Craig bluenose

Why the hell did you do it with Paddy Power - NO BOG the day before
Great winner though

Stratford 5.40  Wbee 13/2 win bet365

Stratford 5.40  Wbee 13/2 win bet365

Stratford 5.40  Wbee 13/2 win bet365

Kempton 7.15 Jabalay 12/1 bet365 ew

Results Update and moving forward from September 2019

No winners today hence a loss of £20.

Original Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trixies add £182.96 August Doubles and trebles = £2,401.57

What all this in effect means is that I started on 26th May 19 with a bank of £500 and it increased it from July 1st to £2,500.

The original bets were £1 selections that were £4.00 Trixies.  These made £38.61

I increased the betting bank to £2,500 on 1st July 19 (£2538.61 including May/June profits) and went on to make £5 selections that were £20 Trixies for the rest of the month.  The result in July was a £320 loss.

In August I changed tack and switched to backing up to eight selections in doubles and trebles, £4 doubles and £2 trebles.  These made a profit of £182.96 for the month.

The net effect of all this is +£38.61 - £320.00 + £182.96 = Minus £98.43.

MOVING FORWARD FROM SEPTEMBER 1ST 2019

I didn’t do too bad in August and was perhaps a little unlucky not to have wiped out the July Trixie losses.

This is encouraging me to continue with doubles and trebles from September.  I realise that we have the big field nurseries coming up, the end of the flat and the start of the jumps season, however, I think that I need the continuity of using my strategy so as to cope with the season’s changes.

I do feel that the betting bank has been set too high and so I am reducing it to a 60-day continuous loss of stakes which is £1,200.00.  I was going to choose £1,000 which sits snuggly at 2% risk per day but two months cover appeals to me more.

This being so I am wiping the slate clean and ignoring any brought forward figures.  For any of you who think that I am conveniently forgetting my accumulated loss of £98.43, I am the one who has lost it and won’t be happy until I retrieve it in full.  However, for the benefit of all concerned, I feel it is just best to start afresh and move on.

The rules are still the same.  I try to find well-fancied horse racing selections in races every day under all codes in up to class 5 races (not above).  My aim is to find strongly fancied selections of prices up to 3/1 Plus in what is commonly known as trappy or difficult races.  I should mention that I purposely exclude races with short priced favourites and don’t try to take them on either.  The idea is to find horses at the front end of the market that should have a good chance of winning their race.

I have come to learn that is folly to expect any of these beasts to run up to expectations, hence I figure that if increase my number of selections then just maybe a few of them will do what they are actually supposed to do

Great competition. Congrats to all the other winners. Not bad for a bunch of amateur tipsters (and i'd love to see a comparison versus the pro's)
Many thanks BillyHills for the time and trouble involved. Great work enjoyed by many
If it hadnt been the last day of the comp i'd have been ew on War Glory! 
 

Well done all winners and thanks Graham for running comp and all hard work marking these comps up

Well done everyone, great comp, ?

Well done Bymatrix, well deserved, unlucky Snert, good 2nd place and excellent strike rate @ 50%. Good 4th Boulder to keep in the money but, great final day selection by BBBC with War Glory and taking 3rd place and really throwing a spanner in the works,great pick and well deserved. Also congrats to Daisychain for winning the KO Cup.
Another Thank You to Billy Hills for his work in this Nap comp. and not forgetting all the other comps. over the last month, cheers mate.
 

Four doubles and two trebles today.

After dismissing class 6 races where horses seem to take it turns to win their races I struggled to find 8 selections from a total of 35 races.  The bookies seem to want it all ways.  They shorten up the prices on favourites in a lot of races which means that if you lay the favourites they win and if you back them they lose.  My history of laying favourites is not good, however, I can’t see Teaser winning the 3.15 at Cartmel.  It doesn’t jump that well and it quite often jumps to the right.  Not a clever thing to do on a sharp left-handed track.

 I placed my bets last night and all my selections have drifted in price.  Thank God for BOG.

Doubles:

(A)   2.45 Rip (5) Highwaygrey 5/1, 4.25 Cart (2) Double Treasure 11/4  = £4 v £90.00

(B)   2.25 Sou (7) Gorgeous General  7/2. 3.35 S(4) Fantasy Keeper 5/2 = £4 V £63.00

(C)   2.0 Chep (6) Gambon 3/1, 3.15 Cart (5) Nietzsche 3/1 = £4 v £64

(D)   4.30 Rip (4) Alfred Richardson, 5.0 Cart (5) Justatenner 7/2 = £4 v £117.00

Treble:

(1)    2.25 Sou Gorgeous General, 2.45 Rip Highwaygrey and 4.25 Cart Double Treasure = £2 v £202.50

(2)    2.0 Chep Gambon, 3.15 Cart Nietzsche and 3.35 Sou Fantasy Keeper = £2 v £112.00

Total = £20 stakes

Results Update:

Three seconds and a third with one non-runner yesterday so a little unlucky.  I was going to criticise Hayley Turner for not winning on Lightening Dance but after watching the race I don’t think that the way the horse ran that she did anything wrong

Hence, £14 loss on the day

riginal Bank £2,538.61 Less £320 July  Trrxies add £242.96 August Doubles and trebles

York 3.40  Red Gallieo  33/1 ew bet365

York 3.40  Red Gallieo  33/1 ew bet365

York 3.40  Red Gallieo  33/1 ew bet365

**York Tipsters Competition Starts on Wednesday**
 

Two doubles and one treble today.

Only four selections today.  I do like Mauricio 5.35 Catt 3.33 and 6.30 Win Indian Raj 3.0 but I don’t like their prices so I won’t be backing them.

 Doubles:

(A)   2.15 Ling (5) Zappiness 11/4, 6.10 Bang(5) Red Inca 9/2 = £4 v £82.48

(B)   5.30 Win ((6) Tone The Baron 7/2, 7.0 Win (8) High Acclaim 3/1 = £4 V £72.00

Treble:

(1)    2.15 Ling Zappiness, 5.30 Win Tone The Barone and  6.10 Bang High Acclaim = £2 V £185.62

Total = £10 staked today.

Results Update:

Well, now you know why I don’t put great store by short-priced favourites.  Magical Effect was sent off 13/8F. It could only finish 3rd beaten 1.75 lengths.  As Jenny Pitman used to say “It doesn’t matter how much money you put on a horse, it won’t make it run any faster”. Had it won I would have received £57.50 for the double and £129.38 for the treble = £186.88.  Not to be  though

I’m not complaining as I did at least get yet another double in for £82.50 less £16 = £66.50 on the day. Guess what I am now in accumulated profit and having a great run in August after allowing for a brought forward loss of £320 from July. This is an equivalent of £356.96/£2538.61 = 14% ROI.  Not bad for mug punters bets eh?

Original Bank £2,538.61 ADD £36.96 = £2,575.57 C/Fwd ROI N/A

WOW...Thanks Striker!!! Got on that @ 14-1, good start to the day?

Well done mate ......... 1st, 4th and 5th !

Sorry. So many comps. 

Four doubles and two trebles today

(A)   2.45 Wolv (6) Fairy Fast 11/4, 3.40 Nott (6) Polyphony 3/1 = £4 V £60.00

(B)   3.30 NB (2) AL Raya 10/3, 7.000Thrsk Hawaam 11/2 = £4 V £112.64

(C)   2.05 NB (3) Daddys Daughter 3/1, 6.50 NM  (2) Moxy Mares 4/1 = £4 V £80

(D)   3.30 NB (1) Good Vibes 9/2, 4.0 NB (4) Shammah 4/1 = £4 V £110.00

TREBLES:

(1)    2.45 Wolv Fairy Fast, 3.30 NB Al Raya and 3.40 Nott Polyphony = £2 V £130.00

(2)    2.25 NB Daddys Daughter, 6.50 NM Moxy Mares, 7.0 Thrsk Hawaam =£2 V £260.00

Results Update:

Two winners in a double yesterday paid £52.50 (instead of £42.24) hence a £32.50 profit on the day.  This was my strongest double and it was a pity that Lord Of The Alps came second as I would have had at least another £63.36 treble

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS 68.44 = £2,470.17 C/Fwd ROI N/A


 

FIVE DOUBLES AND TWO TREBLES TODAY

AN INTERESTING DAY TODAY. I HAVE MIXED UP MY BETS A LITTLE BUT THE OVERALL STAKE IS STILL £20

(A)   2.10 LING (5) VISIONARA 9/4, 6.25 YAR (8) THE CORPORAL 9/4 = £4 V £63.36

(B)   2.30 BEV (2) LAND OF THE ALPS 9/4 3.50 SAL 4 FLASHCARD 5/2 = £4 V £45.48

(C)   5.0 CHEP 10 PERFECT GRACE  5/1, 5.35 CHEP SO NEAR SO FARHH 10/3 = £4 V £104

(D)   5.0 CHEP 6 KINGFAST 4/1 5.35 CHEP 5 ATOMIC JACK 4/1 = £2 V £50

(E)    3.30 BEV 13 BURNTWOOD 9/1 4.30 BEV 2 NORTHERN LYTE 9/4 = £2 V £130

TREBLES:

(1)    2.10 LING VISIONARA, 2.30 BEV LAND OF THE ALPS AND 6.25 YAR THE CORPORAL = £2 V £63.36

(2)    3.50 SAL FLASHCARD, 5.0 CHEP KINGFAST AND 5.35 CHEP ATOMIC JACK =£2 V £175

RESULTS UPDATE:

FOUR SECONDS, TWO WINNERS AND A NON RUNNER YESTERDAY.  THE NON RUNNER WAS FOLLOWED BY A WINNER WHICH PAID £15.33 HENCE A £4.67 LOSS ON THE DAY

Original Bank £2,538.61 LESS 100.94 = £2,437.67 C/Fwd ROI N/A

Kempton 8.10  Delilah Park 18/1 bet365 ew 

@Kingmambo. One thing I will say is that no matter how one selects their bets you will find that the horses just do not perform as they should do.  I can still remember backing Mustashary in a op class race.  All it had to do was replicate what it did in its last recent race to win.  It did not.  I wasted too much money on selecting just 3 runners for my Trixies in July.  I have now found it much better to have a wider range of selections in the hope that at least some of these beasts go and do what they should do according to form.  I purposely choose what are deemed to be "trappy" or "open" races because I believe that the bookies have the races with short priced favourites sewn up.
I am beginning to have real fun with my strategy now and will continue in this vein as I feel that it will come good very soon.
Best of luck with your strategy.  Do you have any results that I can look at so as to compare with my selection and betting method?
 

Kempton 8.10  Delilah Park 18/1 bet365 ew 

Kempton 8.10  Delilah Park 18/1 bet365 ew