harry_rag

Pen each for Oyarzabal & Depay, singles for me, double for @LEE-GRAYS Better day today after that recent 0 from 11 blowout.

Mbappe 11/10 a better than fair FTM pick, Oyarzabal 23/10, Trossard 3.6 and Depay 5.4 so far.

Hernandez (Deportivo) way too big at 12/5. Should be shorter than 2/1, as he is everywhere else. Won last time out at 4.8.

Muriqi (Kosovo) matched at 4 just before the off.

Varga for Hungary looks way too big at 3.75 on the exchange, was just about a bet for me at best bookie price of 23/10.

Vlahovic and Gregoritsch are both too big at 10/3 with 365 in Serbia v Austria. Singles and double worth doing if you can get on with them. Will see if I can get near enough prices. Got 4.2 and 4.5 on the exchange so

Morcillo and Corpas in, both at 5/1 or more though a case of "nice price, shame about the stake" with regard to the former.

Who was that geezer saying "never bet in running" the other day! A bit of good fortune that I bothered to follow in play with it being such a quiet day. Pleasantly surprised to get my required prices quite that early on as well. Not uncommon for the initial in play prices to be shorter than the pre-game prices and for them to remain on the short side (last time I looked at least).

A trio in the 2 Spanish Segunda games that start shortly. 5/2 Caicedo a system bet (11/4 with 365). Also 27/5 Morcillo though only allowed a tiny stake on that one. In the other game 5/1 Corpas also just qualifies.

He'll probably score a hat trick today as well, when I'm only on the anytime!

Could do without the wrong players scoring all the other goals!

On at 13/8 Mik and 9/5 "Special K" plus the double at 13/2. Not too bad at 12 minutes in. And Mik scores while I'm typing. Jammy git! 😄

Matched on the outsider of the 3 at 7.6. May yet back the other 2 if I can get a decent price in play.

Thoughts on Georgia v Armenia. Mikautadze "too short" at 5/4 best but will probably score regardless. Fighting the temptation to back him at less than I really think I should be, maybe crunch a few more numbers. Kvaratskhelia is a bet if you can get the 9/5 with PP but 7/5 next best is too short. Exchange maybe? Kochorashvili is tempting at 7/1 with 365 (shorter than 4s everywhere else). You'd be relying on this season's goalscoring form for club and country being the "new normal" rather than a blip but feels like it's would be better to back him and lose than swerve him and win if you can get 7/1. That trio have scored 9 of Georgia's 10 goals this season; 15 out of 27 last season with only the 1st two of them scoring.

2 & 4 won so a small profit on that game. No "strict" system bets in today's Super League game but one player who's just outside the data criteria and flagged as value. Hiku at 23/10 and 1st half try at 11/2. Might claw me in front if he can oblige before the half time Bovril!