Colombia: Sunday 19 September 2010

[theclown]

	Sunday 19 September 2010	Home	Draw	Away	BPP
	Atlético Huila v Atlético Nacional (00:20 BST)	1.9	3.5	4.2	104.76 %
	América de Cali v Deportes Tolima (02:30 BST)	1.8	3.5	4.25	107.66 %
	Boyacá Chicó v Deportivo Cali (21:30 BST)	2	3.3	3.53	108.63 %
	Cortuluá v La Equidad (21:30 BST)	2.29	3.25	3	107.77 %
	Cúcuta Deportivo v Junior (21:30 BST)	1.9	3.4	4.08	106.30 %
	Once Caldas v Deportes Quindío (21:30 BST)	2.25	3.25	3.19	106.56 %
	Real Cartagena v Deportivo Pereira (21:30 BST)	1.73	3.42	4.5	109.09 %
	Independiente Santa Fe v Millonarios Bogota (23:45 BST)	1.5	4	7	105.95 %

[theclown]

Re: Colombia: Sunday 19 September 2010

Event	A. Huila - Nacional
Selection	Over 2, 2.5
Strength	10/10 (flat rate)
Date	18/09/2010 (23:20 GMT0)
Bookmaker/Price	Bet365 @ 1.90
Reasoning	Huila played 4 matches at home so far for Primera and the 2.25 goals per match that scores is the best Home record in the League. All of Huila's matches at home, even the two for Copa Sudamericana and the 3 for Copa Colombia were goal/goal matches (the goal avg for all 9 matches rise up to 2.33). Today Huila faces Nacional, in a important match. Nacional played 3 away matches so far, with a high avg scoring rate (+2.0) and the worst defending record (-3.0 avg) in the League. These 3 on the road matches for Nacional were g/g matches as well (although this is not the case for 2 -against Itagui- out of 3 away Cup matches). The most important: for both teams, there are no single high scoring games that affect the average; contrary the scoring distribution is perfect (scoring: 1-2-3-3 for Huila, 1-3-2 for Nacional concedead: 3-2-4 for Nacional, 1-1-2-1 for Huila)