fishy25
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Re: Tennis - ATP World Tour Finals Just having my first look at the prices now and although I'm not sure who I think will win it, (may take an outright at some point) most places are offering around 3/1 for a Federer Murray final which looks attractive given Nadal and Djokovic have been struggling. Not taking anything yet though.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Great shouts by Kev yesterday, really taught the bookies and me a lesson or two :lol. Very much sour grapes from me as it has been this week, as I came out with -2.83, bringing my overall to -14.61, really can't get going. Still hopeful of pulling it pack somewhat at least and taking 3 tonight. Adrian Lewis (-3.5 legs) to beat John Part- 5/6 Sportingbet- (5/10) If tonight Lewis plays even remotely like he did against Stompe he'll run away with this one. He averaged the best part of 110 against the Dutchman which even by Taylor's standards, is pretty damn impressive. He was very comfortable in his group, winning all 3 matches in what could have been a tricky group for the world champion, and the fact that he has hit 140 maximums in that time show that he is scoring heavily and playing well, in a tournament which he has struggled in recent years. Part I think I remember hearing on commentary has a throat infection and is struggling a bit this week and he'll need to be at his very best to match Lewis here. His averages haven't been anything outstanding, and he needed Webster to beat Dekker in the final group match to make it through. From the way the Canadian has been playing, don't see him taking 7 legs of Lewis here unless he produces a very special performance indeed, which I don't see him doing the backing Lewis to win at 10-6 at the worst here. Steve Beaton (+2.5 legs) to beat Paul Nicholson- Evens Ladbrokes- (3/10) Considered Beaton for the outright here and also the overs on the leg count but either way I see Bronzed Adonis taking 8 legs at the very least here. Beaton has won the last 5 matches between these two, and also won 5-1 in the group stages last year. He's been solid this week thus far, only losing to Taylor but beating King and young Hubbard comfortably enough to make it through. Nicholson has probably been the better of the two guys this week, after his narrow win over Newton and Caris, and he dispatched of Barrie Bates on the opening day but the longer format may just suit Beaton a bit better. He is the more consistent of throwers and when he gets some momentum, he is hard to stop as Taylor found last year in this tournament. A semi appearance last year for Beaton should bring back happy memories and give his confidence and no fear going into this one, so I'll back him to take at least 8 legs in this one. Mark Webster vs Martin Phillips- Over 5.5 180s- 4/6 Ladbrokes- (3/10) Line is a touch lower compared to other places so I'll sacrifice the marginally better price and take the lower line. Don't really fancy calling this one as Phillips could surprise a few people here and I'd expect both players to cancel eachother out for the majority, so if we see at least 15 legs or so tonight, this line comes well into play. Both when playing well are no strangers to the lipstick and Philips in particular this week has pounded the treble on a consistent basis. Granted neither guy has scored excessive amounts of maximums, but Webster has managed 2 in each of his 3 matches, whilst Phillips has 4 to his name this week and that's in the shorter format. We'll see far more legs tonight and so more opportunities for the maximums. Both players when playing well can really steam ahead and I see shifts in momentum in this one, so overs for me.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Been a really poor tournament for me so far after a promising start, leaving me currently on -11.78. Hoping the end of the group stages and the longer format will bring some better results and I'm taking an interest in 3 of the 4 matches tonight. Terry Jenkins (-1.5 legs) to beat Wayne Jones- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (5/10) After the first match I really didn't think the Bull would make it through but he bounced back extremely well with wins over Chisnall and Wade, meaning he topped the group eventually and that will bring some much needed confidence going into this one. He started to find his range with his scoring, averaging around 95 against Wade, but his finishing was like the Jenkins we've seen of old which was good to see. Jones was impressive in his first two matches which secured him a spot in the last 16, and that probably explains why he didn't really show up in that one, averaging a tad over 75. Can't see him playing anywhere near as badly as he did against Anderson in that one, but with Jenkins playing some nice darts again and him faring better in front of the cameras in recent history, I'll back him to win this one with a break of throw and make it 3 wins in a row. James Wade to beat Gary Anderson- 11/10 Coral- (4/10) Happy to play on Wade here at odds against given what I've seen from Anderson this week. He's spoken out that he's not really got his head in the game completely at the minute due to personal reasons and he's not entirely enjoying playing darts at the minute which is completely justifiable and probably will have a little break after this tournament before the World Championship I'd imagine. His group wasn't too taxing to be honest, so there's no surprise he topped the group despite matter away from darts, but he'll face a much stiffer test tonight. Wade has a really tough group with Pipe, Chisnall and Jenkins but he still managed to qualify, and perhaps should have topped the group, but Jenkins came back and beat him in the final match with some clinical finishing. Anderson isn't as clinical as that on the doubles, and you'd have to say he will miss a fair few chances to win legs, which should let Wade in regardless of how well Anderson is scoring. Wade is no slouch in terms of high scoring, and given he'll be better on the doubles, I'll back him to make it through this one. Michael Van Gerwen vs Ted Hankey- Highest Match Checkout Over 122.5- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (3/10) People are talking about the Anderson-Wade match as the game to watch tonight but I feel this could well be the best match on the eye. Both were excellent in their final group match in which both needed to win to make it through. Hankey averaged around the 100 mark in that one against Ian White, taking out a 161 as well on his route to victory. Van Gerwen beat O'Shea and took out that 144 which was very pleasing to see. Hankey also has a 121 to his name this week as well and Van Gerwen a 120 and that is in the shorter format. I don't see either of these guys running away with the match tonight so we could well see 16+ legs tonight, and with both guys capable of getting the crows going, albeit for very different reasons, I fancy a checkout of 123 or above tonight.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 As soon as the handicap goes due to poor finishing, he suddenly hits everything, extremely frustrating giving me -4 for the night.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Had a couple of nights off due to uni essays but taking a few tonight. I'll post the Newton one first as it won't be too long until that starts, not really much I can add to Kev before me, and then edit the post with the other bets. Wes Newton (-3.5 legs) to beat Barrie Bates- Evens Coral- (3/10) Really annoyed I didn't get on the Caris handicap against Bates as that was always going to safely come through but I'll back Wes tonight. As Kev has said this could well be the last time we see him play, given his problems in his throwing hand which he still can't even open completely. It's been a real sad sight to see him like this as it would be with any professional, but still going to back him not getting more than one leg on the board. He was lucky to get that only leg he has this week against Caris, as he missed a few doubles, and against Nicholson he didn't get a single chance. Newton could do with increasing his leg difference to try and match Nicholson as neither will be too keen on facing Taylor next and given Bates was done 5-0 in the opening match, I just have to fancy Newton to not drop more than a leg here. If he scores even decently, don't see Bates getting anything out of this one. Co Stompe vs Martin Phillips- Over 7.5 legs- 8/11 Bluesquare- (4/10) Been quietly impressed with both of these guys this week and this is essentially a straight knock out match, so there might be a few nerves lurking about. Both however have scored well this week, and their finishing hasn't been too shabby either. Stompe was blown away by Lewis in his previous match but most would have if they played Lewis in that form but against Van Der Voort he was solid. Phillips has impressed me more and he hasn't struggled to find his big scores like you'd expect. Despite that, not too sure how much relevance that will have on this match and I'd back both players to be pretty solid in holding their throw. We saw back in 2009 a group stage match between these guys go all the way to a deciding leg, and I'll back there's at least 8 played tonight. Mark Webster (-2.5 legs) to beat Jan Dekker- 11/10 Bluesquare- (3/10) Agreed with Kev again here, and really fancy Webster to make it 3/3 pretty comfortably here. Fair play he hasn't been at his best with his finishing this week, but he hasn't been terrible compared to others either. Usually he is one of the most solid players on his doubles around, and now he has qualified to put recent years dismal performances behind him, he should be full of confidence and take the initiative here. Saying that, if this week's averages are anything to go by, the Welshman should have plenty of chances to finish the leg off before the youngster has a chance to. He hasn't reached the 90s in terms of averages this week, and Webster has been pretty solid in that department so you'd fancy him to get down to a double first in most legs, so at above evens, happy to back Webster on the handicap.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Very surprised Terry did the job on Chisnall there. Taking 2 more though for tonight's bill whilst I plunge into a 3000 word essay. Barney (-1.5 legs) to beat Ted Hankey- 4/6 Bet365- (3/10) Have to fancy the Dutchman here. He should have really won his opening match but errors crept into his game and well the rest is history so he needs a win tonight and I don't see him having too many problems in doing that. Hankey, well he can't get much worse than last night with the crowd getting on his back, but from the darts he threw last night, I don't see him winning more than 3 legs tonight. An average of under 80, and missing all 14 shots at his doubles, is simply terrible at this standard. He let the crowd get under his skin again and in an arena where Barney is loved, that doesn't bode well for Hankey's chances tonight and can't see Barney dropping more than 3 legs in recording a win here. Michael Van Gerwen Most 180s vs Mark Walsh- 17/10 Bet365- (2/10) Perhaps the player of the first round the youngster, averaging over 100 and showing no nerves against the defending champ and Phil Taylor would have done well to keep up with him in the opening 4 legs. He hit 3 maximums in that one, as well as a 177 and although he may not play as well tonight, he should still be pounding the lipstick I'd imagine. Mark Walsh was a slight bit fortunate to beat Tony O'Shea in his opening match, with the BDO player missing a fair number of doubles to take the initiative. Walsh only managed the one maximum in that match and admitted he was nervous. Van Gerwen clearly wasn't and I'll back him to win the match in terms of 180s here.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Will post this now as it starts soon... Dave Chisnall (-1.5 legs) to beat Terry Jenkins- 5/6 Bet365- (2/10) Felt a bit sorry for Jenkins last night as he looked completely lost on stage, which is sad to see, and was just highlighted by him busting on 121 I think it was, and eventually lost the leg. Dave Chisnall was at the other side of the spectrum last night, and was heavily unlucky not to beat James Wade, but he was scoring well and wasn't mucking about on the doubles either which is good to see as he has had problems with them in the past. If he plays anything like he did last night, hard to see Jenkins keeping up and getting down to a double regularly enough to really trouble so I'll back the man who is playing the better darts, which is Chisnall on the handicap.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Perfect start this afternoon turned to complete misery in the end. First 3 matches went perfectly, before it all turned sour. -1.60 for the session though, leaving me on -0.78.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Didn't actually like much in the afternoon session at first glance, but after further inspection, quite a few I have got involved with in the end. Adrian Lewis vs Martin Phillips- Highest Match Checkout 101 or more- 4/5 Sportingbet- (4/10) This is the repeat of last year's match in which the BDO player came through impressively and he win again be a danger to the likes of Lewis and Van Der Voort this year. He is a solid thrower Martin Phillips, with bags of experience, shown through the last 2 years of the Lakeside championships where he has made the semis to he could well push Lewis here, in a tournament the world champion doesn't often go too well in. However regardless of the outcome, I do fancy this checkout market which is insanely low. Both are heavy scorers and both are more than capable of taking out a 3 figure checkout. In their group match last year, both players covered this checkout line individually over the 7 legs they played, and I see no reason why there won't be a ton plus checkout again today. Vincent Van Der Voort vs Co Stompe- Over 7.5 legs- 8/11 BlueSquare- (4/10) Reckon this could well be the tightest affair we see this afternoon and I feel the line is a leg too low to be honest in a match where I fail to see either guy really running away with it. Stompe looks to have found some form last weekend in Crawley coming into this week, making the semis on both days and he's back at a venue where he did well last year and made the quarters. Van Der Voort actually won one of those events over in Crawley, but I'm sure he'll be disappointed with his results in the bigger events this year. Whenever these two Dutchman meet, the matches are usually fairly close, and if we look at the 4 matches they've played this year, only once has one guy won by 3 legs, whilst the other 3 have been tight affairs so I'll back that to happen again this afternoon. Don't see either guy not winning 3 legs here. Paul Nicholson (-2.5 legs) to beat Barrie Bates- 5/6 Blue Square- (3/10) Kev has said it all really with this one. Indeed it is a large handicap, as I found out with Anderson last night, but with the form Barrie Bates is in, it is more than achievable for Nicholson to cover. The Welshman only has a couple of wins to his name for a while, and hasn't made the round of 32 in any tournament since February :loon. Nicholson is his own biggest fan, but he is still a good player around the circuit despite being a complete tool, and he should really take care of Bates in this one by a few legs or so. Haven't got the price that Kev has, but still fancy the handicap to come through. Mervyn King (-1.5 legs) to beat Steve Beaton- Evens Coral- (3/10) Think King has come into some good form at the right time here after his personal problems this year, and fancy him to win this one by at least a couple of legs. Before a couple of months ago, he hadn't done too much to catch the eye since the start of the year, but he has made a few semis of late, including the Championship of darts and then he got a win over in Spain where he beat Wes Newton well. Out of all the players involved over the next week, I think King will be one of the most motivated given what he's been through this year, and then all of the talk about when he moved from to BDO to the PDC, so he'll be keen to prove a point. Beaton will have fond memories of this event, as he beat Taylor here last year in arguably the best match he has ever played, but since then he hasn't really gone on. Just one semi appearance in the last year, that in the same event where King made the semis as well, but not a great deal to speak of apart from that. On both ocassions where these two guys have met, King has won both, including a whitewash in the group stages of the champions league only last month so more than happy to back him again here at evens to win by a couple of legs. Wes Newton (-2.5 legs) to beat Magnus Caris- Evens Coral- (3/10) Granted we've already seen from last night what the qualifiers are capable of doing, with Anderson and Barney going down to them, but Newton is far more consistent than those guys, and although he's arguably not as exciting to watch, he usually gets the job done with minimal fuss. He hasn't been at his best in recent weeks, but he did make a final over in Spain recently and also reached the quarters in Crawley so he has some momentum behind him and in front of the tv cameras, we know what he can do. Caris came through the qualifiers last week which was a good result for the experienced player from Sweeden. He's been around a long time, and back in the 90s when I was a youngster, he very nearly beat Bobby George to reach the final of the BDO championship. Of recent times though he has really struggled against the better players. King beat him 3-0 in the first round of the World Championship this year, and Newton has already beaten him in all 4 of their matches this year. Caris did push him to a deciding leg over in Crawley last week, but the two matches before that, he was whitewashed and won only 2 legs in the other match. Just feel Newton will cope a whole lot better on the big stage so will back him on the handicap as well. Jan Dekker Most 180s vs John Part- 13/8 Bet365- (3/10) Surprised to see such high odds on the youngster to hit more maximums here. The Dutchman has undoubtedly got some talent as he made the semis of the BDO world championship earlier this year at the age of 20, defeating 3 seeds on his way to that semi and from watching that, he was very cool throughout, and despite his modest age, the big stage didn't seem to get to him at all. Although he can be inconsistent at times with his doubles, he is more than capable of hitting some maximums though, and he shouldn't have any fear today so he should be able to relax and play his own game. Part has had a pretty good year, and been fairly consistent, but on the 180s front, he doesn't score an excessive amount. I do expect him to come through this one, perhaps narrowly but I'm still happy to take the BDO youngster to beat his opponent in terms of maximums.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Flipping Gary Anderson and his inability to finish legs off :wall Justin Pipe sealed a minimal profit for me though with 4/7 coming through, giving me +0.82 for the night. Quite a tricky round of fixtures to call in the end.
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Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Really like tonight's schedule and taking an alarming 7 :loon. Going to be a long way back if this goes wrong tonight. Gary Anderson (-2.5 legs) to beat Nigel Heydon- 8/11 Sportingbet- (4/10) Fancy the Scot here to make light work of the qualifier in this one. Anderson has had a super year, winning the PL and losing to Lewis in the World Championship final, firmly establishing himself as one of the best players around. It wasn't a huge surprise he didn't fare too well in the Grand Prix, considering you have to start and finish on a double which is by far Anderson's weakness. However over the next week or so, he'll be able to pound the lipstick from dart one, and if he gets going, Heydon won't be able to keep up. They've actually met 4 times in the past, with Anderson winning 3 of them with ease, and I'll back him to make up for his Grand Prix efforts tonight, and can't see him dropping more than 2 legs. Brendan Dolan to beat Wayne Jones- 10/11 Coral- (3/10) Leaning towards the Irishman here, who should be full of confidence given what he did in front of the TV cameras in the Grand Prix. He was extremely consistent back then in Ireland, and even in the final he didn't roll over, taking 3 sets off the Power which is easier said than done. Granted he hasn't done alot since that final appearance, but he did make the semis in a Players Championship event in Crawley last week, so he'll have some momentum behind him coming into this one. Wayne Jones has been hugely disappointing for some time now, failing to make it past the last 16 in any Player Championship events for a while, and in front of the TV cameras, he has been far from his best. Since making the semis in this event 12 months ago, he hasn't looked anything like that player and despite having the crowd behind him tonight, feel Dolan's consistency might see him through and repeat the victory that he got over Jones in the Grand Prix. James Wade vs Dave Chisnall- Highest Match Checkout Over 105.5- 5/6 Coral- (3/10) This could well be the cracker of the night with two players meeting eachother, who are both oozing in quality. Whenever these two guys meet, the matches are tight and last a little while, and although I give the slight edge to Chisnall, I think the slightly safer option is this checkout market which in my eyes is a low one for these two quality players. As I've said these two usually cancel eachother mostly when they play so we should see a fair few legs, which increases the chance of a decent checkout. Both players when playing well are more than capable of taking out a 120+ finish, and given the form both players have been in for the past 12 month on the circuit, I see no reason why we won't see a checkout of higher than 106 later on so overs for me. Scott Waites vs Michael Van Gerwen- Over 7.5 Legs- 10/11 BlueSquare- (3/10) The line looks one leg too low for me here and this could well go to a deciding leg I feel. Both have been in good form, with Waites winning 4 events recently, and adding another final appearance to that as well whilst Van Gerwen made the youth championship final a week or so ago. Waites is the obvious favourite due to his history in this event, after winning it last year, and making the final a few years ago as well, but Van Gerwen is arguably the most promising youngster in the game and is more than capable of holding his own here. In the past, these two have always played out close matches, and I see no reason why both won't hold their throw enough times to play out a 5-3 or 5-4 here. Justin Pipe to beat Terry Jenkins- 11/10 Sportingbet- (2/10) Don't really see why Pipe is the underdog in this one, given he is the form player on the circuit coming into this event. He has been hugely consistent over the past few months , and comes into the Grand Slam with a win in the Players Championship last week, and also a final loss to Chisnall to add to that. His slow and smooth throw looks to really put opponents off, and doesn't allow them to get any sort of rhythm. Terry Jenkins I really like, but he hasn't any form to speak of for a while now and in those events in Crawley which Pipe did so well in, Jenkins was beaten by a couple of guys he really should be beating with ease. Got to back the form player here, and that is definitely what I'm doing here in Justin Pipe, and I fancy him to open his Grand Slam campaign with a win. Dean Winstanley (-1.5 legs) to beat Ted Hankey- 6/5 Sportingbet- (2/10) A couple of the BDO players face eachother here, but we have two players who have had completely different seasons and are in different places right now. Winstanley has made the two BDO major finals this season, and only last week won the Czech Open so he should be coming into this one with some confidence. The Count hasn't played a great deal of competitive darts recently really, and he hasn't really done much to catch the eye over the past 6 months or so so I'm wary over what kind of place he is in with his darts right now. Winstanley beat him 5-2 earlier on this year, and at odds against, I'll back him to win by at least 2 legs again tonight. Tony O'Shea to beat Mark Walsh- Evens BlueSquare- (2/10) Backing the BDO player here and think he will edge this one. Both players are consistent when they throw, but O'Shea in my eyes will turn those 100s into 140+'s which could be crucial here. O'Shea won an event last week in Northern Ireland so that should give him some confidence, and 12 months ago he won his group so he knows he can do it in front of the cameras at this venue. Walsh hasn't had a bad year at all, and is usually consistent when he plays but like I said, O'Shea is more capable of scoring heavily, and with these kind of match, feel that might see him through.
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Re: England > Weekend FA Cup > 11th - 13th November
Nice results in the end. Shame that Wycombe couldn't score against 10 men to a team a couple of leagues below them, and that Bath couldn't go on from taking the lead. Won't complain though and will settle happily for a profit of +10.52 :okTaken a few right at the end here so won't do bulky write-ups. Carlisle to beat Alfreton Town- 8/13 Bet365- (5/10) WIN Bournemouth vs Gillingham- BTTS 8/11- BlueSquare- (4/10) WIN Chelmsford to beat Telford- 7/4 Bet365- (3/10) WIN Fleetwood Town vs Wycombe- Over 2.5 goals- 4/5 Bet365- (3/10) LOSS Sutton Utd to beat Kettering- 11/10 Coral- (3/10) WIN Bath City to beat Dag&Red- 5/1 BlueSquare- (1/10) LOSS -
Re: England > Weekend FA Cup > 11th - 13th November
8-1 FT. 2' date='300 in attendance. Thank you very much![/quote'] Bet you were getting nervy in the last few minutes ;) Great shout -
Re: England > Weekend FA Cup > 11th - 13th November Taken a few right at the end here so won't do bulky write-ups. Carlisle to beat Alfreton Town- 8/13 Bet365- (5/10) Alfreton have been leaking goals for fun in the league, and have lost their last 5, and have conceded at least 3 in every match. Know the cup can suddenly transform teams but don't see it happening here. Carlisle haven't been in terrible form, and are unbeaten in their last 3, with that impressive win over Sheff Wed couple of weeks ago. Doesn't look like they are taking this match lightly and are putting out a strong side so I'll back the better team here given Alfreton's horrid form. Bournemouth vs Gillingham- BTTS 8/11- BlueSquare- (4/10) Usually goals when these two teams play. Both sides have scored and conceded in 4 of their last 6 matches, and both have good attacking players on show. They should both be up for this one, and see this as a definite winnable match as well, so I'll back both to score here. Chelmsford to beat Telford- 7/4 Bet365- (3/10) Not sure I really get why the home side are so high here. Going into this one they are in much better shape and should have more confidence than their opponents given the form of the two sides. Telford have lost their last 4, albeit narrowly, whilst the home side haven't lost for a while and are generally solid at home. Chelmsford's manager has called for the players to step up for this one and for the crowd to get behind them and beat their opponents who are a league above them. Big crowd expected here, and I'll back Chelmsford to carry on their good form. Fleetwood Town vs Wycombe- Over 2.5 goals- 4/5 Bet365- (3/10) The lower home side come into this one in better form, but their last 5 matches have had at least 3 goals in. They can definitely score goals, scoring 13 in their last 4 matches, but very rarely do they not concede and against a better team in terms of quality, I fail to see a tight game here. It looks as though Fleetwood only know one way, and that is to score goals so they should attack. Wycombe should be able to contribute to the overs here though, scored in 5 of their last 6, and also conceded in 5 of those as well so overs for me here. Sutton Utd to beat Kettering- 11/10 Coral- (3/10) Sutton are another side who are in really good from right now, and scoring goals for fun, with 12 scored in the last 3 matches, winning them all, and have won their last 3 home matches, only conceding one in that time. Kettering haven't won in 3, and they have been hit and miss recently, failing to even beat Alfreton Town a few weeks back. Kettering if you remember raised a few eyebrows in the FA Cup over recent years, but don't see them doing the same this year given their form, so backing the home side. Bath City to beat Dag&Red- 5/1 BlueSquare- (1/10) And you have to have one fairytale story in the cup and this is my one for the first round. The league side have lost 11 of their last 12 and are leaking a ton of goals right now. Bath came back from 2 down against Grimsby last week, and they did well as the underdogs in their previous match in the cup, beating Dover. Dag&Red are without any fit centre backs, and now their skipper Mark Arber is missing as well so if the non-league side get stuck in, who knows what could happen come 4:50 this afternoon.
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Re: Tennis - 7-13 November Florian Mayer :spank
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Re: Tennis - 7-13 November Will add the reasoning when I'm back from uni as I'm late already but just so everyone can jump on the prices if they like. Gilles Simon (-2.5 games) to beat Juan Monaco- Evens Ladbrokes- (3/10) You can probably get better offers in terms of handicaps and prices if you look around but took this earlier and still don't see why Simon is only a slight favourite here really. Fair enough if you look at recent form purely, it suggests that Monaco is coming into this in better shape, given his final appearance in Valencia last week, but that could work against him this week, and especially against a guy like Simon, who will enjoy the longer rallies and really work Monaco, not something he will be looking forward to given his busy schedule over the past week or so. Simon has home advantage here, and the courts should suit him as they are slow and he is far more in his comfort zone during the rallies than Monaco is. The Frenchman has won the last 3 between these guys, covering this handicap in the most recent 2, and I'll back him to overcome the handicap here. Mayer to beat Fish- Evens Ladbrokes- (2.5/10) Taken this with a one ball bookie especially as I'm not sure what condition Mardy is going to be in after retiring after just one game against James Blake a couple of weeks ago in Basel. It was a hamstring problem, so there aren't any guarantees he'll be completely over that, which could well affect his movement on these courts. Know he will be heavily motivated to qualify for London at the end of the year, and he has to play to stand a chance of making the finals, but that is by no means saying he is 100% and ready to go, and Mayer with his unorthodox style may cause him a fair few problems. Even if both players were at their best, I'm still unconvinced at how much of a heavy favourite I'd make the American, given Mayer copes better with the slower conditions. He's already played Basel where he won a couple of matches in these indoor courts, so he'll have had more court time than Mardy, and really do fancy him to provide an 'upset' here. Odds are good enough for me to take him as the dog.
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Re: Cricket: India vs West Indies - Test Series Quite like getting involved with the cricket around the UK winter time, so taking a bit of interest in this series in India. Tailing Kev on that series handicap, likewise with the same stake. And having 3 in the opening test. Gautam Gambhir 1st Innings Runs Over 35.5- 5/6 Ladbrokes- (3/10) Line is too low for me on a guy I rate extremely highly in this Indian superstar batting lineup. Of course all of the talk in this match will be towards Sachin and whether he gets that century, which might suit Gambhir up the top of the innings as he can go about his business quietly as he does. He did well in the one day series against England recently, with scores of 32, 84*, 58, 1 and 38, and that unbeaten 84 came in Delhi where this test is being played which should see him go well again today. He missed out in the test series against the WIndies earlier on in the year, so he'll be looking to make amends, and I'll back him to score some runs early doors in the Indian innings. Ishant Sharma Player Performance 90&Over- 5/6 Bet365- (3/10) I think the Indian paceman will go quite well over the next few days with the new ball. He took 22 wickets in the 3 match series earlier on in the year and there were examples there of how the West Indies struggled to cope with his pace. He missed the recent games against England so he'll be looking to impress on return and he'll be the main man in terms of seamers in this fairly inexperienced Indian bowling attack so they will be hoping the big man can step up. Although you'd fancy the spinners to have a big say in this, Ashwin in particular, I feel Sharma can have a bit of success with the ball moving about, so 5 wickets in the match doesn't look too steep for me to back Sharma with. Darren Sammy Player Performance 84&Under- 5/6 Bet365- (3/10) Similiar thinking to Tyler in the respect of I really can't see India batting twice, nor do I really think they will get bowled out even to be honest considering the history of this pitch this season and the abundance of quality that lies in this Indian side. Therefore to say the West Indies skipper will take at least 5 wickets in the match, with the biggest danger lying with perhaps Roach and Bishoo just doesn't look right to me. He didn't have a great deal of success against Bangladesh recently, and here he'll be up against 3 or 4 of the greatest batsman to have ever played international cricket, so backing the unders here.
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Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November As well as the break up in the third at 2-0. Really strange to see Ferrer do that in home conditions as well.
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Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November 2 doubles in that previous service game, got to hope he somehow stays alive for the outright.
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Re: England - Barclays Premier League - Nov 5 - 6 Having 3 myself in the Premiership today. Arsenal vs West Brom- Over 3 Goals- 41/40 Bet365- (3/10) Expect a few goals in this one. That win over my beloved Chelsea should give this Arsenal side a ton of confidence going into today's match, despite them dropping points against Marseille in midweek. Their talisman in RVP will be back into the starting 11, which when he plays, they look a completely different team and are always capable of hitting the back of net on a regular basis. As we all know, their defense still has issues, shown through last week's early stages against Chelsea, where we could have had at least 2 ourselves so a West Brom goal isn't out of the equation here. Just like the insurance of having that push if there are only 3 goals, but I do think we could see more so I'm happy to back some goals in north London today. Liverpool (-1) to beat Swansea- 5/6 Coral- (3/10) Liverpool are unbeaten at home this season, and they looked impressive against West Brom last week, with that combination of Suarez and Carroll getting better and better everytime they play together. They are without Gerrard today but through the likes of Adam and Henderson, I don't see it being too much of an issue against Swansea, who away from home, haven't looked anything special and it'll be their home form that they will look to this season if they are to stay up. Conceded 4 against Man City and Chelsea already this season and although they may keep it tight for a while, I do see Liverpool winning by at least a couple of goals. Man City (-1) to beat QPR- Evens Coral- (3/10) I took this bet on with Chelsea when we played them and although that didn't work out, I reckon City will make up for that. Even against us with 9 men, we still could have scored, and should have had at least a couple of penalties with fouls from corners. Anyways, give QPR credit they looked good when it was 11v11 early doors, but you do feel without the sendings off, even perhaps with just 10 men, Chelsea probably still would have won that game. However this bet is more due to Man City and the football they are playing right now. A comfortable win in Spain in midweek, and the feeling in the camp that this could be their season, should lead to them scoring a few today, even if that is without the likes of Balotelli and Silva. QPR will be without Taarabt and Derry in the center of the park, and also Traore perhaps as well, so those 3 I see as quite significant blows for them in terms of their strongest side but even with them, you'd have to fancy City to win by at least a couple of goals given they are scoring for fun at the minute, so City on the handicap for me.
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Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November Nothing for me either and I'll wait for next week and just keep an eye on Ferrer to see if he can take the title this week.
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Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November
And having 4 involving the men as well today. Roger Federer vs Potito Starace- Under 17.5 games- 11/10 Coral- (3/10) LOSS Nicolas Mahut (+2.5 games) to beat Guillermo Garcia-Lopez- 10/11 Coral- (3/10) WIN Jurgen Melzer (-2.5 games) to beat Donald Young- 5/6 Bet365- (2/10) VOID Vasek Pospisil to beat John Isner- 5/2 Bet365- (2/10) WIN
Finally update my P/L for the week now I can relax for the night after my exam. Sorry again about the write-ups, but looks like most of my picks were summed up pretty well by others, with only Nishikori letting me down today. +12.28 overall for the week, with Ferrer looking good for the outright, and also Ferrero could meet him in the semis which would guarantee a place in the final for me regardless.I have literally no time to do write ups this morning due to exams but I'll put the bets up anyways. Apologies to the mods. Juan Martin Del Porto (-3.5 games) to beat Sam Querrey- 10/11 Coral- (5/10) WIN Kei Nishikori (-4.5 games) to beat Mikhail Kukushkin- 11/10 Bet365- (3/10) LOSS Marcos Baghdatis (+5.5 games) to beat Novak Djokovic- 10/11 Bet365- (3/10) WIN Roger Federer (-4.5 games) to beat Andy Roddick- 6/5 Bet365- (3/10) WIN -
Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November I have literally no time to do write ups this morning due to exams but I'll put the bets up anyways. Apologies to the mods. Juan Martin Del Porto (-3.5 games) to beat Sam Querrey- 10/11 Coral- (5/10) Kei Nishikori (-4.5 games) to beat Mikhail Kukushkin- 11/10 Bet365- (3/10) Marcos Baghdatis (+5.5 games) to beat Novak Djokovic- 10/11 Bet365- (3/10) Roger Federer (-4.5 games) to beat Andy Roddick- 6/5 Bet365- (3/10)
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Re: Tennis - 31 October - 6 November
Yeah meant it as in the courts are slower, comparable to clay moreso than the quicker surfaces, but see where the confusion may lie. Will amend it.Valencia is indoor hard mate.
Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011
in Darts Predictions
Posted
Re: Darts: Grand Slam of Darts 2011 Last night looked to have been a perfect one until Lewis blew a 9-3 lead to blow the handicap meaning I broke even last night when I could have clawed back a large chunk of the loss from this week. Hopefully today will be the day that happens. Taking 3 in the afternoon session. There are marginally better prices about on all 3 of the bets but can't be bothered to muck about with depositing into various bookies today considering I need to do some essays for uni. Ted Hankey Most 180s vs Mark Walsh- 10/11 Ladbrokes- (4/10) Spooner's mentioned the outstanding price that you can get at hill's at above evens, but still happy to back the Count to outscore Walshie at this price. Hankey has looked better and better as the week has gone on after a really poor opening match. As well as finishing better and scoring solidly, he has managed to really find his range with the lipstick, even at the end of the lengthy match against Van Gerwen he was no stranger to the red bit which puts him in good stead for the 180 battle here. He outscored Walsh 6-3 in the previous round in terms of maximums and with the crowd really starting to warm to the BDO player, fancy him to win the 180 battle here. Gary Anderson (-4.5 legs) to beat Terry Jenkins- 8/11 Ladbrokes- (5/10) Total Match 180s Over 14.5- 8/11 Ladbrokes- (4/10) Bet365 do a better price on the handicap, and Coral with the 180s just for anyone looking to get marginally higher odds on these. First of all I'm taking the Scot on the handicap. Few of us were on Wade in the previous round but after losing the opening 2 legs, Anderson just blew him away which gives me reason to back him on the handicap here. He has had some problems away from darts and said he wasn't completely in the right place right now, yet he has hammered Dolan, Jones and Wade in his previous 3 matches, and against Wade even his finishing was impressive, with it being above 50%, which is extremely impressive given how many doubles he usually misses. Jenkins had to fight back to pip Jones in the last round in the last couple of legs, but he couldn't repeat the sort of performance he had against Wade or Chisnall. He'll need to knock another few points onto his average to cope with Anderson if he gets going, and I'm still not convinced he's playing well enough to cope with the Scot and I don't see Anderson dropping more than 11 legs here. Also playing the 180 line here as I feel it's a tad low. Anderson alone hit 9 180's in just 13 legs against Wade whilst Jenkins managed 4 in his game against Jones. If Jenkins is to get anywhere close to the Scot he'll need to score heavily, and although I fancy Anderson to win with a bit to spare, Jenkins should be able to win 7 or 8 legs I'd imagine so there should be plenty of time for this line to be covered. If Anderson really gets going and is near his best, this line could be almost cleared by him alone, but Jenkins can hit a few as well so I'll back the overs here.