62 :@ 2 to win 3.24 target €8 Betting bank €105.88 -
Re: Thinkpink's @4 the sky Poor day for favourites in PL today..:sad
Bet 23 Stage 1, Bet 1 : Chile Playofffs Cobreloa v Universidad de Chile - Universidad de Chile to score @ 1.18 Belgium Jupiler Gent v Westerlo – 1 @ 1.25 Belgium Jupiler Lokeren v St. Truidense – Lokeren to Score @ 1.10 @ 1.62 2 to win 3.24 target €8 Betting bank €105.88Bet 22 Stage 1, Bet 3 : England Premier Manchester United v Wigan – 1 @ 1.15 5-0 :clap England Premier West Bromwich v Manchester City – 2 @ 1.45 0-0 :@ England Premier Liverpool v Blackburn – 1 @ 1.22 1-1 :@ @ 2.03 :( 4.74 to win 9.64 target €8 Betting bank €110.62
ONE A DAY (Doubles)
in Glory Hunters
Posted
Spot on bet as you often do.But please specify the sport too in your pick. Not assumed for everyone we were talking of rugby