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LeMale

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  1. Like
    LeMale got a reaction from MCLARKE in Naps - Monday 13th May   
    I won't repeat it all again, probably easier to point you back to KO Cup thread where all was explained. 
  2. Like
    LeMale reacted to daisychain in Naps - Monday 13th May   
    Wolverhampton 9.00  Billy Mc Garry  10/1  WH
  3. Like
    LeMale got a reaction from The Equaliser in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Thanks for the concern @bymatrix, but as Michael mentioned it was my daughters wedding and she lives (and got married) in a place that is very remote and behind the times and getting things like a clear and active internet service is almost unheard of...it was on the Isle Of Wight. 🤣 I use a laptop and didn't think i would be able to take it, but i did squeeze it in the car to my wifes horror, but i forgot the plug for charging! But well done anyway, i don't think i would of beat you anyway, you had some nice picks there. Good luck in the semi's. 
  4. Like
    LeMale got a reaction from MCLARKE in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Thanks for the concern @bymatrix, but as Michael mentioned it was my daughters wedding and she lives (and got married) in a place that is very remote and behind the times and getting things like a clear and active internet service is almost unheard of...it was on the Isle Of Wight. 🤣 I use a laptop and didn't think i would be able to take it, but i did squeeze it in the car to my wifes horror, but i forgot the plug for charging! But well done anyway, i don't think i would of beat you anyway, you had some nice picks there. Good luck in the semi's. 
  5. Like
    LeMale got a reaction from The Equaliser in Naps - Monday 13th May   
    1647 C - King Of Tonga @ 20-1 ew Bet365 
  6. Haha
    LeMale reacted to bymatrix in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Great to hear he's ok and his absence was expected     
     
     
    Needs to get his priorities in order though        
  7. Like
    LeMale reacted to MCLARKE in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    He did inform me that it was his daughter's wedding so he might not be able to post.
    He's probably still in shock from the cost of it !
  8. Like
    LeMale reacted to bymatrix in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    Hope LeMale is ok , not like him not to post i don't think .       
  9. Like
  10. Like
    LeMale reacted to bymatrix in SIR PUNTALOT KO CUP 2nd ROUND - Deadline Saturday 2pm   
    4.30 Cork  Toor Khov  ( each way )  5/1 Bet 365
    5.10 Hexham  Dressedtoimpress  ( each way )  13/2 Bet 365
    6.05 Warwick  Gasmani  ( each way )  11/2 Bet 365
     
    Reserves
    2.20 Nottingham  Call to Action  ( each way )  5/1 William Hill
    3.25 Cork  Cast a Spell  ( each way )  11/2 Paddy Power 
                                                                                                        Best of luck LeMale and all and thanks to Clarkey            
  11. Like
    LeMale reacted to harry_rag in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    @MCLARKE I think he meant to say IF one of them wins here. I think that's where some confusion has arisen.
    Overall though this thread has got a bit derailed with everyone talking at cross purposes. I could be wrong of course, but in an attempt to stop the chaos, I'll try and summarise thus.
    You were making the valid point about extra place races; backing each way is likely to be more profitable in the long run than backing win only. That's because the extra places reduces the overround that the e/w punter is up against relative to win only. A fair point and well enough made.
    Unfortunately, t'other fella has been thrown by your theoretical reference to backing every runner in the race and gone down the route of explaining to us how markets work and how dutching works. All of which was a bit "teaching granny to suck eggs" and not really relevant to the point you were making.
    Might be best to leave it there but if there are any more posts that miss the point or explain things that don't really need explaining I'll delete them to keep things tidy and on topic. 
     
     
     
  12. Like
    LeMale reacted to MCLARKE in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    You are assuming 1 of these horses will win, quite a big assumption !
    Perhaps a real life example might help
  13. Like
    LeMale reacted to Systemight in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    I am not an each way backer,nor will i ever be,but there is no doubt that when a Bookmaker offers extra places on each way bets ( i have seen Sky do as many as 7 places in the past at Cheltenham) ,the over round actually works in favour of the punter.
    In short-the more extra places over the standard that they offer-the better value the Punter has.
  14. Like
    LeMale reacted to MCLARKE in HORSE RACING VARIABLES   
    You could do the same calculation applying an overround. So in my 16 runner example if they were all offered at 12/1 the overround would be 123%. If you backed all the runners to win you would lose 3 points, if you backed them each way you would only lose 1.5 points.
    I am not suggesting you back them all (I did say theoretical) and I'm fully aware that in each race there will be an overround, I'm just trying to show that for 16+ runners you are better backing each way than to win.
    I don't quite understand your comment about guaranteeing a profit, it doesn't appear basic to me.
  15. Sad
    LeMale reacted to FatandHappy1970 in Racing Chat - Wednesday 8th May   
    Hiya.
    Well that's Heartbreaking. Justin. 😭.
  16. Like
    LeMale reacted to PercyP in Naps - Tuesday 7th May   
    6.12 Southwell - Damzon = E.way 50/1 BetVictor
  17. Like
    LeMale reacted to roger2256 in Naps - Tuesday 7th May   
    14.05 Navan 
    Branding 10/1 b365 
  18. Like
    LeMale reacted to Ferki in Naps - Tuesday 7th May   
    17.42 Southwell: My Virtue EW 8/1 Ladbrokes
  19. Like
    LeMale reacted to BJWM61 in Naps - Tuesday 7th May   
    4.35 Navan
    Master Dunraven  10/1 Ber365
  20. Like
    LeMale reacted to HERE in Naps - MONDAY 6th May   
    Arch Enemy
    16.45 Curragh
    40/1 bet365
    Each way
  21. Like
    LeMale reacted to Jediknight in Naps - MONDAY 6th May   
    Windsor 3.10 Angelpoise e/w (20/1 b365)
  22. Like
    LeMale reacted to LEE-GRAYS in Naps - MONDAY 6th May   
    2.10 down royal divilabother 25/1 e/w bet365
  23. Like
    LeMale reacted to Craig bluenose in Naps - MONDAY 6th May   
    5.20 Curragh Tai Sing Yeh 20/1 Bet365 EW
  24. Like
    LeMale reacted to Trotter in Naps - MONDAY 6th May   
    3.25 Bath - Under Curfew - ew at 11/1 wm hill
  25. Like
    LeMale got a reaction from Ferki in Naps - SUNDAY 5th May   
    1540 N - Elmalka @ 25-1 ew Bet365 
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