Sporting Sam

SHA TIN
Sunday 10 th march
0915
Super Sunny Sing
Sweet Encounter 
both win
these two are top and bottom weights and hold plenty of track experience here.
super sunny sing recorded a career best here last time and the step up in trip may well suit.  Sweet encounter has been consistent and both look as though they might go well at decent prices…

SHA TIN
Sunday 10 th march
0915
Super Sunny Sing
Sweet Encounter 
both win
these two are top and bottom weights and hold plenty of track experience here.
super sunny sing recorded a career best here last time and the step up in trip may well suit.  Sweet encounter has been consistent and both look as though they might go well at decent prices…

SHA TIN
Sunday 10 th march
0915
Super Sunny Sing
Sweet Encounter 
both win
these two are top and bottom weights and hold plenty of track experience here.
super sunny sing recorded a career best here last time and the step up in trip may well suit.  Sweet encounter has been consistent and both look as though they might go well at decent prices…

Newcastle 8:30
Late night English racing!!
Julie Camacho has had to be patient with this runner.
But
MAKEEN
Win
Is back to handicap winning debut mark on first run for Richard Hannon after three qualifiers with this his original yard. This is therefore a career low mark and up pops Hollie Doyle extreme draw and no suprise if improvement on first encounter with the ideal jockey.
GREY FORCE ONE
Each way 
won very early in career under mulreahnan. One more win last season. No involvement from that jockey here and on an interesting mark tonight. May run well at a price….

The lucky  last🍀 
Sha Tin
1450
Everyone’s Delight
Seizing the Moment 
both each way
Nordic glory
win
finally off the mark and has tumbled a long from three figures rating in meydan.
 

Won. BSP 1.80
47 from 194, profit 11.71 points

The lucky  last🍀.
Chelmsford 2015
hopefully a selection will “appear” here five or six minutes before the off.
reasons of physics suggests
CABEZA DE LLAVE 
WIN
VICTORS DREAM
EACH WAY
 

win bet & an each way bet.

the lucky 🍀 last
Sha tin
9:50
Storm rider
Win
Zoom boom
Hong Kong hall
Both each way

Sha tin
0500
Fighting star 
Millennium  Falcon
both win 
Eight Triagrams
each way
Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here.
The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race.
 
 

Sha tin
0500
Fighting star 
Millennium  Falcon
both win 
Eight Triagrams
each way
Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here.
The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race.
 
 

the lucky 🍀 last
Sha tin
9:50
Storm rider
Win
Zoom boom
Hong Kong hall
Both each way

Sha tin
0500
Fighting star 
Millennium  Falcon
both win 
Eight Triagrams
each way
Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here.
The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race.
 
 

Sha tin
0500
Fighting star 
Millennium  Falcon
both win 
Eight Triagrams
each way
Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here.
The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race.
 
 

Cork 1542
CATHEDRAL ROCKS 
win
Gavin Cromwell has booked H.C.Swann claiming five and this  Fastnet  Rock sired runner looks the most likely winner in a race where the best of these  with experience does not look all that  strong. 
It may be that cathedral rocks can go well clear here given the flat pedigree and whilst a win is the main bet and aim, a small wager too on the winning distance being five or more lengths is not entirely out of the question although you’d expect at the weights those with experience could keep up here. 
 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
To win 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
to win by five or more lengths @ 5/1 - 11/2
 

Cork 1542
CATHEDRAL ROCKS 
win
Gavin Cromwell has booked H.C.Swann claiming five and this  Fastnet  Rock sired runner looks the most likely winner in a race where the best of these  with experience does not look all that  strong. 
It may be that cathedral rocks can go well clear here given the flat pedigree and whilst a win is the main bet and aim, a small wager too on the winning distance being five or more lengths is not entirely out of the question although you’d expect at the weights those with experience could keep up here. 
 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
To win 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
to win by five or more lengths @ 5/1 - 11/2
 

Cork 1542
CATHEDRAL ROCKS 
win
Gavin Cromwell has booked H.C.Swann claiming five and this  Fastnet  Rock sired runner looks the most likely winner in a race where the best of these  with experience does not look all that  strong. 
It may be that cathedral rocks can go well clear here given the flat pedigree and whilst a win is the main bet and aim, a small wager too on the winning distance being five or more lengths is not entirely out of the question although you’d expect at the weights those with experience could keep up here. 
 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
To win 
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
to win by five or more lengths @ 5/1 - 11/2
 

Wolverhampton 1830
Ten committments
each way
well bred and related to several juvenile winners. Yard not known for being forward with these runners but worth a look. Le Geyt and  inner temple are worth combining with the selection for the forecast.
Le Geyt
inner temple
ten commitments
combination forecast
 

Another nice winner at Sha Tin
as Fun Together exudes confidence to gain the spoils even though stepped up in grade. Classiest winner though was Endeared ex James Fanshawe who easily beat Charyn on last juvenile appearance in England . Has had to forego a three year old classic career which saw Charyn excell.
Charyn went on chase Paddington home twice in third place in a guineas and Royal ascot and also featured in the Irish version. Endeared has had to do with low grade handicapping in Hong Kong but clearly retains ability at the level and finally obliged today.
Classic Getaway looks the bet of the day in this neck of the woods  with Danny Mullins given an “instruction free” rein  with cousin Patrick minding his own business at another racecourse far away, while Peaky Boy at Cheltenham can put a smile back on Nicky Henderson’s face.
With Nico on the sidelines James Bowen takes over on the yard’s  newcomer in the opening maiden hurdle which takes all the pressure of this big money purchase who has won a point and already has a bumper under his belt.

Shall Tin 0805
califonia spangle
win
the class horse but saddled with top weight here. Win ratio tremendous given quality he often faces not least when down the field latest to Likes of golden sixty.
11wins here from 21 runs 
Figures
11211-121221121-3213140-
Autullibigeal
each way
can pop up at a price

Wolverhampton 1915
ISLE OF WOLVES
Win
TAXXING
Each way
The top weight qualifies as the draw data horse and under rules of physics.
The interesting runner here has shown absolutely nothing and some very poor performances has seen his mark tumble to a winnable level
Andrew Slattery sends the perfect Irish ☘️ job to David Evans and although not greatly drawn improvement is almost inevitable here on all known showings and connections haven’t purchased a horse and shipped it over because it has never ever placed or run well….,

Wolverhampton 1815
One night stand 
pepsi cat 🐈‍⬛ 
both win
 
 

Hope you’ve had a great afternoon twig hopping, everyone.
Very late start,  been catching up on bulb planting. so much of that lurgy floating around and I seem to have picked up much of it. Off for a bonfire 🔥 next!! 
wolverhampton 1540
The favourite here bolted up by 3.5 lengths eased down last time but it was not a strong race at all. This is an amateur jockeys hands 🙌 and heels 👠 race and totally different rules apply. 
Two horses stand out to me making his first ever start in a class six is
VERONA STAR ⭐️ 
win
( draw data last year’s winning stall)
AWESOME SPIRIT
Each way
Verona Star
On his second run for new yard today. Kept out the back in eye catching fashion, held up and ate up the yards to beat four rivals at the end. That was in a class four off a 60 day break. The movement at the end looked significant to me. His previous return off a long break was over ten times the length 615 days. This followed a debut win under Hollie Doyle for Archie Watson in a class four. Despite the lay off, he managed a very good second on return. Which again suggests he was tenderly ridden latest and visual evidence backs that up. Anyway he now drops massively in class and won his only race pretty much hands and heels as well with barely a reminder on the run in from Hollie Doyle. The same jockey saw him off on last run for yard and to me this one looks prepped for what could turn out to be a routine task after a pipe opening debut. Disregard the opening run as Verona star was held up and never put into the race. This is the first run proper for new yard dropped into class six for first time ever and has an 8 pounds claimer on board who has enjoyed a first win recently.
Awesome Spirit
has bottom weight crucially here and has the lowest draw commensurate to weight too. That won’t have been lost on trainer micheal Appleby at all and many perceive these hands and heels apprentice jockey affairs as a liability, but like bumpers they are necessary on “the learning curve “ but fully exploitable. The favourite could as well bolt up given the advantage he held at the end of his race latest  and that confidence may well stand to him here. 
Awesome  star runs here in this low level affair off a career low mark having started out  handicapping over twelve pounds higher for Micheal Callaghan over in Ireland 🇮🇪 and his connections  probably dreamt of selling him over to Hong Kong and him being ridden by a high class race at Happy Valley,  not as bottom weight in a class six hands and heels at Wolverhampton on a Saturday afternoon….
I hold a lot of stall on draw data as it’s my own system and although stall two won this race last year, my actual draw data horse is
Finn Russell
was on a hat trick two runs back here and ran fifth and then fifth again actually sits ten pounds under his debut handicap mark today and actually ticks a whole lot of boxes… I can’t back them all and while I’d rather he didn’t find his feet here but the two latest runs have not reflected the ability.

Hope you’ve had a great afternoon twig hopping, everyone.
Very late start,  been catching up on bulb planting. so much of that lurgy floating around and I seem to have picked up much of it. Off for a bonfire 🔥 next!! 
wolverhampton 1540
The favourite here bolted up by 3.5 lengths eased down last time but it was not a strong race at all. This is an amateur jockeys hands 🙌 and heels 👠 race and totally different rules apply. 
Two horses stand out to me making his first ever start in a class six is
VERONA STAR ⭐️ 
win
( draw data last year’s winning stall)
AWESOME SPIRIT
Each way
Verona Star
On his second run for new yard today. Kept out the back in eye catching fashion, held up and ate up the yards to beat four rivals at the end. That was in a class four off a 60 day break. The movement at the end looked significant to me. His previous return off a long break was over ten times the length 615 days. This followed a debut win under Hollie Doyle for Archie Watson in a class four. Despite the lay off, he managed a very good second on return. Which again suggests he was tenderly ridden latest and visual evidence backs that up. Anyway he now drops massively in class and won his only race pretty much hands and heels as well with barely a reminder on the run in from Hollie Doyle. The same jockey saw him off on last run for yard and to me this one looks prepped for what could turn out to be a routine task after a pipe opening debut. Disregard the opening run as Verona star was held up and never put into the race. This is the first run proper for new yard dropped into class six for first time ever and has an 8 pounds claimer on board who has enjoyed a first win recently.
Awesome Spirit
has bottom weight crucially here and has the lowest draw commensurate to weight too. That won’t have been lost on trainer micheal Appleby at all and many perceive these hands and heels apprentice jockey affairs as a liability, but like bumpers they are necessary on “the learning curve “ but fully exploitable. The favourite could as well bolt up given the advantage he held at the end of his race latest  and that confidence may well stand to him here. 
Awesome  star runs here in this low level affair off a career low mark having started out  handicapping over twelve pounds higher for Micheal Callaghan over in Ireland 🇮🇪 and his connections  probably dreamt of selling him over to Hong Kong and him being ridden by a high class race at Happy Valley,  not as bottom weight in a class six hands and heels at Wolverhampton on a Saturday afternoon….
I hold a lot of stall on draw data as it’s my own system and although stall two won this race last year, my actual draw data horse is
Finn Russell
was on a hat trick two runs back here and ran fifth and then fifth again actually sits ten pounds under his debut handicap mark today and actually ticks a whole lot of boxes… I can’t back them all and while I’d rather he didn’t find his feet here but the two latest runs have not reflected the ability.

300 Newbury - Brave Jen @ 125/1 ew bet365 
Looks overpriced to me, nice run last time, should appreciate step up in trip. Open to plenty of improvement.

two winners
 
Good morning Alex
won @ 28/1 at Southwell tonight.
was well backed early doors for the fourth time in five runs. 33/1 into 12s earlier but bookies pushed him right out again to cover up the move. But it’s recorded in price changes  for anyone who looks at standout moves .
Hiya Mate
was the other winner at 5/4
winning by multiple lengths.