Grex
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Posts posted by Grex
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Weekend's selections - Leicester game to come later.
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37 minutes ago, jtw1 said:
so-so turned into piss-poor...
Love the expression - but obviously not the results.
Still approx. 15% ROI - I am sure next week will be..... (whatever the opposite of "piss-poor" is)
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Only Watford let down the 1-X-2 system over the weekend. 34 bets.... ROI +25%
As for the correct scores..... the losing run extends to TEN
![:\](/images/smilies/ohwell.gif ":\")
20% of the way to Torque's estimated 50 bet losing run (see post dated 14/12/17). So, 34 bets..... ROI +16%
It looks as though BBC is not going to publish SAM's predictions for tomorrow's Everton game - so, the next round is Xmas eve.
I am going to the South America for Xmas and New Year - so, I may not be able to keep up with the system.
I wish you all a Merry Christmas and a happy and profitable 2018
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Apologies - wrong score for Stoke v West Ham.... should be 0-3. I will correct it in the next results post.
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A nice day for the 1-X-2's - 32 bets... ROI +23%
Less said about the "correct scores" the better. A long losing run of 8...... 53 bets... ROI +21%
Two away selections for Sunday.
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In other words, this has got absolutely nothing to do with the probability predictions of SAM (Sports Analytics Machine).
You are merely making a "intelligent guess" based on previous results. Not exactly a "system" is it, Justanotherpunter?
Perhaps you should change the thread title, and transfer it to the Glory Hunters forum (if it still exists).
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First of all, I have absolutely no problem with you "plagiarising" my thread title
Until now, I didn't realise that BBC published SAM predictions for the Championship. However, I do wonder where you get the correct score predictions. For the EPL, the SAM predictions for 1-X-2 and correct score are given on the individual match analysis pages e.g. for the Leicester - Palace game......
But for Championship games, BBC only appear to quote the 1-X-2 probability, e.g. for today's Birmingham - QPR game.....
Anyway, good luck
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Saturday's selections below. I will post Sunday's selections tomorrow.
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Thanks, Torque, for your analysis and suggested staking strategy.
For the 1-X-2, selections are based on perceived "value". For correct scores, please note that it is not possible to calculate "value", as SAM does not provide "probability" percentage - only the most likely score.
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1 hour ago, yesitsme said:
Understood.
I'm toying with it, albeit tiny stakes (1 or 2£)
You have been warned
But, if you are going to go for it, I suggest you bet on the 1-X-2. Although SAM uses unknown algorithms to predict "correct scores", they are still an absolute lottery - OK, it's providing a good ROI at the moment, but with odds of 7.0 - 8.0, there could be very L - O - N - G losing streaks
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Haven't got a clue what people are putting their money on (if any).
I did say in my first post "I recommend that nobody risks their hard cash until the system demonstrates profit (if any) over a longer period"......... and this still applies. It is still VERY early days.
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Arsenal's draw rescued what would, otherwise, have been a disappointing evening.
1-X-2...... 28 bets - ROI +14%
Correct scores...... 46 bets - ROI +39%
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9 hours ago, thecurlyone1 said:
Sam has made predictions for tonight
You were right, Curly One - but, unfortunately, I was travelling and missed them
Hi, Justanotherpunter - you can find the predictions at the bottom of each analysis page on BBC Sport, e.g. for tomorrow's Newcastle v Everton game, the link is http://www.bbc.com/sport/football/42247118
1-X-2 selections for Wednesday evening are few - but they do include the first "X" selection.
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Status quo maintained for the 1-X-2 selections (ROI +10%)
No winners for the correct scores
Sunday's selections below..... personally, I hope the last one fails
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11 hours ago, jtw1 said:
[it's an age thing ]
Well done with your 2/3..... as for the "age thing".... I totally agree (I think I have a few more years on you)
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Selections for Saturday - a lot of home wins - let's hope they oblige
I will post Sunday's selections tomorrow morning based on up-to-date odds.
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2 hours ago, jtw1 said:
So heres the scores from Sat/Sun .......with a wee bit of a post mortem on the losers...
EVERTON - 2-0
FULHAM - 3-1 No doubt looking at the stats that the red card on the 53rd min cost Fulham the oppotunity of a 2nd , 9 shots on target in the first half with 6 shots turned into 2 shots , none on target in the 2nd half.
RB LEIPZIG - 4-0 Both sides have midweek Euro fixtures and possibly affected Leipzig rather than the Hoff..!!
LEVERKUSEN - 1-1 Yet another red card [41st min] and some impressive goalkeeping stats cost us .
TORINO - 1-1 appears to have a tight game , no excuses.
WOLFSBURG - 3-0
VALENCIA - 1-0 Red card for Getafe in the first half on top of 7 other yellows and possestion stats of 32%/68% suggest this was possibly a robust defensive display from the home side !!!!
Nice analysis, JTW. Just shows that unforeseeable external influences (especially red cards) can undermine the best systems
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A good weekend.......
1-X-2 selections into positive territory again - 18 bets - overall ROI +10%
Correct score selections - 29 bets - overall ROI +76%
- jtw1, thecurlyone1 and vikki37
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On 01/12/2017 at 3:44 PM, Grex said:
Selections for the weekend..... including United to beat Arsenal
(unlikely)
Oh, ye of little faith
- vikki37 and thecurlyone1
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Selections for the weekend..... including United to beat Arsenal
(unlikely)
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It looks as though BBC are NOT going to publish SAM's predictions for the mid-week games
so, we will have to wait until the weekend for the next "exciting" installment.
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Grex's SAM System - 124 bets -1% yield
in Betting Systems & Strategy
Posted
.... and the Leicester game.....