thinkpink63
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Posts posted by thinkpink63
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On 12/2/2018 at 2:21 PM, thinkpink63 said:
Alaves v Sevilla
Sevilla have played on Thursday in Europa League losing 0-1 to Standard de Liege and will feel the pressure today of defending the top of La Liga, one point clear Barcelona.
Alaves will be a hard nut to crack though. They are still unbeaten at home so far, with 3 home wins on the row (Real Madrid, Villareal and Huesca).
Alaves + 0.5 AH @ 1.85 with Bet365
Alaves 0 AH @ 2.67 with Bet365
1-1, so the @ 1.85 bet landed
Alaves wasted the 1-0 lead and conceded the equalizer at 78'. Also hit a inner post at 88' with the goalkeeper saving. Refund so on the 0 AH pick
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On 12/2/2018 at 2:00 PM, thinkpink63 said:
Perugia v Pescara
Perugia come from 6 BTTS in a row, have scored in all last 8 game and conceded in 9 of last 10
Pescara have conceded in last 9 games, 7 of which ended BTTS. 5 of their 6 travels ended BTTS.
BTTS YES @ 1.85 with EFbet
2-1 and bet won
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Alaves v Sevilla
Sevilla have played on Thursday in Europa League losing 0-1 to Standard de Liege and will feel the pressure today of defending the top of La Liga, one point clear Barcelona.
Alaves will be a hard nut to crack though. They are still unbeaten at home so far, with 3 home wins on the row (Real Madrid, Villareal and Huesca).
Alaves + 0.5 AH @ 1.85 with Bet365
Alaves 0 AH @ 2.67 with Bet365
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Perugia v Pescara
Perugia come from 6 BTTS in a row, have scored in all last 8 game and conceded in 9 of last 10
Pescara have conceded in last 9 games, 7 of which ended BTTS. 5 of their 6 travels ended BTTS.
BTTS YES @ 1.85 with EFbet
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Sassuolo v Udinese
Sassuolo have always scored in their 6 home games, 5 of which ended with both sides to score, including last 5.
Udinese come from the stunning win over Roma in last game, under new manager Nicola. Udinese have scored in last 4 travels, 3 of which ended BTTS.
BTTS YES @ 1.80 with William Hill
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Atalanta v Napoli
Atalanta have won 4 of last 5 games, biìut come from the 3-2 loss to Empoli, where they wasted a 2 goals lead. They will miss Ilicic today through suspension, whose comeback had been the key of the 4 wins on the trot.
Napoli come from the disappointing draw against Chievo, but their head was on the key CL game against Red Star Beograd, a must win one. I don't think such luck of focus will happen again.
Dries Mertens will most likely be rested with Milin in the starting XI. But the Belgian player is lethal even when coming from the bench.
Atalanta are a good and dangerous side but rather inconsistent, and without talisman Ilicic and with a more focused Napoli I see some value in the away win.
Napoli to win @ 2.20 with Pinnacle
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On 11/30/2018 at 1:19 AM, Darran said:
November was a decent month profit wise and December (as long as the weather plays ball) is obviously a very busy month so fingers crossed the decent form can continue.
Hi @Darran Do you keep stats of the monthly P/L in points?
Keep on with your awesome picks and thanks for sharing
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5 hours ago, thinkpink63 said:
AFC Eskilstuna v Brommapojkarna
Over 2.0 @ 1.95 with Bet365
Price that seems too long to me. True that it's the first leg of a promotion/relegation playoff, and normally the second legs are more prolific.
Anyway Brommapojkarna have seen at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 Allsvenskan's games, 6 of which went over 2.5 too.
And AFC Eskilstuna ended the regular season in the Superettan with two 2-2.
Over 1.5 is also priced at a tempting @ 1.52
0-1, no dice here
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3 hours ago, thinkpink63 said:
Petrolul Ploiesti v UTA ARAD
Over 2.5 and BTTS YES @ 2.75 with Bet365
Very interesting price..Petrolul are the better side here, no question asked. They will be most likely promoted and go back to the level they belong.
UTA Arad are no mugs however,and have scored 12 goals in last 7 travels. Petrolul come from 2 clean sheets, but before that they had 3 wins: 2-1 over Daco-Getica, 2-1 over Farul Constanta and 3-2 over Braila. all opponents in the second half of the table.
The previous H2H, although dated 2010/2011, all ended 3-2 for Petrolul, with the HT/FT result reversed.
I expect something similar today again. And maybe this is a game to keep an eye on in-play..
Won in 49', lovely game
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NCAAB treble @ 2.04 with Bet365
Cal Riverside + 21.5 @ 1.28
Tulsa + 23.5 @ 1.28
Elon + 11.5 @ 1.25
Bought more handicap points of course.
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Dock Sud v Victoriano Arenas
Over 2.5 @ 2.70 with Bet365
Argentina isn't the most well known country for goals, in all leagues, and the odds are often reflecting this fact. Sometimes wrongly though.
Last 3 home games of Dock Sud ended 5-0, 1-0, 2-1
Last 3 away games of Victoriano Arenas ended 2-3, 1-1, 4-1
This makes 21 goals in 6 games, average 3.5 per game. The odds shouldn't definitely be so high, so a standard punt is worth a go here.
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Petrolul Ploiesti v UTA ARAD
Over 2.5 and BTTS YES @ 2.75 with Bet365
Very interesting price..Petrolul are the better side here, no question asked. They will be most likely promoted and go back to the level they belong.
UTA Arad are no mugs however,and have scored 12 goals in last 7 travels. Petrolul come from 2 clean sheets, but before that they had 3 wins: 2-1 over Daco-Getica, 2-1 over Farul Constanta and 3-2 over Braila. all opponents in the second half of the table.
The previous H2H, although dated 2010/2011, all ended 3-2 for Petrolul, with the HT/FT result reversed.
I expect something similar today again. And maybe this is a game to keep an eye on in-play..
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AFC Eskilstuna v Brommapojkarna
Over 2.0 @ 1.95 with Bet365
Price that seems too long to me. True that it's the first leg of a promotion/relegation playoff, and normally the second legs are more prolific.
Anyway Brommapojkarna have seen at least 2 goals in 8 of their last 9 Allsvenskan's games, 6 of which went over 2.5 too.
And AFC Eskilstuna ended the regular season in the Superettan with two 2-2.
Over 1.5 is also priced at a tempting @ 1.52
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17 hours ago, opole said:
USA F33 doubles
Ghilea/Khaledan vs. Trotter/Kobelt
Trotter and Kobelt are playing together at college for Ohio, having a solid 4-1 record this season and having a big win in the first round vs. second seeded Fruttero/schneider. They were playing really good and today i think they have a solid chance to win another match as Ghiela and Khaledan are both out of singles competition and i think both are not that motivated here as Khaledan is playing qualification in Waco (Texas) at the weekend.
Trotter/Kobelt @ 5 Betfair 4/10
Great pick mate
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18 hours ago, thinkpink63 said:
Sweden Allsvenskan
Karlskoga v Almtuna Over 5.5 @ 2.35 with Bet365
The odds dropped a bit here but it still looks a value bet to me.
Karlskoga are 6/10 with over 2.5 at home, with 4 of last 5 landing and the only one that missed had 5 goals.
Almtuna are 7/10 with over 2.5 away, with 4 of last 5 landing as well
5 of last 7 H2H covered this line, including last 2 played in Karlskoga.
4-2, with a very late goal, and bet won
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Sweden Allsvenskan
Karlskoga v Almtuna Over 5.5 @ 2.35 with Bet365
The odds dropped a bit here but it still looks a value bet to me.
Karlskoga are 6/10 with over 2.5 at home, with 4 of last 5 landing and the only one that missed had 5 goals.
Almtuna are 7/10 with over 2.5 away, with 4 of last 5 landing as well
5 of last 7 H2H covered this line, including last 2 played in Karlskoga.
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Malta v Faroe Islands
Over 2.0 @ 2.10
Both to Score YES @ 2.25
with Bet365
Maybe there's a trick here but I don't get such long odds.
The 5 games played by Malta in this competition had 4, 2, 4, 2, 5 goals. 4 of them ended BTTS.
The 5 games played by Faroe Islands in this competition had 4, 2, 3, 2, 2 goals.
I think the bookies underestimate the fact that the visitors don't score that much on the road. But against Malta, that haven't kept a clean sheet in last 25 games, and in what is actually a meaningless game, I can only see some goals.
The reverse leg ended 3-1 for the visitors.
All the previous H2H,even if 4 of them are rather old, ended Over 2.5 and BTTS.
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20/11/2018 01.00 CET
Philadelphia 76ers v Phoenix Suns
Under 221 @ 1.83 with Bet365
3 game in 4 games for Philadelphia, that come from the thrilling overtime against Charlotte, where their 5 starters all played more than 30 minutes. I think that the pace here will be much slower to cover these numbers. I think the totals will be much lower. Let's pray for no overtime, since It counts for the totals
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19/11/2018
San Diego State v Duke 22.30 CET
San Diego State + 15.5 @ 1.90 with Bet365
Line way too high in my view. Duke won first 3 games by 34 (Kentucky), 22 (Army) and 38 (Eastern Michigan).
San Diego State also comfortably won their first 2 games by 16 (Ark Pine Bluff) and 39 (Texas Southern).
For me this will be a much tighter game than the odds suggest.
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A four fold I like for tonight, @ 2.24 with Bet365
Andorra + 1.5 AH @ 1.15
Bulgaria or Draw @ 1.16
Germany v Holland Over 1.5 @ 1.20
Czech Republic v Slovakia Over 1.5
Andorra at home have kept at bay both Georgia and Kazakhstan. I fancy another draw here.
Bulgaria battling with Norway for the promotion. Slovenia already relegated although coming from 2 home draws.
Pride at stake for Germany, the Dutch can be promoted with 1 point. Expect goals here.
Slovakia need to win not to be relegated and in a good momentum. Obvious rivalry here, can't see a low scoring affair. The revers leg had 3 goals and BTTS. Expect the same here.
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8 hours ago, thinkpink63 said:
My NFL picks for November 18th, first set of games:
with Bet365
DET Lions +4.0 @ 1.90
BAL Ravens ML @ 1.40
DAL Cowboys + 3.50 @ 1.80
WAS Redskins + 3.0 @ 1.83
JAX Jaguars + 5.00 @ 1.90
Don't know if will have time to post something for the later games.
Good luck!
Full house of winners. Glory day
DET Lions +4.0 @ 1.90 20-19 WON
BAL Ravens ML @ 1.40 24-21 WON
DAL Cowboys + 3.50 @ 1.80 22-19 WON
WAS Redskins + 3.0 @ 1.83 21-23 WON
JAX Jaguars + 5.00 @ 1.90 16-20 WON
- Sportwetten and WiggoBets
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My NFL picks for November 18th, first set of games:
with Bet365
DET Lions +4.0 @ 1.90
BAL Ravens ML @ 1.40
DAL Cowboys + 3.50 @ 1.80
WAS Redskins + 3.0 @ 1.83
JAX Jaguars + 5.00 @ 1.90
Don't know if will have time to post something for the later games.
Good luck!
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My NFL picks for November 18th, first set of games:
with Bet365
DET Lions +4.0 @ 1.90
BAL Ravens ML @ 1.40
DAL Cowboys + 3.50 @ 1.80
WAS Redskins + 3.0 @ 1.83
JAX Jaguars + 5.00 @ 1.90
Don't know if will have time to post something for the later games.
Good luck!
Serie C Predictions 2018/19
in Italian Football Predictions
Posted
Alessandria v Piacenza
Piacenza are 12/12 with Over 1.5 goals this season, 6 of which went Over 2.5.
Alessandria are a better side than the table suggests and sooner or later should start grabbing some wins. Their last 2 home games ended Over 2.5, and 3 of last 4 overall.
Last season's H2H ended 3-2 and 1-1. The asian goal line has great value ihmo, with a refund in case of just 2 goals.
Over 2.0 Goal Line @ 1.90 with Bet365