whycantistayawayfromdogs
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Posts posted by whycantistayawayfromdogs
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Re: Best advice? Actually think, why am I betting here, in relation to your oppos range, your perceived range etc.
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Re: Cricket: Natwest Pro40 2008 IMO it will take a big effort from Derbyshire to get this score, that pitch looks hard to get spin away and glamorgan have the goods in that department. I have a bit on them today on betfair and i certainly wont be laying them off at the moment (at pretty much the same price i backed them).
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Re: OMG I just got 1 outtered !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! botaments
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Re: European Grand Prix 24th August they should burn this track to the ground after this race, probably the shittest grand prix ive ever watched.
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Re: Stealing blinds in cash games
ditto.I don't really even see it as "blind stealing" its just positional play. Very important in cash games though. -
Re: Laying Underdogs maybe im being stupid here surely your bank has to be larger than your liability. You liability that day was like 400+ right? so ur bank would need to be at least that...
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Re: Sick Dilemma II
and then hope that you run like god... But really, what would you call 'being bankrolled' for a semi-pro playing 200 and 500 PLO? Because if a holdem player got hold of that advice and took his 20 BI to PLO he could demolish this bankroll pretty quickly...The standard of play at 1/2 and 2/5 is so poor that you should be looking to play at those levels even if you're not that comfortable bankrole wise. -
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Re: Futile? Oh and yeh there are people playing profitable games of all styles but each game will have an optimum style of play depending on the rest of the players at the table. Back to my point that i could play a profitable game whilst folding AA preflop, but i would be more profitable if i played it. Lots of styles of play are +EV but some are more +EV than others...
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Re: Futile? oh and the weather, my point is that the weather can be loosely predicted by a computer, but is hardly ever 'exactly right'. In the same sense a piece of software cant play the game for you because there are so many unknown variables, but it can give you an indication of what you shouyld be doing against a certain opponant.
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Re: Futile? crossed wires...my point is that there is no computer program that can currently play NLHE FOR you, that isnt the point of tracking software. The poker tracker reference is completely wrong, i think theres a thread (not sure the name) on the strategy forum of optimum VPIP and PFR figures at 6-max NLHE, the boundarys are fine and for example generally people playing a loose passive 30/5 game are easily exploited. Bet sizing is the main thing that can be right/wrong, thin value betting, 2/3 barrelling, controllin pot etc are all parts of the game that can be right/wrong and can be easily improved by using tracking software IMO.
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Re: Awkward hands nice bluff and nice call. It was definately a good card for him to bluff and was credible imo...
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Re: WTF? I fold here turns out bad but I got to surely??
hmmm.... I think it depends on the read of the players. Against a LAG' date=' I probably would every day of the week, but against a tighter player I'd like to think I'd be dumping.[/quote'] this hand is against 2 players though so its a completely different situation, I cant ever find anything other than a fold here and i dont think there is an issue. It just seemed like the original poster was annoyed that he folded what would have been the best hand eventually when it was clearly the right decision, just wierd to me. -
Re: Awkward hands
That bet sizing is too logical, ive seen (been the victim of) people open shoving AA while ive been sitting with KK trying to find a way out of calling. If he has a straight then i suppose the all in was a way of planting the seed of doubt [why would he not just valuetown me etc]I'm going to go against the general opinion here and suggest that the river is a bluff. Pre flop he could have any 2 cards. post flop he puts in a pot size bet - again any 2 cards could do this. After that it almost depends on whether he's a fish or a good player. Calling the re-raise, the bet on the turn and then an over bet on the river could put him in the former category in my opinion. If he had the 8 surely a bet about $30 would guarantee a call and therefore a pay off, and may even tempt you into re raising all in. It wouldn't surprise me to see him holding AK, A9, 96, 76 -
Re: Awkward hands
my thinking is, he bets the flop hoping to end it, when he calls the raise he has a piece of it imo. When he check calls the turn i think 78/89 look likely because the although its an overcard its helped his equity against a made hand on the flop alot. The river just screams strength to me, so by that point he has either made the straight or is bluffing the 6 with a weak made hand that didnt improve i guess (7T??!?!). I really dont know but i think he has the straight quite often.Nobody think he's desperate on the river? I've raised him on the flop and bet the turn, so he could think there's a good chance I'll bet the river too. That's the impression his all in gave me. Agree about the bet on the turn - I tend to get into the habit of using the buttons and just bet 1/2 the pot:$ (more often I do 3/4 the pot which probably would have been better here). -
Re: Awkward hands pretty strong line really/// I almost definately fold. Ive changed my mind about this hand a lot. Im trying to think of hands he could bet/call the flop, check/call the turn and mash the river with. The only hands that make sense to me are 88, 78 and 89 (does he call pf with 88 or repop??). Please say you called just so we can find out what he had??!?!
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Re: Cricket: England vs South Africa Test Series anyone have any clue what kinda team south africa are playing, theres a squad of 15 on cricinfo are some of the lesser known players likely to be given a run.. edit - same old crew
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Re: USPGA - Golf lots of long par 4s at this place, not sure whether its best to go with someone who has a great chance of birdying the other holes or someone who can smack it a long way.
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Re: Cricket: Natwest Pro40 2008
10 + 5x2 = 20 :\hows is it -20 ? ew means 2 bets of 5 points for top batsmen and a place ?? -
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Re: WTF? I fold here turns out bad but I got to surely?? i dont see the issue here, good fold.
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Re: Interesting spot at 50PLO I couldnt actually wait to post my analysis, probly should have waited for a few more views/replies but ah well. Im starting to see the value of a wrap equity wise as well, from the scrap book - 'If the bottom card was 4h rather than 5h then I would be 51% against two overpairs and flushdraw (QKQdKd) and 57% against top set no draws'
Cricket: Natwest Pro40 2008
in Other Sports & Novelty Predictions
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Re: Cricket: Natwest Pro40 2008
do you ever bet in running kev? At the break Glamorgan were available at about 1.5 ish.