CakeCakeCake

This is a brilliant idea With the range of views and perspectives on the forum, a central resource with the combined views and thoughts will prove to be invaluable Maybe we can pick one of the majors later this year or one of the tournaments in the final months of the year to set up a trial spreadsheet

A couple of useful sites I use are Data Golf and Golf Stats There is a wealth of information accessible on both sites, not sure how easy it would be to download the data onto a local device Stats cover both historical and events live

Great to see Rory winning his slam in a thrilling final day! First golf winners bet for 2025, feels like it's been longer but glad to have had the Masters for the first win of this year

Agree, the 2 ball play looks a safer approach than opting for and opening a new bet on Rory on the final day.

Rory recovered well after his 2 double bogeys in round 1. But the threat of a collapse is unfortunately always lingering with Rory. As you say, hopefully experience will see him build on his 2nd and 3rd round progress

McIlroy holds a 2 shot lead over DeChambeau heading into the final day. Current odds are pricing up with McIlroy at 1.61, DeChambeau at 3.85 with the field at 22+ Recent history suggests the winner is likely to come from the pair at the top and the final day is set to be a exciting close to the first major of 2025 Stats from recent years on round 3 and final day leaders * 2024 - At the end of round 3 - Scheffler closed with -7 and a 1 shot lead over Morikawa and 2 shot lead over Homa. Scheffler shot -4 on the final day for a final of -11, 4 shots ahead of Aberg * 2023 - At the end of round 3 - Koepka closed with -11 and a 2 shot lead over Rahm and 3 shot lead over Hovland. Koepka shot +3 on the final day and Raham -3 with Rahm winning with a final of -12 * 2022 - At the end of round 3 - Scheffler closed with -9 and a 1 shot lead over Smith and 5 shot lead over Im. Scheffler shot -1 on the final day for a final of -10, 3 shots ahead of McIlroy * 2021 - At the end of round 3 - Matsuyama closed with -11 and a 4 shot lead over Zalatoris, Schauffele and Leishman. Matsuyama shot +1 on the final day for a final of -10, 1 shot ahead of Zalatoris * 2020 - At the end of round 3 - Johnson with -16 and a 4 shot lead over Smith, Im and Anger. Johnson shot -4 on the final day for a final of -20, 5 shots ahead of Smith and Im * 2019 - At the end of round 3 - Molinari closed with -13 and a 2 shot lead over Woods and Finau. Woods shot -2 on the final day for a final of -13, 1 shot ahead of Koepka, Johnson and Schauffele

With Rose leading by 1 shot, 7 golfers within 3 shots and 10 golfers within 4 shots - the betting at the top of the market has consolidated between McIlroy, Scheffler and Dechambeau The 10 golfers at the top of the betting board to win the Masters at the end of round 2 is * McIlroy - 4.6 to back - T3 in standings * Schefflers - 5.5 to back - T5 in standings * DeChambeau - 5.6 to back - 2nd in standings * Rose - 10.5 to back - 1st in standings * Conners - 17.5 to back - T3 in standings * Lowry - 19 to back - T5 in standings * Hatton - 24 to back - T5 in standings * Hovland - 34 to back - T9 in standings * Morikawa - 34 to back - T12 in standings * Aberg - 37 to back - T12 in standings I have 6 of the top 10 in the betting as live runners with McIlroy, Lowry and Aberg returning the highest profit if winning. Fleetwood and Lee are positioned around 20 keeping the top 20 bets nicely in play Happy with the portfolio in play and don’t see any bets ahead of round 3 to add for either the win or place markets Will use up a golf free bet which is due to expire tomorrow on the following matchups 5 fold - I’ve intentionally avoided the golfers I already have an interest in above - 5 fold @ 24.30 * Joaquin Niemann @ 1.80 2 Ball Tie No Bet Rd 3 15:00 Niemann/Spieth * Akshay Bhatia @ 2.00 2 Ball Tie No Bet Rd 3 15:40 Cantlay/Bhatia * Denny McCarthy @ 1.91 2 Ball Tie No Bet Rd 3 15:50 Spaun/McCarthy * Aaron Rai @ 2.25 2 Ball Tie No Bet Rd 3 16:30 Thomas/Rai * Brian Harman @ 1.57 2 Ball Tie No Bet Rd 3 17:50 Harman/Watson

Good shout, that does more appealing than 4+ birdies - particularly around Morikawa

Same bet on Paddy Power for McIlroy and Lowry 7/4

Scheffler and Morikawa both to make 4+ birdies in round 2 at 6/4 looks a decent bet on Sky Looks like max stake £10

Notts Forest 2.10 Arsenal 1.61 £10 double @ 3.3 please

Rose leads by 3 shots after round 1 with -7 Out of the past 8 Masters, the day 1 leader has won the tournament twice. 11 golfers have shared the lead on day 1 across the 8 years with 9 finishing in the top 10 and 5 finishing in the top 5. Year Golfer Round 1 Lead 2nd place by Finishing position Finishing score Trailing leader by 2025 Rose -7 3 2024 Dechambea -7 1 T6 286 9 2023 Rahm Koepka Hovland -7 2 1 T2 T7 276 280 282 N/A 4 6 2022 S Im -5 1 T8 287 9 2021 Rose -7 4 7 283 5 2020 Johnson -7 2 1 268 N/A 2019 Koepka DeChambea -6 1 T2 T29 276 284 1 9 2018 Speith -6 2 3 275 2 2017 Hoffman -7 4 T22 290 11 Historically the Master’s winner has been a golfer who sits in the top 11 at the end of day 1, this year 26 golfers sit in that range (27% of field) The 10 golfers at the top of the betting board to win the Masters at the end of round 1 are * Schefflers - 3.7 to back - T2 in standings * Aberg - 7.4 to back - T2 in standings * Rose - 9 to back - 1st in standings * DeChambeau - 11 to back - T5 in standings * McIlroy - 14.5 to back - T27 in standings * Conners - 19.5 to back - T2 in standings * Hatton - 32 to back - T5 in standings * Morikawa - 40 to back - T27 in standings I currently have Aberg, McIlroy and Morikawa as pre-tournament positions for an outright win. Rose and Dechambeau appeal as additional options to the portfolio at this stage and adding both on a ladder strategy as follows - * Rose for top 10 at 1.66 * Rose for rop 5 at 2.48 * Rose to win at 9 * Winnings from Rose finishing in top 10 covers stake for top 5 and win bets * Dechambeau for top 10 at 1.76 * Dechambeau for rop 5 at 2.9 * Dechambeau to win at 11 * Winnings from Dechambeau finishing in top 10 covers stake for top 5 and win bets Further down the leaderboard and looking ahead to the end of day 2, the cut line over the past 5 years has been - * 2024: 150 (+6) * 2023: 147 (+3) * 2022: 148 (+4) * 2021: 147 (+3) * 2022: 144 (E) The projected cut line is expected to be between +3 and +4 Nothing stands out here to me on the cut market from a betting perspective

Added a few 1st round leader bet 5 places each way. Rory McIlroy 18/1 Bryson DeChambeau 28/1 Min Woo Lee 40/1 Shane Lowry 45/1 Tommy Fleetwood 50/1 All prices Paddy Power 1 placing covers the majority of the overall stake for all 5 bets

A couple for top 20 which have caught my eye (Betfair prices) - Tommy Fleetwood 2.34 Min Woo Lee 2.72 Fleetwood's record this year has been Texas Open - T62 Valspetr - T16 Players Championship - T14 Arnold Palmer - T11 Genesis Invitational - T9 Pebble beach - T22 His Master's finishing positions over the past 6 years has been 2024 - T3 2033 - 22 2022 - T14 2021 - T46 2020 - T19 2019 - T36 Min Woo Lee's record this year has been Houston Open - Winner Players Championship - T20 Arnold Palmer - CUT Cognizant Classic - T11 Genesis Invitational - 48 Phoenix Open - T12 Pebble beach - T17 His Master's finishing positions over the past 3 years has been 2024 - T22 2033 - CUT 2022 - T14 The portfolio of golfers bets to win stands as follows - - Ludvig Aberg win 20/1 - Colin Morikawa win 22/1 - Rory McIiroy win 7/1 - Shane Lowry ew places 45/1 Dutched odds are 3.2/1 The winner of the Masters often sits in the top 10 at the end of day 1. Will look at how the leaderboard stacks up at the end of round 1 and see where value lie for the winner or further down the list for a push for top 20.

Bournemouth 2.3 Newcastle 1.5 Double £10 @ 3.45