philipwalsh19
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Torque reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025
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CakeCakeCake reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025
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fd1972uk reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025
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MinellaWorksop reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025
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tonythepaint reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Arnold Palmer Invitational 2025
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Here are my pics for the Arnold Palmer Invitational And here's my player rating model results for the event
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MinellaWorksop reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025
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CakeCakeCake reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025
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Torque reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025
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36% profit in the end.
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tonythepaint reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025
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tschurchy reacted to a post in a topic:
Six Nations 2025 Bets
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Most bookies are going 5/6 for over/under 3.5 cards. Sporting Index have set the line at 3.3-3.6. I'm with the unders for this tournament. International and elite club games in the last year or two are averaging at around 1.8 expected cards across a 15 game period and only one 6 Nations ever has gone over 3 reds (2021...when there was 5).
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Scottie is back but at 9/2 I'd rather look elsewhere and hope that he's a little rusty.
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philipwalsh19 reacted to a post in a topic:
PGA Pebble Beach Pro-Am 2025
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PGA Bermuda Championship 2024 - Winner
philipwalsh19 replied to CakeCakeCake's topic in Golf Betting
Here are my picks I've gone for a few Top 20 and Top 30 angles to try to smooth out the variance a bit.
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Staking plan: 1pt e/w on each-ways, 1pt each on top 20/30s
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Xander win, Henley place and Henley top 20 all came in. Based on my staking plan (1pt e/w and 3pts per Top X bet) that's a tidy 152% profit (35pts profit on an outlay of 23pts)
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Each-way (10 places) Xander Schauffele @ 15/1 (8 places. Boosted from 12/1 w/ Bet365) Aaron Rai @ 55/1 Akshay Bhatia @ 90/1 Si Woo Kim @ 90/1 Russell Henley @ 110/1 (boosted from 100/1 w/ Ladbrokes) Corey Conners @ 66/1 Brian Harman @ 60/1 Top 20 Tom Hoge @ 11/2 Russell Henley @ 4/1 Top 30 Lucas Glover @ 7/2
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philipwalsh19 reacted to a post in a topic:
Scottish Open
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Aberg wins place money and both Rai and Theegala net Top 10 / Top 20 money comfortably. 75% profit overall this week.
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Not many significant outliers (ratings vs odds) in the top 10 or so of the betting.So I'm going to back Aberg each-way and sprinkle some place finish bets on a few who might out-run their odds.
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philipwalsh19 reacted to a post in a topic:
Travellers Championship
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Euro 2024 Predictions 19th - 22nd June
philipwalsh19 replied to Labrador's topic in Euro 2024 Tips & Predictions
This was a bit of a sweat (only 2 cards in the first 86 mins) but the late flurry of cards was very welcome indeed. Good shout mate.
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Very late posting this week, but here's how the betting odds vs player rating looks for this. I went for these four each-way Ludvig Aberg @ 15/1 (Round 2: T24) Russell Henley @ 30/1 (Round 2: T66) Si Woo Kim @ 55/1 (Round 2: T24) Collin Morikawa @ 12/1 (Round 2: T2) ..and these for top 20 finish Ben Griffin (Round 2: T59) Max Homa (Round 2: T59) Si Woo Kim (Round 2: T24) Chris Kirk (Round 2: T59) Tom Hoge (Round 2: 9th)
