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harry_rag

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harry_rag last won the day on January 10

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  1. On Bundu to score at 6.8,
  2. Vitinha (PSG) at 3/1 or 4 a system and FTM pick.
  3. Likewise on Marmoush at 3.6 (you might get 11/4 with 365) and Rodrygo at 4.1.
  4. Minimal stakes FTM on Rogers at 5.7. Rare to see a large amount of money wanting to back a player at this big a price but he's not the worst player to take a chance on.
  5. Salah 2.58 FTM. Too short for me at 11/10 best bookies price, too big for me at those odds. There was a large amount asking for 2.6 when I placed the bet though not so much now. Still, a strong bet regardless and was an FTM qualifier at the point of placement.
  6. Thanks @Torque On one level it’s a no brainer to take the cashout! Get my money back and reinvest it at bigger odds on the exchange. So letting the bet run with the bookie would be a bad choice on that basis. I think I’ll cash it out to pretty much half my loss in the event of the Grand Slam without reducing the profit for the other outcomes too much. I feel like I slightly overstaked it (and should have topped up the Ireland 6 Nations bet instead). I’ve already won on the France GS lay so I’ll just reduce the amount I end up giving back if the Ireland GS lands. If France beat Ireland it could come down to bonus points who wins the Championship and I’m struggling to price that market up!
  7. Guirassy 2.34 FTM in the early CL game. Was going to ask for slightly more (2.42) but over 2 grand asking for 2.36 or 2.38 so I'll follow the wedge now rather than risk getting my price in play. Better than my fair odds of 2.22.
  8. Here are the lines for the weekend. I can't see Wales managing to trouble Ireland. An improved Italy against an ever unpredictable France carries a bit more jeopardy perhaps, but more in terms of the margin than the result itself. I fancy England to get the job done against Scotland, maybe by more than the expected line, but that game obviously offers the best chance of an upset. I'm just assessing my antepost position given that I want Ireland to win the 6 Nations but not the Grand Slam! I'm inclined to think they sweep all before them now with the visit of France next week obviously the only realistic shout for "no slam". Trouble is, if France do me a favour there then we potentially have a 3 way scrabble to top the table with England quite probably still in the hunt. My staking hasn't done me any favours really (too much on no slam relative to a smaller stake on Ireland). Prices taken and now: Ireland 6 Nations 2.98 v 1.52 No Grand Slam 2.06 and 21/20 v 2.1 My current positions are: Ireland Grand Slam: -19.44 points Ireland 6 Nations only: +100 Ireland neither: +43.89 @Torque a rare instance here of cash out being better than the exchange option and (perhaps) being a sliver of value. It's still 21/20 with the bookie in question so I can cash out the bet for money back whereas I'd have to take a small loss on the exchange. There's some appeal in reducing my liability on the most likely of all the 3 outcomes (at the expense of some of the profits on the other 2) given it's the one I most lean towards. Any thoughts? (Either on the numbers or on the outcome of the tournament.) The notion of wanting Ireland to win but not too convincingly is making it hard for me to get a fix on this one!
  9. 7/10 best bookies price and currently 1.88 to lay on the exchange so probably a bit of value in it.
  10. Bet 1071 Only part matched but still a bet!
  11. Pavlidis for Benfica at 2.48. Solid system and FTM pick.
  12. I'd definitely play it if I had access. Might score, might not, but definitely more likely to than not.
  13. Clear value, definitely an odds on poke. Exchange 1.8ish probably more realistic than the shorter bookies prices.
  14. Give us a tick, just boiling my spuds!
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