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ogii55

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  1. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    I've got Kibi as well. Shinikova is very well motivated for this tournament. She will be for the first time here and was planning her participation since a long time. I expect from her very good qualifications.
    Sarkissian - Vanni 2.02 Pinnacle
    Sarkissian started with very good win here. He serves well and loves the hard court. Vanni's good run from the end of the last season seems a good memory. He isn't playing well in 2017 and his strongest weapon - serve is not working.
     
     
  2. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    The rest is from the WTA AO Qualifiers. I might be self-destructing ahead of the Grand Slam, but I'm not going to ignore value when I think it's there.
    Perez to bt. Majeric at 2.10 with Skybet
    Perez in a very solid form going into this and home conditions seem to be doing wonders for her as well, so I like her at evens against someone who has very little experience in Australia and who hasn't played in 2017 yet.
    Morita to bt. Boserup at 3.50 with Skybet
    A tad risky, but let's go for it at this price. Boserup is nothing special in my eyes, while Morita is much better when she's on. She was injured for quite some time, but she seems to be back by the looks of things and the retirement vs. Schiavone was apparently just to not make things worse ahead of this. Morita also won the previous meeting between the two, so worth a shot at 3.50.
    Hozumi to bt. Zidansek at 2.50 with BetVictor
    Some people see Zidansek as a big talent and I wouldn't disagree, but she has very little hard court experience and also very little Australia experience, so Hozumi should have every chance of winning this imo. Not only does she play in Asia a lot, but she also plays almost exclusively on hard courts.
    Kuwata to bt. Shinikova at 2.62 with Bet365
    Not a huge difference between the two in my opinion and Kuwata should feel much more comfortable in the conditions as well, especially if the weather gets hotter. Looks like a coin-flip to me really, so I'll go with the premium price.
     
  3. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    Lopez has two different injuries during IPL in December, but he played all the matches there and was the main force for his team. I am not sure if he was able to heal well. I followed the match with Venus, at 4:4 in the second set Venus got a BP, but didn't manage to score it. However Chardy looked in the second part of last year. This guy is lost somewhere despite his talent.
     
    Two propositions from me
    Duan - Radwanska 7.6 Matchbook
    Radwanska was loosing 0:3 in the first set against McHale and once again didn't look very well. They played with Duan few days ago and Aga was close to lose this match, but managed to steal the win. Not sure if she will be capable to do it once again.
     
    Royg - Fett 2.24 Pinnacle
    They played in the final round of qualifications. Fett won, but the total points in this match were for Royg (one more). I expect another close match with Royg will have extra confidence after her win over Petkovic.
     
     
     
  4. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in January 9 - January 15   
    Monica Niculescu to beat (-1.5 sets) Kirsten Flipkens at 2.25 with Pinnacle
    I still think Monica is in good enough form to beat Kirsten here in straight sets. Both times when Monica has beaten Kirsten it's been done in straight sets so it leads me to belive Monica will be to hard for Kirsten again and win this in straights. Monica is a really tricky opponent with her slice shots all the time and my thought is that Kirsten will again have some problems with it. It's always hard to adapt to Monicas style of play. Any player can struggle against it. Even if Kirsten knows Monica very well I don't think she will manage to take a set here. To me Kirsten is acctually not in her best singles form at the moment. Her doubles result says nothing really and getting past Jaimee Fourlis in the Hobart first round 7-6 6-4 is no greater accomplishment.
  5. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    Mchale vs Radwanska 6.55 Pinnacle
     
    McHale is showing nice form here. She already won in style for matches. The American is a player, who is capable to stun Top 10 players and will give everything in every ball. Aga didn't look very well last week. She was destroyed by Riske, who is weaker player than McHale. I can't belive how they are giving such odds for McHale (I would put max 4.00 for her)
  6. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    Flipkens - Niculesku 2.88 Pinnacle
     
    Flipkens played very well last week, but lost against Konjuh in a close match. She did pretty nice doubles tournament, where she took the title. The Belgian is leading 3:2 against Monica in H2H despite loosing their last match, when the Romanian was on top form and won Luxembourg WTA tourney. Flipkens started well here with two wins, one on single and one on doubles. My estimation of her odds is max 2.30 for this match.
  7. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in January 9 - January 15   
    Mchale vs Radwanska 6.55 Pinnacle
     
    McHale is showing nice form here. She already won in style for matches. The American is a player, who is capable to stun Top 10 players and will give everything in every ball. Aga didn't look very well last week. She was destroyed by Riske, who is weaker player than McHale. I can't belive how they are giving such odds for McHale (I would put max 4.00 for her)
  8. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in January 9 - January 15   
    Flipkens - Niculesku 2.88 Pinnacle
     
    Flipkens played very well last week, but lost against Konjuh in a close match. She did pretty nice doubles tournament, where she took the title. The Belgian is leading 3:2 against Monica in H2H despite loosing their last match, when the Romanian was on top form and won Luxembourg WTA tourney. Flipkens started well here with two wins, one on single and one on doubles. My estimation of her odds is max 2.30 for this match.
  9. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    Molteni - Moraing 2.81
     
    Molteni is coming from a nice week spent in a doubles tournament with 2 wins and one loss in India. He is capable player, who surprised not once or twice far better players than Moraing. This is a great chance for him to win some points on the single rankings. 
     
     
     
     
  10. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 9 - January 15   
    Huber/Martinez vs Gavrilova/Kasatkina 3.98 Pinnacle
     
    Huber is former #1 among doubles. She is making another return after the 3rd surgery on her knee. This tournament is well planned for her. She was training with Martinez for the last month and the main goal is to participate at AO. Gavrilova had a long week in Hopman cup, where she didn;t play very well on mixed doubles. Both with Kasatkina will have singles matches in mind, so they will not be on 100% on this one. Great odds for a possible surprise.
  11. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Yep, and it certainly is like that, I've got enough experience to say that. Losing streaks always hurt, however.
  12. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Burapharitta vs Sekiguchi 10.44 Pinnacle
    Bangkok challenger
    Burapharitta is a local guy, who plays mainly in Thailand tournaments. He held a win over Sekiguchi with big odds three years ago and also managed to beat some other far better ranked players. Few days ago Sekiguchi withdraw from his match probably because of injury or illness. Great odds to hit a surprise.
     
     
  13. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Verdasko - Nole 9.65 5dimes
    Verdasco is playing like in his best days. He broke so many times Ivo Karlovic, who we know that is serving as a devil. Nole once again is having some problems with his lens. Probably it's because of the desert. He is not playing at his best. Nole vs Verdasko is 9:5 in their all time claches and Fernando is one of the few players to have such a close H2H active against Djokovic.
     
  14. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Duran/Molteni - Raja/Sharan 2.7 Pinnacle
     
    The match is starting in 30 minutes. Duran/Molteni are usually clay courters, but here they are impressing with two wins over better doubles than Raja/Sharan. The Indian double is not bad, but I think they are lacking the experience and class of Duran/Molteni, who are shoing very nice form. The match is pretty much 50/50, let's say 55/45 for Raja.Sharan becase of home court advantage, but those odds are pretty much nice.
     
     
  15. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in January 1 - January 8   
    Davis - Ostapenko around 2.00
     
    Davis continues to impress. She beat two Top 25 players very easy. She finished strong last year and seems that her improvement is visible. Ostapenko had easier path to the 1/2-final. She could have serious problems against running players like Davis if her shots are not entering as she want.
     
     
  16. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Davis - Ostapenko around 2.00
     
    Davis continues to impress. She beat two Top 25 players very easy. She finished strong last year and seems that her improvement is visible. Ostapenko had easier path to the 1/2-final. She could have serious problems against running players like Davis if her shots are not entering as she want.
     
     
  17. Like
    ogii55 reacted to CzechPunter in January 1 - January 8   
    Okay, then. I won't be taking a look at any matches today, but last year's season bets went well, so I've taken a look through what's on offer for 2017. Unibet have already pulled theirs, so I might've missed something, but here we go with what I was able to find.
    Back Angelique Kerber to win a Singles Grand Slam Title at 3.00 with Paddy Power
    Kerber is almost guaranteed to have a worse year than in 2016, but she's competitive on all four surfaces and who knows how good Serena will be, so 3.00 looks quite big to me really.
    Back Naomi Osaka to beat Ana Konjuh at 1.72 with Coral
    Back Kiki Bertens Ranking - Under 32.5 at 1.80 with Skybet
    Osaka is a much bigger talent in my eyes, massive serve as well, so she could go really far in 2017, while I'm not that convinced about Konjuh. Bertens also has a lot of potential and I think that she'll improve on 2016.
    Back Gael Monfils to beat Jo-Wilfried Tsonga at 2.00 with Skybet
    Back Lucas Pouille to beat Alexander Zverev at 2.00 with Coral
    Back Thomaz Bellucci to beat Daniel Evans at 1.72 with Coral
    Monfils improved in 2016, while Tsonga didn't - and there's also a good chance that he'll have some personal responsibilities to deal with in 2017. Zverev is a big talent, but Pouille has the consistency factor on his side and I think that he could also go really far in one Grand Slam with a little bit of luck. Finally, I've always had Bellucci as a much better player than Evans - and I'm not sure what should change in the upcoming season.
    Back Dominic Thiem Ranking - Under 12.5 at 1.91 with Skybet
    Back Tomas Berdych Ranking - Over 11.5 at 2.00 with Skybet
    Some go up and some go down - and I think that we might see that contrast with Thiem and Berdych in 2017. Thiem is steadily improving, while Berdych seems to be stumbling and falling down. He's certainly less consistent than before - and you do need a lot of consistency to finish high in the ATP nowadays.
    Back Top Spaniard - Rafael Nadal at 1.72 with Coral
    Back Top Brit (except Murray) - Kyle Edmund at 1.66 with Betway
    This is probably self-explanatory, but the main points are that Nadal looked good in Abu Dhabi and that there's a big gap between Edmund and all the other Brits, so he could win this even if he doesn't do incredibly well himself.
  18. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in January 1 - January 8   
    Alex De Minaur to beat Frances Tiafoe at 2.50 with bet365
    Alex kickstarts the season with a win to qualify for his first ATP tournament at home in Brisbane. I like what Alex has shown so far and he will be poised to proceed up the rankings this season. He has got a good game and Frances didn't make anyone happy at the end of last season. He didn't finish the season in optimal ways as Alex did.
  19. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in 2016 Off-Season   
    Sorry for that.
  20. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in 2016 Off-Season   
    Tessah not impressive recently, including here in the tournament. Strakhova won two matches very convincingly. She is still the outsider, but I would give her odds around 2.5, 2.75.
  21. Like
    ogii55 reacted to four-leaf in 2016 Off-Season   
    This was a nice one. Omar Jasika was at 1.66 when match started. Good value!
  22. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in 2016 Off-Season   
    Jasika - O'Connell 2.07
    Jasika was very convincing in the second round of AO wild card playoff after beating in the first round Matosevic. He has a huge support group. The talent won USA Open for juniors two years ago, but this season he is struggling. At the end of the year Jasika is starting to find his form. He's got AO experience and is capable to beat well ranked guys. O'Connell did perfectly against Groth, but needed 5-sets and he spent a lot of mental energy in the fifth set. The most important hint is that six weeks ago Jasika beat O'Connell 6:4, 6:4 and was dominating during the entire match winning a lot more points and earning many more BP chances.
  23. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in 2016 Off-Season   
    Fourlis - Tjandramulia 2.18 Pinnacle
    The odds for Fourlis went up in the last hours and I think until the match they will once agian will go bellow 2. Fourlis is showing better tennis among seniors, despite the fact that she is two years younger than her oponent. Earlier this year she won 25k tournament on hard in Australia. Now she needed three sets to pass the second round, but she was so convinsing in the second and third set. Tjandramulia stunned the big favorite Rodionova, but used a lot of physical and mental energy at that match. She was loosing 3:5, before winning with 7:5 the decider. I am giving her Fourlis 1.80 odds, so 2.18 is nice. 
  24. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from four-leaf in 2016 Off-Season   
    Monova - Zidansek 4.00 Bet365
    Pune final
    Zidansek surprised me at her first tournament on hard. She reached final and was showing good tennis. However her opponents were weaker than those of Monova. Zidansek played on three continents in the last three weeks and did so many matches. I think if she will be involved in some deep encounter, she would fade.
    The Russian won two tournaments on hard this season and in both finals she was outsider. Here she didn't gave a set and only her rankings was putting her so behind in odds. Maybe the correct odds for Monova would be in the range of 2.75-3,00.
    Sliusar - Morderger 2.81 Pinnacle
    The rankings and the results on clay this season for both of them are pretty equal. Morderger is on a great run with 8 wins in a row on singles and she is playing well on doubles with her twin sister. She will not be so fresh as Sliusar who took a month off before returning to Turkey.
    The last loss of Morderger was by Sliusar, but the German is leading 2:1 in direct encounter (one of those matches also was very close). The form of Morderger is nice, but previous time when she was beaten, she was also coming from 6 wins in a row and a tournament on her belt won previous week. Sliusar gave a total of 9 games to her three opponents so far, while the Morderger's lost games are almost double - 17.
  25. Like
    ogii55 got a reaction from CzechPunter in 2016 Off-Season   
    Monova - Zidansek 4.00 Bet365
    Pune final
    Zidansek surprised me at her first tournament on hard. She reached final and was showing good tennis. However her opponents were weaker than those of Monova. Zidansek played on three continents in the last three weeks and did so many matches. I think if she will be involved in some deep encounter, she would fade.
    The Russian won two tournaments on hard this season and in both finals she was outsider. Here she didn't gave a set and only her rankings was putting her so behind in odds. Maybe the correct odds for Monova would be in the range of 2.75-3,00.
    Sliusar - Morderger 2.81 Pinnacle
    The rankings and the results on clay this season for both of them are pretty equal. Morderger is on a great run with 8 wins in a row on singles and she is playing well on doubles with her twin sister. She will not be so fresh as Sliusar who took a month off before returning to Turkey.
    The last loss of Morderger was by Sliusar, but the German is leading 2:1 in direct encounter (one of those matches also was very close). The form of Morderger is nice, but previous time when she was beaten, she was also coming from 6 wins in a row and a tournament on her belt won previous week. Sliusar gave a total of 9 games to her three opponents so far, while the Morderger's lost games are almost double - 17.
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