It's getting too technical in here - so I'll just post these and fade away😃
Newmarket 4.45 Mubhijah 8/1ew
Newmarket 5.20 Demilion 10/1ew
Beverley 5.10 Pearl Eye 13/2ew 4pl
Beverley 5.40 Miss Calculation 6/1ew
£3.00 ew lucky15
potential returns £831.01
Chel 1.30 Captain Tom Cat 13/2
Chel 2.05 Lady Adare 11/1
New 1.50 Surely Not 14/1
New 2.25 Orazio 9/1
Bet 3 : 10p lucky 15 with 888
Running total -£2.52
Double up today
Profit today £16
Running total+£13.48
Too true, I did shoot myself in the foot by winning but I didn't mind !
I didn't realise that there was a 15% boost for getting 4 winners, this is obviously another benefit
I'll do a bit of analysis to try and calculate the additional edge of these bets
Lucky 15's 31's 63's
Lets clarify a few things about Lucky 15's 31's 63's, @MCLARKE will tell you lots of “data” related reasons why you should technically avoid them, he will also put in warnings like “bookies benefit bet,” and how long or how many lifetimes you will need to live before getting one up etc and they are valid points although he just shot himself in the foot with those arguments but they are actually valid but nothing is ever that simple.
Now here's the thing, you do not need 4 winners or even 3 or 2 for that matter all you need is 1 x 8/1 winner to make a profit due to the double the odds (bet365 for this article) That is why I personally disregard EW on these bets unless the prices are literally huge i.e. all four selections are 16/1 or greater (an obvious exception would be say for example you have a 33/1 14/1 10/1 10/1). An argument could be made for just doing an EW acca in addition to your L15 bet just in case all 4 place.
So that is the basis for your lucky 15, every winner thereafter is more profit so a double is perfectly reasonable (see attached Screenshot) 2 x 8/1 shots is 100/1 for example, 3 x 8/1 shots is 1000/1 and 4 x 8/1 shots is 10,000/1.
Personally I don't do a Lucky 15's daily but sometimes I do more than one so it evens out at around one per day so bear in mind because I do 40p L15's (20p EW on the rarer occasion) at £6 a piece they cost me around £2,000 quid a year (£500 for a 10p L15) and that is how much I would lose if I never had a winner. So I need to return £2000 quid per year before I start to make a profit. My year starts end of flat to end of flat (November – November) I surpassed £2000 returns by the end of December (pretty much proofed on this site if anyone cares to check) so every return I get now is pure profit so that means that my selections can now be any price. I no longer have to meet the 8/1 threshold for my minimum required return I can now include the odd fav in my Lucky 15 if I have a strong fancy.
WARNING.
I do not or rarely back/copy other peoples bets. Originally on this thread there were just 4 of us so it was a bit of fun as we each picked a geegee each day, however I soon realised that there are dangers involved, the danger being the bookies aint stupid and if they are paying out to multiple players with the same selections on the same bet type they would soon twig and react accordingly PL is a public forum and you can bet your arse they can/do read these threads and it concerns me that people could lose their accounts.