zemo91
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Posts
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Posts posted by zemo91
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In my opinion Portugal is a bit overrated, yes they are european champions but most of it had to do with the way the tournament was played. I see a close game ,most likely a draw .
Chili +0,5 @1.60
Germany's defence has not been reliable throughout the tournament , Mexico are fully capable to score. A high scoring affair is a possibility
over 2.5 @1.85
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Germany at 1.40,was expecting it lower. Are they missing some player?
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Man United win @ 1.95 I don't see Ajax posing a lot of threat. They have an inexperienced team that can be sloppy in defence.
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Nice one @Notorious ,to bad I didn't saw the parlay, hope I don't miss on the next one
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No serious betting this time of the year,will educate and prepare myself for next season. Nevertheless I will have a close eye on the mls, brasil serie a,swedish allvenskan and japanese J league.
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combine acca 1 and acca 2 and you have THE MONSTER odds 461.33. Don't miss out on this one!
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Bournemouth win @ 2.22
Frankfurt/x @1.47
Hertha/x @ 1.72
Gijon-Las Palmas over 2.5 @1.44
over 0.5 goals Levante @1.78
Ingolstad-Bayer Leverkussen bts @1.55
Hoffenheim +1.5 @ 1.74
total odds @ 38.8
LOST
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Luton win @ 1.55
Gladbach win @ 1.69
Juventus-Torino bts @1.55
Swansea-Everton over 2.5 @ 1.89
Dortmund-Hoffenheim bts @ 1.55
total odds @11.89
LOST
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segunda devision games
Numancia-Murcia
bts @2.10
Vallecano-Levante
over 0.5 goals Levante @1.78
x/Levante @2.43
Girona FC-Heresca
bts @1.89
over 2.5 @2.04
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bts and Juventus @2.60
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Dortmund-Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim +1.5 @1.74
Frankfurt-Wolfsburg
Frankfurt DNB @1.88
under 2.5 goals @1.82
Hertha-Leipzig
Hertha/x @ 1.72 or Hertha DNB @ 2.55
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Bournemouth-Stoke city
Bournemouth @ 2.22
bts no @2.28
Swansea-Everton
over 2.5 @ 1.89
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13 hours ago, Sir Puntalot said:
Me too!
The ratings have been a personal project of mine for 20 years, but the new leagues and new design have taken them to a new level - big thanks to our coder and designer for making it happen. 
must be amazing to start from scratch and seeing your project evolve over the years. I'm also planning to build my own model , but I don't have the necessary knowledge yet. I'm planning to take statistic and machinelearning courses next year. Most of the models do not take team characteristics,the quality of players and the quality of an event in consideration( ex a shot from 33 yards has not the same goalscoring threath as one from 10 yards. A predictive model that somehow can introduce those nuances would definItly give you an edge. I don't know if it's realizable,we will see
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Can't thank you enough,i'm so delighted, loving it! Those elo ratings have been so helpfull in my betting strategy.
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Ajax-Lyon
Ajax win @2.35 WON
over 1.5 Ajax goals @1.97 WON
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zulte waregem-aa gent: OVER 1.5 goals @1.35
walsall-port vale:Walsall DNB @1.55
chelsea-southampton:BTS AND CHELSEA WIN @2.90
gijon-Espanyol:OVER 2.5@ 1.92
carpi-Trapani calcio:[email protected]
RISK 5 euro return 111.85 euro
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Gijon- espanyol over [email protected]
Atletico-villareal: [email protected]
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odds on a Juventus win has gone through the roof @6.40,Anyone has an idea why? I don't see any injury concerns
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9 minutes ago, NoFear said:
wow odds on real drifted by a crazy amount. ronaldo not playing?
bayern favorite now oddswise.
I thinks it's because Hummels and Boateng are playing both were doubtfull.I'm really surprised to see them start, they are certainly not fit. I would not be surprised if Ancelotti will have to make an early sub. My bookies don't offer Hummels , Boateng to be booked @ 4.00,
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Real -Bayern: Real to win @ 2.47 Martinez is suspended and both Hummels and Boateng are doubtfull.Neither looked fit in the practice footage I saw. I would be surprised if one of them,let alone both would start. Lewandoski will probably start.Neuer did miss the training at the Bernabeu. Bayern has not been impressive in their champions league away games. winning four losing four and drawing two of their last ten. In the Bundesliga they managed two wins two draw and one loss in their last five awaygames.Safer bet would be dnb @ 1.81.
Leicester-Atletico: atletico to win@ 2.10 Atletico have won the first leg 1-0. In my opinion it will be a lowscoring affair. Leicester will not be keen to commit theirself in the first half. Atletico will have most of the possesion not taking to much risks. Leicester will have to make some defensive adjustements.Huth is suspended and Morgan will not be fully fit. Since the 1-2 loss against fc Barcelona mid february,Atletico Madrid have been the most in form team in La Liga.Winning 6 and drawing 2,scoring 15 and only conceeding 3 times. over 1.5 team goals @2.23 There's definitly value but I think the most probable outcome is a 0-1 victory. I hope they can squeeze in a second one.
Monaco-Dortmund: first half over 1.5@ 1.91 I don't see much value in the over FT. I will not bet on the game outcome. given the Fabinho suspension and Sidibe's appendicitis I think it can go either way. Both teams have firepower and shaky defences,i expect a goalfest
Fc Barcelona-Juventus: If you want to go on vac to the Bahama's this is the one. I will be all over this one draw or juventus @2.60,juventus to win@ 6,00,over 1.5 team goals juventus @3.00,juventus to score first [email protected],over 1,5 goals first [email protected],Juventus to win atleast one half @3.00, juventus win and over [email protected],juventus to win both [email protected],Juventus to score both [email protected],Cuadrado to [email protected], Madzukic to score @4.60 The odds on Juventus are ridiculous! they are no midtable La Liga team,absolutely disrespectfull from the bookies but that's perfect for us.Juventus won the first leg 3-0 and in my opinion It will not be any different. Fc Barcelona will have to go all out, they will be even more vulnerable at the back.Mascherano,Pique and Mathieu are doubtfull for this one.
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13 hours ago, Notorious said:
make this bet and go on a vacation homie.
- Monaco+180
- Juventus+500
- Real Madrid+130
- Leicester City+265
- Risk $100.00
- Win $14,003.60
hahahaha ,love the comments big shot. Will tail it but I'm not convinced about Leicester and Monaco. Leicester has to score so Athletico can play their beloved game. Monaco are somewhat suspicious at the back,I think Dortmund can outscore them. Odds on Juventus are ridiculous.
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On 12-4-2017 12:56:15, Notorious said:
to make things clear ,I don't bet with emotions . I'm not that naive to bet against a hometeam with a decent homerecord in the championsleague were homeadvantage is a keyfactor and knowing that the awayteam is somewhat struggling. I know my stats @Notorious. I didn't bet on the match outcome, had them in a four game parlay, bts and Barcelona should have scored. Busquets is NOT Barcelona's most important player Messi is,especially this season. Busquets was the second most important player but he has somewhat struggled this season most of that due to the fact he has been isolated on the midfield. Busquets has nor the pace neither the physicality to cover a lot of ground. His importance this year is not because he has played on a high level but because the alternatives lack quality. I was wrong in my assumption that Juventus could not press effectively . I was well aware of Juventus defensive qualities but fc Barcelona did not much to make it difficult. Enrique didn't make any adjustments to make better use of the width of the field(bring in Jordi Alba,tell Neymar to stay wide and put some pressure on Dani Alves who had a yellow card in the first half) and to make Suarez less isolated,could have brought in Paco Alcacer after the break.The second leg could end in a trainwreck. Pique is suspended so Mascherano and Umtiti will play cb. Umtiti is a great signing but he has to make some progress in his positional play. Mascherano is a liability in the air, I think Juventus will take full advantage of that. Barca is obliged to take some risks, I'm assuming Barcelona will not press effectively. Enrique has not the tactical knowhow to pull that off against a team like Juventus .So Busquets will be isolated on a few occasions and with the clinical finishers Juventus have it can be problematic.
Spanish Super Cup Predictions > Aug 13th
in Spanish Football Predictions
Posted · Edited by zemo91
the bookies are being verry generous ,I'm going with Real Madrid double chance @1.87