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slipkid

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Posts posted by slipkid

    L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > May 21st - 24th

    in League 1, 2 & Scottish Predictions

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

    Fine by me, especially from someone with a Who-related name (mine being courtesy of the Kinks). Your signature quotes “Dogs” if I’m not mistaken; Pete channelling the Small Faces!

     

    Ha! I almost brought up the Kinks reference but thought you may just be a Londoner that, you know, spoke like that... The version from the BBC is great. Listening now! And yeah, massive Who fan here.

     

    Thanks again.

    L1, L2, & Scottish Predictions > May 21st - 24th

    in League 1, 2 & Scottish Predictions

    Posted

    4 hours ago, harry_rag said:

    Kilmarnock v Dundee: Buy Lee Ashcroft's Goal Rush Plus for 4 points at 1 and his goal minutes for 2 points at 2, both with SPIN

    Goal Rush Plus awards 25 points for 1 goal, 50 for 2 and 100 for 3 or more so you're getting 24/1 that he scores with a free "topping" of extra points if he gets more than one. Goal minutes is the total time of any goals he scores and (given the average time of a goal is 50 minutes) also equates to around 24/1 although any goal he scores could obviously come in the 1st or 90th minute or anywhere in between. Best anytime price I've seen is 16/1 with 365 and he's 7s or less elsewhere, so I'm certainly backing him on the best available terms.

    He's scored 5 times in 25 league games this season, 6 in 32 overall. All 5 League goals have come in his last 12 appearances (including a brace against Alloa). The average time of his league goals has been 65.8 which could be random or could suggest he goes forward more later on in games. I watched a few of the goals on YouTube and they were impressive headers from set pieces, with the commentary snippets suggesting he'd already been a threat from similar situations.

    If we assume any significance in this season's stats (his first with Dundee) then even 16/1 would be a massive price. It's quite possible that they've worked on this aspect of his game and are consciously targeting him from set pieces, more than was the case at his previous clubs. If we dismiss it as a one-off blip we're looking at a player who had previously scored 14 times in 228 games which still equates to roughly 16/1 on average.

    All in all this is a low risk bet that I believe offers exceptional value.

     

    I don't know if this is after-timing and frowned upon, sincere apologies if it is, but I had a few quid on AGS after reading this. Took 12 minutes. You, sir, are very much appreciated!

    FA Cup > 25th Jan - 27th Jan

    in Championship Predictions

    Posted

    Re: FA Cup > 25th Jan - 27th Jan We (Leeds) are playing some awful, awful football at the minute. If we don't turn up on Sunday, it could be similar to the Chelsea mauling last year. 17/10 on Spurs -1 seems pretty generous to me. Morale is low, key players want out and our lack of pace will be massively exploited by Spurs' speed and strength. I don't feel the current starting 11 have the guts that our league one team had when faced with Premier league opposition. Spurs -1 @ 17/10 (William Hill)

    England > Championship > 2-3 January

    in Championship Predictions

    Posted

    Re: England > Championship > 2-3 January We (Leeds) are truly dire at the minute. Nobody is scoring goals and the defence continues to be very leaky. The feeling around the club is at an all-time low and if we go 1 down tomorrow I imagine the crowd will be on the players backs (sadly). Snodgrass and Howson are out for weeks and we have no spark, anywhere on the pitch. I've never been so unexcited to go to Elland Road as I am tomorrow. I can see real value in Burnley or draw @ 8/13 (Paddypower)

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