klappschmier

1 from 1 on Saturday and it is another quiet mid-week with not too many fixtures to look at. I like the look of 1 bet in the National League North and a short price treble as well.
FC United v Alfreton
FCUM have certainly struggled on the whole this season and they sit just one position and one point out of the relegation places. It is no surprise that they decided to sack Karl Marginson a couple of weeks ago as he had taken the club as far as he could and it needed a fresh pair of hands. Player Tom Greaves has taken over as caretaker manager and he scored their opener in a 3-1 victory over AFC Telford on Saturday. That win came at home and they have won their last 3 home league games now. Given they have won just once away in the league all season it is clear they are stronger at home at the moment. I thought Alfreton might do OK this season and although they are only 6 points off the play-offs they sit in 16 place and just 3 points ahead of their hosts. I must admit they don't look too fair away and although they lost 5 of their last 6 all 5 came against sides in the top 8 and only one of those defeats was by more than a goal. The problem is they have won just 2 away games all season and with FCUM looking so strong at home at the moment I think they will come away with another defeat. I think there is enough in Marathon's 139/100 to get involved.
Treble
As I mention in the posts above Billericay are playing a league game against Merstham on Tuesday night and the FA Cup replay against Leatherhead on Thursday. I would imagine the likes of Jake Robinson will be rested, but they have added some strength to the squad and whatever team they put out it should be strong enough to beat a home side who are so inconsistent. They have lost 5 of their last 8 league games and had a disappointing 1-0 defeat to Lowestoft on Saturday. A Billericay first team would be a lump on job at 4/5, but given the doubt about who is going to play I will stick them in a treble with a couple of other likely winners. Dulwich are top of the Bostik Premier at the moment and are looking very good at the moment, bar the FA Trophy defeat on Saturday. They have played 9 league games since I saw them lost 1-0 to Hendon with a goal with the very last kick of the game and they have won 8 and drawn 1 of them. Visitors Harrow have lost their last 4 and have picked up just 2 points in their last 7 league away matches. Finally Hereford should really see of Potters Bar Town at the 2nd time of asking in the FA Trophy. The treble pays just under 4/1 with Betfred.
FCUM 1pt at 139/100 with Marathon
Billericay/Dulwich/Hereford 1pt treble at 3.98/1 with Betfred

I love punting on the FA Cup as it always throws up the chances of getting some big price winners or you get some bigger prices than you should on the higher ranked teams. The competition has been pretty kind to me so far this season so hopefully that will continue into the weekend.
Hyde United v MK Dons
At first glance this really should be an easy win for MK Dons as we have a League 1 side playing a team from Step 4 of Non-League football. Hyde got some publicity when it took them ages to win a game in the Conference Premier a few years ago and then they followed that relegation with two more to find themselves at Step 4. Darren Kelly is their manager and he is famous for lasting 8 games at Oldham and then 9 games at Halifax two seasons back. He looked completely out of his depth and he failed to save Hyde when he joined them late on last season. It has to be said though that Kelly seems to have found his level and he has done a superb job in changing their fortunes around. They have yet to lose a league game this season winning 7 and drawing 4. They had a fairly kind passage to this stage of the FA Cup with them only having to play one side from above them in the pyramid, but that doesn't mean they won't be capable of holding their own here. MK Dons are on a hiding to nothing here given the game is live on BBC2 and it is a tricky tie for them. They aren't doing all that well in League 1 at the moment and have only picked up 2 points in their last 5 games. A big factor for me though is that Hyde play on a 3G pitch and as we saw last season that can cause problems for Football League and Premier League sides as they just aren't used to playing on them. Now I do expect MK Dons to be too strong, but I think Hyde are capable of causing them a scare. I am going to back them on the -2 handicap which is 5/4 with Ladbrokes, Coral and Stan James.
Gateshead v Chelmsford and Gillingham v Leyton Orient
With Gateshead a shade above evens and Gillingham a shade under evens I am going to stick these two in a double as I fancy them just as much as one another and it makes sense to risk less for more money than risking more and if only one wins basically getting my money back. Gateshead's home form is strong, they have lost just twice at home in the league all season and arguably they were unlucky to lose those two. They should have beaten table toppers Dover last weekend and I fancy them to overcome National League South side Chelmsford. In the league they went 5 games without a victory drawing 4 of them and then they looked to come out of the other side of that winning two including beating top of the table Dartford. However they then went and lost to Chippenham last weekend. To be fair that was their 1st away defeat of the season, but this will be much tougher for them. At least they will be used to playing at an athletics stadium! I opposed Leyton Orient last weekend and I was surprised Wrexham conceded 2 goals against them. Although they did beat Dagenham to get through to the 1st Round they haven't won in 10 league games no and have conceded 20 goals in that time. Defending has been a big issue for them and League 1 Gillingham should be able to take full advantage. Gillingham have improved since sacking Ady Pennock and are doing well of late. I am surprised they aren't shorter than they are to be honest and it seems Orient have been priced up as a Football League side not a side who haven't won in 10 National League games. The double pays around 2.9/1 with Marathon.
Peterborough v Tranmere
Given Peterborough's recent form it is amazing they are 8th in League 1. Prior to beating Shrewsbury last week they had only picked up 1 point in their previous 5 games. Now being the side who finally beat Shrewsbury is obviously a very good feat, but given their form up to that win I think Tranmere have a decent chance of causing an upset. Now if you don't follow the National League you might be thinking that backing a team who have only won 6 of 18 in the league to beat a team in 8th in League 1 is a silly move. However, Tranmere are much better than their league position suggests indeed I still think they are more than capable of winning the title. For whatever reason things haven't quite clicked for them this season, especially in front of goal, but I believe they are the best side in the division and they are certainly showing more than enough of late to suggest that. I can see the Tranmere players looking to make a statement in this and they were really good against Halifax last Saturday. I certainly can't make them as big as 19/4 for this and Bet 365 are at least a quarter of a point bigger than anyone else at the time of writing.
Dartford v Swindon
Onto Sunday's BBC games now and I like the look of Swindon here to overcome National League South leaders Dartford. To be fair to Dartford they have only lost once at home in the league all season, but I don't think the league is overly strong this season. Swindon's away form in League 2 has been nearly as good as Dartford's home form as they have lost 2 and won 6. I think with Dartford doing so well in the league it will help concentrate the Swindon's players minds that they have a job to do and you would hope their better quality will see them safely through to the 2nd Round. I think Swindon should be odds on for this so the 23/20 available with Skybet, BetVictor and William Hill makes plenty of appeal.
Acca
Obviously there will be some upsets over the weekend, but there are 5 odds on shots that should all do the business and I think they are worth sticking in an acca. Oxford City are struggling in the National League South and Colchester have only lost one of their last 7 in League 2 and should prove too strong. Nantwich have only won 4 Evo-Stik Premier games all season and although Steveange's recent form has seen them lose 4 of their last 5, their home form has been strong and they should have few issues in winning this. Truro are having a good season in the National League South, but Charlton are flying in League 1 at the moment and they have lost just once at home in the league. I can't see anything but a home win. Fair play to Heybridge on getting this far and because of that they have only played 8 league games so far, winning 7 and losing 1. They are also still in the FA Trophy after winning a replay in midweek. Exeter though are 4th in League 2 and I just can't see how Heybridge can possible compete. Exeter should run out fairly comfortable winners. Finally Solihull are looking for their 3rd manager of the season after Richard Money decided he didn't fancy the job after all earlier in the week. That suggests to me he thought he wouldn't be able to keep them up and I struggle to see how they can beat a Wycombe side doing well in League 2 and having lost just once away from home in the league. Those 5 pay 4.2/1 with Sportingbet.
Hyde +2 1pt @ 5/4 with Ladbrokes/Coral
Gateshead/Gillingham 2.5pts double @ 2.9/1 with Marathon
Tranmere 1pt @ 19/4 with Bet365
Swindon 2.5pts @ 23/20 with Skybet/BetVictor/William Hill
Colchester/Stevenage/Charlton/Exeter/Wycombe 1pt acca @ 4.2/1 with Sportingbet

Hibs are a far better team than Hearts, our midfield will dominate here and the pace we have on the wings will put the fear into the young Hearts full backs. I can't believe Hibs are not odds on. Pile on folks, Hibs will smash these deluded weirdos. Hibs at 2.05. Gimme gimme gimme.

Although my heart, body and soul will be concentrating on the World Cup Qualifier at the Cardiff City stadium tonight there are two non league games being played - one in the Evostik Northern Premier and one in the Evostik Southern Premier.
Shaw Lane lost their top slot after losing on Saturday and are now second on goal difference. They take on Buxton with both teams probably eyeing the weekend FA Cup games against Vanarama National League opposition. Shaw Lane do have perhaps an advantage of not having to play their game until Sunday.
Shaw Lane are sharing the goals around but on the Buxtom team Liam Hardy has stolen a march being second in the league scoring stakes with 11 so far - only one from the penalty spot.
On the face of it Buxton's away form has been pretty impressive and may well belie their current place in the table of 13th. However, when you look at the sides they have played on the road no team currently sits higher than 9th. So tonight's test is probably their toughest thus far. Shaw Lane have won 5 out of their 6 home league games.
In the south two teams come together in a probable relegation battle as Dorchester take on beleaguered Gosport Borough. Gosport have picked up one point thus far this term - an away draw at 21st placed Kings Langley.
Dorchester don't seem to have players in their squad that can play for a full 90. Of their four home games so far this term they have won in their first but lost all the others conceding 6 of the 9 in total in the second half.
Surely, though they can secure a victory tonight as Gosport struggle with the embargo and an ever growing injury list. Manager Catlin has said that things will get worse before they can get better.
http://www.gosportboroughfc.co.uk/news/catlin-things-will-get-worse-before-they-get-bette-2021703.html
Gosport have lost 4 of their 5 away games so far this season by the margin of 2-0
Monday night's bets:
Double: Shaw Lane and Dorchester Town to win - Coral at 2.98 - 1 point
Correct score: Dorchester Town 2 Gosport Borough 0 - William Hill at 11 - 0.5 point
Good luck if you decide to play
Come on Wales - Don't take me home!!!
 
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Opening balance -1.90.
Dorchester oblige with a 7-2 rout over Gosport and Shaw Lane secure a 2-0 victory to land the double.
The correct score landed after minute 31. It's just the other 59 where I failed.
Worth noting that Dorchester again concede twice in the second half. Fitness and concentration are not their strong points

Balance +1.07

A pleasing day on Saturday with Dulwich, Slough and Hednesford all winning to make a nice little profit. We have just step 3 fixtures this mid week, but I like the look of 5 aways.
  Marine v Stalybridge I made 3 ante-post tips in the Evo-Stik Premier, Warrington and Altrincham who are 1st and 3rd respectively and Stalybridge. I thought they would go well with Steve Burr in charge, but it was all a bit of disaster to start with as they made a very poor start. Things have turned a corner though and they have won 3 and drawn 1 of their last 4 league games. They were really good when winning 4-1 against Matlock on Saturday. Now strangely all those games have been at home and they have lost all 6 of their away games conceding 19 goals in the process. That is a small concern, but I think they are a different side now so hopefully they can transfer the home form to their travels especially as they face weak opponents here. Marine have only got 4 points, all from draws, in their last 10 games and their only win at home came in their first home game of the season. They lost the next 5 before drawing against Grantham. BetVictor are best about an away win at 31/20.   Rushall Olympic v Barwell Barwell come into this on the back of a very good 1-0 win over Shaw Lane on Saturday which was Shaw Lane's first defeat after 5 victories on the bounce. Barwell have won 4 of their last 6 now and are in and around the play-off positions. Rushall are currently bottom of the table and are leaking goals for fun. Their last two games have seen them lose 7-1 and 4-0 and they have conceded 25 in their last 10 games. Barwell look much the stronger team here and BetVictor are biggest at 11/10.   Witton Albion v Workington Here we have two sides with very contrasting form at the moment. Workington are rising up the table nicely having won 4 on the bounce and they have won 6 of their last 8. Witton meanwhile have lost 5 on the bounce and 6 of their last 7 with the only win coming against Stalybridge when they were badly out of form. Workington look set for another play-off bid and BetVictor are biggest at 31/20.   Biggleswade v Kettering I have opposed Biggleswade in 2 of their last 3 games and they lost both to Kings Lynn and Slough. Those teams are currently in 2nd and 4th in the table. Tuesday they face the team who are top and are finally putting it all together after a couple of disappointing seasons. They have been superb so far winning 9 and losing 1 of their 10 league games. Saturday arguably saw their best performance of the season when thrashing a good Merthyr side 5-0 and they could have scored more. Biggleswade have now lost 3 of their last 4 and as long as Kettering don't get complacent this should be win number 10 of the season. Paddy Power are best at 13/10.   Farnborough v Weymouth This game takes place on Wednesday night and Weymouth look a solid bet here. They have won 6 of their last 9 games and are currently in 7th place. Now on the face of it beating Kings Lynn 3-1 was a very good result, but actually the report in the paper suggests they were rather lucky to win the game. Even so they face an easier opponent here and are obviously in good form in general. The home side lost to Dunstable on Saturday in what was that teams first win of the season. They did have a spell recently where they won 3 and drew 1, but either side of those 4 games results have been poor. I think the away side can win this and look a fair price at Marathon's 67/50,   Stalybridge 1pt @ 31/20 with BetVictor Barwell 2pts @ 11/10 with BetVictor Workington 2pts @ 31/20 with BetVictor Kettering 1pt at 13/10 with Paddy Power Weymouth 2pts at 67/50 with Marathon