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PercyP

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Posts posted by PercyP

  1. Week 16 Results

    So close. Week 16 started with a real bang with the Rams coasting to a nether in doubt victory 30-22. The Raiders did not need the +10 points defeating the Chiefs outright. Two wins.

    My other three teams all succumbed to late comebacks.

    Jets (-3 points) led 27-7 at half time but in the end won by only two points.

    Eagles (-12 points) led 20-3 at half time won by eight 33-25.

    Cowboys (moneyline) led 20-19 until the final kick of the game which gave Miami a 22-20 win.

    Picks 5 Won 2 Drew 0 Lost 3, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.

    ATS 2023 record

    Picks 80 = W40 D5 L35 – staked 480.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +410.54 points – Happy to finish the season in profit.

    1. Eagles to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11 – Eagles win 33-25 = LOST

    Flu in the Eagles camp last week meant the Eagles have now lost their last three games against the 49Ers, Cowboys and Seattle. Playing against a poor New York Giants team will allow the Eagles to put plenty of points on the board. 33 points should have been enough to have beaten this spread.

    2. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 10/11 – Last kick of the game gives Miami the victory 22-20 = LOST

    Last week I thought the Cowboys would be competitive with the Bills and wrote “The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they and the Eagles fight for first place in the NFC East”.

    This still applies and with injuries to Miami’s offense I think Dallas can make up for last week’s poor performance. Miami struggled to score relying on 5 field goals.

    3. Raiders to win ATS +10.0 points @ 10/11 – No spread needed Raiders win 20-14 = WON

    The Chiefs have not looked “the super bowl” champions for much of this season. Their wide receivers are off the pace. They only beat the Patriots last week by 10 and the Raiders are much better than the Patriots and are still trying to win matches. The Raiders confidence will be high following last week’s win. It was.

    4. Jets to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11 – Jets win by 2 (30-28) = LOST

    Last week I took the Raiders to win following a shut out the previous week. They won scoring 63 points.

    A similar bet is available this week. The Jets could not score against a top five Miami defence, but they will score against a Washington defence ranked last in the NFL. They scored 30, however the Commanders got 28.

    5. Rams to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT – Easy win 30-22 = WON

    The Rams offence is hot with Cooper Kupp receiving and Kyren Williams rushing giving Matthew Stafford plenty of options. The Saints recently beat the Giants and Panthers however prior to this their defence looked leaky allowing the Lions 33, the Falcons 24 and the Vikings 27 points. In a shoot-out I will take Stafford over Carr. Saints let in 30.

  2. The final two weeks of the season tends to throw up some strange results as teams turn their attention to the playoffs

    Jets @ Browns

    The Jets (6-9) season is already over, whilst the Browns (10-5) are still fighting in the AFC North. A win would give them a place in the playoffs. The Browns at home are 7-1 so I would be surprised to see the Jets victorious.

    Lions @ Cowboys

    Both these teams will be in the playoffs. Cowboys are 7-0 at home and will flourish against a Lions defence which allows the opposition to score plenty.

    Cardinals @ Eagles

    Eagles (11-4) have the Cowboys on their tales in the NFC East so will be playing to win. A 6-1 home record gives further confidence in the Eagles. The Cardinals are 3-12 and only have pride to play for.

    Falcons @ Bears

    Whilst mathematically both these teams could reach the play-offs, their chances will be extinguished should they lose this game. The Falcons (7-8) who love the physical running game will not be at a disadvantage in the Windy city.

    Panthers @ Jags

    The Jags (8-7) are in a three way tie for the AFC South, so they win be looking for a win against a lowly Panthers team (2-13). The Lawrence injury is a worry.

    Rams @ Giants

    The Giants (5-10) season is over and should lose to improve their draft pick. For the Rams (8-7) this is a must win game. The Rams offence is on fire scoring 125 points in their last four matches.

    Raiders @ Colts

    The Colts (8-7) are in a three way tie for the AFC South, so they win be looking for a home victory. The Raiders have played so well to get their record to (7-8) have only a very slim chance of making the playoffs. The Raiders away form is not as good as their home form 2-5 on the road.

    Dolphins @ Ravens

    Ravens will get the number one seed with a win against the Dolphins. The Dolphins are already sure of being in the playoffs and will be keen to get their injured offensive players fit for the end of season playoffs.

    Patriots @ Bills

    Bills (9-6) will make the playoffs with a victory. The Patriots (4-11) will be happy to lose and improve their draft position. After years of being beaten by their divisional rivals, the Bills will want to destroy the Pats.

    Saints @ Buccaneers

    The Buccs (8-7) lead the NFC South with the Saints close behind (7-8). This is a must win game for both teams.

    49Ers @ Washington

    49Ers were the first team to qualify for the playoffs and their focus will be on the end of season games. The Commanders (4-11) are out of the playoff picture so will take a respectable loss.

    Titans @ Texans

    The Texans (8-7) are in a three way tie for the AFC South, so they win be looking for a home victory. The Titans are bottom of the division (5-10) and cannot make the playoffs.

    Steelers @ Seahawks

    Both of these teams are 8-7 and both will want to win this.

    Bengals @ Chiefs

    The Chiefs (9-6) will win the AFC West. For the 8-7 Bengals this is a must win game.

    Chargers @ Broncos

    The Broncos (7-8) are still in the playoff picture so a win is important. The Chargers (5-10) will be playing for pride and their new coach.

    Packers @ Vikings

    This is a must win game for both (7-8) teams

  3. Week 16 Picks

    With strange results often occurring in the last two weeks of the season, this will be my final selections for the 2023 NFL season. So I hope to go out in style.

    For my first three selections, I am sticking with three teams I chose last week.

    1. Eagles to win ATS -12.0 points @ 10/11

    Flu in the Eagles camp last week meant the Eagles have now lost their last three games against the 49Ers, Cowboys and Seattle. Playing against a poor New York Giants team will allow the Eagles to put plenty of points on the board.

    2. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 10/11

    Last week I thought the Cowboys would be competitive with the Bills and wrote “The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they fight for first place in the NFC East”.

    This still applies and with injuries to Miami’s offense I think Dallas can make up for last week’s poor performance.

    3. Raiders to win ATS +10.0 points @ 10/11

    The Chiefs have not looked “the super bowl” champions for much of this season. Their wide receivers are well off the pace. They only beat the Patriots last week by 10 and the Raiders are much better than the Patriots and are still trying to win matches. The Raider's confidence will be high following last week’s sizable win.

    4. Jets to win ATS -3.0 points @ 10/11

    Last week I took the Raiders to win following a shut out the previous week. They won scoring 63 points. A similar bet is available this week. The Jets could not score against a top five Miami defence, but they will score against a Washington defence ranked worst in the NFL.

    5. Rams to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 - THURSDAY NIGHT

    The Rams offence is hot with Cooper Kupp receiving and Kyren Williams rushing giving Matthew Stafford plenty of options. The Saints recently beat the Giants and Panthers however prior to this their defence looked leaky allowing the Lions 33, the Falcons 24 and the Vikings 27 points. In a shoot-out I will take Stafford over Carr.

     

    Bet:

    10 x 1 point trebles

    5 x 3 point 4 timers

    5 point accumulator

    30 points staked

    All prices Bet365

  4. Week 15 Results

    Week 15 started with a real bang with the raiders demolishing the Chargers 63-21. This fuelled hopes for another profitable week. But three of my teams succumbed to late come from behind defeats.

    The Steelers jumped out to a 13-0 lead before allowing the Colts to score 30 unanswered points (13-30).

    The Eagles led 17-10 going into the final quarter but failed to hold on losing 17-20 to the Seahawks and the Titans led 16-9 with seven minutes left but  managed to lose (16-19) to the Texans.

    Picks 5 Won 1 Drew 0 Lost 4, Staked 30 points, Returned Nil points for a loss of 30.00 points.

    ATS YTD record

    Picks 75 = W38 D5 L32 – staked 450.00 points – returned 890.54 points resulting in a 2023 seasonal profit of +440.54 points

    1. Raiders to win ATS -3.0 points @ 20/23 – THURSDAY NIGHT – Demolition job by the Raiders 63-21 = WON

    The Raiders let me down last week failing to score against a Vikings defence ranked in the top 10. Against a Chargers defence ranked 29 out of 32, they should score plenty.

    The Chargers have little to play for as their hopes of reaching the play-offs are limited. They are super reliant on Justin Herbert, so without him (out injured for the rest of the season) and against a strong Raiders defence I cannot see them keeping this competitive. This was not competitive and the Raiders did indeed score plenty.

    2. Steelers to win Moneyline @ 21/20 – Colts run the ball against the Steelers winning 30-13 = LOST

    The Steelers have lost their last two home games, however the money continues to come for the Steelers. Colts QB Gardener Minshew is regressing and will find no rest from the aggressive Steelers defence. Whilst the Colts cannot stop the run, so Harris & Warren will keep the Steelers on the front foot. The Steelers could not stop the Colts running game.

     3. Dallas to win Moneyline @ 23/20 – Poor performance from Dallas lost 31-10 = LOST

    A win for the Bills against the Chiefs last week will see the public jumping on the Bills. Since week four, the Bills have only beaten one team by seven points or more. Their games are usually close affairs. The Cowboys rank first in the NFL in scoring. They are also yielding the fourth-fewest points in the NFL and beating their opponents by an average of more than two touchdowns. A win for Dallas is needed as they and the Eagles fight for first place in the NFC East. Was it too cold for Dallas?

    4. Titans to win ATS -2.5 points @ 5/6 – Titans lose in Overtime 16-19 = LOST

    The Titans pulled off a major shock beating Miami last week. However this selection is more about the Titans home form (4-2) against a Texans team fading as the season progresses. There are also doubts about CJ Stroud playing (right shoulder injury). C.J. Stroud didn't play, but the Texans were able to keep their playoff hopes alive, thanks to an impressive comeback win. 

     5. Eagles to win ATS -4.0 points @ 10/11 – Eagles hit by Flu losing 20-17 to the Seahawks = LOST

    The Eagles will be desperate to win the NFC East. After games against the Chiefs (won), Bills (won), 49Ers (lost) and Cowboys (lost) this game against Seattle should be easier. Flu in the camp affected the Eagles performance.

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