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4.50 Brighton 1 pt win Barrsbrook 16/1 Bet365

4.20 Brighton - Kennocha 14/1@bet365

Perth 4.10 Wise Coco. 9/1 betvictor

Doyen Breed 5.15 Perth 8/1 Paddy Power - EW

Inteldream 8.30 Wolverhampton (E.Way 40/1 PaddyPower) Sold in April 2018 for £45,000, Inteldream runs in a Wolverhampton maiden for Marco Botti a trainer who does well at this course 125 winners. Inteldream has been unplaced in his two runs over 8f & 9f, so the step up to 12f could prove the key. He has talented apprentice jockey Stefano Cherchi in the saddle claiming a useful 7lbs (his 2019 record is 8 wins from 58 rides).

Perth 1610 Wise coco 7.5 william hills

5.30 Wolverhampton My Motivate Girl 5/1 bet365

5.20 Fontwell Shantou Sunset ( each way ) 9/1 Coral

My approach to soccer betting like many on here is stats based. Again, like others I have created an Excel Workbook, one for each individual league I follow, containing a number of sheets for calculations and databases. I freely admit it doesn’t rival some Excel sheets on here but it does meet my own personal requirements. I should also state it is in need of a re-write as I have added extra’s on numerous occasions and it’s become messy. However, that said I am able to back test systems reasonably quickly with it. Like others have stated I prefer to find a profitable system that works on

Welcome back

@Sparky Bear Welcome to PL mate, good to have you on board.

there is an easy way for anyone to calculate this - (1/P)^N P is your losing % (e.g. if you have odds of 2.0 its 0.5) and N is the number of consecutive losses you want to look at, let's say 4. So it would take STATISTICALLY (1/0.5)^4 = 16 bets to come across a 4-loss streak..

I screwed up. Looked down to see more odds and used BTTS for other matches. If it can count as a winner too, it's just fine. Sorry for mistake and extra work, BH.

Lethal angel 1.45 Brighton 11/4 bet365

Yeh I know the drill Cheers

To clarify (because I still mess up with decimal prices!) the average SP of the winning bets are 2.77 (roughly 11/4 7/4 as pointed out by my fellow punter below!!!) and 2.89, I'd already removed the 1 for the stake in my calculations which is why I foolishly quoted them in my original post. I wanted to clarify because there's no way a 46% SR at 1.77 is going to produce a profit to level stakes! 🤪

In case anyone wonders what I did with the pick - i did nothing. Literally nothing. I just sat there and watched the match. And I made more than a nice profit in the end.

England vs Bulgaria Right, after the extreme disappointment of that diabolical Welsh performance I'm switching my attention to England versus Bulgaria taking place later today at 5pm BST at Wembley Stadium. Group A is still very much wide open but a win for the home side here could start to put some distance between a couple of the teams with England moving into a prime position and Bulgaria's hopes hanging by a thread. England continue to progress well under Gareth Southgate. The 2018 World Cup semi-finalists will be keen to get back to winning ways after the disappointment of losin

1830 Muss Thornaby Princess ew 25/1 @ bet 365

5.20 Kilbeggan Roxys Holly ( each way ) 12/1 Bet365 & 888Sport

Ascot: 2.30 Crystal Pegasus please. Thanks.

18.30 Musselburgh - Northern Society - 1 pt win @ 6/1 Bet365

2.55 haydock hyperfocus 6/1 coral e/w

Majestic Stone 1.30 Newcastle 8/1 Bet365 - EW

Kempton 6.40 Riot Paddy Power 5/4

445l the groove 10/1 bet365

Salisbury: 3.10 Snow Shower please. Thanks.

Clonmel, 17:30, Happy Jacky, 9/4 b365