PercyP
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Posts posted by PercyP
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8.30 Kempton - Stryker = E.way 28/1 W.Hills
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3.38 Southwell - Hougoumont = E.way 10/1 Bet365
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5.30 Wolverhampton - Trois Blancs = E.way 40/1 Bet365
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6.30 Wolverhampton - Thirtyfourstitches = E.way 40/1 W.Hills
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3.30 Southwell - Realisation 7/2 Bet365
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8.30 Wolverhampton - Blue Hero = E.way 40/1 Bet365
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1.40 Doncaster - Sea Village = E,way 25/1 Bet365
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Week 15 Picks
1. Raiders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – THURSDAY NIGHT
The Raiders let me down last week failing to score against a Vikings defence ranked in the top 10. Against a Chargers defence ranked 29 out of 32, they should score plenty. I would like their chances even more if Jimmy Garoppolo starts at QB.
The Chargers have little to play for as their hopes of reaching the play-offs are limited. They are super reliant on Justin Herbert, so without him (out injured for the rest of the season) and against a strong Raiders defence I cannot see them keeping this competitive.
2. Steelers to win Moneyline @ 21/20
The Steelers have lost their last two home games, however the money continues to come for the Steelers. Colts QB Gardener Minshew is regressing and will find no rest from the aggressive Steelers defence. Whilst the Colts cannot stop the run, so Harris & Warren will keep the Steelers on the front foot.
3. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 23/20
A win for the Bills against the Chiefs last week will see the public jumping on the Bills. Since week four, the Bills have only beaten one team by seven points or more. Their games are usually close affairs. The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they and the Eagles fight for first place in the NFC East.
4. Titans to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6
The Titans pulled off a major shock beating Miami last week. However this selection is more about the Titans home form (4-2) against a Texans team fading as the season progresses. There are also doubts about CJ Stroud playing (right shoulder injury).
5. Eagles to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
The Eagles will be desperate to win the NFC East. After games against the Chiefs (won), Bills (won), 49Ers (lost) and Cowboys (lost) this game against Seattle should be easier.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
- MinellaWorksop and harry_rag
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2
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Week 14 Results
Another profitable week, despite the Ravens missing by one point and the Raiders bet being a push.
Picks 5 Won 3 Drew 1 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 41.39 points for a profit of 11.39 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 70 = W37 D5 L28 – staked 420.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +470.54 points
1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11 – Ravens win by 6 in overtime = LOST
Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment. The Ravens won but their defence was poor allowing 410 yards of total offence.
2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11 – The lost scoring game of the season saw the Vikings win 3-0 = DRAW
The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings. The Raiders defence was excellent, but their offence was dreadful.
3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – Lawrence suits up but Browns win by 4 (31-27) = WON
The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home. Trevor Lawrence didn't look like himself, which is understandable given the fact that he was playing on one good leg. With Lawrence compromised, the Browns defence pressured him forcing several wayward passes.
4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1 – Bears win 28-13 = WON
In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and dreading facing this team again. The Bears defence dominated the Lions in the second half holding them to just 76 yards offence.
5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1 – Bronco’s win 24-7 = WON
Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?
The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form. The Bronco’s defence continues to be excellent, with the Chargers 0 from 12 on third downs.
- MinellaWorksop and harry_rag
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2
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5.30 Chelmsford - Judgementofsolomon = E.way 200/1 Bet365
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12.00 Lingfield - Grenham Bay 9/2 Betvictor
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2.40 Aintree - Palio = E.way 11/1 Bet365
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5.45 Newcastle - Ice Shadow = E.way 11/1 Paddypower
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Week 14 Picks
1. Ravens to win ATS -7.0 points @ 10/11
Whist I chose the Rams last week, I believe the Ravens will take care of things this week. The Ravens are well rested coming off a bye, they have home advantage and Lamar Jackson and their defence are playing really well. The Rams will be travelling West to East and will be playing in a colder environment.
2. Raiders to win ATS +3.0 points @ 10/11
The Raiders have played so much better having fired their coach. At home I think the Raiders will be able to out muscle the Vikings.
3. Browns to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23
The Jags losing Trevor Lawrence will be huge. They are playing against the best defence in the NFL. I can’t see the Jags scoring more than 14. So I shall take the Browns at home.
4. Bears to win ATS +3.0 points @ 1/1
In week 11 the Lions came back in the last quarter to win 31-26 against the Bears. Jared Goff had a total meltdown in that game with three interceptions. Playing in the cold and windy City, Goff will not be comfortable and must be dreading facing this team again.
5. Bronco’s to win ATS +2.5 points @ 1/1
Alert – I am picking the Bronco’s with Russell Wilson. Am I mad?
The Chargers are just too reliant on their QB Justin Herbert and he will be under a lot of pressure from an improving Bronco’s defence. The Chargers defence is one of the worst in the NFL particularly against the pass (31/32) so I hope Russell Wilson can throw the ball without any interceptions. The Bronco’s are showing the better all-round form.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
- harry_rag and MinellaWorksop
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2
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Week 13 Results
Only Washington failing to keep it close against the Dolphins prevented a full house in week 13. Still a weekly profit of 39.06 points was achieved.
Picks 5 Won 4 Lost 1, Staked 30 points, Returned 69.06 points for a profit of 39.06 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 65 = W34 D4 L27 – staked 390.00 points – returned 849.15 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +459.15 points
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21 - 49Er’s comfortably win 42-19 = WON
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective. Eagles could afford to lose this game and still be in the playoff hunt.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Rams come good, winning 36-19 = WON
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win. Browns started well but injuries told in the end.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11 – Dolphins thrash Washington 45-15 = LOST
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close. I got that wrong.
4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Lions win in a close one 33-28 = WON
Both the Lions and Saints have been poor recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week. The Lions led 21-0 early but their defence allowed the Saints back into this game.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11 – Texans win 22-17 = WON
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans. Russell Wilson throws a season-high three interceptions, including the final play of the game which could have given the Broncho’s victory. Thank you, Russell.
- harry_rag and MinellaWorksop
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2
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11.55 Lingfield - Parikarma 12/1 Betvictor
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12.30 Lingfield - Warbler = E.way 18/1 BetVictor
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6.30 Wolverhampton - Superb Force = E.way 14/1 Paddypower
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1.05 Newbury - Captain Wallace = E.way 20/1 Bet365
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Swansea 1.91
Sunderland 2.37
25 point double please.
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Aston Villa please.
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Week 13 Picks
1. 49Er’s to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/21
The Eagles are 10-1 and already look bound for the post season games. There is little incentive for them to keep winning, keeping players fit and healthy is their key objective.
After week ten I wrote “49Ers are back to form. With their best players available the 49Ers appear bound for the Super Bowl”. Nothing has changed my mind.
2. Rams to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Browns have recently suffered a lot of injuries. If the Rams get out in front then I cannot see how the Browns score enough points to win.
3. Washington to win ATS +9.5 points @ 10/11
The Dolphins are always worth backing at home (5-0). Their record away from home is less impressive (3-3). In the cold weather I shall take Washington to keep it close.
4. Lions to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11
Both the Lions and Saints have been disappointing recently. I am hoping Jared Goff returns to top form this week.
5. Texans to win ATS -3.5 points @ 10/11
The Bronco’s have extended their unbeaten record to 5 games. However, I think they were lucky in their last two games and they are not as good as their record shows. For this reason and a dislike of QB Russell Wilson I would prefer to put my money on C.J.Stroud and the Texans.
Bet:
10 x 1 point trebles
5 x 3 point 4 timers
5 point accumulator
30 points staked
All prices Bet365
- MinellaWorksop and harry_rag
-
2
NFL Week 16 - Predictions
in NFL Predictions
Posted
Week 15 Results
Week 15 started with a real bang with the raiders demolishing the Chargers 63-21. This fuelled hopes for another profitable week. But three of my teams succumbed to late come from behind defeats.
The Steelers jumped out to a 13-0 lead before allowing the Colts to score 30 unanswered points (13-30).
The Eagles led 17-10 going into the final quarter but failed to hold on losing 17-20 to the Seahawks and the Titans led 16-9 with seven minutes left but managed to lose (16-19) to the Texans.
Picks 5 Won 1 Drew 0 Lost 4, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.
ATS YTD record
Picks 75 = W38 D5 L32 – staked 450.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +440.54 points
1. Raiders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – THURSDAY NIGHT – Demolition job by the Raiders 63-21 = WON
The Raiders let me down last week failing to score against a Vikings defence ranked in the top 10. Against a Chargers defence ranked 29 out of 32, they should score plenty.
The Chargers have little to play for as their hopes of reaching the play-offs are limited. They are super reliant on Justin Herbert, so without him (out injured for the rest of the season) and against a strong Raiders defence I cannot see them keeping this competitive. This was not competitive and the Raiders did indeed score plenty.
2. Steelers to win Moneyline @ 21/20 – Colts run the ball against the Steelers winning 30-13 = LOST
The Steelers have lost their last two home games, however the money continues to come for the Steelers. Colts QB Gardener Minshew is regressing and will find no rest from the aggressive Steelers defence. Whilst the Colts cannot stop the run, so Harris & Warren will keep the Steelers on the front foot. The Steelers could not stop the Colts running game.
3. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 23/20 – Poor performance from Dallas lost 31-10 = LOST
A win for the Bills against the Chiefs last week will see the public jumping on the Bills. Since week four, the Bills have only beaten one team by seven points or more. Their games are usually close affairs. The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they and the Eagles fight for first place in the NFC East. Was it too cold for Dallas?
4. Titans to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6 – Titans lose in Overtime 16-19 = LOST
The Titans pulled off a major shock beating Miami last week. However this selection is more about the Titans home form (4-2) against a Texans team fading as the season progresses. There are also doubts about CJ Stroud playing (right shoulder injury). C.J. Stroud didn't play, but the Texans were able to keep their playoff hopes alive, thanks to an impressive comeback win.
5. Eagles to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Eagles hit by Flu losing 20-17 to the Seahawks = LOST
The Eagles will be desperate to win the NFC East. After games against the Chiefs (won), Bills (won), 49Ers (lost) and Cowboys (lost) this game against Seattle should be easier. Flu in the camp affected the Eagles performance.