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mark22

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  1. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Garin - Giron; Giron +6.5 games HC @1.70 with WWin
    I'm going against Garin again. In match versus McDonald he was on the edge of elimination, he recovered from 0:2 and break in third set, in TB he even saved MP and then recovered to win 3:2. Giron made some good results on clay this season, I watched him against Andujar and he seems like reliable player, he can hold ball in the game, what could lead to Garin's errors and make this match much more thight than odds are showing.
    Opelka - Medvedev over 36.5 games @1.75 with WWin
    I decided to stick with good servers, since they made some very good results in this 2 months even on slow surface. Opelka won pretty easy against Martin, then with some troubles he managed to defeat Munar. Medvedev didn't impress me at all, he will be exposed to much stronger serve and strokes than against Paul. Former lacks of power in his game, what was nice seen against Korda, who was holding his serve with ease. Medvedev lost set against Paul and I think we will see some TB's here, which can cover this low line.
     
     
     
  2. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Hi and welcome to the forum @LOVETENNIS! Please don't open new threads!
    I don't really trust Kontaveit enough, but that's a price that might be worth taking honestly and I'll think about it again for tomorrow. Opelka might be slight value, but Medvedev looks motivated, his fightback against Paul was flawless basically. For today, I'm adding this.
    John Isner Total Games (vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas) - Over 15.5 at 1.80 with Bet365
    While I still fancy Tsitsipas to win his quarter, Isner has been looking good and the conditions are to his liking. He demolished two decent players already and he's yet to drop a set, so I think he'll do some damage. The line can be covered even in three sets and Tsitsipas has weaknesses in his returning game, Isner just needs to go to his backhand from time to time. 
  3. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Norrie - Harris over 35.5 games @1.70 with WWin
    Lot was said about Norrie during past months, in first round he beat Fratangelo pretty easy, but it could be also different if American would use more than 3/12 BP he had. He lost both finals against Ramos and Tsitsipas. Harris suprised with 3:0 win against Sonego in first round, with great performance on his serve. I expect at least 4 close sets to cover this low game line. 
  4. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Norrie - Harris over 35.5 games @1.70 with WWin
    Lot was said about Norrie during past months, in first round he beat Fratangelo pretty easy, but it could be also different if American would use more than 3/12 BP he had. He lost both finals against Ramos and Tsitsipas. Harris suprised with 3:0 win against Sonego in first round, with great performance on his serve. I expect at least 4 close sets to cover this low game line. 
  5. Like
    mark22 reacted to marzipan in French Open 2021   
    Taylor Fritz vs Dominik Koepfer total 36.5 at 1.786 with Pinnacle
    Fritz is not stable player. I dont know why he is very favourite by bookies. I expect very close match between two players. At least 4 sets but 3 set also can be enough for this bet.
     
    Good luck to everyone
  6. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Be careful with this one cause both players are in a bad form. When 2 players are in a bad form anything can happen. Personally, I will stay away from this match.
  7. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Have to agree with @darko08 and @Lekker today, I go for Opelka and Mcdonald. Nothing much to add, Opelka suprised me with easy win against Martin. Munar is more defensive player, who is waiting on opponent error and against Opelka he won´t have long rallies, not much will depend from him in this match. He also isn´t good server, so he can en up like Martin i suppose.
    Garin didn´t impress me in this clay season, while Mcdonald plays consistent. I expect close sets and some TB, so I rather take over 36 games @1.93, which is pretty low line for good odds and it can even go through in 3 sets. 
    Couacaud - Carreno Busta under 31.5 games @1.64 with Marathonbet
    French is very average challenger player, who got wild card to compete on RG. In first round he beat Gerasimov, who had awful season on clay. He had good tournament in Biella, but that doesn`t mean much since this is a challenger. In his career he didn´t win a set against top 50 player yet.. Spaniard played great match against Gombos (10 games won in match), offered only 1 BP and won 75% points on his serve. Usually he doesn´t give worse players many chances or lose set, and I think gap between these two players is just too big.
  8. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Have to agree with @darko08 and @Lekker today, I go for Opelka and Mcdonald. Nothing much to add, Opelka suprised me with easy win against Martin. Munar is more defensive player, who is waiting on opponent error and against Opelka he won´t have long rallies, not much will depend from him in this match. He also isn´t good server, so he can en up like Martin i suppose.
    Garin didn´t impress me in this clay season, while Mcdonald plays consistent. I expect close sets and some TB, so I rather take over 36 games @1.93, which is pretty low line for good odds and it can even go through in 3 sets. 
    Couacaud - Carreno Busta under 31.5 games @1.64 with Marathonbet
    French is very average challenger player, who got wild card to compete on RG. In first round he beat Gerasimov, who had awful season on clay. He had good tournament in Biella, but that doesn`t mean much since this is a challenger. In his career he didn´t win a set against top 50 player yet.. Spaniard played great match against Gombos (10 games won in match), offered only 1 BP and won 75% points on his serve. Usually he doesn´t give worse players many chances or lose set, and I think gap between these two players is just too big.
  9. Like
    mark22 reacted to Lekker in French Open 2021   
    Quick introduction, I'm starting new on this forum and thought it would be a good place to share with my friends whatever knowledge I've acquired over the past so many years. I'm South African as my username indicates. Good Luck to us. 
     
    Andujar to beat [email protected] on Bet365
    Pablo on a high after beating Thiem and you just don't beat any version of Thiem by not playing well. He took the game on aggressively and went for his shots when the pressure was high in Set 5. Delbonis on the other hand is really not playing as well as he can, he struggled against Albot, possibly one of the worst clay court players on tour and kept choking time and again against Molcan in the Serbian tournament. Moreover the H2H is 6-1 in favour of Spanish Pablo. 
    Opelka to beat [email protected] on Bet365
    Medvedev made some interesting remarks about the balls and conditions here @RG 21. He said he can play like he does on a hard court and the balls are flying through. Opelka has been very impressive in the clay season surprisingly, made a very good run in Rome and historically the courts in Rome and RG are very similar. Also, one again Munar was very unconvincing in his win against a total no clay courter in the Australian Jordan. Opelka has a definite serve advantage and even in rallies, he's holding his own as seen against a very decent clay courter in Martin, striking the ball early and with confidence. 
    Bencic to beat Kasatkina @1.72 on Bet365
    Contrasting displays in Round 1 make me want to play Bencic here. Completely demolished last year finalist in her Round 1 while Kasatkina barely got through Doi in a very topsy turvy match. Kasatkina played with no confidence whatsoever and seems to have put on a few kilos. Although she's a more natural clay courter, I don't see form and confidence on her side. 
    Kalinina to beat [email protected] on Bet365
    Collins is back from a surgery and just about won R1. Kalinina on the other completed a demolition of Kerber, it's very rare to see Kerber getting demolished. Kalinina has been on quite some run, winning a lower level tournament and qualifying with ease. Form and confidence on her side, moreover willing to go against Collins because the lack of matches should be telling. 
     
     
  10. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Daniil Medvedev (-1.5 sets) to beat Tommy Paul at 1.68 with Sbobet
    Aside from cheering on Sabalenka and Badosa, I'll also have this one for tomorrow at the very least. Medvedev said that he was very pleased with the surface after his first round win, he feels he can go decently far this time around and he had little issues against Bublik. Paul is good when it comes to beating lesser players, but he rarely beats the top guys and he has a 5-setter in his legs as well.
  11. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Opelka to beat Munar at 1.80 with bet365
    Opelka impressed all us with his run in Rome. He beat Gasquet, Musetti, Karatsev and Delbonis, all of them in straight sets. After that he lost against Cuevas in Geneva. Probably he was not interested on that small event after reaching the SFs in Rome. In his first match here he has destroyed Andrej Martin (6-3, 6-2, 6-4). Munar has played a lot of matches on clay this year (29-11) but only a few of them were against big players. He has suffered a lot against Thompson (6-7, 6-1, 7-6, 6-4) despite being a huge favorite (1.10). Probably we'll see some TBs here but I take Opelka anyways.
  12. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in French Open 2021   
    If somebody followed this one now can bet on Zavatska to secure profits. You can find her at 7.00-8.00. In theory this was one of the "safer" selections but you never know. It would be a massive shock if Sakkari loses against Zavatska but I have seen stranger things..
  13. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    J.-L. Struff/A. Rublev - Over 3.5 sets at 2.23 with Unibet
    Stuff and Rublev have already met 6 times and there's not a single blowout among those matches. 7-6 6-1 was the closest meeting, the first one, and the two 2021 meetings both went to the deciding set. Therefore, I'm more than happy to take this to have 4-5 sets at well above evens. Rublev is the big fav, no doubts about that, but Struff can bite big time and Rublev is by no means Nadal in terms of focus.
  14. Thanks
    mark22 got a reaction from darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Nice tips, good luck to everyone. I˙m also playing Khachanov-Vesely over games, it was like first pair my eyes caught  here are two more tips from me.
    Van De Zandschulp - Hurkacz  over 36.5 games @1.83 with Marathonbet
    Hurkacz is favorite in this match, but I think we will have a close one. He managed to win only against Fabbiano in Monte Carlo on clay this season and retired last match against Musetti. Last year he lost on RG against Sandgren in 5 setter. Van de Zandschulp made through qualifications, beating Marchenko easily in last round. He has pretty good clay season and I think we will see at least 3 or 4 thight sets in this match.
    Safiulin - Taberner over 3.5 set @1.68 with Marathonbet
    Clash of 2 qualifiers. Safiullin suprised me with his recent results; Andreozzi, Broady and Kovalik are decent wins, so it looks like RG courts suits him this year. Taberner on the other hand has many more matches on clay, he had no trouble at all to pass Q. Also his opponents were not so good I would say. He is big favorite today, but I see this match much more close. Safiullin had good numbers on point won on his serve (67%+ in every match), so he should take at least set today and use every drop in Taberner´s game.
     
  15. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from marzipan in French Open 2021   
    Nice tips, good luck to everyone. I˙m also playing Khachanov-Vesely over games, it was like first pair my eyes caught  here are two more tips from me.
    Van De Zandschulp - Hurkacz  over 36.5 games @1.83 with Marathonbet
    Hurkacz is favorite in this match, but I think we will have a close one. He managed to win only against Fabbiano in Monte Carlo on clay this season and retired last match against Musetti. Last year he lost on RG against Sandgren in 5 setter. Van de Zandschulp made through qualifications, beating Marchenko easily in last round. He has pretty good clay season and I think we will see at least 3 or 4 thight sets in this match.
    Safiulin - Taberner over 3.5 set @1.68 with Marathonbet
    Clash of 2 qualifiers. Safiullin suprised me with his recent results; Andreozzi, Broady and Kovalik are decent wins, so it looks like RG courts suits him this year. Taberner on the other hand has many more matches on clay, he had no trouble at all to pass Q. Also his opponents were not so good I would say. He is big favorite today, but I see this match much more close. Safiullin had good numbers on point won on his serve (67%+ in every match), so he should take at least set today and use every drop in Taberner´s game.
     
  16. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Nice tips, good luck to everyone. I˙m also playing Khachanov-Vesely over games, it was like first pair my eyes caught  here are two more tips from me.
    Van De Zandschulp - Hurkacz  over 36.5 games @1.83 with Marathonbet
    Hurkacz is favorite in this match, but I think we will have a close one. He managed to win only against Fabbiano in Monte Carlo on clay this season and retired last match against Musetti. Last year he lost on RG against Sandgren in 5 setter. Van de Zandschulp made through qualifications, beating Marchenko easily in last round. He has pretty good clay season and I think we will see at least 3 or 4 thight sets in this match.
    Safiulin - Taberner over 3.5 set @1.68 with Marathonbet
    Clash of 2 qualifiers. Safiullin suprised me with his recent results; Andreozzi, Broady and Kovalik are decent wins, so it looks like RG courts suits him this year. Taberner on the other hand has many more matches on clay, he had no trouble at all to pass Q. Also his opponents were not so good I would say. He is big favorite today, but I see this match much more close. Safiullin had good numbers on point won on his serve (67%+ in every match), so he should take at least set today and use every drop in Taberner´s game.
     
  17. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in French Open 2021   
    Tsitsipas to win the 4th quarter at 1.72 with bet365
    Laaksonen to beat Hanfmann at 2.20 with bet365
    Vesely vs Khachanov - Over 36.5 Games at 1.83 with bet365
    Lepchenko (-2.5 Games) to beat Shuai Zhang at 1.83 with bet365
    I think Tsitsipas has good draw. He will play Chardy in the 1st round and P.Martinez or Korda in the 2nd one. Isner is the most dangerous player he could face in the 3rd round. Raonic, Tiafoe or Busta in the 4th round. In the QFs he could face Dimitrov, Garin, Opelka or Medvedev. IMO, if Tsitsipas plays as he has done during this year he should beat all these players.
    Laaksonen beat Van Assche, Varillas and JM Cerundolo in the qualification. I saw the last one and I really liked how Laaksonen played. IMO, both players have a similar level (their best ever ranking is exactly the same -93-) but Hanfmann's last results are not good. He retired from Munich due to a neck injury. After that, he won against Griekspoor but he lost against Menezes and Nakashima, both in straight sets. Laaksonen should be a slight favorite considering both players' last matches.
    I think Khachanov shouldn't be with these odds against Vesely. He did not convince me at all this year and he was destroyed by Norrie in his last match (6-1, 6-1). The only time these players have played each other was here in 2020. It was in the 2nd round and Khachanov won, but it was a very tight match (6-1, 6-7, 7-6, 7-6). 
    Lepchenko has beat Rakhimova, Barthel and Friedsam in the qualification. I'm surprised with how much ease she beat Barthel (6-1, 7-5) and Friedsam (6-1, 6-3) in her last 2 matches. Shuai's best surface is hard, by far, and he has a 1-6 record on clay this year. The only player she has beat is Doi, who has a negative record on clay (51-57). She comes from a heavy defeat against Cirstea in Strasbourg (6-2, 6-1).
  18. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Right, it's that day of the year again! Good luck to everyone!
    Can't say that I'm going into the Grand Slam on the back of excellent form, but I think that I might be able to contribute as always. Looking at the draw, I picked quite a few bets actually, so let's hope that they'll end up well.
    Stefanos Tsitsipas to win the 4th quarter at 1.72 with Bet365  
    Henri Laaksonen to beat Yannick Hanfmann at 2.27 with Pinnacle    
    First, I agree with @darko08 on these bets, no additional comments.    
    Aryna Sabalenka to go further than Naomi Osaka at 1.90 with Bet365  
    Paula Badosa to win the 4th quarter at 5.50 with Bet365    
    These two bets go more or less together, as I want to oppose Osaka big time. Her recent antics might be noteworthy, but the truth is that she's not good on clay. She's been losing to average players on the surface lately and I don't expect her to stay in Paris for long. In her quarter, Badosa is in the form of her life and could take advantage.  
    Angelique Kerber to beat Anhelina Kalinina at 1.66 with Pinnacle    
    Kalinina is on a mighty run, but I like Kerber nevertheless here. She's improved from her slump already and could be geared up for a decent run. I'm not sure I trust Kalinina to be only such a small underdog against someone this proven yet.      
  19. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Well, Cerundolo wins 6-7, 6-4, 7-6. Kwiatkowski was leading 5-3 the third set and he even had 4 match points. These qualification matches are quite open, anybody can beat anybody.
  20. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Trungelliti to beat Baez at 5.20 with Unibet
    I will try this one at low stakes. Baez is a very talented young player and his results this year are incredible (3 Challengers), but he's only 20 years old and Trungelliti has a lot of experience at these stages. He has won the qualification for the FO 3 times before while Baez has never played here. His results this year are not good but he has achieved some good wins. He beat Alcaraz in a Challenger played in Gran Canarias at similar odds and he also beat Coppejans. Baez is the favorite, for sure, but at these odds I will give Trungelliti a shot.
  21. Like
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Van De Zandschulp to beat Mayer at 2.20 with bet365
    I think odds are wrong, IMO Van De Zandschulp should be a slight favorite here, not Mayer. His results during the last 2 years have been better. Both are big hitters with a good serve but Botic has been better recently so at these odds I take him.
  22. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    Not that surprised by Seyboth Wild honestly, he's a total head case. 
  23. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    haha luck for you.. Kuznetsov was like ´´dark horse´´ for me, so no big suprise here as he is great player, who is looking for some form way too long  otherwise I agree, results are just strange. As I expected may to be even better than april, things just go down. players are totally unpredictable  no matter playing on favorites or underdogs, at least for me.
  24. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from darko08 in Tennis Tips - May 24 - May 30   
    haha luck for you.. Kuznetsov was like ´´dark horse´´ for me, so no big suprise here as he is great player, who is looking for some form way too long  otherwise I agree, results are just strange. As I expected may to be even better than april, things just go down. players are totally unpredictable  no matter playing on favorites or underdogs, at least for me.
  25. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 17 - May 23   
    Marcos Giron to beat Flavio Cobolli at 1.62 with Pinnacle
    I know that we're all itching to start the French Open, but there are still some matches between now and then. For my two cents, I don't see why Cobolli is rated so highly by the bookies. He's young, sure, but I don't see any promising results in his recent record and I don't think that Giron is here just to throw the match away, especially on Sunday, with the big tournament still so far away.
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