Here are the lines for the weekend. I can't see Wales managing to trouble Ireland. An improved Italy against an ever unpredictable France carries a bit more jeopardy perhaps, but more in terms of the margin than the result itself. I fancy England to get the job done against Scotland, maybe by more than the expected line, but that game obviously offers the best chance of an upset.
I'm just assessing my antepost position given that I want Ireland to win the 6 Nations but not the Grand Slam! I'm inclined to think they sweep all before them now with the visit of France next week obviously the only realistic shout for "no slam". Trouble is, if France do me a favour there then we potentially have a 3 way scrabble to top the table with England quite probably still in the hunt.
My staking hasn't done me any favours really (too much on no slam relative to a smaller stake on Ireland). Prices taken and now:
Ireland 6 Nations 2.98 v 1.52
No Grand Slam 2.06 and 21/20 v 2.1
My current positions are:
Ireland Grand Slam: -19.44 points
Ireland 6 Nations only: +100
Ireland neither: +43.89
@Torque a rare instance here of cash out being better than the exchange option and (perhaps) being a sliver of value. It's still 21/20 with the bookie in question so I can cash out the bet for money back whereas I'd have to take a small loss on the exchange. There's some appeal in reducing my liability on the most likely of all the 3 outcomes (at the expense of some of the profits on the other 2) given it's the one I most lean towards. Any thoughts? (Either on the numbers or on the outcome of the tournament.) The notion of wanting Ireland to win but not too convincingly is making it hard for me to get a fix on this one!