-
Posts
3,132 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
20
Posts posted by Sporting Sam
-
-
Newcastle 8:30
Late night English racing!!
Julie Camacho has had to be patient with this runner.
But
MAKEEN
Win
Is back to handicap winning debut mark on first run for Richard Hannon after three qualifiers with this his original yard. This is therefore a career low mark and up pops Hollie Doyle extreme draw and no suprise if improvement on first encounter with the ideal jockey.
GREY FORCE ONE
Each waywon very early in career under mulreahnan. One more win last season. No involvement from that jockey here and on an interesting mark tonight. May run well at a price….
-
-
Stateside mahjong valley 2102
Unexpectedvalentyn
each way
creme de maris
win
high rating after the one winning run here a year ago ( 350 days)
unexpectedvalentyn was well beaten by this favourite but has run a few races culminating in a win here latest no guarantee lofty rating is justified and in any case crème de maris could be ring rusty.
unexpectedvalentyn has use of stall one.
-
Patou road
second to the favourite.
Gulf stream 2136
Lauriston
win
has Oisin Murphy on board for third run and his second of the night.
Taken off heels 👠 last time out and made up ground hand over fist last run and simple calculation suggests he’d be capable of winning easily with a clean start.
-
Stateside
Gulf Stream park 2106
Patou Road
win
off 287 days but won two runs back.
Starts off for new yard and joins top trainer jockey partnership. This opposition strong but not the best and good starting point for the selection.,….
-
The lucky last🍀.
Chelmsford 2015
hopefully a selection will “appear” here five or six minutes before the off.
reasons of physics suggests
CABEZA DE LLAVE
WIN
VICTORS DREAM
EACH WAY
win bet & an each way bet. -
Chelmsford 1715
the lucky first !🍀
Roger varian’s odds on favourite is no certainty here and has found three too good this far in two runs.
KITTERIDGE
Each way
has the best draw too.
is interesting as a well bred newcomer owner breeder spikes my interest
-
the lucky 🍀 lastSha tin
9:50
Storm rider
Win
Zoom boom
Hong Kong hall
Both each way- azzybear and The Brigadier
- 2
-
Sha tin
0500
Fighting star
Millennium Falcon
both win
Eight Triagrams
each way
Has fallen as far as he can now. A winner in June in a class two grades higher off a mark of 64 the mark he goes off here reflects the fall in class and perhaps this all time low will prompt a change in fortunes a fourth place last time out gives some hope here.
The two bottom weights also represent the highest drawn lowest weighted and the lowest drawn lowest weighted and win bets reflect solid chances off both runners in a remarkably poor race.
-
The lucky 🍀 last.
Newcastle 1915
(Draw data)
Yesterday’s Hero
each way
David Nolan
an interesting jockey booking and was a winner at the end of December for Richard Fahey.
Yesterday’s Hero won easily on debut beating midnightattheoasis. Penalised for that win subsequently and started life in handicaps too highly marked up, and moved into class three company stakes. Drops into class six for first time to coincide with lowest rating.
-
Newcastle the lucky 🍀 last
1900
QUANDRY
Win
can spring a suprise here drops in class and unbeaten at this trip.
lots in favour here.
WESTMORIAN
each way
-
Newcastle 1830
Atrafan
win
record here absolutely impeccable and that was emphasised to a fine point when here over the wrong distance last time.
small win bet.
however
Gunnmental
each way
has to be of huge interest given he’s in this level of classifieds from handicapping for the first time and a massive price here given his record over the trip is identical to the favourites six course and distance wins and the price disparity is wrong and while area fan will likely pick up where he left off over the trip at this time of year which has only ever been first or second.
Atrafan is poised to win while gunmental is handicapped and drawn to win given his ability in higher grade and first arrival in classifieds….,
atrafan
gunmental
reverse forecast
-
Draw data
newcastle 1800
Brookie Cookie
Macho Mania
both win
two horses drawn together and both of interest on the draw data.
Irish raider brookie cookie unexposed and stands a real chance under form jockey.
-
sha tin
8:05
Invincible sage
and the class dropping
Victor the winner may have this race between them neither will be much of a price but it’s an intriguing tussle worth just watching.
Invincible sage has now won three on the bounce but conditions here will test this progressive sort.
Victor the winner is proven group vlsss but drops to the minimum for the first time.
a watching brief in a race where invincible sage may just edge out the classy victor the winner. Hugh Bowman battling back from serious injury is regaining strength in the saddle and rides a full book tonight. He’s on victor and this race is more interesting for the information the outcome will present..,
-
Cork 1542
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
win
Gavin Cromwell has booked H.C.Swann claiming five and this Fastnet Rock sired runner looks the most likely winner in a race where the best of these with experience does not look all that strong.
It may be that cathedral rocks can go well clear here given the flat pedigree and whilst a win is the main bet and aim, a small wager too on the winning distance being five or more lengths is not entirely out of the question although you’d expect at the weights those with experience could keep up here.
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
To win
CATHEDRAL ROCKS
to win by five or more lengths @ 5/1 - 11/2
-
Newcastle 1940
draw data
The princes poet
each way
CHOOKIE DUNEDIN
Each way
both have strong claims with the princes poets racing here in a class six for first time having contested fours and gives here in the past
-
Newcastle 1840
ATRAFAN
TRUE NATION ( draw data)
Both win
-
HONG KONG
happy Valley 1210
HAPPY JAI JAI
BIG TWO
REGENCY HAPPY STAR
All win
-
Mamalouka 4/1
was denied a clear run on return from wind surgery and a three month break last time. ( December) Ran a true line then against the rail and was twice denied a clear run in the final furlong being totally boxed in by the winner. Eye catching run therefore and was not to be denied tonight.
HIERONYMUS
once in the clear was not for stopping and held off all comers to win very cosily at a massive 15/2 ( draw data)
-
Kempton
8:30
mamslouka
win
Rubio De Oro
each way
-
Draw data horse is in stall 4
kempton 2000
Hieronymus
win
David Evans and Callum shepherd both on fire 🔥 and maiden
Supreme King
each way
runs off lowest mark here and off bottom weight, chances…
-
Kempton
1930
ocean heights
tenerife sunshine
☀️
both win
tenerife down to this class and under winning mark for first time since winning here took a massive drop into class three last time and prior to that not seen outside class two since winning here.
-
Wolverhampton 2030
Night at sea
Starfighter
both win
nas unexposed and lots of scope.
sftr has winning jockey on board.
Sir Lawrence graff
each way
a class four winner off a mark of 85 on handicap debut and yet never raced off a higher mark. Left John Gosden straight away and feasibly well treated off this low mark and out of Galileo bred to get this first time trip.
-
Wolverhampton 2000
NOT TOO REAL BAD
Win
at least ten pounds well in on Irish form alongside Christian Howarths claim. Fluffed lines badly on well backed-debut for strong yard.
BROWNLOW
Win
has equal claims and one of these should grab this.
Racing Chat - Sunday 10th March
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted
SHA TIN
Sunday 10 th march
0915
Super Sunny Sing
Sweet Encounter
both win
these two are top and bottom weights and hold plenty of track experience here.
super sunny sing recorded a career best here last time and the step up in trip may well suit. Sweet encounter has been consistent and both look as though they might go well at decent prices…