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Bang on

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Everything posted by Bang on

  1. Daily NAP 2.32 Ling - Starshiba - 5/2 generally - Trainer Jack Morland is making a name for himself at the moment. 5 of his last 6 runners have won. The selection is a 3 time CD winner including LTO 9 days ago. Danger could be Master of Combat (BF LTO), but with horse and trainer in such good form, Starshiba is the selection. Daily EW Tricky to find a selection today, with small fields and therefore shorter prices or reduced places, but eventually I've taken a chance with - 5.30 Chelm - Comedian Leader - 13/2 (1/5 3 places) - An apprentice handicap. The selection has won off 9lbs higher within the last year, trainer combo is 23% at the course, and the selection is visored 1st time, hopefully it makes enough of a difference.
  2. Star Chorus - lost EW - lost (Powerful Response - lost .. William Dewhirst - WON 3/1)
  3. Daily NAP - 4/5 +8.5pts 1.03 Newc - Star Chorus - 5/2 Hills - 9/4 generally. Lightly raced and running in a handicap for the 1st time. Trainer A.Balding has adecent course record (23%) and is in fair form ( 3 wins 6 placed from 19 runners last 2 weeks). Travels 300 miles with 2 runners, hopefully this one makes it worthwhile. Daily EW - 2/5 (0 place) +3pts (0.5 EW) Slightly different today - an EW double (pays 12.12/1 at odds shown) 3.03 Newc - Powerful Response - 5/2 (1/5 3 pl) - Course record of 122 (including a SH HD 2nd LTO), strong chance of win but should place. 3.33 Newc - William Dewhirst - 11/4 (1/5 3pl) - Form of 112 since returning to AW (btn 1/2 as BF LTO). Again, strong chance of win but should place.
  4. Tiger Crusade - WON 3/1 Artificer - lost - never really looked to be going well enough.
  5. Just Wolverhampton on the AW today, a few of interest but took a while to nail my colours. Daily NAP 7.00 Wolv - Tiger Crusade - 9/4 with 365 (2/1 generally) - Finished 3rd 20 days ago. Trainer D.Simcock has had 9 runners in the last couple of weeks without a winner, but has had 4 placed so not far away. Top course jockey Luke Morris rides. The selection is 13lbs lower than for its last win, and this is the first time it has run at this low a level. Daily EW 8.00 Wolv - Artificer - 10/1 (3 places generally .. is 9/1 4 places with Skybet .. and 11/1 with PP 3pl). Don't know much about the trainer, but he is 14% here so not awful, importantly he does better with 4yo+ which this is. Has run in 3 handicaps without success, but has dropped 10lbs because of this. Favourite Pessoa looks tough to beat (8lbs down), but the selection is well drawn, and for me should place, and possibly win, at the price EW it is.
  6. Both WON, another very good day. It seems I've got my eye in at the moment.
  7. Tricky day, a few look in with decent chances but odds not so good to put up on here. I have eventually found todays bets. Daily NAP 8.30 Wolv - High Court Judge - 2/1 with 365 - Trainer has an excellent course record, decent jockey, coming down the weights, and there doesn't look to be many who will get involved. Daily EW 1.00 Ayr - Boolamore Classic - 5/1 with 365 (1/5th 3 places) - Trainer does quite well at his local course, top rated and wears a visor first time, 3 places in a 7 runner race sways it.
  8. Sunderland - WON 1-0 L. Orient - WON 1-0 The 2 best qualifiers won again giving +2.6pts
  9. I very rarely bet on Sundays as take a day off to do something different and recharge .. but agree that late abandonments are a pain after doing the work.
  10. Both bets lost ... disappointing as Sheffield Wednesday were winning 1-0 and Leeds were 3-1 up before both games were draws. -2pts
  11. Both WON. I don't bet on Sundays as take a day off.
  12. Had selections for the Jumps but now abandoned so switch to AW. Daily Nap 7.50 Wolv - Smart Hero - 11/4 with 365 BF last time but was given too much to do in a slowly run race, the danger looks like the A.Balding runner but I'm with Smart Hero if closer to the action. Daily EW 4.03 South - Star of Atlantis - 5/1 (1/5th 4 places with 365) Switches to lowly classified level, trainer has a healthy 20% SR at the track, and jockey Hector Crouch rides 21% at the track.
  13. 2 more smaller bets for me - both 1pt doubles a further 2pts staked. Sheffield Wednesday + Leeds - 1pt double (pays 2.43/1) Man City + Watford - 1pt double (pays 2.66/1)
  14. Nice WON 3-2 ... a good start to the weekend, especially at 6/5 for a 1/2 chance on stats.
  15. This weeks qualifiers and bets... SUNDERLAND (best bet) and L.ORIENT (next best) 2pt double paying around 1.3/1. There are a few others of interest but that is the only bet so far.
  16. I am on NICE in France tonight at 6-5. They are very good value IMO. They are home to Rennes Nice at Home are 4-3-0 Goals 18-7 Rennes away are 0-1-6 Goals 4-15 Combined it gives 10-4-1 (66% chance of a home win) and a Goals for/against of 33-11 ..... enough to tempt me at 6/5 odds for the home side.
  17. Not fully sure what you mean but I'll have a go ... eg . A.Villa 1.33 Draw 5.5 Leicester 8.5 Now ... say that you want to back Leicester .... but want 10.0 ... click on the bet (it will come up as 8.5) ... delete this ... and then type in 10 (or the odds you want) ... then place bet. It won't be matched ... but could be matched later. This can also be used for 'in play' .... say back Leicester at 8.5 ... IF they score first the odds usually shorten and you could have a lay bet already in place to effectively 'cash out' and green up etc. Not sure if this is what you were after.
  18. Musselburgh is now Abandoned.
  19. The weather is now causing non runners after I had made my selections - they still run, but the prices have just shortened so will post the price they are now. Daily Nap 1.57 Muss - Park Annonciade - 3/1 with Hills but shorter with others. - Ran yesterday at Ayr (3rd of 4) in a 2m chase - today steps up to 2m4f in a hurdle, distance should suit, and was yesterday a final 'workout' as never really put anywhere near the winner. Daily EW 2.27 Muss - Bashful 9/2 (1/5th 3 places) - was bigger but 2 NR's have altered that. He is on a good mark and could win if right (CD x 2), Ran a couple of weeks ago in a class 3 (Heavy going) - this is a class 5 and with better ground. Only negative is trainer doesn't have the best of S/R at this venue .. but on the plus side .. he does best with Hcp Hurdles which this is.
  20. Daily NAP 12.55 Hunt - Shuil Ceoil 9/4 (with Hills and 365 BOG) Daily EW 1.25 Hunt - Fire Dancer 9/2 (1/4 2 places Hills)
  21. A good start to the year with the Doncaster/Wycombe double - +3.0pts (I got slightly better 1.6/1 but will record as posted) Of the others mentioned ... Orient and Salford both won .. Grimsby lost ..Charlton game postponed.
  22. Jongleur D'etoiles - WON Anamanda - lost 4th
  23. Happy New Year to everyone, as it's a new year, I am going to start posting a couple of bets and keep a record of +/- . Daily Nap 3.05 Catt - Jongleur D'etoiles - 7/4 with Hills Daily EW bet 2.55 Muss - Anamanda - 11/2 Hills (1/5th 3 places) Both have been bigger but on a very busy day I couldn't post earlier.
  24. Trying to reduce the number of selections a bit, and further analysis has made me tweak the way that I am backing them. I am going to keep a running total so that others can see if it is of interest. Todays qualifiers Just the 1 bet for me - Doncaster (top selection) + Wycombe (next best) .... 2pt double - pays 6/4 Some others of interest are all away from home at around Evens or better ... L.Orient , Charlton, Grimsby, Salford.
  25. This weekends qualifiers ... short ones in the Prem and Scot prem .. but some better prices lower down. Premier - Man City (1-3), - Liverpool (2-5), - Chelsea (2-5) Championship - Sheff Weds (19-10), - Bristol City (8-11), - Sunderland (6-5), - Swansea (6-5) League 1 - Wycombe (7-5), - Barnsley (6-5) League 2 - Bromley (10-11), - Salford (4-6), - Crewe (11-5) Scot Premier - Celtic (1-10)
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