only1woz
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Posts posted by only1woz
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Matched in Benfica, Braga and after about 15 mins in the Porto game. All winners so current running total profit of £117.50
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BRAGA, SPORTING and AVES were all winners, giving profit of £28.50, leaving the current total at £89.00
Todays bets are
Obviously I've mentioned that the odds from CGM and actual betfair odds can vary a bit. So this is my thinking moving forward.
Now, you'll see 2 sets of odds for my selections. The second set of odds is the odds from CGM bet tool (Benfica should read 6.5 not 6.7).
I'm looking to get matched as close to the CGM bet odds as possible. Maximum I will accept over the CGM odds is 1 point (so 6.0 to CGM 5.0) as I don't want to lose too much value.
In light of this, I may not get matched with some bets. If I don;t get matched then I will update when I give my results.
For example, in the Porto match above, the odds on CGM were around 8.10. I set a small bet (to test) at 8.6 a day or two ago as betfair was around 9.0, and it's now shot out to 10.0
Moving forward I wil leave the original bets up and if I get matched in play then happy days, if not it'll be a void bet.
I need to be wary of the value, while not cutting my nose off to spite my face
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CGM tool gives odds so just used them to calculate the totals, that's why it's given as rough totals or estimated profits.
What I have noticed is that there can be a big difference in the odds on the CGM bet tool and those offered at betfair.
That may alter the totals I get during my test, but again, that's why I'm testing rather than backing with real money.
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And 2 for tomorrow
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One in Portugal starting now....
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Update
Aberdeen - £9.50
Dundee - -24.50
Juventus - £9.50
Empoli - £9.50
Napoli - £9.50
Milan - £9.50
Update Total - £23.00
Overall Total - £60.50
Nothing now till after the new year. Have a great one everybody. Stay safe and have fun
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The rest of todays......
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Juve v Samp has just started. Missed it and Juve have scored 2 mins in
Going to add it in using the pre-match odds from betfair which were sitting around 7.6. Happy to do this as it's just a test atm, and it was just down to me not being able to get my lazy bum out of bed this morning.
Bloody Ronaldo!
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Lazio - £9.50
Napoli - £9.50
Chievo - -£39.00
Juve - £9.50
Psg - £9.50
Psv - £9.50
Hamilton - -£28.00
St Johnstone - £9.50
Trabzonspor - £9.50
Round results - -£0.50
Overall total - £37.50
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Sunday selections, will update after them
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Struggling for time tonight but matches and odds are
Lazio @5.4
Napoli @7.8
Chievo @4.9
Juve @4.9
Psg @10.5
Psv @6.0
Hamilton @3.8
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Weekends results.
Previous total : -£69.50
Braga - £9.50
Inter - £9.50
Santa clara - £9.50
Voluntari - -£25.50
St Mirren - £9.50
Sion - £9.50
Cagliari - £9.50
Roma - £9.50
Lyon - £9.50
Plzen - £9.50
Brondby - £9.50
Maritimo - £9.50
Sporting - £9.50
Botosani - £9.50
Hibs - £9.50
Weekend total : £107.50
Overall total : £38.00
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Don't know why hibs v celtic is there twice, not very tech savvy lol
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I'm not looking to restrict anything yet, I've only just started tracking the system. The stats from the tool say it will produce profit so happy to let it run as is for now.
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Braga just kicked off, here's Saturdays matches
And as I type Braga score......
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One for tomorrow in Portugal
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If I was backing with actual stakes I'd have quit already lol.
Always, but ALWAYS, paper trade your systems for a while folks
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Sunday results
Sparta 0 Teplice 1 £9.50
Copenhagen 3 esbjerg 0 £9.50
Sporting 4 Aves 1 £9.50
Daily total : £27.50
Running total : -£69.50
No selections for Monday
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Sunday selections
Lay The Draw CgmBet Selections
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Tonight
Tomorrow
That's it for this weekend, nothing for Sunday. Still a lot of leagues on their winter break.