only1woz
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Posts
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Posts posted by only1woz
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Lucky to not be matched in Baseksehir match, as it ended 1-1 so would have been a loser. Great weekend other than that
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This weekends bets
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Matched in all games.
St Mirren : £9.50
Dundee : -£25.00
Aberdeen : £9.50
Lazio : £9.50
TOTAL : £3.50
RUNNING TOTAL : £100.50
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Weekend results, matched in all games.
Napoli : £9.50
Juve : -£60.00 (93rd minute equaliser for Parma!
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Inter : £9.50
Frosinone £9.50
Dunarea : -£28.00
Trabzonspor : £9.50
Weekly total : -£50.00
Running total : £97.00
Not a great week, but not too bad either. Very late equaliser at Juve was the difference between a £50.00 loss and a £10.00 profit. Still performing well.
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This weekends selections
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Sorry I've explained as much as I want to above, I won't be giving any more info.
All 3 games were winners, however only matched in the Braga game. Was 1 tick away frm being matched before Benfica scored so that's mildly disappointing. Still, can't complain too much.
Total: £147.00
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A winner in Turkey leaves Total at :£137.50
Couple in Portugal but some way from being matched so might not get there.
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Matched in all 3 games (though I had to wait til Rennes equalised after the early PSG goal) and all 3 were winners.
New total : £128.00
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Also for today
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I don't have a bet list as such, it's all in different lists country by country and mixed in with other bets. As I said in my original post this is part of a larger system but I'm only posting up the LTD bets on here, for ease. If anyone wants to check my liability then they're welcome but I won't be bothering with it.
Today's bets
St mirren v hibs @3.9 matched.
Livingston v rangers @4.2 unmatched so far.
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Nothing for tomorrow, a few for Sunday that I'll post up tomorrow night
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On 22/01/2019 at 7:28 PM, only1woz said:
Tomorrow nights selections
Both winners, current total now stands at £99.50 profit
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On 24/01/2019 at 2:37 PM, JBird said:
Looks like these both won, well done. Can you explain a bit more about the formula you use on CGM to get these selections. Interesting strategy. I take it you only go to a maximum lay odd of a certain number ? hence some are unmatched.
Not keen to let everyone know my theory. If it is a good system and makes money long term then everone else will get on it and I might not get matched at the odds I need/want. Apologies if that's not what you wanted to hear, but I hope you understand.
I need the lay odds on betfair to reach the same odds as is on the CGM bet tool. As my historical results are based on that tool, if I lay at odds higher than that then I'm risking losing value. I may lose out on some winners but in the long run value is the key word
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On 23/01/2019 at 10:25 AM, liero1 said:
well 80.50 profit over which sum of liability? it feels like you might be around 5-10% which would still be amazing!
No idea about the liability. I'm not getting too concerned about that. If anyone wants to calculate it then they're more than welcome. It seems to make profit,and that's what I'm concentrating on.
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Tomorrow nights selections
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Chaves 1 Porto 4 : £9.50
Inter 0 Sassuolo 0 : -£40.00
PSG v Guingamp : Unmatched (finished 9-0!!)
Galstasaray v Ankaragucu : Unmatched (Finished 6-0!!)
Juventus 3 Chievo 0 : £9.50Weekend Total : -£21.00
Overall total : £80.50If I'd been matched in PSG and Galatasaray it'd have been almost break even, so that's disappointing but got to think about the value and play the long game with that.
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Tonight, juventus v chievo @10.00 unmatched at the moment
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Saturday selections
None of these are too far away from being matched so hopefully will get there tomorrow
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I get that, thanks for the tip.
I usually update on my laptop, so put my positives in green and negatives in red, but did that update on my phone so wasn't able to put colours on it.
Will bear it in mind for future though, cheers
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Tonight
Sitting partially matched so should get there no problem.
More for the weekend later I'm sure......
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Last 3 games, lyon were 1 down for a long time, equalised late on but couldn't find a winner. Other 2 won no problem.
Daily total - -£16.00
Running total - £101.50
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Matched in all 3 games
Lay The Draw CgmBet Selections
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
Are you familiar with laying bets on betfair, or any other exchange?