aldric

130/130 Bank @ £138.02 (£95.00 banked)

Pegula won her match as did Sydney FC women!   

Job done bank @ £20.03 ☑️ 
 
Attempts 51
Double ups won 23
Thread bank -£50.00

92/92 Bank @ £98.50 (£65.00 banked)

Bet 28. Over 1.5 goals between Slovenia and San Marino @ 1.05

Bet 11 won - Bank @ £20.00 job done ☑️ 
Attempts 50
Double ups won 22
Thread bank -£60.00

Bet 6 won - Bank @ 20.03 job done
 
Attempts 49
Double ups won 21
Thread bank -£70.00

Banking £50 of the £70.82 profit.
Bet 75

Bet 27 won. Next stake £693.93

Karlsruher scored - my profit is now £16.88.  I'm going to let it build and see how much I'll have by the end of the year.  

5-2 this week.
70 winners from 84 bets so far.
44.04 points down overall with an ROI of -3.73%
Pretty poor and only leaning one way if this thread is supposed to be a "proof of concept"! Resisting the temptation to knock it on the head just yet and girding my loins for another attempt to recover from a similar deficit (I ended January over 44 points down and was 6 points up by 7th March) here's a breakdown of the different bet types.
Epic Odds: 6-4 and 20 points up on these, all at evens, Don't need much thought really as they'll take care of themselves (I'm only posting these where the best available odds are no more than 1.5). Bookings bets: 29-5 and 29.38 points down. Lost the last 3, would have still been slightly in front at 29-3. I think I'm chasing too many of these bets having originally only considered games with an unusually high bookings expectation. Back to only looking at games where the spreads edge into the 60s. Rugby bets (both codes): 25-2 and 3.18 points up. Overall I'm confident that there are certain markets that are generously priced in games with a strong favourite so it's pretty much carry on and see how it goes. One of the losers was on a player points bet at bigger than usual odds (after winning on Ramos 9+ points I lost on Russell 6+). I should probably have taken the money and run after the first bet rather than pressing with the second but I'll avoid straying off-piste from now on. The other loser was France to have the highest scoring half. Whilst I'm not inclined to write that bet off altogether it's worth remembering that a team can still win by a decent margin without having the highest scoring half. >0.5 team/match goals: 5-2 and 25.35 points down. Not a market I favour (less than 10% of all bets) so will just carry on betting by exception. One of the losers was Arsenal to score by the 60th minute in a game where they scored 3 goals but all after the hour mark. Not so much bemoaning the bad luck on that one as heeding the lesson about over complicating the bet to try and tease the odds out a bit. Handicap bets: 4-0 and 1.92 points up. As per the goals bets really, just carry on where a bet really stands out but not one of the main markets. Others: Not much to read into 1 winning tennis bet and one losing "player to have a shot" bet. Will generally avoid player prop bets and only bet on other sports very occasionally. So a few things to take on board but basically carry on with a bit more patience and quality control!

35/35 Bank @ £31.88 
Banking £10.00 of the £15.00 I started with. 
Bet 36

(0-0 15)
 

Ok lets not drag this out  

Bet 21

(3-1 90)

Both Linfield & Man City won their games.  
 
next up…

I've been laying the favourites at Cheltenham in competitive races been having a great time.  Only lost once. ?

Majority will be at 1.01 & 1.02  

6/6 Bank @ £20.48 - job done.
 
Attempts 46
Double ups won 19
Thread bank -£80.00

I've been laying the favourites at Cheltenham in competitive races been having a great time.  Only lost once. ?

Took a lot longer then it should have done!
Bet 2

Bet 46. £22.86. £10 profit taken prior to this bet.
PEC Zwolle v NAC Breda @ 1.02.

1-2 FT - shock result there with top of table losing to 2nd from bottom. 
 
Attempts 45 
Double ups won 18
Thread bank -£90.00

It looks like someone doing a betathon for Comic Relief to be honest! 
Far too many bets to be sensible in the long term.

To be honest no, thought I would try a couple of small bets but it has just taken over this attempt . Will go back to the usual ways after this one.

Bet 6

(0-0 7)