LEE-GRAYS

Bermeo                                                2 40 Che/          1/40th of a pt    ew       28/1

Come on harry stick one up 😂😂💰💰👍

5.00 Cheltenham Boston emery 25/1 £10 e/w bet365

I think the point is that the bet “turbo charges” your returns wherever you sit on the win/lose/break even spectrum but the results are most impressive if you’re already showing a profit to singles. I’d suggest the starting point should be putting selections you already back into a lucky 15. I’d do that initially rather than try and find additional selections just for the purpose of backing in L15.

Ok todays pics

Ok todays pics

-£4.60 another winner to start then 1 place 😂
start bank £50
Bank £44.80
day 3

Chel 1.30 Captain Tom Cat 13/2 
Chel 2.05 Lady Adare 11/1 
New 1.50 Surely Not 14/1 
New 2.25 Orazio 9/1 
Bet 3 : 10p lucky 15 with 888 
Running total -£2.52 
Double up today
Profit today £16 
Running total+£13.48

1.30 Cheltenham 
captain Tom cat 13/2
2.05 Cheltenham 
lallygag 8/1
2.40 Cheltenham 
valleres 10/1
3.15 Cheltenham 
hermino Aa 22/1
10p e/w bet365 

If I could find a bookie where I got the bonus on sports bets I’d be all over it like a rash! If I can find one who’ll let me have it on horses I’ll just be cherry picking selections from you lot. A man’s got to know his limitations (as my Dirty namesake used to say).

Not a good start I think Thursday will be the night but might Knick one tonight especially the mancity game 🤞

Come on harry stick one up 😂😂💰💰👍

Analysis of returns to SP of all horses over the last few years.

The losses increase in a similar fashion to the edge of the one winner bonus.
I can combine the two tables.

There is no real "sweet spot". It looks like it is best to concentrate on those horses with odds in the region 2/1 to 20/1.

Let the cards start flying 💰

@LEE-GRAYS I noticed that Hills were best price for the red card in all 4 CL games (365 in 2 I think). I had a £1 freebie that had to be used on an acca so I stuck it on all 4 at odds of 830/1! Decided to play the doubles and trebles for a bit of added interest so I'll be cheering the aggro on with you.

Apologies. My records show that I should stick with the favourite, the away team and over 1 goal so BM tick the boxes tonight

Right here we go £2 nicker a game see if I’m skint on Friday 😂

What top trainers ? 
Nearly all Newmarket trainers have their horses around 70-80% fit for their first run whereas the likes of Fahey & Mark Johnston ( not sure about Charlie yet ) will have there's primed fit as a fiddle & a lot will have their eyes on far bigger prizes later in the season similar to A.P.O'Briens maidens , nearly always need a run whereas Sir M Stoute's 4 year olds always seem fit compared to his 2 & 3 year olds .

Today's game is Chelsea v Real Madrid. Chelsea two down from the first leg, I'm not sure I trust them to turn it round and they could end up leaving gaps at the back.
Real Madrid >1 goal, Chelsea >1 card and Vinicius Junior >1 shot at 13/5
Same bet is 3.8 with 888 for anyone who doesn't qualify for the 25% boost. 
Used my fiver freebie from last night with Hills on same bet but with Vini 1 SoT rather than 2 shots at 23/10.
@MCLARKE Get your bet up in a timely manner, none of this waiting for your horse bets to be weighed in palaver! 

Nice little profit yesterday let’s have a bit more today 💰

Day 2
lucky 31 today
 

Day 26
Redcar      4.10    Leading Company    10/1ew    ------lost
Windsor    4.20    Carp Kid                   14/1ew    4pl---lost
Redcar      4.40    Merseyside               20/1ew    4pl---lost
Windsor    5.55    Zuraig                       22/1ew    ------lost
Day 26 loss £3.00
Overall £94.85 - £3.00 = £91.85 profit
======================================================================
Summary of lucky 15 bets so far -              initial profit    £80.00
                                              further profit after day 26    £91.85
other profits along the way including mclarkes biggie   £994.75
                                                                 overall profit £1,166.60

Overall not a bad little exercise with a decent profit after the stated 26 days.
I will continue to enter selections when possible but will discontinue days and profit/loss.
I will continue to monitor profit/loss in the background to see if this continues to show profit overall.
Good punting to all fellow punters. 

All Sweet stuff Micheal but you still need the horse/s and they and their odds are the important bit and without some sort of system ie speed figures and or an extensive knowledge of not just horses but how to use the odds of each horse, for example:- picking four favs every day will get you running on the spot and soon falling behind. I have been watching the @The Brigadieron the naps table and his write ups on TV racing, he by any measure knows the time of day as regards horses but even he has had a horror show on his naps selections recently even though i believe he is getting plenty of winners elsewhere so, if he struggles to pick one favish per day what chance the ordinary average punter of picking four? This is why football accas are loved by the bookies and there are only 3 options there, win lose or draw and on top of that over the years they have cut cut and cut the odds on football bets. So yes Lucky15's are a bookies benefit in many ways it is how you use them that is important. Here is an interesting question for you to look at, The Pattern races listed, G3, G2, G1, i digress a tad here but compare those favs to handicap favs, is there any difference? In odds and frequency? The big advantage todays punters have over bookies is computers but how many ordinary/average punters use them for bet selection? I used to used index cards before I had a computer its was horrendous constantly sorting them into different orders. But still even for the average punter with not much money Lucky 15's are a great way to enjoy the sport especially on the TV races. All bets are based on hope, Grand National is a great example for the average punter even if they have 50pew and get the winner they have bragging rights, it is so important that many actually lie about having the winner or back 6 or more horses in the race just to get that bragging right. So i suggest that the more knowledge you have the more chance you have of getting a decent payout with a lucky15 but that still leaves the the randomness for the average punter who hope to just drop lucky one day.

Nice little profit yesterday let’s have a bit more today 💰

Winner and 2 places £10.70 back 👍